Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice: Week 12
The last time Nix faced the Raiders, he finished as the QB8 for the week while completing 70.4% of his passes with 7.6 yards per attempt and two passing scores. Since Week 5, Nix has been the QB5 in fantasy points per game. Since Week 5, among 36 qualifying passers, Nix has ranked 17th in yards per attempt, seventh in passer rating, seventh in CPOE, and 6th in fantasy points per dropback. Nix should continue his hot streak this week. Since Week 7, Las Vegas has allowed the fourth-most passing touchdowns (tied), the eighth-highest passer rating, and the ninth-highest CPOE.
Since his return, Jennings has been amazing, averaging 20.7 fantasy points per game while soaking up a 32.8% target share and a 41.3% first-read share with 2.71 YPRR and 92 receiving yards per game. Jennings has seven deep targets and nine red zone looks in his eight games played. Since Week 6, Green Bay has been 11th in two high rate (51.6%). Against two high (minimum 40 routes), Jennings has led the team in TPRR (29%) and YPRR (3.29). Jennings should be a focal point of the passing attack again this week. Jennings will have to deal with Green Bay’s talented secondary that, since Week 6, has held perimeter wide receivers to the third-fewest receiving yards per game and the fifth-lowest PPR points per target.
Watson is coming off a game where he led the team with a 23.5% target share and 33.3% first-read share. He had a 76.1% air-yard share and 150 receiving yards. Overall, Watson has an 11.5% target share, 2.68 YPRR, and a 13.8% first-read share. He has three red zone targets in his last five games. Since Week 4, the 49ers have utilized Cover 3 or Cover 4 with 56.2% of their coverage snaps. Since Week 6, against these coverages, Watson has ranked second in TPRR (22%), first in YPRR (3.91), and third in first-read share (16.7%). We’ll see if Watson can continue his otherworldly efficiency against these coverages this week. He’ll need to if he wants to walk away from Week 12 with a strong game against a tough opponent. Since Week 6, the 49ers have been shutting down perimeter wide receivers, allowing the 12th-fewest fantasy points per game and the seventh-lowest PPR points per target to the position.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
