FantasyPros publishes approximately 7.7 million pieces of weekly fantasy content to help you win your league, and eventually take home fantasy gold. It can be difficult to read such a vast amount of content, which is why we’ve rounded up a few of the most actionable, can’t-miss stat nuggets you absolutely need to know each week to aid with fantasy football start sit decisions.
We’ve broken down this weekly TL;DR (Too Long; Didn’t Read) article by each of the four main skill positions in fantasy football (quarterback, running back, wide receiver and tight end), with at least two stats per position. Click on each author’s byline to read the entire article. Good luck this week.
TL;DR Fantasy Football Week 14
Must-Know Quarterback Fantasy Football Stats
Will Levis (QB – TEN)
Will Levis isn’t the most popular streaming option in fantasy football. However, the second-year quarterback has been productive since returning from a shoulder injury. He averaged 116.5 passing yards, one touchdown and 7.7 fantasy points per game over the first six weeks, totaling 7.3 points or fewer in 60% of the contests. By comparison, Levis has been the QB13 over the past four weeks, averaging 240 passing yards, 1.8 touchdowns and 16.8 fantasy points per game, scoring two touchdowns and 16.1+ fantasy points in all but one outing.
Furthermore, the former Kentucky star could have his first game with three passing touchdowns this season in Week 14. Levis faces a Jaguars defense that has surrendered four or more passing touchdowns to quarterbacks in 25% of their games, including a few weeks ago. More importantly, Jacksonville has surrendered 22.2 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, the most in the NFL. Over the past two weeks, quarterbacks have completed 73.1% of their passes for 345.5 yards, 2.5 touchdowns and 25.4 fantasy points per game against a struggling Jaguars defense.
-Mike Fanelli
Josh Allen (QB – BUF)
Through the lens of efficiency, Buffalo is one of the most balanced offenses in the NFL. They lead with Josh Allen‘s arm, throwing on just over half of their plays (52.0%). Their EPA/pass (0.14) ranks third overall and they are fifth in passing yards per play (7.1). Their protection has been excellent, allowing the fewest amount of sacks (13) in the league this season.
Allen is the fantasy QB5 and has 20 throwing touchdowns, 334 rushing yards on 4.8 yards per attempt and six rushing scores. With his passer rating (100.3) well above his career average, Allen has a chance for yet another top-three fantasy finish at the position in 2024. The Bills will be pushing the Chiefs as hard as possible for the AFC’s top seed over the next month, a stretch in which they will play the Jets and the Patriots twice.
-Gavin Babbitt
Must-Know Running Back Fantasy Football Stats
Gus Edwards (RB – LAC)
Many had high hopes for Gus Edwards this year. However, he struggled to see the field with J.K. Dobbins healthy. The veteran is the RB69 for the season, averaging 3.9 half-PPR fantasy points per game, totaling 7.1 or fewer in every contest. Furthermore, he has only one rushing touchdown after totaling 13 in 2023. More importantly, Edwards played his first game without Dobbins this season in Week 13, finishing with only six rushing attempts for 32 yards and 3.8 fantasy points in a win over the Atlanta Falcons.
Fantasy players can blame the veteran’s struggles last week on the matchup against a talented run defense. Unfortunately, Edwards faces arguably the best run defense in the league on Sunday night. Kansas City has held running backs to 13.1 fantasy points per game, the fewest in the NFL. They have surrendered six rushing touchdowns to running backs, allowing four over their past nine contests. More importantly, the Chiefs held the Chargers backfield to only 2.6 yards per rushing attempt, 51 yards and 9.6 fantasy points in their Week 4 matchup.
-Mike Fanelli
Aaron Jones (RB – MIN)
A touchdown saved what would have been a disastrous outing for Aaron Jones in Week 13. Jones had a positive start to his tenure as a Minnesota Viking, performing as the half-PPR RB10 from Weeks 1-5. He’s nevertheless failed to carry this momentum into the second half of the season. He’s only managed to surpass 11.1 fantasy points once over his past six contests. With inefficiencies and ball security issues starting to become a recurring theme, might Aaron Jones be headed toward a decrease in volume?
Among rushers with at least 60 carries, Jones ranks 31st in run grade and 39th in elusive rating, per PFF. He’s also lost a fumble in three consecutive contests. Head coach Kevin O’Connell grew impatient with Jones’ turnovers in Week 13 and subsequently benched the veteran back. As a result, backup RB Cam Akers saw an increase in volume. Akers has been a solid contributor for the Vikings thus far, averaging 2.64 yards after contact per attempt and forcing eight missed tackles, per PFF. Should Jones’ struggles persist, Akers will be primed for a more consistent role in this offense.
-Nino Lombardi
Chuba Hubbard (RB – CAR)
Chubba Hubbard retained a stranglehold on the snaps last week while Jonathon Brooks was worked in more. He played 80% of the snaps, finishing with 12 touches and 43 total yards. Hubbard also had a 64% red zone snap rate last week. Hubbard is the RB15 in fantasy points per game this season, averaging 18.4 touches and 87.1 total yards. Among 57 qualifying backs, Hubbard ranks 12th in explosive run rate and 10th in yards after contact per attempt.
