Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints

• LAR -2.5, O/U 49
• Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• Since Week 8, the Rams have ranked seventh in neutral pace and 13th in neutral passing rate.
• Since Week 10, New Orleans has had the ninth-slowest neutral pace and ranked ninth in neutral rushing rate.

Rams Players & Weekly Rankings

Saints Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Alvin Kamara
• Kyren Williams
• Cooper Kupp
• Puka Nacua

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Matthew Stafford (QB)

Since Week 8, with all of his weapons back, Stafford has been the QB10 in fantasy points per game. Since that time, among 36 qualifying quarterbacks, he has ranked 15th in yards per attempt, third in passing yards per game, second in passing touchdowns, and 12th in passer rating. He has been balling out, and he’s primed to continue his QB1 production this week. Since Week 7, New Orleans has allowed the tenth-highest yards per attempt and the fifth-most passing yards per game while also ranking 17th in CPOE and 16th in EPA per dropback. Stafford should carve them up.

Derek Carr (QB)

Carr has played well in his last two starts with QB6 and QB17 weekly finishes. Since Week 10, among 35 qualifying quarterbacks, he has ranked tenth in passing yards per game, second in yards per attempt, first in passer rating, and tenth in CPOE. Carr faces a Rams pass defense that, since Week 7, has allowed the 14th-most passing yards per game, the 11th-highest yards per attempt, the eighth-most passing touchdowns, and the 11th-highest success rate per dropback. Carr will flirt with QB1 production again this week.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR)

In his last two games, Valdes-Scantling has finished as the WR2 and WR22 in weekly fantasy scoring. I know what you’re thinking…”There’s no way that he can keep this up.” Well, you’re probably right, but there’s a path for Valdes-Scantling to continue to thread the needle this week. Since Week 10, he has had a 68.4% route share, a 13% target share, a 46.6% air-yard share (26.4 aDOT), 5.03 YPRR, and an 18.4% first-read share. 57.1% of his target volume has been via deep targets. Since Week 7, the Rams have allowed the 11th-most receiving yards per game and third-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. The Rams have also had issues with defending deep passing all season. They have allowed the 12th-most deep passing yards per game and the fourth-highest deep-adjusted completion rate.

Demarcus Robinson (WR)

Since Week 8, Robinson has had an 11.8% target share, averaging 37.2 receiving yards per game with 1.23 YPRR and a 12.8% first-read share. He leads the team during this span in end-zone targets with six. He has been a touchdown-scoring machine with five scores in his last five games. I won’t be surprised if he scores again this week against the Saints’ soft secondary. Since Week 7, they have allowed the fifth-most receiving yards per game and the eighth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Taysom Hill (TE)

Since Week 8, Hill has been the TE2 in fantasy points per game behind only George Kittle. Yes, his Week 11 performance is skewing that figure some, but Hill also posted 16 PPR points in Week 9, so let’s not act like that one game is hopelessly leading people astray. Since Week 10, Hill has had a 57.9% route share while leading the team with a 22.2% target share with 2.61 YPRR and a team-leading 23.7% first-read share. Hill has been not only a rushing threat with five carries and 47.8 rushing yards per game since Week 8, but he has also been operating as New Orleans’ WR1 without Chris Olave. Since Week 8, the Rams have allowed the eighth-most rushing yards per game. Los Angeles has also allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends. Regardless of how you approach Hill’s role, he has a wonderful matchup this week.

*None of the Rams’ tight ends are fantasy-viable now. They split up the routes in Week 12 with no play, seeing more than a 42.9% route share.*

Fantasy Football Week 13 Flex Plays & Fades

Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.

• N/A

CHI vs. DET | NYG vs. DAL | MIA vs. GB | LV vs. KC | PIT vs. CIN | LAC vs. ATL | HOU vs. JAC | IND vs. NE | ARI vs. MIN | TEN vs. WAS | SEA vs. NYJ | TB vs. CAR | LAR vs. NO | PHI vs. BAL | SF vs. BUF | CLE vs. DEN

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens

• BAL -3, O/U 51.5
• Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• Since Week 7, Philly has had the ninth-slowest neutral pace and the highest neutral rushing rate in the NFL. During the same timeframe, the Ravens have ranked second in neutral pace and eighth in neutral passing rate.

