Week 10 brings us minimal amounts of bye weeks and a Germany game to contend with, but there is still a nice pool of players around which to build our lineups. The Afternoon games look quite miserable, so keep that in mind when deciding tie-breakers as we always want to give ourselves paths to late swapping.
These are the best plays for DFS tournaments (GPPs) and how you might want to approach them using these players with suggested stacks and correlations.
Week 10 GPP DFS Advice & Picks
The players below are the ones I’m looking at for GPP considerations for Week 10.
Quarterbacks
Patrick Mahomes (QB – KC) vs. Broncos | DraftKings: $6,600/FanDuel: $7,900
The fact Patrick Mahomes is $6,600 on DraftKings is both shocking but entirely deserved. Mahomes simply hasn’t played well enough for fantasy football purposes this year to warrant being anything more than the fifth-highest-priced quarterback on the slate.
With that said, it’s Patrick Mahomes. Gone are the days when it was almost a cheat code to play both Mahomes and Travis Kelce. However, Mahomes comes into this game on the back of a season-high 24.5 points and a QB3 finish for the week. He now faces a Broncos defense that was just shredded by Lamar Jackson after having faced a run of less-than-elite quarterbacks.
Stack Suggestions: DeAndre Hopkins likely sees plenty of Patrick Surtain but Kelce should be fine and has been in strong form since Rashee Rice‘s injury.
Patrick Mahomes is having the worst statistical season of his career yet the Chiefs are 8-0 and on the verge of a 3-peat pic.twitter.com/8Dq7JxEpfg
— GhettoGronk (@TheGhettoGronk) November 5, 2024
Jayden Daniels (QB – WAS) vs. Steelers | DraftKings: $7,500/FanDuel: $8,400
It’s a less-than-ideal matchup for Jayden Daniels. The Steelers have allowed the third-fewest quarterback fantasy points and their defense is playing to a strong level, but the Steelers haven’t faced many quarterbacks in strong form:
- Week 1: Kirk Cousins (coming off an injury and no preseason reps)
- Week 2: Bo Nix (second start)
- Week 3: Justin Herbert (dealing with plantar fasciitis)
- Week 4: Anthony Richardson (injured after 13 snaps)
- Week 5: Dak Prescott (16.4 points)
- Week 6: Aidan O’Connell (is Aidan O’Connell)
- Week 7: Aaron Rodgers (13.0 points)
- Week 8: Daniel Jones (is Daniel Jones)
It seems a little unfair to tarnish Daniels with the same brush as these players when he has been playing at a near-MVP level through the first half of his rookie season. Daniels has finished as a top-12 quarterback in seven of his appearances and has rushed for an average of 51.0 yards. His floor and ceiling are high enough to pursue here.
Stacking Suggestions: Terry McLaurin could see a healthy dose of Joey Porter but Noah Brown has emerged lately and is worth considering.
Correlation Plays: While the Commanders rank poorly against the run, both Jaylen Warren and Najee Harris are bring back options.
Running Backs
Aaron Jones (RB – MIN) @ Jaguars | DraftKings: $6,700/FanDuel: $7,900
This matchup looked to have sneaky potential before Trevor Lawrence was declared unlikely to play. The Jaguars will likely be unable to push back on the Vikings in quite the same way they would have if Lawrence was playing, but that does little to quell the reasons why this is a good game for the Vikings.
The Jaguars allow top-seven numbers in fantasy points allowed to all fantasy-relevant positions, including the fourth-most to the running back position. Aaron Jones has seen 46 touches in his last two games but failed to find the end zone, which has resulted in him finishing RB26 in consecutive weeks.
The Jaguars are stronger against the run than the pass but they’ve still allowed the eighth-highest explosive run rate (7.0%) and six different top-12 running back performances, including top-three performances in each of the last two games they’ve played.
Correlation Plays: With no Lawrence, I’d struggle to think of a play that feels good here, but Brian Thomas Jr. would of course be in play for large-field contests.
Aaron Jones is so good at bending himself against the tidal inertia of a play. Seems fresh as ever in year 8. pic.twitter.com/XaQD8Vz59J
— Fantasy Football Astronauts (@FF_Astronauts) November 6, 2024
Saquon Barkley (RB – PHI) @ Cowboys | DraftKings: $8,300/FanDuel: $9,600
The Eagles own the lowest neutral pass rate in the league (49%) and roll into this game on the back of 43.3 rushes per game in the last three fixtures. The Eagles simply love to run the ball down their opponents’ throats, and Saquon Barkley has been thriving.
Barkley has three RB1 overall finishes through eight games and has only one game where he finished below 110 all-purpose yards. The Cowboys rank 29th in run defense DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) and have allowed the third-most RB fantasy points, yet nobody wants to play Barkley because his price is getting high. In those situations, we should flip the build and lean into the studs who produce high-ceiling games.
Correlation Plays: It’s a tricky one with Cooper Rush at quarterback but there are several budget Dallas wide receivers who will offset the cost of Barkley. If he hits, the Cowboys likely find themselves passing a ton.
