Welcome back, everybody! We’ve got NFL Week 11 officially in the books and a lot to recap from ALL the action! My goal with this weekly piece is to provide you with the KEY ACTION items – waiver wire pickups, trade, add, drop, stash, buy, sell, start, sit, etc. – for your fantasy football team based on what happened the previous week. Let me do the work of scouring through the data so you can just follow my lead. As my college marketing professor always said, “Keep it simple, stupid.” The KISS mantra is at its finest.

Obviously, I’ll cite data and what I watched on film from the weekend’s past matchups, highlighting what matters most and what’s potentially just noise. I will make a strong effort to feature players coming off polarizing performances, as they are sure to be the ones fantasy managers have the most question marks about.

And I’d be more than happy to include certain tables where I see they fit and/or there is a demand.

Again, the idea behind the Fantasy Forecast has always been about identifying which players are running routes, seeing high snap shares, and earning high-value targets, as these tend to be precursors for future fantasy production. And sometimes, they don’t always appear in the normal box score.

This will also be the final version featuring a trade advice column and graphics. With trade deadlines in the rearview window, we will shift focus to other actionable items regarding players such as with platforms like PrizePicks!

So, without further ado…let’s unveil the Fantasy Forecast for Week 12 to prepare our rosters for future success.

Because the forecast calls for a SHOCKINGLY fun Week 12 slate with 26 teams BACK in action with the six different teams on their bye weeks: Atlanta Falcons, Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengals, Jacksonville Jaguars, New Orleans Saints and New York Jets.

• More Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Advice
• Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
• Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
• Fantasy Football Trade Tools

Week 12 Fantasy Football Forecast

Jump ahead and check out my advice for each team using the table below

Trade Advice

My thoughts on this week’s trade market.

• Trade deadlines are approaching. Every move you make needs to be focused on either getting into the postseason or setting you up for a strong playoff run.
• Look at your roster. You might want to consider selling if you wouldn’t be “buying” certain players on your team in other leagues.
• How to sell a depreciating asset? Package it with something not so bad to take the other manager’s attention away from the negativity.
• Build a roster that strikes fear in your opponent. If you wouldn’t be afraid to face that player in a weekly matchup, trade them.

Green Bay Packers

Hold Tucker Kraft | Hold Jayden Reed | Buy Josh Jacobs | Buy Christian Watson | Drop Romeo Doubs

Jordan Love was efficient in Week 11, completing 13 of 17 passes for 261 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Love achieved a completion percentage of 76.5%, with a passer rating of 113 and an impressive 15.4 yards per attempt.

According to Next Gen Stats, Love completed every one of his six passes over 10 air yards for 182 yards and a touchdown in Week 11 against the Bears.

On the ground, Josh Jacobs carried the load with 18 rushes for 76 yards and one touchdown, averaging 4.2 yards per carry and a long run of 12 yards.  Jacobs had four red-zone rushing attempts converted into one rushing touchdown on an 80% snap share.

Love also contributed with his legs, rushing four times for 18 yards and a touchdown, averaging 4.5 yards per attempt. Emmanuel Wilson added 17 yards on two carries, averaging 8.5 yards per carry; however, he played fewer snaps than Chris Brooks (22% vs. 7%).

Brooks has out-snapped Wilson in three straight games.

With MarShawn Lloyd hurt, I’d bet this is a full-blown committee if Jacobs were to suffer an injury.

In the passing game, Christian Watson dominated with a career-high 150 yards on 4 receptions from 4 targets, averaging a stellar 37.5 yards per catch, with a long gain of 60 yards and an additional 52 yards after the catch. Watson commanded a 23% Target share and 100-plus air yards.

Per Next Gen Stats, Watson caught two receptions and gained 70+ yards when aligned in the slot (73 yards) and when aligned out wide (77 yards). His +76 receiving yards over expected against the Bears are the most by any Packers receiver this season.

This is why we have chased Watson’s usage for the last two weeks! In the last three games, Watson leads the Packers in targets (17) and air yards (315), catches (11) and receiving yards (226).

Jacobs showcased his versatility, catching 4 of 5 targets for 58 yards, with a long gain of 23 and 59 yards after the catch. He led the team with a 29% Target share.

