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Fantasy Football Forecast: Waiver Wire & Lineup Advice (Week 14)

Fantasy Football Forecast: Waiver Wire & Lineup Advice (Week 14)

Welcome back, everybody! NFL Week 13 is officially in the books, and there’s plenty to unpack from all the action! As we head into Week 14, my focus is shifting to rest-of-season outlooks for players, especially now that most trade deadlines have passed. This means more emphasis on stock up and stock down for players and actionable insights like PrizePicks plays, player props, start/sit decisions, and who to stash, drop, or add off the waiver wire.

My goal remains the same: to do the heavy lifting for you by analyzing the key data points so you can focus on making the moves that matter for your fantasy football team. As my college marketing professor used to say, “Keep it simple, stupid.” The KISS mantra is alive and well here.

I’ll continue to highlight critical data points from the past week – snap shares, routes run, and high-value opportunities – and help separate the noise from what’s actionable. Polarizing performances will remain a focal point, as they often create the most questions for fantasy managers.

This will also be the final edition featuring trade advice and graphics, as trade deadlines are now over. Moving forward, we’ll shift our attention to optimizing rosters and leveraging platforms like PrizePicks and other player-focused strategies.

Prizepicks has a great offer for those looking to dive into the platform for the first time- use my promo code PR-REQ653D – to get $25 in funds instantly!

And don’t forget, Week 14 is the final week of byes before the playoffs kick off in the majority of leagues next week. So, without further ado, let’s dive into the Fantasy Forecast and prepare to crush Week 14.

And just so I can hit it up at the top, here are the top DSTs for the rest of the season based on schedules to consider: Buccaneers, Colts, Bengals, and Jaguars.

The forecast calls for a SHOCKINGLY fun slate. Let’s go!

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Week 14 Fantasy Football Forecast

Jump ahead and check out my advice for each team using the table below:

 

Fantasy Football Forecast: Waiver Wire & Trade Advice (Week 14) | FantasyPros
AFC EAST AFC NORTH AFC SOUTH AFC WEST NFC EAST NFC NORTH NFC SOUTH NFC WEST
BUF BAL HOU KC DAL DET TB SF
MIA CLE JAC LV PHI GB NO LAR
NYJ PIT IND DEN NYG MIN ATL SEA
NE CIN TEN LAC WAS CHI CAR ARI

Detroit Lions

Buy Low Jameson Williams & David Montgomery & Jahmyr Gibbs | Sell/Hold Sam LaPorta | Drop Jared Goff

Jared Goff completed 21 of his 34 passes for 221 yards and two touchdowns, with no turnovers, achieving a passer rating of 100.2. Despite the solid performance, Goff relied heavily on his skill position players to drive the offense.

David Montgomery took the lead on the ground with 21 carries for 88 yards (4.2 yards per carry), although he couldn’t convert any of his six red-zone carries into a touchdown. Montgomery also contributed in the passing game, catching all three targets for 36 yards.

Jahmyr Gibbs added nine carries for 87 yards, an impressive 9.7 yards per carry, showcasing his explosiveness with a long run of 28 yards. However, Gibbs had a costly fumble near the end zone after catching a 13-yard pass. He had two red-zone touches but failed to score.

Montgomery out-snapped Gibbs, playing 54% of the offensive snaps compared to Gibbs’ 46%.

I don’t think Gibbs’ fumble will drastically influence his role in the offense.

In fact, this would be the perfect “buy-low” time, given that neither player scored a touchdown. They have played nine games this season when they BOTH have scored.

Amon-Ra St. Brown continued to deliver as Goff’s most reliable target, catching five of his seven targets for 73 yards (14.6 yards per catch). He accounted for nearly 100 air yards and commanded a 21% Target share. Tim Patrick caught two of his three targets for 48 yards, with one of his targets coming in the end zone but failing to score.

Patrick maintains strong usage as the Lions’ No. 3 WR.

Jameson Williams matched St. Brown with a 21% Target share, catching five of his seven targets for 28 yards, including two red-zone targets. He caught both red-zone looks but did not score. Tight end Sam LaPorta was the red-zone hero, catching both of his red-zone targets for touchdowns despite managing only six total receiving yards on three receptions.

LaPorta made the most of his opportunities in the red zone, catching two touchdown passes.

But the underwhelming usage for LaPorta continues. Except this week he actually converted his two red-zone targets into TDs.

Detroit plays vs GB (Thursday night), vs BUF, @ CHI and @ SF to finish the season. In the optimistic case for LaPorta, it is a good matchup for him versus Green Bay in Week 14.

Their linebackers can’t cover. Take the MORE THAN 38.5 receiving yards for LaPorta on Thursday night.

Detroit passed their first scheduling quirk by playing outdoors for the first time all season a few weeks ago in Green Bay.

Still, it could get dicey in Chicago in Week 16 if it’s cold and/or bad weather. At least the Bears’ run defense has struggled, putting Detroit in the driver’s seat even in the fantasy football playoffs.

Chicago hardly slowed down the Lions’ rushing attack on Thanksgiving, even if neither RB scored.

Although the box score doesn’t tell the whole story, specifically in the red zone.

According to Next Gen Stats, the Lions offense struggled on the ground in the red zone, generating -0.1 yards before contact per carry, being contacted behind the line of scrimmage on 57.1% of their seven rushes, and fumbling the ball late in the second quarter. When not in the red zone, they averaged 2.5 yards before contact per carry and were contacted behind the line of scrimmage on 30.4% of carries.

Note that the Lions’ passing game ROS doesn’t have the same soft schedule. For the rest of the season, their quarterbacks have the 32nd-ranked schedule. I think a sneaky “landmine” move might be to drop Goff.
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Chicago Bears

Stock Up Caleb Williams & D.J. Moore & Keenan Allen | Hold D’Andre Swift | Stock Down Rome Odunze

The Chicago Bears failed to pull off the upset win despite a gritty second-half performance from quarterback Caleb Williams, who threw for 256 yards and three touchdowns without turning the ball over. Although Williams completed just over half of his passes (20 of 39), his three touchdown throws and mobility helped propel the Bears’ offense.

D’Andre Swift led the backfield with 11 carries for 39 yards (3.5 yards per carry) but couldn’t find the end zone on his lone red-zone carry. He also contributed in the passing game, catching two of his three targets for 35 yards (17.5 yards per catch). Swift played a commanding 69% of the snaps, especially after Roschon Johnson left the game early due to a concussion. Johnson only played 3% of the offensive snaps before exiting. Swift was the workhorse back, handling the majority of the snaps after Johnson’s early exit.

Travis Homer stepped in as the RB2 following Johnson’s injury.

D.J. Moore led the receiving corps with a dominant performance, catching eight of his 16 targets for 97 yards and a touchdown. He commanded a massive 41% Target share and accounted for 40% of the team’s air yards (169 air yards). Moore had two red-zone targets, catching one but failing to score.

It was nice to see Moore not only heavily targeted but also used more downfield in conjunction with the screen game.

Keenan Allen was also a major factor, catching five of his eight targets for 73 yards and scoring two touchdowns, including one on his lone red-zone target. Allen earned a 21% Target share and accounted for over 100 air yards.

Rookie Rome Odunze added two catches for 25 yards on six targets, including one red-zone target that he failed to convert into a touchdown. Odunze earned a respectable 15% Target share and accounted for over 100 air yards in a complementary role.

Odunze’s performance was more of the same. There was all the usage without the production to back it up. I really felt this was a breakout spot for the rookie, but alas, the other Bears WRs have been the dominating forces in this offense since Brown took over as the OC.

Over the last three games, Allen leads the team in targets (31, 27%), while Moore leads in receiving yards/catches (26% Target share).

Odunze has the most air yards over that span (over 115 per game), but it’s hard to keep chasing them every week to no avail.

Tight end Cole Kmet caught all three of his targets for 26 yards (8.7 yards per catch), showing reliability but not finding the end zone.

The Bears’ playoff hopes are likely gone, but with that, so is head coach Matt Eberflus. With Thomas Brown taking over as interim head coach after being promoted as interim offensive coordinator, we should see another post-firing production bump from the Bears in Week 14 against the 49ers.

From Weeks 14-17, the Bears play @ SF, @ MIN, DET and SEA.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Bears are tied for the No.30-ranked schedule for quarterbacks and bottom-five for receivers.
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New York Giants

Sell Malik Nabers | Stock Up Tyrone Tracy Jr.

The New York Giants’ offense showed flashes but ultimately fell short, with Drew Lock leading the team as their quarterback. Lock completed 21 of 32 passes for 178 yards, no touchdowns, and one interception. He made a significant impact on the ground, rushing for 57 yards and a touchdown on four carries, though he almost scored an earlier rushing TD on the first score of the game but it was overturned.

Devin Singletary started the game but saw limited usage, finishing with seven carries for 23 yards (3.3 yards per carry) and no touchdowns. Rookie Tyrone Tracy Jr. quickly took over the lead-back role, scoring from the red zone after Lock’s rushing touchdown was called back. Tracy carried the ball nine times for 32 yards and one touchdown while dominating the snaps, playing 73% compared to Singletary’s 21%. Tracy was also active in the passing game, catching two passes for 33 yards on three targets, averaging 16.5 yards per reception.

It’s good to see Tracy get back the starting gig after it seemed he had fumbled away his opportunity the last couple of games.

Rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers commanded the offense, posting an impressive 38% Target share and a 39% air yards share (74 air yards). He caught eight of his 13 targets for 69 yards (8.6 yards per reception) while showcasing his ability to create after the catch with 26 YAC.

Rookie tight end Theo Johnson had a productive outing, catching all five of his targets for 54 yards (10.8 yards per reception). However, after the game, Johnson was placed on injured reserve, dealing a blow to the Giants’ receiving corps. They added Greg Dulcich after the Broncos cut him, but it remains to be seen what his role will be.

Darius Slayton ran a route on 66% of the team’s dropbacks and led the team in total air yards with 97 (51% air yards share). Despite his involvement in the passing game, he managed just two receptions for eight yards on six targets. Call it the “Drew Lock effect.”

Jalin Hyatt and Wan’Dale Robinson each contributed minimally, combining for four catches and 14 yards. Robinson ran a route on 90% of the dropbacks and had two targets in Lock’s first start.

Devin Singletary was targeted once in the passing game but failed to record a reception.

The Giants remaining schedule: vs NO, vs BAL, @ ATL and vs IND. It’s a great schedule for WRs, but the ceiling is capped with the current QB play.

That’s why I am going LESS than for Nabers’ 67.5 receiving yards. He’s gone more than this number just twice in his last six games, and it has been barely over with 69 and 71 receiving yards, respectively, in those contests.

It’s also a top-10 schedule for RBs.
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Dallas Cowboys

Stock Up Rico Dowdle & KaVontae Turpin | Stock Down CeeDee Lamb

The Dallas Cowboys leaned on their ground game and came out with a hard-fought win, led by backup quarterback Cooper Rush, who threw for 195 yards, one touchdown, and no interceptions on 21-of-36 passing. While Rush managed the game efficiently, the Cowboys’ offense thrived primarily through Rico Dowdle‘s dominant rushing performance.

Dowdle was the workhorse, carrying the ball 22 times for 112 yards (5.1 yards per carry) and scoring a rushing touchdown. Dowdle was highly involved in the red zone, with three carries near the goal line leading to his score. He also added three receptions for 11 yards on three targets. Dowdle played a commanding 70% of the offensive snaps, while Ezekiel Elliott (12% snap share) was largely relegated to a minor role, logging just one carry for four yards. Hunter Luepke contributed as well, carrying three times for four yards, including one red-zone attempt.

