Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice: Week 12
Since Week 6, Dissly has been the TE15 in fantasy points per game with two TE1 weeks. He has had a 20.4% target share, 2.02 YPRR, and a 21.2% first-read share while seeing five red zone targets. Since Week 9, Baltimore has moved to heavy two-high usage with the seventh-highest rate (58%) in the NFL. Since Week 6, against two high, Dissly has led the team with a 22.5% target share and 25.9% first-read share while ranking second in YPRR (2.07). Dissly should cook again this week against a defense that has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards per game and the 11th-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
Since Tagovailoa’s return in Week 8, he has been QB22 in fantasy points per game. He has only finished as a QB1 once in that stretch (QB11). Since Week 8, among 36 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 16th in yards per attempt, seventh in passer rating, 14th in CPOE, and 19th in fantasy points per dropback. In this span, he has the second-lowest aDOT. Only Gardner Minshew has had a lower aDOT. Despite all of these factors, Tagovailoa could flirt with QB1 value again this week as New England’s pass defense has been in the dumpster. Since Week 6, the Patriots have allowed the 12th-highest yards per attempt, the sixth-most passing touchdowns, the seventh-highest passer rating, and the fifth-highest CPOE.
Since his Week 9 return, Hockenson has had one TE1 finish and two red zone targets. He has had a 57.1% route share, a 15.2% target share, 1.65 YPRR, and a 14.5% first-read share. Hockenson should flirt with low-end TE1 value in Week 12. Chicago has allowed the 12th-most receiving yards per game and the sixth-highest yards per reception to tight ends.
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