Hubbard should find success this week if his offensive line can continue to open up holes. Since Week 8, Philly has been more pliable on the ground, allowing the 13th-highest yards after contact per attempt rate, the ninth-highest missed tackle rate and the fourth-highest zone rushing success (Hubbard – 67.7% zone).
-Derek Brown
Must-Know Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Stats
Calvin Ridley (WR – TEN)
You may not realize it, but Calvin Ridley leads all NFL players in air yards this season. His 1,441 air yards are 60 more than anyone else on the year (Courtland Sutton is second), but he has only 671 receiving yards to show for it. That number puts him at WR23 on the year. It’s quite a shocking difference, and it’s compounded by the touchdown problem as well. Calvin Ridley has three touchdowns this season on 1,441 air yards and 87 targets. Of course, there is a big Nick Westbrook-Ikhine-sized spotlight shining on the problem as well.
It’s become well-documented this week that Westbrook-Ikhine has eight touchdowns on just 20 receptions on the season. It’s a crazy pace and the polar opposite of Ridley’s problem. Ridley is getting a 50.7% air yards share (first in the NFL) and a 26.6% target share (sixth in the NFL), but none of the production. Why are Will Levis and Mason Rudolph so accurate with Westbrook-Ikhine but not with Ridley? I have no explanation. However, continue to trust the process and the data and things should even be out before the season ends.
-Ryan Kirksey
Jaylen Waddle (WR – MIA)
Jaylen Waddle has shown signs of life in a thoroughly disappointing season in recent weeks. He had by far his best outing of the season in Week 12 and followed it up with four catches for 53 yards on an elite 90% route participation rate (by far his best of the season) in Week 13. Unfortunately, I don’t expect his hot streak, if we can call it that, to continue in Week 14. The Jets rank dead last in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers, with just 21.7 per game.
They are a tough matchup across the board, ceding the fewest receptions, third-fewest yards, and second-fewest touchdowns to the position. Meanwhile, their offense is imploding, so the Dolphins are six-point favorites at home this week. This isn’t the Miami offense of past years that would run up the score at will. In a tough matchup where the Dolphins may not need to pass much, I expect another quiet outing from Waddle.
-Ted Chymz
Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN)
According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), on 260 dropbacks when kept clean this year, Sam Darnold has had a 72.3% completion percentage, 79.8% adjusted completion percentage, 2,143 passing yards, 14 passing touchdowns, 16 big-time throws and an 8.8-yard average depth of throw. Fortunately for Darnold, per Pro-Football-Reference, the Falcons have had the sixth-lowest pressure rate (18.9%) this season.
Darnold’s good fortune should be a boon for Justin Jefferson. Minnesota’s No. 1 wide receiver hasn’t lived up to his otherworldly production from previous seasons. Still, according to the data suite at Fantasy Points, Jefferson has had a 38% air yards share, 27.4% target share, 33.2% first-read percentage and 10 end-zone targets this season. Jefferson’s underlying data is stellar, and he has a cupcake on the schedule this week to feast on.
The Falcons have allowed 151.6 receiving yards and 1.25 receiving touchdowns per game to wide receivers this season. Jefferson has surpassed 100 receiving yards just three times this year and hasn’t had a multi-touchdown effort. Furthermore, Jefferson hasn’t scored a touchdown in six consecutive contests. Minnesota’s No. 1 wide receiver will remind gamers of his week-changing upside by hanging a triple-digit receiving yardage line and multiple touchdowns on the Falcons on Sunday.
-Josh Shepardson
Must-Know Tight End Fantasy Football Stats
Noah Gray (TE – KC)
Even after two very strong games, Noah Gray’s roster percentage between Weeks 12 and 13 only went up from 4% to 11%. That number is likely due to Travis Kelce and the feeling Gray’s big games (89 yards and four touchdowns in Weeks 11 and 12) were a fluke and wouldn’t be repeated. The two touchdowns per game are indeed very unlikely to continue, but what has continued is Gray’s opportunity in the Chiefs’ offense.
In Week 13, Gray had another six targets and four receptions for 58 yards. That’s now 16 targets and 12 receptions in the last three weeks. That Week 13 production was accompanied by one of Gray’s highest snap shares of the season (62%). It may be hard to believe, but only Travis Kelce and Xavier Worthy have more targets than Noah Gray among all Chiefs players this season. He is a clear part of this offense as Kansas City deploys more 12 personnel and is worth rostering against the Chargers and Browns in the next two weeks.
-Ryan Kirksey
Noah Fant (TE – SEA)
Noah Fant didn’t play against Arizona in their last meeting. He returned last week with a 68.6% route share, a 12.9% target share, 1.08 yards per route run (YPRR) and a 10.5% first-read share. Since Week 10, Arizona has leaned heavily on two high coverage leading the NFL in usage (65.3%).
Against two high, Fant ranks fourth on the team in targets per route run (TPRR) at 16%, third in YPRR (1.41) and fourth in first-read share (13.8%). Arizona has kept tight ends in check, giving up the 10th-lowest yards per reception and the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to the position.
-Derek Brown