Dallas has the fifth-easiest schedule for RBs for the rest of the season.

KaVontae Turpin led the team in receiving yards with 53 yards on four catches (13.3 yards per reception) and a team-high 63 yards after the catch. He had two red-zone targets but did not find the end zone.

Turpin has continued to pop on both special teams and on offense. Per Next Gen Stats, Turpin was a focal point of the Cowboys passing attack as he was targeted 5 times across 10 routes, catching four passes for a team-high 53 yards. Turpin’s 50.0% target rate for the game is tied for the 3rd-highest in a game by a wide receiver this season (min 10 routes run).

Brandin Cooks played 39% of the snaps in his return from injured reserve, catching three of seven targets for 16 yards and a touchdown. Cooks showed his big-play potential, commanding 113 air yards and a 19% Target share (35% target rate per route run), with two end-zone targets, converting one for a score.

CeeDee Lamb, dealing with a shoulder injury, played only 67% of the snaps but still contributed two catches for 39 yards on six targets. He had one red-zone target but did not score. Lamb is expected to benefit from extended rest heading into Week 14 against the Bengals.

Jalen Tolbert provided a spark, catching two passes for 41 yards, including a long reception of 36 yards. Tight end Luke Schoonmaker was reliable, catching five of six targets for 33 yards (6.6 yards per catch). However, Schoonmaker still split snaps with the other Cowboys TEs.

He didn’t play the full Jake Ferguson role. He played 66% of the snaps and ran a route on just 67% of the dropbacks.

Dallas has the fifth-easiest schedule for RBs for the rest of the season.

The rest of the schedule is as follows: vs CIN, @ CAR, vs TB, @ PHI. It’s a very juicy playoff schedule, but without Dak Prescott, Lamb remains a volume-dependent fantasy WR2. Not useless by any means, but limited in some capacity.

Note that all his games with Rush back in 2022 weren’t great. It’s going to be up-and-down, and I’m fearful of being on the wrong side of the Rush experience come fantasy football playoff time. He could destroy you against the Eagles’ strong defense if he duds out.

Other than at Philly, Rush’s schedule is solid. It is the third-best for quarterbacks the rest of the season. However, a closer look suggests that Lamb might not benefit as much.

It is the worst schedule for WRs for the rest of the season.
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Green Bay Packers

Hold Tucker Kraft | Stock Up Jayden Reed & Christian Watson | Add Romeo Doubs | Sell Jordan Love

Jordan Love completed 21 of 28 passes for 274 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions, achieving a passer rating of 129.2.

Josh Jacobs was the workhorse in the backfield, carrying the ball 19 times for 43 yards and a touchdown. Despite the high volume, Jacobs struggled to find running lanes, averaging just 2.3 yards per carry. However, he was impactful in the red zone, registering seven red-zone carries and scoring a rushing touchdown.

Chris Brooks stepped in as the complementary back, rushing three times for 28 yards (9.3 yards per carry) and contributing two receptions for one yard on two targets, both of which came in the red zone. He did not score.

Emmanuel Wilson and Jayden Reed also had brief stints in the rushing game, with Wilson recording 20 yards on two carries and Reed picking up 23 yards on a single attempt.

Chris Brooks is emerging as the Packers’ secondary back, with a 28% snap share compared to Emmanuel Wilson’s limited four offensive snaps.

Brooks out-snapped Wilson for the fifth straight game

Reed was the star of the Packers’ passing attack, catching three of his six targets for 24 yards and two touchdowns, all in the red zone. Reed accounted for a 21% Target share (29% target rate per route run) and was the most effective player in scoring situations with four red-zone targets.

Tight end Tucker Kraft also played a key role, catching six of his team-high seven targets for 78 yards, including one red-zone reception, though he did not find the end zone. Kraft showcased his ability to gain yards after the catch, tallying 60 YAC on the day. The Packers tight end was targeted on 33% of his routes.

Christian Watson played a full-time role with Romeo Doubs sidelined due to a concussion and led the team in air yards (96) while playing 94% of the snaps. Watson caught two of his four targets for 67 yards, including a long reception of 46 yards.

In the last five games, Watson leads the Packers in targets (24), air yards (504), and receiving yards (293) – even after a doughnut in Week 12.

Second-year receiver Dontayvion Wicks continued to solidify his role, playing 89% of the snaps and catching four of his five targets for 30 yards. Unfortunately, I would expect his role to reduce when Doubs returns in Week 14.

According to Next Gen Stats, The Packers offense forced 20 missed tackles on Thursday evening, including 4 players forcing multiple missed tackles (Jacobs, 10; Reed, 4; Kraft, 2; Wicks, 2).

The Packers skill players excelled at gaining extra yards, accumulating season-highs in yards after contact per carry (6.1) and yards after the catch (188).

The remaining schedule: @ DET (Thursday Night) @ SEA vs. NO, and @ MIN.

I am fully expecting a shootout between the Packers and Lions on Thursday night. Detroit is dealing with a flurry of injuries on defense.

Take the MORE THAN on Love’s 21.5 pass completions this week on Prizepicks. We hit on this prop last week with Caleb Williams against the Lions on the road. Trust the process.

The Lions’ defense ranks second in the NFL in completions allowed at home this season.

But after that, I don’t expect the Packers passing game to cook.

They have the worst schedule remaining for the rest of the season for QBs.
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Miami Dolphins

Sell Jaylen Waddle | Buy De’Von Achane | Stock Up Jonnu Smith | Stock Down Jaylen Wright

The Miami Dolphins’ high-powered offense delivered another efficient performance in Week 13, fueled by Tua Tagovailoa‘s precise passing and contributions from multiple playmakers. Tagovailoa completed 37 of 46 passes for 365 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions, finishing with a passer rating of 114.2.

De’Von Achane led the backfield with a 69% snap share, while Raheem Mostert played 35%. Achane carried the ball seven times for 14 yards and added eight receptions for 56 yards and a touchdown on nine targets, commanding a 20% Target share. He also saw three red zone carries but failed to score on the ground.

Achane contributed significantly as a pass-catcher, finishing second on the team in receptions and receiving yards, with his 59 YAC leading all players.

Mostert struggled on limited touches, rushing five times for 19 yards (3.8 YPC) and catching two passes for 15 yards. Despite his efficiency concerns, Mostert was targeted once in the red zone but did not score.

Jaylen Wright played just one offensive snap, highlighting Achane’s and Mostert’s stranglehold on backfield snaps. He seems to have lost the RB2 job to Mostert after a poor showing in Week 12 to the Patriots.

Jonnu Smith was the focal point of the passing attack, catching 10 of his 11 targets for 113 yards. Smith led the team with a 24% Target share and ran a route on 79% of the team’s dropbacks, surpassing even Tyreek Hill in route involvement. Smith’s ability to generate yards after the catch (42 YAC) continues to be a key asset.

Smith has been the team’s Target share leader for the last FIVE weeks.

Tyreek Hill caught six of nine targets for 83 yards and a late-game touchdown, securing one of his two red-zone targets. Hill dominated Miami’s air yards, with a 33% share (99 total air yards).

Jaylen Waddle turned in a perfect catch rate, hauling in all four of his targets for 53 yards. His explosiveness remains evident, though his usage was limited, with only a 9% Target share. Back to the same usage that I was afraid of.

Malik Washington stepped in as the Dolphins’ No. 3 wide receiver but was limited to two catches for eight yards on four targets, including one red-zone opportunity that did not result in a score.

Alec Ingold and Durham Smythe chipped in with minor contributions, each catching their only target for short gains.

Miami will play NYJ at home, @ HOU, vs. SF, and @ CLE.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Dolphins have a below-average schedule for quarterbacks.
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Las Vegas Raiders

Stock Up Brock Bowers & Jakobi Meyers | Add Aidan O’Connell & Ameer Abdullah

The Raiders fell just short against the Kansas City Chiefs despite a stellar performance from rookie quarterback Aidan O’Connell. He completed 23 of 35 passes for 340 yards and two touchdowns, posting a passer rating of 116.4.

Per Next Gen Stats, AOC finished 17-of-20 for 270 yards and both of his touchdowns on passes outside the numbers (+22.1% CPOE), marking the most yards outside the numbers by any QB in a game since Joe Burrow‘s 361 yards in Week 17 of 2021 (also against the Chiefs). That was also the last time Kansas City allowed more than O’Connell’s 163 yards on four deep completions.

If you need a Week 14 QB streamer, O’Connell has a great matchup versus the Buccaneers.

The Raiders’ backfield was led by Ameer Abdullah, who carried the ball 10 times for 39 yards (3.9 yards per carry) and added two catches for 14 yards on two targets. Abdullah dominated the backfield workload, logging a 62% snap share compared to Sincere McCormick‘s 38%. McCormick was more efficient on the ground, rushing 12 times for 64 yards (5.3 YPC), but was less involved in the passing game. Neither running back found the end zone, though Abdullah carried once in the red zone without scoring.

Brock Bowers was the offensive standout, hauling in 10 of 14 targets for 140 yards and a touchdown. He commanded a massive 37% Target share and accounted for 41% of the Raiders’ air yards (115 air yards). His lone red zone target did not result in a score, but his impact on the passing game was undeniable.

Jakobi Meyers was the only other consistent contributor, catching six of 11 targets for 97 yards. Meyers posted a 29% Target share and led the team with 133 air yards.

No other Raiders player besides Bowers and Meyers recorded more than a 6% Target share.

Tre Tucker showcased explosiveness with a 58-yard touchdown reception on his lone target (he also led the Raiders in routes run), while DJ Turner caught one pass for 25 yards before leaving the game with a knee injury.

The Raiders have a good playoff schedule for RBs. The Las Vegas schedule is @ TB, vs ATL, vs JAC and @ NO.

And per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Raiders have a top-10 schedule for WRs/QBs/RBs.

You could do worse than stashing a Vegas RB like Alexander Mattison or Sincere McCormick.
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Kansas City Chiefs

Hold Xavier Worthy & Travis Kelce| Sell Kareem Hunt | Stock Up DeAndre Hopkins

Patrick Mahomes led the team with 306 passing yards and one touchdown on 26 completions out of 46 attempts, navigating a tough defensive effort.

The backfield work was split between Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt, each carrying the ball seven times. In the first half, Hunt led the backfield 5 to 3 in carries.

Pacheco finished the game with seven carries for 44 yards (6.3 yards per carry), highlighted by a 34-yard rush. Hunt struggled with efficiency, totaling 15 yards on seven carries (2.1 YPC). Neither player found the end zone, with Hunt failing to convert his lone red zone rush inside the Raiders’ 12-yard line.

Samaje Perine also contributed with a 25% snap share, catching his only target for 15 yards. Pacheco logged the fewest routes run among the running backs, finishing with a 37% snap share, just behind Hunt’s 38%.

But outside Pacheco’s one long run, the Chiefs couldn’t run the ball much against the Raiders (especially when it was Hunt).

I’d like to think Pacheco will earn more touches as the season progresses, but I don’t think Hunt/Perine will completely go away so they can keep Pacheco fresh for a postseason run.

The Chiefs also have the second-worst schedule remaining for fantasy RBs.

That being said, you can’t start Hunt with much confidence with Pacheco back.

Travis Kelce remained the focal point of the passing attack, securing seven of his 13 targets for 68 yards. Kelce led the team in Target share (28%) and saw three red zone targets, catching two but failing to score.

Kelce is running ice cold in the TD department, but it likely won’t last. He is seeing too many red-zone targets every week not to score soon.