Eagles Players & Weekly Rankings

Ravens Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Lamar Jackson
• Jalen Hurts
• Saquon Barkley
• Derrick Henry
• A.J. Brown

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Zay Flowers (WR)

Flowers is the WR22 in fantasy points per game, ranking tenth in deep targets among wideouts. He has finally seen his red zone usage return with three red zone looks across his last four games after zero red zone targets in Weeks 3-8. Flowers has a 25% target share, 2.34 YPRR, and a 29.5% first-read share. Since Week 8, Philly has ranked ninth in single high rate (58%). Against single-high, Flowers has had a 28.5% target share, 3.18 YPRR, and a 32.3% first-read share. Philly’s secondary has been exceptional, so starting Flowers this week is a bet on talent and offensive environment. Since Week 7, Philly has allowed the second-fewest fantasy points per game and the lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Dallas Goedert (TE)

Goedert is the TE8 in fantasy points per game, with two red zone targets in his last three games. Last week, he didn’t take advantage of a glorious matchup as Philly just fed Saquon Barkley all day in lieu of throwing the ball. Hopefully, Baltimore’s awesome run defense and the Ravens’ explosive offense will force Philly’s hand and make them take to the air this week. Goedert has an 18.3% target share, 2.21 YPRR, and a 22.5% first-read share. He faces a Baltimore pass defense that has given up the third-most receiving yards per game and the 12th-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.

Mark Andrews (TE)

Since Week 5, Andrews has been the TE8 in fantasy points per game, soaking up a 58.6% route share with a 14.9% target share, 2.23 YPRR, and a 16.2% first-read share. Andrews overcame a tough matchup last week against a Bolts secondary that hadn’t allowed a receiving touchdown to tight ends all year, so I won’t discount that he could do it again this week. Philly has allowed the fifth-fewest receiving yards per game and only one receiving touchdown to tight ends this season.

Fantasy Football Week 13 Flex Plays & Fades

Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.

DeVonta Smith (WR)

Smith might miss this week as he’s still dealing with a hamstring issue. He missed last week’s game because of this balky hammy. I’ll update his status on Friday.

Rashod Bateman (WR)

This isn’t the game to consider Bateman in your flex spots. Since Week 8, Philly has ranked ninth in single high rate (58%). Against single-high, Bateman has only had a 13.4% target share with 1.22 YPRR and a 14.5% first-read share. Philly’s pass defense has also been incredible recently. Since Week 7, Philly has allowed the second-fewest fantasy points per game and the lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Sit Bateman.

Diontae Johnson (WR)

I don’t know why Baltimore made the trade for Diontae Johnson at this point. Was this just done to block another team from getting him? I have no clue at this point. Last week, Johnson ran four routes. Yep, just four routes. He remains waiver wire fodder.

CHI vs. DET | NYG vs. DAL | MIA vs. GB | LV vs. KC | PIT vs. CIN | LAC vs. ATL | HOU vs. JAC | IND vs. NE | ARI vs. MIN | TEN vs. WAS | SEA vs. NYJ | TB vs. CAR | LAR vs. NO | PHI vs. BAL | SF vs. BUF | CLE vs. DEN

San Francisco 49ers vs. Buffalo Bills

• Watch Live on Fubo (Try for Free)
• BUF -7, O/U 44.5
• San Francisco 49ers vs. Buffalo Bills Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• Since Week 9, Buffalo has been pass-heavy, ranking 11th in neutral pace and fifth in neutral passing rate. During the same time frame, the 49ers have had the slowest neutral pace while ranking 13th in neutral passing rate.

49ers Players & Weekly Rankings

Bills Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Josh Allen
• James Cook
• Christian McCaffrey
• George Kittle

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

• N/A

Fantasy Football Week 13 Flex Plays & Fades

Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.

Brock Purdy (QB)

Purdy opened the week with a “limited” practice. He barely threw the ball from every report I could find. This situation and offense are incredibly difficult to diagnose right now outside of the must-start players (Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle). If Purdy is out again this week, all of the skill players outside of McCaffrey and Kittle could get massive downgrades. I’ll update Purdy’s outlook on Friday when, hopefully, we know more from his practice reports and the news.

