Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice
Since Week 8, Moore has been the WR35 in fantasy points per game and has seen two red zone targets. During this stretch, he has had a 21.5% target share, 1.71 YPRR, and a 23.4% first-read share. Pittsburgh utilizes single high at the highest rate in the NFL (70.8%). Against single high, since Week 8, Moore has had a 24.5% target share, 2.21 YPRR, and a 23.8% first-read share. The Steelers have toughened up against slot receivers since Week 8, allowing the third-fewest receiving yards per game and the fifth-fewest PPR points per target. Moore should still see a healthy amount of volume this week despite the tough matchup, which keeps him on the flex radar.
Wilson has defied the odds and my expectations for him this season as the QB13 in fantasy points per game. He had a monster game last week, which absolutely embarrassed the Bengals’ pass defense. Among 42 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks second in yards per attempt, fifth in passer rating, sixth in CPOE, and third in hero throw rate. This week, he faces a downgraded Brown’s secondary that he should be able to take advantage of, assuming there’s no blizzard on the way. Since Week 8, Cleveland has allowed the third-highest yards per attempt, the 11th-highest passer rating, and the seventh-highest CPOE.
With Christian McCaffrey and Jordan Mason out, Guerendo will take over as the 49ers’ starting tailback. He’s only had 42 carries in backup duty this season, but when he has gotten work, he’s been pretty good. He has a 9.5% explosive run rate, a 21% missed tackle rate, and 2.33 yards after contact per attempt. I liked Guerendo as a prospect coming out, as he tested like a beast with 4.33 speed. He also flashed impressive efficiency numbers during this final collegiate season. Among all FBS rushers with at least 100 carries, he was 14th in yards after contact per attempt and 18th in breakaway percentage. He also flashed in the passing game, ranking tenth in yards per route run (minimum 20 targets). He should see 15-20 touches this week and crush an exposed Chicago run defense. Since Week 8, Chicago has allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, the sixth-highest explosive run rate, the second-highest yards per carry to zone runs, and the seventh-highest rushing success rate to zone runs (Guerendo 76.2% zone).
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