DeAndre Hopkins provided support, catching four of nine targets for 90 yards, averaging 22.5 yards per reception. He commanded a 20% Target share and led the team in air yards share with 34% (137 air yards). However, Hopkins couldn’t convert either of his two red zone targets into touchdowns.

Noah Gray made the most of his opportunities, hauling in four of six targets for 58 yards. He played 62% of the offensive snaps, ranking second among skill position players.

Xavier Worthy was active with five catches on seven targets for 54 yards, while JuJu Smith-Schuster chipped in with one catch for 10 yards on his lone target, logging 52% route participation.

Justin Watson turned his only target into a six-yard touchdown, showcasing his red zone efficiency.

The Chiefs’ receiving corps was evenly distributed in snaps, with Hopkins and Worthy each playing 59% of the offensive snaps and running 33 routes. Smith-Schuster was close behind with 27 routes (52% route participation).

Mahomes relied heavily on his tight ends, with Kelce and Gray combining for 11 receptions and 126 yards.

KC will play vs LAC, @ CLE, vs HOU and @ PIT. Buy the Chiefs passing game, and sell the backfield.
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Los Angeles Chargers

Hold J.K. Dobbins | Buy Ladd McConkey | Hold Quentin Johnston | Hold Will Dissly | Add Kimani Vidal

Justin Herbert completed 16 of 23 passes for 147 yards, with no touchdowns or interceptions. He maintained a solid 86.7 passer rating, although the offense lacked explosiveness through the air.

Gus Edwards led the backfield with six carries for 32 yards, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. He also saw four carries in the first half compared to Kimani Vidal‘s two.

Kimani Vidal gained 20 yards on four carries, showcasing efficiency with a 5-yard average and a long of 16 yards.

Hassan Haskins fumbled on his only carry, finishing with no yardage.

The Chargers leaned on Gus Edwards early, with him dominating the first-half workload over Vidal.

But Vidal had the lone carry inside the 20-yard line and showed so much more juice than the other backs with his long rush.

Edwards started and led the backfield with a 52% snap rate, followed by Vidal at 26%, then Haskins at 15%.

This is the backfield for the Chargers the rest of the way, with J.K. Dobbins placed on IR. I am hesitant to drop Dobbins because he could return in Week 17 against the Patriots (great matchup).

Derius Davis and Herbert added minimal yardage on their lone carries.

Ladd McConkey was the standout performer, catching 9 of 12 targets for 117 yards. He went over 100 yards in the first half, showcasing his big-play ability with a long reception of 48 yards and 38 yards after the catch.

McConkey carried the offense through the air with an explosive first half that accounted for most of his 117 yards.

And despite him getting work on his banged-up shoulder throughout the game, the rookie wideout led the Chargers in routes run.

However, he did leave the game toward the end with a knee injury.

Quentin Johnston hauled in 2 of 4 targets for 12 yards. His struggles with efficiency continued, but he showed flashes with 12 yards after the catch.

The former first-round pick has just four catches on his last 17 targets in the last three weeks.

Johnston and Will Dissly each saw a red-zone target, but neither scored. Dissly only had one target despite running a route on 62% of the dropbacks.

Josh Palmer made the most of his lone target, catching it for an 11-yard gain. He and Johnston were tied for second in routes run on the Bolts. But neither was able to take advantage of a great matchup versus Atlanta.

Both guys have been bad (especially as of late) but if McConkey is out the targets are going to be funneled somewhere.

The remaining schedule is as follows: @ KC, vs. TB, vs. DEN, and @ NE.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Chargers have the fifth-best schedule ROS for WRs.
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Atlanta Falcons

Stock Down Kyle Pitts & Kirk Cousins | Hold Darnell Mooney | Buy Bijan Robinson & Tyler Allgeier | Add Falcons DST & Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins struggled, completing 24 of 39 passes for 245 yards, no touchdowns, and a disastrous four interceptions, including a pick-six. His 61.5 passer rating reflected a rough outing, with the offense unable to finish drives consistently.

Cousins’ four interceptions, including a pick-six, put the Falcons’ defense in difficult positions and hindered any offensive rhythm.

Bijan Robinson carried the load with 26 attempts for 102 yards and a touchdown, averaging 3.9 yards per carry. His long run of 15 yards highlighted an otherwise steady, unspectacular ground game.

Tyler Allgeier contributed 16 yards on eight carries but struggled to make an impact, averaging just 2 yards per attempt.

Bijan Robinson carried the ball five times in the red zone, scoring one rushing touchdown, while Tyler Allgeier had two red-zone carries without scoring.

Robinson was the focal point of the offense, combining for 135 total yards and a touchdown on a 75% snap share, accounting for a significant portion of the team’s production.

Robinson added to his productive day with 33 receiving yards on six catches, demonstrating his versatility with 40 yards after the catch.

Given the blitz-heaviness of the Vikings’ defense, I’d expect a lot of quick hitters to the RBs in the passing game. Go MORE THAN Robinson’s 30.5 receiving yards this week on Prizepicks. He has 28-plus receiving yards in six straight games.

Kirk Cousins and Ray-Ray McCloud combined for 1 yard on two carries, both failing to gain momentum on designed runs.

Ray-Ray McCloud had a standout performance, catching 4 of 6 targets for 95 yards, including a spectacular 60-yard reception. His 23.8 yards per catch and 65 yards after the catch were team highs.

Drake London was the most targeted player, seeing 16 passes and securing 9 for 86 yards. London was targeted three times in the red zone, catching one pass but not scoring. He saw a whopping 174 air yards (61% air yard share).

While he moved the chains consistently, his longest gain was just 17 yards.

Darnell Mooney had three catches for 20 yards, while Tyler Allgeier and Charlie Woerner chipped in with short gains. Mooney had opportunities with 69 air yards, but Cousins couldn’t connect with him despite an 18% Target share.

Kyle Pitts was targeted twice in the red zone but failed to record a reception, continuing a frustrating season for the talented tight end.

To add more problems for Pitts, he played just 41% of the snaps fewer than Charlie Woerner (58%). His routes fell to 63%, which has happened at times this season. Not great.

With us approaching the fantasy football playoffs, Pitts’s up-and-down play cannot be trusted. One catch in the last two games.

Now, he’s done this act before. Went catch-less back in Week 4 to post season-highs across the board in Week 5 versus Tampa Bay. Proceed with caution.

The remaining Falcons schedule @ MIN, @ LV vs. NYG, and @ WAS.

It’s mostly the status quo with the Falcons.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Falcons have the top-3-ranked schedule for QBs. They have a great playoff schedule, as well. If Cousins gets dropped (most likely), add him, presuming he’s not completely benched in favor of rookie Michael Penix Jr. All indications are that the Falcons will continue to roll with Cousins as their starter, even after three straight poor outings.

Atlanta also has a good schedule for fantasy DSTs for the rest of the season. The first two weeks of the fantasy postseason are a chef’s kiss as they face the Raiders and Giants.
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Cincinnati Bengals

Stock Up Tee Higgins & Chase Brown | Hold Khalil Herbert

Joe Burrow was in top form, completing 28 of 38 passes for 309 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. His 73.7% completion rate and a passer rating of 112.7 highlighted his efficiency and ability to exploit defensive weaknesses.

Chase Brown led the ground attack with 12 carries for 70 yards and a touchdown, including a long run of 40 yards. Khalil Herbert chipped in with a single 14-yard carry.

Brown showcased his versatility, adding 30 receiving yards on 3 catches with an impressive 35 yards after the catch. He also scored on one of his two red-zone carries.

81% snap share for Brown. Elite role. Brown again had 100 combined yards from scrimmage and a rushing touchdown.

With his usage still elite post-bye week, Brown needs to be viewed as a fringe top-five fantasy RB rest of the season. Given Cincy’s must-win status from here on out, I think his role will hold.

Dallas Cowboys up next. Giddy up.

Burrow added nine rushing yards on two attempts, showing his mobility when needed.

Ja’Marr Chase led the receiving corps, hauling in 6 of 9 targets (24% Target share) for 86 yards and a touchdown. His 49-yard catch was the highlight of the game, and he accumulated 58 yards after the catch, demonstrating his playmaking ability.

Tee Higgins caught 5 of 10 targets for 69 yards and a touchdown, with a long reception of 31 yards.

According to Next Gen Stats, Joey Porter Jr. lined up against Tee Higgins on 30 of his 41 routes, including 15 plays in press coverage.

With Porter as the nearest defender, Higgins was targeted twice with no receptions; however, Porter was flagged five times on the day (one of which was declined). On all routes, Higgins finished with five catches on a team-leading 10 targets for 69 yards and a touchdown.

Higgins had three red zone targets, catching one for a touchdown. Chase had two red-zone targets, catching one for a touchdown.

Mike Gesicki was a reliable target, catching all five passes thrown his way for 53 yards. He was targeted once in the red zone but did not score. His routes dipped back below 50%, so I don’t think he is a realistic option off waivers.

Andrei Iosivas contributed 35 yards and a touchdown on three catches, including a 17-yard grab.

Iosivas had one red-zone target and scored a touchdown.

Tanner Hudson was productive, catching all 4 of his targets for 28 yards. However, he played the fewest snaps among the Bengals’ top three TEs.

Drew Sample chipped in with 8 yards on two catches.

Dallas is a great spot this week, but it gets tough after that in the fantasy football playoffs.

The playoff schedule between the Titans, Browns, and Broncos in Week 17 isn’t great. The 4-8 Bengals also have a 4% chance of making the postseason…so it’s all but over for them.
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Pittsburgh Steelers

Add Russell Wilson | Stock Up Najee Harris | Stock Down Jaylen Warren | Buy George Pickens | Stock Up Pat Freiermuth | Add Mike Williams

Russell Wilson delivered a stellar performance, completing 29 of 38 passes for 414 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. His impressive 126.4 passer rating highlighted his efficiency and command of the game. He spread the wealth between all of his receivers, working mostly underneath, but he was efficient going downfield.

According to Next Gen Stats, Wilson completed 8 of 9 passes over 10 air yards for 205 yards and two touchdowns (+34.8% CPOE, his 3rd-highest mark in a game over the last seven seasons).

Najee Harris led the ground game with 16 carries for 75 yards and a touchdown, averaging 4.7 yards per carry with a long run of 20 yards.

Cordarrelle Patterson contributed 16 rushing yards on three carries, all in the first half, as he briefly outpaced Jaylen Warren in opportunities early in the game.

Jaylen Warren was limited to three carries for nine yards, with a long run of 6 yards.

Najee Harris scored one touchdown with three red zone carries, while Jaylen Warren carried once and was targeted once without a score.

Warren turned in an impressive receiving performance, catching all 4 of his targets for 55 yards, including a 29-yard gain. His 54 yards after the catch showed his ability to create in space.

Najee Harris mirrored Warren’s efficiency in the passing game, catching all six targets for 54 yards, with a team-high 69 yards after the catch.

Cordarrelle Patterson received more carries than Jaylen Warren in the first half, contributing as a versatile weapon early in the game.

Harris led the way with a 52% snap rate compared to Warren’s 36% and Patterson’s 14%.

According to Next Gen Stats, the Bengals’ defense missed 14 tackles against the Steelers (tied for the defense’s most in a game this season) and allowed 91 yards after missed tackles.

They allowed nine missed tackles in the first half alone. The Bengals entered the week with the second-lowest missed tackle rate league-wide (11.0%). However, the unit was without linebacker Logan Wilson, who has the 10th-lowest missed tackle rate (7.1%) among linebackers (min. 50 tackle attempts).