Brandon Allen (QB)

Well, I figured Allen would be a steep decline from Purdy last week, and wouldn’t ya know it…I was right. Yes, I know we all projected that. Among 27 qualifying quarterbacks last week, Allen was 19th in yards per attempt, CPOE, and catchable target rate. I hope Purdy can play this week because it’s gonna be ugly for the 49ers if they have to trot out Allen again. I’ll update his outlook on Friday.

Khalil Shakir (WR)

Since Week 7, Shakir has been the WR22 in fantasy points per game. During this stretch, he has had a 23.5% target share, 2.38 YPRR, and a 31.2% first-read share. He has been Buffalo’s high-volume underneath threat. He has six red zone targets across his last five games. Shakir will see plenty of volume this week, but keep expectations in check. Since Week 7, the 49ers have allowed the second-fewest receiving yards per game and the lowest PPR points per target to slot receivers.

Amari Cooper (WR)

In his last two games played for Buffalo, Cooper has had only a 54.9% route share, a 6.8% target share, 1.29 YPRR, and a 10.5% first-read share. It’s tough to get excited about Cooper right now. He practiced in full to open the week, so hopefully, his route share will increase this week. That’s also making the assumption that he has had the necessary time to ingest the playbook fully. Since Week 7, San Francisco has allowed the seventh-fewest receiving yards per game and the tenth-fewest fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers. Cooper is a sketchy flex play this week.

Keon Coleman (WR)

Coleman hasn’t played since Week 9 (wrist). Coleman opened this week with a limited practice. I’ll update his outlook on Friday. He could be back this week, but it wouldn’t shock me if they held him out another week.

Jauan Jennings (WR)

The outlook for this receiver room will dramatically shift depending on who is under center this week. We need more news and practice reports before diving into the possibilities for these receiving options in Week 13. I’ll update Jennings’ status on Friday once we get word on Purdy.

Deebo Samuel (WR)

The outlook for this receiver room will dramatically shift depending on who is under center this week. We need more news and practice reports before diving into the possibilities for these receiving options in Week 13. I’ll update Samuel’s status on Friday once we get word on Purdy.

Ricky Pearsall (WR)

It doesn’t matter who is under center this week for San Francisco for Pearsall. He isn’t playable in fantasy this week. He hasn’t had a single receiving yard over the last two games. He has only two targets over his last two games. Stash him on the bench if you have the space, but if you need the bench spot for another player, you can safely cut Pearsall.

Dalton Kincaid (TE)

Kincaid is still dealing with a knee issue. He opened the week with a DNP. If he misses, Knox would be the full-time starter, but this isn’t a matchup that you’d want to stream Knox for. The 49ers have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends this season. I’ll update his status on Friday.

CHI vs. DET | NYG vs. DAL | MIA vs. GB | LV vs. KC | PIT vs. CIN | LAC vs. ATL | HOU vs. JAC | IND vs. NE | ARI vs. MIN | TEN vs. WAS | SEA vs. NYJ | TB vs. CAR | LAR vs. NO | PHI vs. BAL | SF vs. BUF | CLE vs. DEN

Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos

• Watch Live on Fubo (Try for Free)
• DEN -5.5, O/U 42
• Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• With Winston starting, Cleveland had ranked sixth and fourth in neutral pace and neutral passing rate. Denver has taken a similar approach since Week 8, ranking eighth in neutral pace and second in neutral passing rate.

Browns Players & Weekly Rankings

Broncos Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Courtland Sutton

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Bo Nix (QB)

Since Week 5, Nix has been the QB6 in fantasy points per game. He has been awesome. I won’t be surprised if he swoops in and steals the Offensive Rookie of the Year award away from Jayden Daniels. Since Week 5, among 36 qualifying quarterbacks, Nix ranks fourth in passing touchdowns, seventh in passer rating, sixth in CPOE, and 12th in highly accurate throw rate. He should have another baller game this week. Since Week 7, Cleveland has looked nothing like the pass defense we feared last year, allowing the third-highest yards per attempt, the second-highest passer rating, the fourth-highest CPOE, and the eighth-most passing touchdowns (tied).

