Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em: Aaron Rodgers, Jauan Jennings, Jayden Reed (Week 16)

Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.

Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.

Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice

Aaron Rodgers (QB)

Over the last two weeks, Rodgers has been the QB6 in fantasy points per game. Since Week 14, Rodgers has ranked fourth in passing yards per game, fifth in yards per attempt, seventh in highly accurate throw rate, and ninth in fantasy points per dropback. He has been dreadful for most of the season, but this could be the time to ride the hot streak with Rodgers. Since Week 10, the Rams have continued to be a pass defense to not fear, allowing the seventh-highest success rate per dropback, the 11th-most passing touchdowns (tied), and the tenth-most EPA per dropback.

Jauan Jennings (WR)

Well, Jennings got the volume last week (nine targets), but he didn’t put up the production we were hoping for. Since Week 10, he has been the WR23 in fantasy points per game while seeing seven red zone targets. Since Week 10, Miami has utilized two high at the seventh-highest rate (57.3%). Since Week 10, against two high, Jennings has had a 27% target share, 2.52 YPRR, and a 37% first-read share as the clear leader of the 49ers passing attack. Since Week 10, Miami has allowed the 11th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Jayden Reed (WR)

After a hot start to the season, Reed has cooled off as the WR34 in fantasy points per game. He does have five red zone targets in his last five games, along with three scores, so it’s not like Reed has been a ghost. The touchdowns have had to sustain him, though, because he hasn’t had more than 34 receiving yards in a game since Week 9. Since Week 3, New Orleans has had the fourth-highest two high rate in the NFL (55%). Since Week 7, against two-high, Reed has ranked second in TPRR (24%), fifth in YPRR (1.32), and first in first-read share (25.4%). Reed could get shut down this week. Since Week 10, New Orleans has managed to keep slot receivers quiet, allowing the 14th-fewest fantasy points per game to the position and the fewest PPR points per target. Reed is just a low-end flex this week.

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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.