But the rest of the schedule is brutal for these Steelers RBs. The Steelers play vs CLE, @ PHI, @ BAL and vs KC.

Harris had just 41 yards rushing the last time he faced the Browns (Week 12).

Justin Fields and Russell Wilson added 7 and 3 rushing yards, respectively, on designed runs and scrambles.

George Pickens was the primary deep threat, catching 3 of 6 targets for 74 yards and a red-zone touchdown. His 36-yard reception showcased his big-play ability, and he led the team in average yards per reception (24.7).

Pat Freiermuth was a reliable target, catching 6 of 7 passes (team-high 18% Target share) for 68 yards and a red-zone touchdown, demonstrating his value as a go-to option for Wilson.

It was by far Muth’s best game with Russ at QB. It was a great matchup for him against the Bengals so I wouldn’t overanalyze it based on his role not changing.

Calvin Austin III caught both of his targets for 29 yards, including a 23-yard touchdown, but unfortunately left the game due to injury.

Other contributors included Cordarrelle Patterson (37 receiving yards), Van Jefferson (43-yard reception), and Ben Skowronek (23-yard reception).

Jefferson was second in WR snaps.

Austin’s absence might have also aided in Muth’s boosted Target share.

Mike Williams ran a route on 29% of the dropbacks. His routes fell for the second straight game, and he failed to command any targets. However, given Austin’s injury and Pickens’ constant on-field antics, Big Mike might see a huge spike in usage in the next few weeks. Sneaky add.
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Jacksonville Jaguars

Hold Evan Engram & Brian Thomas Jr. | Hold Tank Bigsby & Travis Etienne Jr. | Add Parker Washington

Mac Jones led the air attack, completing 20 of 32 passes for 235 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions, posting a passer rating of 105.6. Trevor Lawrence struggled before exiting with an injury, going 4/10 for 41 yards and an interception, with a passer rating of 12.9.

Travis Etienne Jr. led the ground game with 13 carries for 46 yards (3.5 YPC), with a long of 9 yards. Tank Bigsby contributed seven carries for 28 yards (4.0 YPC), including a 19-yard rush.

Etienne Jr. carried twice in the red zone without scoring.

Etienne added 12 yards on three receptions, and Bigsby had a 7-yard reception out of the backfield.

Etienne and Bigsby split carries evenly in the first half (8 vs. 6), with Etienne seeing slightly more volume as the game progressed.

The overall snaps were a basic 50/50 split, with Etienne at 53% to Bigsby’s 46%.

Given the state of the dysfunctional Jaguars (potentially without Lawrence), you just have to sit tight with this backfield. It’s a full-blown committee.

However, the schedule does ease up in Weeks 15-16 against the Jets/Raiders plus Colts in Week 18 (reason to hold onto this backfield).

After Week 13, Jacksonville finishes the season against @ TEN, vs. NYJ, @ LV, @ TEN, and @ IND.

The Titans matchups are brutal, though, so these Jaguars RBs cannot be trusted.

WR Parker Washington was dominant, catching 6 of 12 targets (29% Target share) for 103 yards and a touchdown, with a long of 30 yards and an impressive 38 yards after the catch.

Parker Washington had two red zone targets but did not score.

Interestingly enough, Washington played the majority of his snaps out wide versus the slot in his career game. He led the Jags in routes run with over 150 air yards. Nine of his 12 targets came in the second half with Jones at QB.

According to Next Gen Stats, Washington eclipsed 100 yards for the first time in his career (12 targets, six receptions, 103 yards, TD – all his most in a game this season).

Washington was mainly targeted outside the numbers, hauling in 5 receptions, 97 yards and a touchdown on 10 such targets (compared to 2 targets, one reception, 6 yards in the seams).

Brian Thomas Jr. had one red zone target, which he converted into a touchdown. Thomas Jr. also hauled in 4 of 10 targets (24% Target share) for 76 yards and a touchdown, showcasing his big-play ability with a 56-yard reception and 55 YAC.

The rookie commanded over 200 air yards.

Washington and Thomas Jr. led the offense, accounting for over 75% of the team’s receiving yardage and both touchdowns.

Evan Engram was steady, catching 7 of 9 targets for 41 yards, proving reliable in short and intermediate areas. Evan Engram had two red-zone targets but no touchdowns.

Devin Duvernay and Brenton Strange chipped in with key catches of 23 and 14 yards, respectively.
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Houston Texans

Drop C.J. Stroud | Stock Down Tank Dell | Stock Up Nico Collins

C.J. Stroud put in a solid performance, completing 22 of 34 passes for 242 yards, one touchdown, and no interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 95.5.

Joe Mixon carried the ground game with 20 rushes for 101 yards (5.1 YPC) and a touchdown, highlighted by a 30-yard run.

Mixon was a dual threat, topping 100 rushing yards and playing a role in the passing game.

Mixon carried twice in the red zone and scored one rushing touchdown. He contributed in the passing game with 4 receptions for 18 yards.

C.J. Stroud added five carries for 7 yards.

Nico Collins dominated as the top target, catching 8 of 11 targets for 119 yards, with a long catch of 40 yards and a whopping 58 yards after the catch.

Collins was the clear focal point, commanding 32% of the targets and racking up big plays after the catch.

Tight end Dalton Schultz was highly effective, securing 5 of 7 targets for 61 yards and a touchdown, including a 22-yard reception and 38 YAC. Schultz showcased his red zone reliability with a touchdown grab and contributed significantly to the passing attack.

Do not chase it. The Jaguars are the best matchup for fantasy TEs.

Tank Dell had just one catch for 23 yards on four targets. More air yards (100-plus) but nothing to show for it. Woof.

John Metchie III caught both of his targets for 16 yards.

Cade Stover and Dameon Pierce added minor contributions with catches of 4 and 1 yards, respectively.

Houston will go on their bye week in Week 14. They open the fantasy football playoffs against the Dolphins, Chiefs, and Ravens. If you have them, you hold them.

Stroud was usable against the Jaguars, but you don’t need to hold him through the bye week with the Dolphins/Chiefs.

The same can be said for Dell. Hate to drop a guy of his talent, but clearly, he is not right from the leg injury last season. Maybe the bye week will be his chance to get right, but you’d need to see it first against Miami before putting him back into starting lineups.
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Arizona Cardinals

Hold Kyler Murray & James Conner & Trey McBride | Buy Marvin Harrison Jr. | Add Trey Benson

Kyler Murray threw for 260 yards, completing 31 of 45 attempts with one touchdown and two interceptions. He averaged 5.8 yards per attempt and posted a passer rating of 72.5.

According to Next Gen Stats, Murray completed 29 of his 41 pass attempts for 241 yards, one touchdown, and an interception in Week 13 against the Vikings.

Murray faced man coverage at his second-highest rate of the season (50.0%) and completed 14 of his 20 pass attempts for 129 yards, one touchdown, and an interception on such dropbacks. Murray also had four scramble runs for 34 rush yards against man coverage, nearly matching his season total entering Week 13 (5 carries, 54 yards). With all the man coverage faced, Murray threw into tight windows on 24.4% of his passes, his 2nd-highest rate in a game this season. Murray completed a career-high 7 of his 11 tight window passes for 84 yards & a TD, but also threw an INT.

James Conner led the ground game with 17 carries for 68 yards (4.0 YPC), with a long run of 16 yards. Conner carried once in the red zone but did not score. Emari Demercado had one target in the red zone but no touchdowns.

Trey Benson added 20 yards on three carries (6.7 YPC).

Emari Demercado had 12 rushing yards on three carries, while Greg Dortch contributed 6 yards on a single carry.

James Conner played 59% of the snaps, outpacing Emari Demercado (27%) and Tony Benson (16%) in backfield usage.

Kyler Murray was dynamic on the ground, rushing 7 times for 48 yards (6.9 YPC), including a long run of 19 yards.

Trey McBride was the standout, catching all 12 of his targets for 96 yards, with a long catch of 14 yards and an impressive 53 yards after the catch.

According to Next Gen Stats, McBride caught all 12 of his targets (27% Target share) for 95 yards, becoming the first tight end in NFL history to have 12 receptions in consecutive games.

Marvin Harrison Jr. had five receptions on 12 targets for 60 yards and a touchdown, including a 16-yard long reception. He was also the air yards leader, seeing nearly 200 air yards (55%), but continued his inefficient rookie season without much separation.

McBride was targeted three times in the red zone, catching all three but failing to score (classic).

He can’t keep this receiving TD drought much longer. The Panthers matchup later this season where he might score 3-plus TDs.

Harrison Jr. had one red-zone target and scored a touchdown on one of his two end-zone targets.

Michael Wilson also caught five passes for 55 yards, with a 22-yard long reception. He also saw 89 air yards.

Elijah Higgins caught both of his targets for 23 yards, averaging 11.5 yards per catch.

James Conner added 13 yards on three receptions, while Tip Reiman and Emari Demercado chipped in with one reception each for 9 and 3 yards, respectively.

Greg Dortch caught 2 of his three targets but managed just one receiving yard. He has fallen behind Zay Jones as the fourth WR on the offense.

Trey McBride continues to be a reliable option in the passing game, finishing with a perfect catch rate and significant yardage after the catch.

Marvin Harrison Jr. led the team in targets but had limited efficiency outside of his touchdown grab.

Arizona’s Week 13 performance was another gut punch. Murray throws for nearly another 300 yards, but the offense completely stalls out in the red zone for the second straight week. Seattle is up next, which is no easy feat given that Arizona didn’t score a touchdown against them in Week 12.

Still, Murray’s ceiling game is well within his range of outcomes, and he can be a difference-maker in the fantasy playoffs. If they can right the ship in the red zone, you can see the massive game coming.

ROS schedule: vs. SEA, vs. NE, @ CAR, @ LAR, and vs. SF.

It’s a top-five schedule for QBs rest of the season—3rd for RBs.
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Minnesota Vikings

Buy Justin Jefferson | Stock Down Aaron Jones | Stock Up T.J. Hockenson | Sell Jordan Addison | Add Cam Akers

Sam Darnold completed 21 of 31 passes for 235 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions. He finished with a passer rating of 111.6 and averaged 7.6 yards per attempt.

Aaron Jones led the team with five carries for 22 yards (4.4 YPC), including a long of 8 yards. He did have some fumbling issues, though, which led to more touches for some of the other Vikings RBs.

Cam Akers contributed 22 rushing yards on four carries (5.5 YPC), including an 18-yard long run.

Jones contributed in the passing game with three catches on four targets for 6 yards and a touchdown. Jones led the backfield in snaps, playing 53% of the offensive snaps compared to Akers (30%).

He saved his day with one red zone target that he converted into a receiving touchdown.

As I projected last week, Jones’ usage came crashing back to Earth in Week 13. You can only fumble so many times before it influences your touches.

Sam Darnold added 22 yards on four scrambles, averaging 5.5 yards per carry, with a long run of 12 yards.

Ty Chandler had two carries for 2 yards.

Justin Jefferson was the top target, catching 7 of 9 targets (26% Target share) for 99 yards, averaging 14.1 yards per reception, with a long of 30 yards and 46 YAC.

Jordan Addison caught 4 of 6 targets for 54 yards (13.5 YPR), including a long of 26 yards. He got involved late, and he ended the game with just shy of 100 air yards.

T.J. Hockenson had three receptions on six targets for 28 yards, with a long of 12 yards. He ran a route on 67% of the dropbacks. Snaps weren’t as high as in Week 12, but they are more than serviceable for a weekly fantasy tight end. He also has the second-best schedule ROS.

