Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice
The last time Goff squared off against Green Bay, he completed 81.8% of his throws with a 109.3 passer rating, but he only threw the ball 22 times for 145 yards. We could easily see Detroit lean on their ground game again this week with success, but if Green Bay can offer some pushback or if Ben Johnson wants to chuck it, they should have success through the air. Goff has remained stellar on a per-dropback basis. Among 42 qualifying quarterbacks, Goff ranks first in yards per attempt, second in passer rating, 12th in CPOE, and eighth in fantasy points per dropback. The Packers’ pass defense has shown some cracks in the pavement over the last few weeks. Since Week 8, Green Bay has allowed the ninth-highest yards per attempt, the eighth-highest passer rating, the sixth-highest CPOE, and the fifth-highest success rate per dropback.
Williams is the WR35 in fantasy points per game with four top-24 wide receiver outings this season. He remains a boom/bust option weekly that hasn’t seen a red-zone look since Week 2. Overall, Williams has had a 17.7% target share, a 32.6% air-yard share, 2.32 YPRR, and a 24.1% first-read share. Since Week 6, Green Bay has utilized two high at the seventh-highest rate (53.9%). Against two high, Williams has seen his target share increase to 22.4% with 2.87 YPRR and a 32% first-read share. Williams could have a nice day if Detroit passes enough against a secondary that, since Week 8, has ranked 17th in PPR points per target allowed.
Ok, here we go. Trying to predict the Packers roulette wheel of wide receivers has been fun weekly. (it hasn’t). Reed should lead the way this week despite the coverage matchup not being in his favor. Since Week 7, Detroit has utilized single high at the seventh-highest rate (57.8%). Against single-high, since Week 4, Reed ranks fourth on the team in target share (11.9%) and third in YPRR (2.11) and first-read share (16.8%). Detroit’s struggles to defend the slot is what pushes Reed to the top of the Cheesehead pile this week. Detroit has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game and the second-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers this season.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
