Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice
Winston has been “Winstoning” with three QB1 finishes in his five starts (QB10, QB7, QB1) and finishing outside the top 15 weekly fantasy quarterbacks in the two other games (QB22, QB18). Since Week 8, among 31 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks first in passing yards per game, 14th in yards per attempt, 16th in hero throw rate, and 20th in catchable target rate. During that span, he has led that group of qualifying quarterbacks in turnover-worthy throw rate. While Joe Burrow had a strong game last week, the Steelers remain a strong pass defense. Since Week 8, they have allowed the second-fewest passing touchdowns, the 12th-fewest passing yards per game, the 14th-fewest yards per attempt, and ranked 19th in CPOE.
I understand the goose egg that Dissly laid in the box score last week hurt. I get it, but this isn’t the week to hop off the Dissly train. Before that terrible game last week, Dissly had been money in fantasy. In Weeks 7-12, Dissly had a 19.1% target share, 19.3% first-read share, and 2.01 YPRR. He averaged 48 receiving yards per game and had two TE1 weeks (TE7, TE6). This week, he draws a dream matchup against a Chiefs pass defense that has allowed the most receiving yards per game and the fourth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
Good lawd…he can’t keep doing this…can he? Across his last eight games, he has eight receiving touchdowns. 40% of his receptions in that span have been converted into touchdowns. That is absolutely insane. He has four weekly finishes as a top-24 wide receiver. Since Week 10, Westbrook-Ikhine has had a 17.2% target share with 2.04 YPRR and a 22.9% first-read share with only one red zone target. Over the last two games, Jacksonville has moved back to featuring single-high coverage at the sixth-highest rate (65.8%). This is fantastic news for Ridley. Since Week 10, against single-high, Westbrook-Ikhine has had a 17.6% target share with 0.98 YPRR and a 21.6% first-read share. The efficiency drop-off is notable, but against this dumpster fire secondary in Jacksonville, it might not matter this week. Since Week 8, Jacksonville has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards per game and the ninth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.