Johnny Mundt made the most of his opportunities, catching both of his targets for 22 yards and a touchdown, including a long reception of 18 yards.

Jalen Nailor had one 18-yard catch, while Brandon Powell caught his only target for 8 yards.

Justin Jefferson remained the focal point of the offense with nine targets, accounting for big plays and significant yards after the catch.

Johnny Mundt‘s touchdown was a key highlight as he continues to provide efficiency in limited opportunities.

Hopefully, this will be the last reminder.

Addison’s hearing was originally slated for October 7th, stemming from his off-field incident earlier this offseason. However, as of that date in question, the arraignment and plea hearing for Addison, stemming from two misdemeanor charges in July for DUI, is now scheduled for Dec. 3, according to Superior Court of California online records per ESPN’s Kevin Seifert. That would be before Week 14 and the fantasy football playoffs.

Minnesota is at home versus ATL in Week 14. Then it’s vs CHI, @ SEA and vs GB.

A smash spot in Week 14 for this offense to show out.

This is a good schedule for the offense to stay on an upward trend.

Hold your Vikings tight if you don’t see any great deals. However, given that Jones is an older RB who has already had a soft-body tissue injury, among others, this season, add/hold Akers. Also, entertain the idea of “selling high” on Jones based on the injury history, the fumbles, and the fact that he is getting an overwhelming amount of touches.

Jones is pacing for over 300 touches this season, sitting at 219 with five games remaining.
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Seattle Seahawks

Sell Kenneth Walker | Stock Up Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Stock Down DK Metcalf

Geno Smith completed 20 of 31 passes for 206 yards, one touchdown, and no interceptions. He posted a passer rating of 94.3 while averaging 6.6 yards per attempt.

Kenneth Walker III struggled on the ground, rushing 16 times for 49 yards (3.1 YPC) with a long of 11 yards. Walker continues to lack big, explosive runs.

Zach Charbonnet made the most of his opportunities, tallying 28 yards and a touchdown on four carries (7.0 YPC) with a long run of 11 yards.

Walker III carried three times in the red zone but did not score. Charbonnet carried twice, scoring one rushing touchdown.

Charbonnet added 13 receiving yards on two catches.

Walker III struggled in the passing game, catching 2 of 3 targets for -3 yards.

Walker played 61% of the snaps to Charbonnet’s 45%.

Charbonnet’s involvement in any capacity isn’t great. Neither is Walker’s schedule for the rest of the season. The most difficult schedule ROS for RBs is based on the FantasyPros SOS tool.

Walker has only averaged 3.8 yards per carry this season, with just 11 rushes of 10+ yards. (bottom-10 this season). The big explosive rushes haven’t been there for Walker.

The Seahawks also have the worst schedule remaining for fantasy RBs.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Geno Smith each contributed minimal rushing yards, with 5 and 2 yards, respectively.

JSN was a standout, catching all 4 of his targets for 74 yards (18.5 YPR), with a long reception of 25 yards and 16 YAC.

Per Next Gen Stats, Smith connected on all four of his deep attempts, targeting Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who added +33 receiving yards over expected.

Finally, we got a game with JSN, where we saw a downfield role that was not him replacing someone else. I know JSN’s full-fledged Year 2 breakout took longer than most wanted (hence my too-early sell-high take), but those who were patient are being rewarded handsomely.

DK Metcalf also made an impact, hauling in 4 of 9 targets for 66 yards (16.5 YPR), including a 30-yard long reception and 14 YAC. He briefly left the game with an injury and drew two defensive pass interference penalties. D.K. Metcalf had two red zone targets but failed to score.

He had the making of a big game – 31% target rate per route run – but it didn’t come to fruition.

Metcalf has been banged up all season, but he is going to get his way onto the field. He doesn’t miss games, so I expect him to play even with a tweaked knee. However, fantasy managers need to adjust expectations that he might not be near 100%.

Noah Fant was reliable, catching 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards, averaging 8.7 YPR. After missing so much time with an injury, Fant returned to a 67% snap rate.

Tyler Lockett caught all 3 of his targets for 16 yards (5.3 YPR), including 1 YAC.

A.J. Barner scored on a 12-yard reception, finishing with 14 yards on two catches.

Barner was targeted once and scored a red-zone touchdown. Fant had one red-zone target but did not score.

DK Metcalf showed his ability to impact the game even with limited time on the field, contributing significant yardage and drawing crucial defensive penalties.

Zach Charbonnet was efficient in his limited role, both as a runner and a receiver, scoring the Seahawks’ lone rushing touchdown.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba continues to emerge as a dynamic weapon, showcasing his ability to create big plays in the open field.

But even after a solid performance by the Seahawks, I still have reservations about them for the rest of the season.

The playoff schedule isn’t ideal for Seattle. It’s something to keep in mind when potentially trusting the Seahawks as the season concludes.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Seahawks are tied for the bottom-7-ranked schedule for quarterbacks: @ ARI, vs GB, vs MIN and @ CHI.
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New York Jets

Stock Down Breece Hall | Buy Garrett Wilson

Aaron Rodgers completed 21 of 39 passes for 185 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. He posted a passer rating of 73.1 and averaged 4.7 yards per attempt.

Breece Hall led the backfield with 12 carries for 60 yards (5.0 YPC), with a long run of 12 yards. Hall carried twice in the red zone but did not score. He also lost a fumble to the Seahawks after recovering his first fumble.

Isaiah Davis had one target and converted it for a touchdown. Braelon Allen added 11 yards on five carries (2.2 YPC), while Malachi Corley had one carry for 8 yards in the red zone.

Davis contributed as both a receiver and rusher, catching all three of his targets for 28 yards and a touchdown, with a long of 24 yards. He scored right after Hall’s first fumble, and Hall scored on the two-point conversion after the touchdown.

Allen added 16 receiving yards on two catches. Hall went without a reception on his one target.

Hall and Allen split early-game carries, with Hall handling 8 in the first half compared to Allen’s 4.

Hall ended the game with just a 62% snap share compared to Allen’s 28%. This week, he was on the injury report, which might have contributed to his split workload and lack of total touches. But it’s hard not to view any Jets player as “stock down.”

At least per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Jets have the fourth-most favorable schedule for RBs. Praying for a strong finish from Hall.

Aaron Rodgers scrambled twice for 6 yards, with a long of 7 yards.

Davis also had one carry for 4 yards. His second touch didn’t come until before the two-minute warning in the second half. This backfield is still very much just Hall and then Allen.

Davante Adams commanded 12 targets (31% Target share), catching 5 for 66 yards and a touchdown, averaging 13.2 yards per reception, with a long of 24 yards and 22 YAC. Eight of his targets came in the first half.

Adams had two red zone targets, catching both and scoring one touchdown. The veteran also commanded 150-plus air yards.

Garrett Wilson was second in targets with 10 (26% Target share), catching 5 for 41 yards (8.2 YPR), including a long of 17 yards and 25 YAC. He had two end-zone targets but did not score. Wilson also saw a whopping 118 air yards.

All the usage is there.

And remember, the Jets get the Rams and Jaguars in the first two weeks of the fantasy football playoffs. They play all the snaps.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Jets have the third-best scheduled ROS for WRs.

Tyler Conklin hauled in 4 of 5 targets for 32 yards (8.0 YPR), including a 14-yard long reception.

Gang Green will play @ MIA, @ JAC, vs LAR and @ BUF to finish the fantasy football season.

I don’t think the Jets’ defense will slow down Miami on the road. Jets star cornerback Sauce Gardner‘s status for the week ahead is uncertain after suffering a hamstring injury in Sunday’s loss to the Seahawks, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports.
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Tennessee Titans

Add Will Levis | Hold Calvin Ridley | Add Nick Westbrook-Ikhine

Will Levis completed 18 of 37 passes for 212 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions. He averaged 5.7 yards per attempt and posted a passer rating of 84.5.

Tony Pollard led the Titans’ backfield with eight carries for 35 yards (4.4 YPC) and a long of 7 yards. He played 73% of the backfield snaps. Pollard added value in the passing game, catching 4 of 6 targets for 33 yards (8.3 YPR), with a 30-yard reception. The Titans RB also lost a fumble.

Tyjae Spears had one carry for 3 yards (25% snap share).

Will Levis scrambled twice but finished with -3 yards.

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine had a strong showing with three receptions for 61 yards (20.3 YPR) and two touchdowns on eight targets. His longest reception was a 27-yard touchdown. He also had another red-zone target. NWI now has eight touchdowns in the last eight games.

The TDs likely won’t last, but the matchup is solid in Week 14 for just yardage. And he did lead the team in Target share (23%), which is not nothing. In the last three games, he is tied for the team lead in targets (21%) with seven catches for 226 yards.

Calvin Ridley caught 2 of 7 targets for 45 yards (22.5 YPR), including a 30-yard reception. Just a 16% Target share, but he saw a boatload of air yards (122), as he tends to do—a good bounce-back spot for Ridley in a revenge game against the Jaguars in Week 14.

Tyler Boyd reeled in 3 of 4 targets for 37 yards (12.3 YPR), with a long of 16 yards.

Chigoziem Okonkwo managed three receptions for 27 yards (9 YPR) on six targets.

Nick Vannett caught his lone target for 6 yards.

Josh Whyle contributed a single reception for minimal yardage.

Westbrook-Ikhine was the clear standout in the passing game, showcasing his playmaking ability with two touchdowns, including a highlight-reel 27-yard catch. Ridley had explosive moments but was limited to just two catches on seven targets.

Levis struggled with efficiency, completing under 50% of his passes, but managed to protect the football and find the end zone twice.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Titans have the 7th-ranked schedule for WRs for the rest of the season and are tied for the No.1-ranked quarterbacks.

The rest of the schedule: vs. JAC, vs. CIN, @ IND, and @ JAC.

If you are feeling frisky (more likely desperate), you can ride Levis the rest of the way—for better or worse—if you are feeling frisky.
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Washington Commanders

Hold Zach Ertz | Add Jeremy McNichols | Stock Up Terry McLaurin | Drop Austin Ekeler

Jayden Daniels had an efficient outing, completing 25 of 30 passes for 206 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. He posted a strong passer rating of 114.7 and averaged 6.9 yards per attempt.

Brian Robinson Jr. was a force on the ground, rushing 16 times for 103 yards (6.4 YPC) and a touchdown, with a long run of 40 yards.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. added 94 rushing yards on 13 carries (7.2 YPC) and a touchdown, including a 25-yard burst.

Daniels chipped in 34 yards and a touchdown on nine carries, averaging 3.8 yards per carry.

Jeremy McNichols contributed 32 yards on six carries (5.3 YPC).

Robinson Jr. had four red zone carries but no scores from inside the 20-yard line. Chris Rodriguez Jr. and Jeremy McNichols each carried twice, with Rodriguez scoring once.

Robinson Jr. was heavily utilized in the first half, receiving 11 carries compared to McNichols’ six.

He finished the game with a 47% snap share, out-pacing Rodriguez (28%) and McNichols (25%).

Washington’s run game was very impressive in Week 13, considering the strength of their opponent’s run defense.

According to Next Gen Stats, the Commanders’ offense recorded 39 carries for a season-high 246 yards and three touchdowns on designed runs in Week 13, including a season-high +78 rushing yards over expected and 2.8 yards before contact per carry (2nd-most this season).

Entering the game, the Titans defense had allowed just 0.8 yards before contact per carry on designed runs, the 6th-fewest in the NFL. The Commanders were most effective between the tackles, recording the most rushing yards (189), explosive runs (4), and yards before contact per carry (3.1) on designed runs against the Titans’ defense in a game this season.

