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Fantasy Football Bold Predictions: Week 14 (2024)

Unfortunately, I couldn’t escape my slump with my bold predictions in Week 13. I went 0-3, running my season total to 10-24 (0.294). The overall goal is .333, so I have work to do before the end of the season. Week 14 is a perfect opportunity to turn things around with the following three bold predictions.

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Fantasy Football Week 14 Bold Predictions

Tony Pollard Will Have 100+ Scrimmage Yards and a Touchdown Against the Jaguars

Tony Pollard is Tennessee’s lead running back, with Tyjae Spears serving as a change-of-pace option. Pollard has had at least 13 opportunities (rush attempts plus targets) in nine consecutive games and 11 out of 12 this season, reaching at least 20 opportunities eight times.

The Titans have won only three games this season, and they’ve often struggled to keep games close. Yet, the Titans are 3.5-point favorites this week against the spiraling Jaguars. According to RotoViz’s pace app, the Titans have had a 50% rush rate in neutral game scripts since Week 10. Conversely, the Jaguars have faced a 48% situation-neutral rush rate in that period. Pollard has averaged 87.2 scrimmage yards per game and scored four touchdowns in 12 games this year.

Pollard should exceed his season average for scrimmage yards in a plus-matchup and positive game script. According to Pro-Football-Reference, Jacksonville has yielded 149.9 scrimmage yards per game and 16 touchdowns to running backs in 12 games this season. Pollard should be the latest running back to have his way with the lowly Jags.

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Justin Jefferson Will Have 100+ Receiving Yards and Multiple Touchdowns in Week 14

According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), on 260 dropbacks when kept clean this year, Sam Darnold has had a 72.3% completion percentage, 79.8% adjusted completion percentage, 2,143 passing yards, 14 passing touchdowns, 16 big-time throws and an 8.8-yard average depth of throw. Fortunately for Darnold, per Pro-Football-Reference, the Falcons have had the sixth-lowest pressure rate (18.9%) this season.

Darnold’s good fortune should be a boon for Justin Jefferson. Minnesota’s No. 1 wide receiver hasn’t lived up to his otherworldly production from previous seasons. Still, according to the data suite at Fantasy Points, Jefferson has had a 38% air yards share, 27.4% target share, 33.2% first-read percentage and 10 end-zone targets this season. Jefferson’s underlying data is stellar, and he has a cupcake on the schedule this week to feast on.

The Falcons have allowed 151.6 receiving yards and 1.25 receiving touchdowns per game to wide receivers this season. Jefferson has surpassed 100 receiving yards just three times this year and hasn’t had a multi-touchdown effort. Furthermore, Jefferson hasn’t scored a touchdown in six consecutive contests. Minnesota’s No. 1 wide receiver will remind gamers of his week-changing upside by hanging a triple-digit receiving yardage line and multiple touchdowns on the Falcons on Sunday.

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Kirk Cousins Will Be Benched for Michael Penix in Week 14

During his postgame press conference last week, Raheem Morris didn’t waffle on his decision to stick with Kirk Cousins as Atlanta’s starting quarterback. It’s never ideal for the starter when questions arise about their benching, though.

In Atlanta’s previous three games, Cousins had thrown zero touchdowns and six interceptions, reaching a new low last week when he tossed four interceptions and had a pitiful 1.35 adjusted net yards per attempt due to his penchant for throwing picks. The veteran quarterback’s season-long numbers are inflated by two massive showings against the Buccaneers. Otherwise, Cousins has been underwhelming or worse.

Atlanta is a 5.5-point underdog against the Vikings in Minnesota this week. The Falcons are in a slump, allowing the Buccaneers to draw even with them in the win-loss column. The Falcons have the head-to-head tiebreaker with their NFC South rival, but Atlanta’s season is in a precarious position. If Cousins looks like the washed-up quarterback he did last week when he floated an inexcusable pick-six to the Chargers, Morris might not have a choice but to allow Michael Penix to breathe life into the offense. The rookie signal-caller has appeared in two games this year. I expect the immobile Cousins to struggle against aggressive defensive coordinator Brian Flores, opening the door for a more extended look at Penix.

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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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