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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em: Justin Herbert, TJ Hockenson, Josh Downs (Week 11)

Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.

Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.

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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice: Week 11

Justin Herbert (QB)

Last week, the Titans didn’t push the Chargers offense to air it out as Herbert threw the ball only 18 times. He was quite efficient with the volume, though, completing 77.7% of his passes with 9.1 yards per attempt. Herbert’s health improvement can be seen easily from his recent box scores. Herbert has rushed for at least 32 yards in two of his last three games. Since Week 7, he has been the QB9 in fantasy points per game. Across his last four games, among 34 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks third in yards per attempt and passer rating, fifth in CPOE, and eighth in fantasy points per dropback. Herbert could be a QB1 again this week against a pass defense that, since Week 5, has allowed the eighth-most passing yards per game, the sixth-most passing touchdowns, and the 12th-highest passer rating.

T.J. Hockenson (TE)

Last week, Hockenson saw his route share increase to 67% while drawing a 23.7% target share and 22.2% first-read share. He also produced 72 receiving yards (2.57 YPRR) as the TE5 for the week. Hockenson also had two red zone targets. Hockenson should see a healthy dose of volume this week, which likely puts him somewhere in the low-end TE1 tier, but I wouldn’t expect a smash performance. Tennessee has held tight ends to the fourth-fewest receiving yards per game and the sixth-lowest yards per reception.

Josh Downs (WR)

Downs is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, ranking seventh in red zone targets. In the three full games he has played with Anthony Richardson, Downs has had a 21.1% target share, 2.03 YPRR, one red zone target, and a team-leading 29.1% first-read share. Downs should lead the way for the Colts’ passing attack again this week. Since Week 6, the Jets have been a kinder matchup for slot receivers, allowing the tenth-highest PPR points per target and the seventh-highest passer rating when targeted.

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