After being placed on IR, Austin Ekeler will miss the remainder of the fantasy football season.

Therefore, McNichols needs to be added as the No. 2 rusher. Note that C-Rod didn’t see his first carry until the end of the third quarter, with the Commanders going up 35-13.

Terry McLaurin dominated the passing game, catching all 8 of his targets (27% Target share) for 73 yards (9.1 YPR) and two touchdowns, with a long of 16 yards.

McLaurin had two red zone targets, catching both for two touchdowns. Zach Ertz also had two targets, catching one for a touchdown. Olamide Zaccheaus had one red-zone target and caught it but did not score.

Ertz caught 3 of 6 targets for 35 yards (11.7 YPR) and a touchdown, with a long reception of 25 yards.

Dyami Brown added 35 yards on four catches (8.8 YPR), with a long of 13 yards. He played the second-most WR snaps and tied for the second-most routes run.

Noah Brown caught 3 of 4 targets for 27 yards before leaving the game in the third quarter with an injury.

Zacchaeus had 14 yards on three receptions (4.7 YPR), while Luke McCaffrey added 13 yards on two receptions.

No need to add any Commanders WRs now, but should Noah Brown miss any time there will be opportunities for another WR to step up.

The playoff schedule features the Saints, Eagles, and Falcons after Week 14. It’s a top-10 schedule for RBs for the rest of the season.
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New England Patriots

Hold Hunter Henry | Stock Up Rhamondre Stevenson | Cut Drake Maye

Drake Maye had an efficient outing, completing 24 of 30 passes for 238 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He averaged 7.9 yards per attempt with a passer rating of 96.9.

I got the chance to see Maye live for this game, and he looked the part of a franchise quarterback—tight window throws, off-script plays, etc. The only reason the Patriots lost this game was because of penalties in the red zone.

In Week 12, they didn’t get into the red zone at all. Baby steps.

Rhamondre Stevenson led the ground game with 18 carries for 73 yards, averaging 4.1 yards per carry, including a long of 32. He scored a red-zone TD, but it was called back on a penalty.

Antonio Gibson added a spark with seven carries for 62 yards and a touchdown, averaging 8.9 yards per carry with a long of 15.

Stevenson carried six times in the red zone but did not score. Gibson had two red zone carries and converted one into a rushing touchdown. It’s a painful run out for Stevenson fantasy managers. He also fumbled but recovered it.

Both RBs ran well, but nothing suggests that Gibson (even though he played well) is taking over. Stevenson – other than the fumble – ran great and played 78% of the snaps to Gibson’s 24%.

Like I said last week, I think I’ve reached the point with Stevenson that I only care about chasing his potential ceiling. In closer games, he should remain productive.

Maye contributed 59 yards on five scrambles, averaging an impressive 11.8 yards per carry, including a long of 41.

Hunter Henry led the team with seven catches on nine targets (30% Target share and 35% air yards share) for 75 yards, averaging 10.7 yards per reception, including a long of 14 and 34 yards after the catch.

Henry had two red zone targets, catching one but not scoring. The other bounced off his hands and led to a Colts’ interception.

Austin Hooper caught all 4 of his targets for 42 yards and a touchdown, averaging 10.5 yards per reception with a long of 16.

Eventually, the TDs will favor Henry over Hooper. But the main takeaway from both Hooper and Henry is that this Alex Van Pelt offense is extremely tight-end-focused. Both TEs were targeted on 30% or more of their routes run.

Kayshon Boutte hauled in 3 of 6 targets for 41 yards, averaging 13.7 yards per catch, with a long of 29. He continues to lead the team in routes, but it seems like this number might dip south sooner rather than later.

Kendrick Bourne had a perfect day, catching all 3 of his targets for 39 yards, averaging 13 yards per reception.

Rhamondre Stevenson added three receptions for 21 yards, with 21 yards after the catch.

DeMario Douglas contributed 20 yards on four receptions. Douglas also had two red-zone targets but no scores. Kayshon Boutte had one red-zone target but did not score.

The Patriots have the No. 1 schedule for fantasy WRs for the rest of the season. After their bye week, it’s at Cardinals, at Bills and home versus the Chargers.

This is good for the WRs but maybe not the QB. If you need to drop Maye over the bye week, do it. The Patriots have the fourth-worst schedule for quarterbacks the rest of the season.

Gibson provided explosiveness in the run game, scoring the team’s lone rushing touchdown.

Maye showed dual-threat ability, with a critical 41-yard scramble contributing to the Patriots’ offensive momentum.

Henry was a reliable target in the passing game, leading the team in catches and receiving yards. Hooper’s touchdown highlighted an efficient day for the Patriots’ tight ends.

However, the rest of the season outlook isn’t great for the Pats TEs (dead-last). If you can upgrade over their bye week, try to do so.
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Indianapolis Colts

Hold/Drop Anthony Richardson | Hold Jonathan Taylor | Stock Down Michael Pittman Jr.

Anthony Richardson struggled through the air, completing 12 of 24 passes for 109 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. He averaged 4.5 yards per attempt with a passer rating of 55.7.

Jonathan Taylor carried the workload with 25 attempts for 96 yards, averaging 3.8 yards per carry, with a long of 9 yards. Taylor led with ten red zone carries but did not score on the ground. He had one red zone target, which he converted into a receiving touchdown.

Richardson added 48 yards and a touchdown on 9 carries, averaging 5.3 yards per attempt, with a long of 13.

Michael Pittman Jr. led the Colts in receiving, catching 5 of 7 targets (29% Target share, two red-zone targets) for 42 yards, with an 8.4-yard average and 35 yards after the catch. I want to be clear that this wasn’t due to a Chrisitan Gonzalez shadow coverage. More of a Richardson problem than anything else. Saw the volume but it was lackluster at best.

Andrew Ogletree made a big play with a 22-yard reception on his lone catch.

Alec Pierce caught 2 of 6 targets (25% Target share) for 16 yards and the eventual game-winning touchdown, with a long of 13 yards. He had some downfield opportunities (129 air yards) but to no avail.

Mo Alie-Cox was a reliable target, catching both of his targets for 15 yards, including an 11-yard reception. Jonathan Taylor caught his lone target for 7 yards and a touchdown.

Will Mallory contributed with a 7-yard reception on his only target.

I was shocked that Adonai Mitchell played so little. He only played 58% of the snaps, and drew Gonzalez in coverage frequently.

Just two targets on 14 routes run. He did have a shot for an opportunity for a TD on a nice ball from Richardson in the corner end zone but the ball fell incomplete. He also had a drop.

Jonathan Taylor was the focal point of the offense, though his efficiency (3.8 YPC) was limited.

Anthony Richardson‘s mobility and red-zone rushing ability stood out with a rushing touchdown, but his turnovers in the passing game hampered the Colts’ offensive consistency.

Michael Pittman Jr. continued to be a reliable target, leading the team in receptions and receiving yards.

Alec Pierce delivered a touchdown catch but was otherwise quiet with only 16 total receiving yards.

After the bye week, the schedule is: @ DEN, vs. TEN, and @ NYG. Tough sledding until the Giants.

Outside JT, you can probably drop Colts players on their bye week if you need to.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, Indianapolis’s schedule for quarterbacks is average (although better than some of their most recent matchups). For running backs, it’s also average.

It’s a bottom five schedule for WRs as well. If you have to cut Pittman in shallower leagues, more power to you. Josh Downs‘ return won’t help his bolster his fantasy production.
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Los Angeles Rams

Add Blake Corum | Stock Down Kyren Williams | Sell Matthew Stafford & Cooper Kupp

Matthew Stafford completed 14 of 24 passes for 183 yards and 2 touchdowns. He averaged 7.6 yards per attempt with a passer rating of 110.2.

Kyren Williams led the rushing attack with 15 carries for 104 yards (6.9 YPC) and a touchdown. His longest run went for 17 yards. Williams had two red zone carries and scored one rushing touchdown.

Blake Corum added 42 yards on 8 carries (5.3 YPC), with a long of 10 yards.

In the first half, Kyren Williams had 6 carries compared to Blake Corum‘s 5, but Williams took over as the lead back in the second half.

Still, the snaps were a stark difference than anything else we have seen this season. Williams was down at 68% to Corum’s 32%.

KEEP CORUM STASHED.

We can’t quite pinpoint why Corum saw an expanded role in Week 13, but Williams’ fumbles last week surely didn’t work in his favor.

Still, don’t get things confused. He has four straight games with under 20 touches.

However, the schedule is too good to fully fade him. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Rams have a top-10 most favorable schedule for RBs.

Matthew Stafford scrambled for 3 yards on 4 attempts.

Puka Nacua had a single carry for 7 yards.

Nacua also had 5 catches for 56 yards and a touchdown on 8 targets (35% Target share), averaging 11.2 yards per reception, with a long of 19 yards and 45 YAC.

Nacua had two red zone targets, catching both and scoring one touchdown.

Demarcus Robinson was a big-play threat, catching 2 of 3 targets for 49 yards (24.5 YPR), including a 46-yard touchdown before leaving with an injury. Robinson had one target and scored a touchdown.

Tutu Atwell caught both of his targets for 39 yards (19.5 YPR), with a long of 20 yards. He played the fourth-most WR snaps

Cooper Kupp managed 3 receptions for 17 yards (5.7 YPR) on 6 targets. Talked about Kupp as a “sell” last week as the schedule and his status as the WR2 make things tough on the older wideout.

Next week they are vs BUF, @ SF, @ NYJ and vs ARI.

The Rams have a bottom-five ranked fantasy football schedule left for QBs, likely impacting their WRs.

Colby Parkinson contributed a 13-yard reception, while Kyren Williams added a 9-yard catch.

The Rams have morphed into a three-headed monster at tight end. They can all be dropped for fantasy purposes.

Tyler Johnson and Hunter Long were targeted but did not record any catches. Johnson had one red zone target but did not score.

Demarcus Robinson suffered a hand injury during the game after a strong start, including his 46-yard touchdown reception.
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New Orleans Saints

Stock Up Alvin Kamara | Add Marquez Valdes-Scantling & Juwan Johnson | Add Kendre Miller

Derek Carr completed 24 of 37 passes for 184 yards, one touchdown, and no interceptions. He averaged 5 yards per attempt with a passer rating of 85.9.

Alvin Kamara led the ground game with 23 carries for 112 yards, averaging 4.9 yards per carry with a long of 13. He totaled three red-zone carries but didn’t score. He also played 86% of the snaps. Jamaal Williams played 4%. Carr added 12 yards on two scrambles.

Taysom Hill managed 10 yards on five carries before exiting with an injury. Hill is on track to miss the remainder of the season after tests Monday confirmed that he sustained a significant left knee injury, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.

At this point with Kamara, it’s just a matter of how long he can keep this up. But the Saints without Hill have nobody else to turn the ball to in their backfield. AK41 is second in the NFL in touches (265).

He’s on pace for well over 350 touches. He’s never had 300 in any season of his career. If he can hold up, he should smash the rest of the way with great matchups for the rest of the season.

The team has talked about bringing back second-year rusher Kendre Miller as well, so I love him as an under-the-radar addition off waivers. Per Ross Jackson on X, “Team source told me “all gas, no brakes” when he makes his return to the field, which could be this weekend against the Giants and their No. 29 ranked rushing defense.”

Kevin Austin Jr. recorded a single rush for 9 yards.

Taysom Hill caught 5 of 7 targets for 37 yards (7.4 YPR) before leaving due to injury.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling had two catches for 36 yards, including a 28-yard touchdown reception. He led all Saints in WRs snaps, air yards, and routes run (30).

