Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice: Week 13
Thomas Jr. is the WR28 in fantasy, ranking 22nd in deep targets among wideouts. I know it’s difficult to assume, but right now let’s assume Trevor Lawrence will be back this week when looking at Thomas Jr.’s outlook for Week 13. In Weeks 1-9, with Lawrence, he had seven red zone targets, an 18.4% target share, 2.52 YPRR, and a 21.9% first-read share. In the Jags Week 4 meeting with Houston, the Texans utilized single high on 68.6% of their defensive snaps. In Weeks 1-9, against single high, Thomas Jr. had a 20.5% target share, 2.84 YPRR, and a 23.3% first-read share. That’s a sizable bump for Thomas Jr., and he’ll need it against a Houston secondary that, since Week 7, has held perimeter wide receivers to the fourth-lowest PPR points per target while also ranking 19th in receiving yards per game allowed.
After last week’s surprisingly massive game, Addison is now the WR33 in fantasy points per game. He has ten deep targets and only four red zone targets in his ten games played. He has seen three of those red-zone looks in the last four games. Since Week 6, Arizona has had the ninth-highest two high rate in the NFL (53.3%). Against two high, Addison has a 16.6% target share, 2.07 YPRR, and an 18.9% first-read share. Addison’s efficiency is encouraging that he can possibly overcome this week’s tough matchup. Since Week 7, Arizona has allowed the second-lowest PPR points per target and the tenth-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Since Week 7, White has been the RB8 in fantasy points per game, averaging 54% of the snaps with 12.4 touches and 66 total yards. This season, among 54 qualifying backs, he ranks 36th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 18th in yards after contact per attempt. White should have another nice day in Week 13. Since Week 7, Carolina has allowed the second-highest rushing yards per game, the 11th-highest yards after contact per attempt, the fifth-highest yards before contact per attempt, and the highest rushing success rate in the NFL.
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