Rachaad White (RB – TB) vs. 49ers | DraftKings: $5,900/FanDuel: $6,400
In the not-too-distant past, Rachaad White was one of the most inefficient running backs in the NFL. In 2023, White ranked 37th in rush yards after contact, had the third-lowest rushing expected points added (EPA) and managed a miserable 3.6 yards per carry, surviving for fantasy purposes because of a high opportunity share (72%) and his excellent pass-catching skills.
Since Week 4, a switch has flipped for White, with him averaging 5.4 yards per carry. He comes into this game on the back of four touchdowns in three games. Bucky Irving continues to deal with injuries and Sean Tucker appears to have fallen out of favor again, leaving White to potentially catch a lot of balls with the Buccaneers heavily depleted at wide receiver.
Four different running backs have gone over 36 receiving yards against the 49ers with three seeing at least five receptions. The floor isn’t there for cash games, but in tournaments, this feels fun.
Correlation Plays: Pairing White with Deebo Samuel makes too much sense.
Wide Receivers
Deebo Samuel (WR – SF) @ Buccaneers | DraftKings: $6,900/FanDuel: $8,300
Tampa Bay leads the league in zone coverage rates, the type of coverage Deebo Samuel has historically crushed. While it hasn’t been pretty so far this year for Samuel, he should be healthier coming out of the bye and ready to put up a strong performance.
Samuel has scored over 18 PPR points in half of his games this year and will be taking on a defense that’s allowed six top-10 weekly finishes to receivers, including in each of the last three weeks. With Brandon Aiyuk out for the year, this should be the start of a great run for Samuel.
Deebo Samuel looks ready to roll!!! ????✅ pic.twitter.com/RpPDDUUh4g
— 49ers & NFL News 24/7 (@49ersSportsTalk) November 7, 2024
Josh Downs (WR – IND) vs. Bills | DraftKings: $6,200/FanDuel: $7,100
Things did not go to plan for Joe Flacco and the Colts in Week 9. The former Super Bowl MVP returned to the lineup, but the Vikings’ blitz-happy defense was always going to make for a difficult opponent. Flacco should turn it around in Week 10.
The Bills rank 15th against the pass and have allowed the third-most receptions and fifth-most receiving yards to the slot, where Josh Downs plays 87% of his snaps. Downs is averaging eight targets per game, including the patchy spells with Anthony Richardson, and has five games over 60 receiving yards. With Michael Pittman still banged up, Downs can thrive.
Correlation Plays: Playing Downs with James Cook passes the vibe test. The Colts are poor against the run. If Buffalo controls the game, Downs should see plenty of volume.
DeMario Douglas (WR – NE) @ Bears | DraftKings: $4,400/FanDuel: $5,100
It wasn’t too long ago that DeMario Douglas was hot property in the fantasy streets but then he spent most of the Patriots’ game in London dealing with illness. All of a sudden nobody wanted to play him. In Week 9, Douglas had nine targets and caught seven of them. Douglas managed little with these targets, gaining 35 yards. We can live with that in PPR formats. Ja’Lynn Polk hasn’t emerged and K.J. Osborn was a healthy scratch in Week 9, leaving the runway clear for Douglas to continue to be a PPR scam.
Correlation Plays: I’d consider pairing Douglas with D’Andre Swift, but there might not be a huge amount of points in this one, so don’t go overboard.
Noah Brown (WR – WAS) vs. Steelers | DraftKings: $4,300/FanDuel: $5,300
Noah Brown led the Commanders with a 27% team target share in Week 9. He has led or been second in that metric in three of the last four games. Brown has also gone over 58 receiving yards in three of the last four games.
Noah Brown stats:
* Tied for first in drawing defensive pass interference (4) with Justin Jefferson, Cooper Kupp, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf
* First in most yards drawn via DPI (121), well ahead of second place (Adams with 72)
* 20th in reception % per target (70%)
— Ben Standig (@BenStandig) November 7, 2024
KaVontae Turpin (WR – DAL) vs. Eagles | DraftKings: $3,500/FanDuel: $5,600
Over the last four games, Kavontae Turpin averages five targets per game — four of them have been deep targets. Turpin has only surpassed 50 receiving yards once this season but has seen enough involvement to make him an OK dart throw this week if it opens up a ceiling elsewhere in your lineup.
Tight Ends
Taysom Hill (TE – NO) vs. Falcons | DraftKings: $4,000/FanDuel: $6,300
With the Saints increasingly beaten up, it was no surprise to see season-high usage for Taysom Hill, who saw nine touches for 60 yards and a touchdown in Week 9. He also had a season-high 47% route participation. Hill had five targets and five rush attempts, resulting in 16 PPR points. With Chris Olave set to miss, at the very least, Week 10, don’t be surprised if the game plan involves a healthy amount of Hill once again.
Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL) @ Saints | DraftKings: $4,800/FanDuel: $5700
Before last week’s incredibly disappointing one catch for 11 yards performance, Kyle Pitts had averaged 78.5 receiving yards per game over the previous four weeks in the best spell of his career. The Saints have allowed six different tight ends to go over 40 receiving yards with three going over 70, including Ja’Tavion Sanders in Week 9. With a bunch of the more reliable tight ends on this slate, nobody wants to play Pitts, but that just sounds like a GPP winner to me.
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