MVS isn’t going to score a TD every week, but it’s clear that he is the Saints WR1 for the rest of the season, assuming Chris Olave does not return.

Like I said last week, he seems to slide seamlessly into the Rashid Shaheed role. And as bad as he is at commanding targets in his career, nobody ELSE on this team can command targets.

Juwan Johnson matched Hill’s five catches on seven targets for 36 yards. Johnson led the Saints in total routes run and led the TEs in snaps played at 70%. The Saints tight end also earned a team-high 21% Target share.

The Saints love Johnson, and I think, by default, he is going to have to be relied on moving forward. Top-five schedule for the rest of the season for fantasy TEs.

Valdes-Scantling had one red-zone target but did not score. Juwan Johnson had two red zone targets, catching one but not scoring. Hill was not targeted in the red zone.

Kevin Austin Jr. hauled in all three targets for 31 yards (10.3 YPR), with a long of 16. Operated as Saints WR2. Cedrick Wilson Jr. made the most of his single target with a 19-yard reception as the Saints WR3.

Alvin Kamara had four receptions for 7 yards. Jamaal Williams added 7 yards on his lone catch.

Foster Moreau caught 2 of 4 targets for 6 yards.

Dante Pettis had one catch for 5 yards.

Taysom Hill was injured during the game and did not return, which impacted both the run game and passing options. He was carted off to the locker room with a knee injury. He is feared to have suffered a season-ending injury, which further limits the Saints’ paths to offensive production.

A touchdown pass from Derek Carr to Alvin Kamara was nullified due to a penalty, costing the Saints a key scoring opportunity. A potential fumble return for a touchdown against Carr was reversed upon review, resulting in a Saints field goal.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Saints have the No.6th-ranked schedule for quarterbacks/No.6 for RBs for the rest of the season.

The remaining schedule is Giants, Commanders, Packers and Raiders to round out the season.

Admittedly, the playoff schedule is very nice.
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Philadelphia Eagles

Drop Dallas Goedert | Add Grant Calcaterra | Stock Up DeVonta Smith

Jalen Hurts completed 11 of 19 passes for 118 yards, 1 touchdown, and no interceptions, averaging 6.2 yards per attempt and recording a passer rating of 93.8.

Saquon Barkley was the workhorse, rushing 23 times for 107 yards and a touchdown, averaging 4.7 yards per carry with a long run of 25 yards.

Barkley carried four times in the red zone but did not score, while Kenneth Gainwell had no red zone involvement (played just 7 snaps).

Jalen Hurts added 29 yards and a touchdown on 9 carries, with a long of 11 yards.

Will Shipley chipped in with one rush for 4 yards.

A.J. Brown led the team with 5 receptions on 6 targets for 66 yards, averaging 13.2 yards per reception with 17 yards after the catch. 35% Target share and 63% air yards share.

Dallas Goedert caught 3 of 4 targets (23% Target share) for 35 yards and a touchdown, averaging 11.7 yards per reception. Goedert had two red zone targets, catching one for a touchdown. Brown was not targeted in the red zone.

He left the game with an injury. With DeVonta Smith likely coming back soon, DG will be tough to trust in weekly starting lineups unless the matchup is super favorable for TEs. Luckily, he has the No. 1 for the rest of the season schedule for TEs (Panthers up next).

But the injury news isn’t great. Goedert is considered week-to-week and could be a candidate for injured reserve, Jeff McLane of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports. Get ahead of this and drop him.

And be sure to prioritize adding Grant Calcaterra.

Saquon Barkley was involved in the passing game, catching 2 of 4 targets for 10 yards.

Jahan Dotson had one reception for 7 yards on his lone target.

Parris Campbell and Britain Covey were targeted once each but did not record a reception.

Saquon Barkley accounted for 137 total yards (107 rushing, 30 receiving) and scored a rushing touchdown, solidifying his role as the Eagles’ offensive engine. Goedert was productive with a touchdown catch and significant yardage after the catch on limited targets.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, it’s the No-5th-ranked schedule for quarterbacks and No.1-ranked for RBs.

From Weeks 14-17, Philly plays the Panthers, Steelers, Commanders, and Cowboys.
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Baltimore Ravens

Hold Mark Andrews | Add Diontae Johnson & Isaiah Likely

Lamar Jackson: 23/36 for 237 yards, two touchdowns, 0 interceptions. He posted a 101.3 passer rating and averaged 6.6 yards per attempt.

Derrick Henry: 19 carries for 82 yards (4.3 YPC), with a long of 19 yards.

Jackson: 8 rushes for 79 yards (9.9 YPC), including a 39-yard run.

Justice Hill: 3 carries for 6 yards.

Henry had one red zone carry without scoring. Hill was targeted once inside the 20-yard line but did not score.

Mark Andrews and Zay Flowers: Each recorded one carry, with Flowers losing 3 yards.

Zay Flowers had three receptions on seven targets for 74 yards (24.7 YPC), including a 40-yard catch.

Flowers continued to flash his big-play ability, making the most of his opportunities with a 40-yard reception. He was also used a lot downfield with 142 air yards (41% air yards share).

Mark Andrews was reliable as always, catching 6 of 7 targets for 67 yards (11.2 YPC) and a touchdown. 20% Target share.

Isaiah Likely hauled in 5 of 8 targets for 38 yards (7.6 YPC) and a touchdown. Andrews had two red zone targets, catching one for a touchdown. Likely had one target and scored a touchdown.

Derrick Henry also contributed as a pass-catcher with three receptions for 29 yards (9.7 YPC), including a long of 16.

Justice Hill had four catches on six targets for 15 yards (3.8 YPC), showcasing some after-the-catch ability with 34 yards after contact.

Nelson Agholor: Targeted twice but did not record a reception.

Rashod Bateman exited the game with an injury, leaving the Ravens’ receiving corps thinner.

Tylan Wallace: 2 receptions on two targets for 14 yards (7 YPC). Tylan Wallace was targeted once in the red zone but did not score. He played more due to the injury to Bateman, seizing a 56% snap share (same as Agholor).

Meanwhile, Diontae Johnson didn’t even play. With Baltimore on a bye week, I have to imagine they look to get DJ more involved presuming Bateman is out for multiple weeks.

DJ has played five games as a Raven and has barely played.

Baltimore will have a bye week in Week 14. Then, the Giants, Steelers (again), and Texans will compete in the fantasy football playoffs.

There is no need to be overly aggressive in stashing ancillary Ravens unless we get concrete information about Bateman’s significant absence. Coach John Harbaugh said Monday that Bateman’s knee injury isn’t believed to be long-term, Jeff Zrebiec of The Athletic reports.

Johnson will have to show an increase in playing time versus New York before he can be used in Weeks 16-17. This is just important to keep in mind as you manage your playoff roster.

Mark Andrews remained a critical red-zone threat, scoring one of Jackson’s two passing touchdowns.

Isaiah Likely stepped up in the absence of Bateman, scoring a touchdown and contributing solid production. Likely’s eight targets led the team (23% Target share), along with his 38% target rate per route run.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Stock Down Cade Otton | Hold Rachaad White | Stock Up Bucky Irving | Stash Buccaneers DST | Add Jalen McMillan

The Buccaneers leaned heavily on their run game in this contest, with Bucky Irving delivering a standout performance. He carried the ball 25 times for an impressive 152 yards and a touchdown, averaging 6.1 yards per carry.

Rachaad White also contributed with 11 carries for 76 yards, including a 38-yard burst, but failed to find the end zone. Irving led the first half with nine carries compared to White’s five, setting the tone early. He also was questionable at one point to return with an injury.

Irving finished with a 54% snap share to White’s 52% snap rate. The rookie RB also added three catches for 33 yards on three targets and seven red-zone touches to White’s four red-zone attempts. Bucky Irving is a league winner.

Bucky’s 28 touches and 54% snap share was the highest he has had all season in a game that White was active in. Irving has taken over at least as the 1A in the Buccaneers backfield.

Through the air, Baker Mayfield went 21-of-33 for 235 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions.

Mayfield connected most often with Mike Evans, who hauled in 8 of his 12 targets for 118 yards and a touchdown, including a long 27-yard reception (35% Target share, 146 air yards).

Sterling Shepard added 42 yards on four catches (three red-zone targets), and Irving showcased his versatility with 33 receiving yards on three receptions (21% Target share). Jalen McMillan was second in WR snaps at 74%, finishing with two catches for 25 yards on three targets. He has the role we want, but it just hasn’t been translated into fantasy points quite yet. Still a sneaky buy-low.

Cade Otton dominated with seven targets (21% Target share, two red-zone looks) but finished with just four catches for 20 yards. Since Mike Evans‘ return, Otton has just a 16% Target share in the last two games.

The Buccaneers’ offense demonstrated balance, but turnovers by Mayfield kept the team from maximizing its potential. Kyle Trask saw limited action, completing his lone pass for five yards while Mayfield was getting some medical attention. Despite some missed opportunities, Irving’s dominant rushing effort provided the offensive spark the Buccaneers needed.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Buccaneers have the No.1-ranked schedule for QBs for the rest of the season-5th-best for RBs.

The four teams left remaining for Tampa Bay are the Raiders, Chargers, Cowboys, and Panthers.
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Carolina Panthers

Stock Down Chuba Hubbard | Add Jonathon Brooks | Add Xavier Legette | Stock Up Adam Thielen

The Panthers showcased flashes of promise on offense, but inconsistency plagued their performance.

Bryce Young finished 26-of-46 for 298 yards and a touchdown, with no interceptions, though his completion percentage (56.5%) left room for improvement. Young also added 17 rushing yards and a touchdown on three carries, utilizing his mobility effectively in key moments.

Chuba Hubbard led the backfield with 12 carries for 43 yards but struggled to break off significant runs, averaging just 3.6 yards per carry. Hubbard also lost a critical fumble in overtime.

Jonathon Brooks chipped in with six carries for 18 yards, and Young contributed with an additional 17 yards on the ground.

The backfield snaps were 79% for Hubbard and 21% for Brooks. The rookie was used more as a receiver, though, catching all three of his targets for 23 yards. Hubbard was not targeted despite dominating the routes out of the backfield. Also, Brooks saw three red-zone carries to Hubbard’s solo attempt, in addition to two of his targets also coming in the red zone.

He started the drive late in the third quarter after a Buccaneers turnover set up Carolina with an immediate red-zone drive. Brooks had five of his nine touches in the game on this five-play series.

Not great for Hubbard’s rest-of-season outlook that Brooks is starting to eat into some of his high-value opportunities with his playing time increasing.

In the passing game, Adam Thielen was once again the go-to target, catching 8 of 10 targets for 99 yards and a touchdown (24% Target share, 112 air yards) on two red-zone targets.

He made plays in critical situations, including a 25-yard reception. Tommy Tremble stepped up as a reliable secondary option, catching 5 of 8 targets for 77 yards, including a long 38-yard gain while playing 100% of the snaps (eight targets). Xavier Legette added 53 yards on four receptions (eight targets, 19% Target share, 90 air yards, and two red-zone targets), while David Moore chipped in with 40 yards on five catches (nine targets, 112 air yards).

The Panthers struggled to establish their run game, and the offensive line’s inefficiency limited Hubbard’s and Brooks’ opportunities. However, Young showed growth, and Thielen’s consistency remains a bright spot for the team moving forward.

Something I have noticed with Young in the last few weeks is that he is heavily targeting his WRs in the red zone. Last four weeks, Young ranks third in the NFL in red-zone pass attempts per game. He only had two TDs.

