Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice: Week 13
Goff is the QB13 in fantasy points per game with three QB1 outings this year. On a per-dropback basis, he has been amazing. Among 40 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks first in yards per attempt, second in passer rating, and fifth in CPOE and highly accurate throw rate. Goff should rip the Bears’ secondary in half this week. Since Week 7, the Bears have allowed the ninth-most passing yards per game, the highest yards per attempt, and the sixth-highest CPOE. They have massively struggled to defend deep passing during this stretch, giving up the third-highest deep passing yards per game, the seventh-highest passer rating, and the ninth-highest adjusted completion rate.
Over the last two weeks, Williams has played much better with Thomas Brown at the helm. Among 33 qualifying quarterbacks, he has ranked 11th in passing yards per game and CPOE, 19th in yards per attempt, 20th in aDOT, and sixth in hero throw rate. Brown has tried to keep things simple for Williams, as he has had the third-highest first-read throw rate. While Williams did utilize his legs again in Week 12 (six carries and 33 rushing yards), he had only one designed run (four in Week 11). Williams carved up the Vikings last week (QB4), so I won’t bet against him doing the same to Detroit this week. It will be a tough test, though. Since Week 7, Detroit has allowed the 11th-fewest yards per attempt, the seventh-lowest CPOE, and the third-fewest passing touchdowns. Williams should have time to read the field. Since Week 11, even with Za’Darius Smith helping out, Detroit has had the 11th-slowest time to pressure and the sixth-lowest pressure rate.
Allen is coming off a huge game, and he’s primed for another banner day in Week 13. Last week, he had a 31.3% target share with nine grabs, 86 receiving yards, and a 36.8% first-read share. Since Week 11, Allen has led the team with a 29.1% target share and 33.8% first-read share while also having a 1.61 YPRR and an end zone target. Detroit has the eighth-highest single-high rate (56%). It’s an incredibly small sample, but over the last two games against single-high, Allen has led the team with a 28% TPRR and 34.5% first-read share while ranking second with 2.22 YPRR. Detroit has bled out production to slot receivers all year, allowing the most receiving yards and the fourth-most fantasy points per game to the position.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.