Devaughn Vele (WR)

Vele has finished as a top 24 wide receiver in weekly scoring in two of his last three games (WR21, WR22). He has two red zone targets in those three games. Since Week 10, Vele has had a 17.1% target share, 3.79 YPRR, and a 22.4% first-read share. He’s a strong flex play again this week. Since Week 7, Cleveland has allowed the fifth-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers.

Fantasy Football Week 13 Flex Plays & Fades

Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.

Jameis Winston (QB)

In his four starts, Winson has finished as a QB1 twice (QB10, QB7). Since Week 8, among 36 qualifying quarterbacks, he has ranked 18th in yards per attempt, 23rd in passer rating, second in passing yards per game, 29th in highly accurate throw rate, and 21st in catchable target rate. He faces a tough Denver secondary that, since Week 7, has allowed the seventh-fewest yards per attempt, the eighth-lowest CPOE, and the seventh-lowest success rate per dropback. Winston is a middling QB2 this week.

Nick Chubb (RB)

It hasn’t been pretty for Chubb since returning. Last week, he played a season-high 66% of the snaps with 21 touches and 60 total yards. The two scores saved his day. Over the last two weeks, he still hasn’t looked like his former self, with only a 6% missed tackle rate and 2.16 yards after contact per attempt. This week’s matchup with Denver won’t help evoke good memories of Chubb, either. Since Week 7, Denver has allowed the fewest rushing yards per game, the eighth-lowest rushing success rate and they have the third-highest stuff rate.

Javonte Williams (RB)

No. Nope. No Denver Broncos running back should grace your starting lineup. There’s no way I can trust a Denver running back in fantasy right now. After Williams led the way against the Falcons with 13 touches and 87 total yards in Week 11, he face-planted in Week 12. Yes, he played 56% of the snaps, but he only had ten touches and turned them into four total yards. Keep Williams on your rosters with the hope that this becomes a backfield we can trust again, but there’s no way anyone can start him with a shred of confidence right now.

Jerry Jeudy (WR)

The Jeudy revenge game narratives could get squashed quickly this week if Patrick Surtain shadows him. For whatever reason, Surtain hasn’t shadowed since Week 10, but don’t count out Surtain shadowing Jeudy this week. Does anyone think that Denver wants Jeudy to pop off with a big game and rub it in their faces? I highly doubt it. The easiest way to keep that from happening is to put their best defensive player in his back pocket all game. Surtain has followed receivers on at least 60.4% of their routes five times this season. In those games, no receiver has eclipsed 30 receiving yards in his primary coverage. With Winston under center, Jeudy has had a 21.7% target share, 2.37 YPRR, and a 25.2% first-read share as the WR8 in fantasy points per game. He has two red zone targets in those four games. Since Week 7, Denver has allowed the 15th-most PPR points per target and receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Elijah Moore (WR)

With Winston starting, Moore has been the WR43 in fantasy points per game with two top 24 wide receiver weekly finishes (WR22, WR14). He has had a 20.5% target share, 1.49 YPRR, one red zone target, and a 22.7% first-read share. Moore is a flex play better left on your bench this week. Since Week 7, Denver has allowed the fifth-fewest PPR points per target to slot receivers.

Cedric Tillman (WR)

Tillman sustained a concussion last week. He remains in the concussion protocol. I will update his status on Saturday, but I would expect him to be out this week.

David Njoku (TE)

With Winston under center, Njoku has been the TE8 in fantasy points per game. He has had a 16.8% target share, 1.25 YPRR, and a 15.1% first-read share. He has only two red zone targets across his last four games. I’d be looking for a streaming option this week instead of playing Njoku. Denver has allowed the tenth-fewest receiving yards per game and the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.

CHI vs. DET | NYG vs. DAL | MIA vs. GB | LV vs. KC | PIT vs. CIN | LAC vs. ATL | HOU vs. JAC | IND vs. NE | ARI vs. MIN | TEN vs. WAS | SEA vs. NYJ | TB vs. CAR | LAR vs. NO | PHI vs. BAL | SF vs. BUF | CLE vs. DEN

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*All data utilized in this article is courtesy of Fantasy Points Data, PFF, FTN, rbsdm.com, and Playerprofiler.com unless otherwise specified.*