Coming out of another close loss, Carolina will face the Eagles, Cowboys, Cardinals, and Buccaneers. Aside from the brutal Philly matchup on deck, it’s a pretty good playoff schedule. Young has been playing much better, but on the road against the Eagles is going to be a tough ask to overcome.

That’s why I am going LESS than 212.5 passing yards for Young against the Eagles. No QB has hit their closing line passing yards prop versus the Eagles since their bye week. The projections have him much closer to sub-200 passing yards.

It’s safe to leave most Panthers on benches/waivers this week, but be mindful of the favorable playoff schedule from Weeks 15-17.
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Buffalo Bills

Buy James Cook | Add Keon Coleman | Add Ray Davis | Stock Up Amari Cooper

Josh Allen completed 13 of 17 passes for 148 yards and two touchdowns, efficiently leading the team before yielding a series to backup Mitchell Trubisky, who completed his only attempt. Allen also contributed on the ground with 18 yards and a rushing touchdown.

James Cook was the star of the rushing game, exploding for 107 yards and a touchdown on 14 carries, including a spectacular 65-yard run. He also added a 13-yard reception with two red zone rushes.

Rookie Ray Davis complemented Cook with 63 yards and a touchdown on 11 attempts, displaying his versatility with a red zone score. He scored on one of his two red-zone carries.

Ty Johnson added 28 yards on five carries but didn’t find the end zone.

Get access to the Bills backfield where you can. The Lions/Jets/Patriots are in the fantasy playoffs.

Tight end Dawson Knox led the aerial attack with two receptions for 56 yards, including a 39-yard catch showcasing his athleticism.

Khalil Shakir caught four passes for 30 yards but was contained after the catch. His seven targets represented a 39% Target share. He remains Allen’s favorite and most efficient target.

Mack Hollins recorded a seven-yard touchdown on his lone red-zone target.

Amari Cooper caught a red-zone ball and lateraled it to Allen for a rare QB double touchdown. According to Next Gen Stats, Allen is the 4th player in NFL history to have a receiving TD on a pass he threw.

Allen accelerated from 9.70 mph to 16.61 mph in 1.8 seconds to beat linebacker Dee Winters to the pylon for the touchdown.

The former Browns WR caught all three of his targets for 19 yards.

Glad to see him healthy and productive in the lineup, even on limited opportunities. His routes run per dropback increased from the last time we saw Buffalo play.

Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid were both inactive for this game.

Buffalo went noticeably more pass-heavy back in Week 7 (+10% pass rate over expectation) compared to the -3% PROE Weeks 1-6. In Week 8, it was at +1% despite them controlling the game from the start. In Week 9, it was back up to +6%.

In Week 10, with all the WR injuries, the PROE was still +2%. In Week 11, it was a +4% pass rate over expectation. In Week 13, with the weather as it was, the PROE was -19%.

Buy pieces of this Bills passing game that is starting to open things up through the air.

The remaining schedule: @ LAR, @ DET, vs NE and vs NYJ.
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San Francisco 49ers

Add Isaac Guerendo | Hold Jauan Jennings | Stock Up Deebo Samuel

Quarterback Brock Purdy was unspectacular, completing 11 of 18 passes for just 94 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions. The real story came from the backfield, where San Francisco was forced to adapt following an injury to Christian McCaffrey.

Jordan Mason emerged as the workhorse, carrying 13 times for 78 yards (6.0 YPC), including a 28-yard breakaway run. He played 52% of snaps and handled two red zone carries.

Christian McCaffrey contributed 53 yards on seven carries before exiting due to an injury, logging a 25% snap share. McCaffrey was active as a receiver before his injury, catching two of three targets for 14 yards. We might have seen the last of CMC this season with the 49ers falling out of the playoff conversation. He suffered a PCL injury in the contest that may be season-ending

The 49ers have a 9% chance of making the playoffs at 5-7.

Isaac Guerendo was effective in a complementary role, gaining 19 yards on four carries and scoring on a backward pass trick play inside the red zone. He played 23% of the snaps.

Mason looks like he will be back in the starting role rest of the season.

Well, at least that was the idea before the 49ers also placed Mason on IR with a high-ankle sprain.

Empty the clip (or whatever is left) and go for broke on Guerendo. As for deeper formats, add Patrick Taylor, who will also likely see some action.

Kyle Juszczyk struggled on his lone carry, fumbling in the red zone and halting a promising drive.

Jauan Jennings led the passing attack with three catches for 56 yards on five targets, including a 26-yard reception and 21 yards after the catch. 29% Target share while leading the 49ers in snaps/routes. 70% air yards share. He is the 49ers’ WR1 for the rest of the season, by all accounts.

Deebo Samuel Sr. hauled in four receptions for 20 yards and contributed 21 YAC on five targets (29% Target share). He was exclusively used as a short-area target.

Samuel has been beyond terrible for fantasy football purposes, but it’s hard not to view his stock as up if CMC is out the rest of the season. He will see more targets underneath without McCaffrey commanding volume out of the backfield. In Week 13, he was targeted on 33% of his routes run.

George Kittle added a modest seven yards on one catch. It was a bad overall performance in a snowy Buffalo game. I wouldn’t read too much into Kittle’s bad outing.

Before this game, Kittle had at least 40 receiving yards in every game this season. 45-plus in seven straight games. Take the MORE THAN 50.5 receiving yards this week on Prizepicks. Projections have him closer to 60-plus yards with Christian McCaffrey out.

Also, go MORE than 224.5 passing yards on Brock Purdy. He’s posted back-to-back duds, but he should right the ship at home versus the Bears.

Isaac Guerendo was less effective as a receiver, losing three yards on a single target.

The 49ers finish the season with the Bears, Rams, Dolphins and Lions.
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Cleveland Browns

Add Elijah Moore | Stock Up Jerry Jeudy | Hold David Njoku | Add Cedric Tillman | Buy Nick Chubb

The Browns fought valiantly in a high-scoring affair but fell short despite a massive offensive output by quarterback Jameis Winston. Winston threw for 497 yards on 34 completions (58 attempts), adding four touchdowns but also tossing three interceptions (two pick-sixes).

According to Next Gen Stats, Winston completed 13 of 20 passes of 10 or more air yards for 318 yards and two touchdowns, the most passing yards on downfield passes by any player over the past two seasons and Winston’s most since at least 2016.

Overall, Winston completed 34 of 58 passes for a Browns franchise record 497 passing yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions. Winston also set his highest marks since 2016 in passing touchdowns off passes under 2.5 seconds (3) and passing yards off passes over 2.5 seconds (360).

Jerome Ford led the Browns’ backfield with 41 rushing yards on nine carries (4.6 yards per carry), playing 66% of the offensive snaps. Nick Chubb also carried the ball nine times but managed just 21 yards (2.3 YPC) while playing 34% of the snaps. Both running backs were lightly involved in the passing game, with Chubb catching two passes for 24 yards and a touchdown, while Ford contributed a 21-yard reception.

Chubb got bailed out by the TD, but those are the perks of being the “lead back” that the team loves to see score. Chubb will always face an uphill battle in negative game scripts. But with Winston, projecting any game confidently is a fool’s errand.

The Steelers and Chiefs are next. The ground game and Browns offense will undoubtedly face a tougher schedule. Luckily, Winston can do enough to support the guys we care about the most for fantasy football purposes.

And the schedules do get softer against the Bengals and Dolphins to finish the season.

Jerry Jeudy had the ultimate revenge game against his former team, torching the defense for 235 yards on nine receptions (13 targets), including a 70-yard bomb. Jeudy commanded a 25% Target share and racked up over 200 air yards, proving to be the Browns’ primary deep threat.

Since Week 8, when Winston took over, Jeudy has led the Browns in all major receiving categories. Although the usage is close between him, Moore, and Tillman, the former first-round pick has made the most of his opportunities – which was even more apparent after his historic MNF performance.

Elijah Moore also played a significant role, catching eight of 14 targets for 111 yards. Moore commanded a 27% Target share but failed to score on his lone red zone target while logging 74% of the offensive snaps.

David Njoku was a key factor in the red zone, catching two touchdowns on four red-zone targets. He hauled in nine of his 17 targets for 52 yards, commanding a team-high 33% Target share. Michael Woods filled in for the injured Cedric Tillman, logging a 77% snap rate and catching three of five targets for 43 yards. His involvement helped the offense move the chains but lacked explosive plays.

I would expect Tillman to return in Week 14, so be sure to add him if he was dropped. Winston is the gift that keeps on giving for fantasy football.
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Denver Broncos

Add Bo Nix | Stock Up Courtland Sutton | Stock Down Javonte Williams| Stock Up Marvin Mims & Troy Franklin | Add Jaleel McLaughlin

The Broncos came away with a win in a gritty battle as Bo Nix completed 18 of 35 passes for 294 yards, throwing one touchdown and two interceptions.

Javonte Williams led with two red-zone carries and scored Denver’s lone rushing touchdown. Fullback Michael Burton added a goal-line TD on his only carry of the game. Despite leading the team with 14 carries for 84 yards (6.0 YPC), Jaleel McLaughlin struggled to convert in the red zone, logging three carries without finding the end zone. McLaughlin played 36% of the snaps, narrowly behind Williams’ 45%. Rookie Audric Estime contributed sparingly, with three carries for 12 yards while playing just 12% of the snaps.

Classic Broncos backfield usage. Unpredictable. Once we feel good about one guy, Sean Payton mixes it up. Good grief.

This week, the rising star looks like McLaughlin after his impressive rushing outing. But we have been down this road before. Unless you can add him for a very low bid, don’t be overly aggressive.

Per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool, the Broncos have a bottom-six schedule for fantasy RBs for the rest of the season—stock down the Broncos backfield, and stock up Denver’s passing game.

Courtland Sutton was a focal point of the passing attack, commanding a team-high 29% Target share and racking up 181 air yards (46% air yards share). Sutton caught six of his nine targets for 102 yards but failed to reach the end zone.

Sutton has been on an absolute heater since his zero-target game against the Saints. Averaging nearly 95 yards per game with a 46% air yards share and 29% Target share.

Marvin Mims Jr. provided the game’s biggest highlight with a 93-yard touchdown reception, finishing with three catches for 105 yards and a score on four targets. Mims added a red-zone reception for five yards and logged a 35% snap share.

I felt very strongly that one of these Broncos speedsters would pop off against the Browns, but I guessed wrong that it would be Franklin instead of Mims.

The routes still aren’t there for Mims, but he has had six-plus touches in three of his last four games.

Troy Franklin tied for second on the team in routes run (41% snap rate) and drew a target on 26% of his routes. The rookie WR hauled in two of five targets for 28 yards, including 98 air yards and multiple deep targets. He finished second on the team with a 16% Target share.

Alas, more deep targets but no deep catches. Are we sure that Nix and Franklin played college ball together?

Even so, Franklin flashed his potential with a strong target-per-route rate and remained a player to watch as Denver integrates him further into the offense.

Devaughn Vele (47% snap rate) also tied Franklin in routes run but had a quieter day, catching just one of four targets for 16 yards. Vele was targeted twice in the red zone but did not score. Tight ends Luke Krull and Nate Adkins contributed modestly, with Krull catching all three of his targets for 24 yards and Adkins securing a 16-yard grab.

According to the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Broncos’ quarterback schedule for the rest of the season is ranked in the top 10 (WRs’ schedule is ranked 10th).

The schedule goes BYE, vs. IND, @ LAC, @ CIN, and vs. KC.

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