Looking to dominate your Week 18 PrizePicks entries? FantasyPros expert Andrew Erickson is here to help. In this week’s Fantasy Football Forecast, Erickson dives into the matchups, stats, and trends to deliver his top PrizePicks player predictions. Whether you’re aiming to cash in on the hottest player lines or identify sneaky value plays, Erickson’s insights are your ticket to success. Let’s break down his top picks and find the edge you need to win big this week.
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Week 18’s Best PrizePicks NFL Player Predictions
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Zay Flowers MORE THAN 56.5 Receiving Yards
Zay Flowers, with 36% of the target share (5 total targets all in the first half), caught two passes for 31 yards. His 79 air yards showed his ability to stretch the field, contributing to 44% of the team’s air yards. Flowers had another 16-yard catch wiped away on a penalty. The second-year Ravens WR was targeted on 38% of his routes run. Flowers also has a 35% target share over the last two games. I like the MORE THAN 56.5 receiving yards on Prizepicks in Week 18.
Geno Smith MORE THAN 252.5 Passing Yards
Geno Smith is now under 34.5 pass attempts in eight of his last 10 games. But with no playoffs on the line in Week 18, we could see Smith sling the ball more than ever. Smith has contract incentives for exceeding several passing statistics. He gets a whopping $2M if he passes for 186-plus yards, achieving a 69.5% completion rate, and with Seattle winning their 10th game of the year. It could be a fat pay day for Geno if he plays his cards right in Week 18. Take the more than on Smith’s 252.5 passing yards on PrizePicks in Week 18.
Courtland Sutton MORE THAN 69.5 Receiving Yards
Courtland Sutton played a key role in Week 17, with five receptions for 55 yards and a touchdown. He led the team with 29% of the target share and a whopping 49% air yards share (110).
Sutton needs 82 yards to earn $500k per @PropTailz. Per Spotrac, Sutton’s incentives are the following:
- 1,500 Receiving Yards or 10 Receiving TDs + Playoff Berth: $200,000
- $500,000 each for 1,065 Receiving Yards (plus team improves on 2023 Total Points or Yards/Attempt)
- $500,000 for 900 receiving yards + team ranks Top 10 in Yards/Pass Attempt
Sutton has at least 70 receiving yards in six of his last nine games. Take the MORE THAN 69.5 receiving yards this week on PrizePicks.
Mac Jones MORE THAN 207.5 Passing Yards
Jones has passed for 220-plus yards in four of his last five games. I like the MORE THAN on Prizepicks this week at 207.5 passing yards. This Colts defense is terrible.
Mike Evans MORE THAN 91.5 Receiving Yards
In Week 17, Mike Evans caught eight passes on nine targets (28% target share) for 97 yards and two touchdowns, including a long reception of 34 yards and 95 air yards. He needs just 85 yards in Week 18 to record his 11th-straight 1,000-yard season. Give me those OVERS. So far, since returning from injury, Big Mike has 68-plus in six straight games.
The opening line on PrizePicks is 91.5 yards. MORE THAN. No more Marshon Lattimore or hamstring injury (fingers crossed) to stop Evans this time around from going off versus the Saints.