Jayden Reed was effective with two receptions on two targets for 23 yards and the team’s sole receiving touchdown, boasting 11.5 yards per reception and a long gain of 15. He turned his single red-zone target into a touchdown. Reed’s targets have been down with his snaps/routes due to his slot status (50% route participation and 92% slot snap rate), but he still always seems to find a way. Too good of a player to trade away when you don’t get a strong enough return.

Romeo Doubs caught 1 of 2 targets for 17 yards, while Chris Brooks hauled in both of his targets for 13 yards, adding 25 yards after the catch. Doubs can be dropped in shallower formats.

Tight end Tucker Kraft and wide receiver Dontayvion Wicks were both targeted once but did not record a reception.

Kraft was targeted once in the red zone but did not score (the pass was intercepted). Do not panic. Kraft ran a route on 75% of dropbacks and played nearly all the snaps still.

Remaining schedule: vs. SF, vs. MIA, @ DET, @ SEA vs. NO, and @ MIN.

It’s the fifth-best schedule for RBs for the rest of the season. Buy Josh Jacobs.

It’s not ideal for Love, though. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Packers are tied for a bottom-5-ranked schedule for quarterbacks (with the Bears).
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Chicago Bears

Drop Caleb Williams | Hold Rome Odunze | Sell D.J. Moore & Keenan Allen & D’Andre Swift

Caleb Williams put together a solid performance in Week 11, completing 23 of 31 passes for 231 yards. While he didn’t record a touchdown or interception, his 74.2% completion rate and passer rating of 95 highlighted his efficiency, averaging 7.5 yards per attempt.

In his first game in the post-Shane Waldron era, Caleb Williams averaged his quickest time to throw of his career, getting rid of the ball in 2.42 seconds after the snap.

Williams was effective on quick passes, completing 15 of 18 passes for 141 yards and averaging +0.28 EPA per quick pass. His quick passing mitigated pressure, facing his fewest pressures (8) and lowest pressure rate (20.5%) of the season. Williams also set career highs in rushing yards on both scrambles (49) and designed runs (21), picking up five first downs on the ground overall.

According to Next Gen Stats, the Bears averaged the highest EPA per play (+0.23) and their 2nd-highest success rate (47.8%) in a game this season. Key to the Bears’ improved efficiency was their sustained drives. The Bears ran at least seven plays on their first six drives, with four of those drives having double-digit plays. The Bears hadn’t had four drives with 10+ plays in a game since Week 3.

On the ground, Williams added 70 rushing yards on nine carries, showcasing his dual-threat ability with an impressive 7.8 yards per carry.

D’Andre Swift was a key contributor in the run game, leading with 14 carries for 71 yards and a touchdown, averaging 5.1 yards per carry with a long gain of 39 yards. Roschon Johnson chipped in with 33 yards and a touchdown on 10 carries, averaging 3.3 yards per attempt. D.J. Moore also added five rushing yards on a single attempt.

Swift out-carried RJ eight to two in the first half. But Swift also only played 57% of the snaps to Johnson’s 42%. That was a season-high snap rate for Johnson and the lowest for Swift since Week 3.

Johnson also had four red-zone rushing attempts, which resulted in one touchdown. Swift only had one red-zone attempt.

In the passing game, Rome Odunze led the receiving corps (again) with six catches on 10 targets for 65 yards, averaging 10.8 yards per reception and a long gain of 21 yards: 32% Target share, 53% air yards share, and 32% target rate.

D.J. Moore was flawless, catching all 7 of his targets for 62 yards and averaging 8.9 yards per reception, with an impressive 55 yards after the catch. Note that all of these were short-quick hitters. Moore had six air yards. He converted his only red-zone target into a reception without scoring.

Cole Kmet provided a reliable option at tight end, hauling in all 3 of his targets for 42 yards, including a 25-yard long reception.

Keenan Allen contributed 41 yards on four catches from ten targets, with a 17-yard long gain. Allen continues to gobble up targets, but he is brutal with his efficiency.

Swift and Johnson were also involved in the passing game. Swift caught both of his targets for 13 yards, averaging 6.5 yards per reception, while Johnson caught his lone target for 8 yards.

Use this dead-cat bounce performance by the Bears offense to SELL.  No team has a more difficult schedule this season than the Bears.

From Weeks 12-17, it’s MIN, @ DET, @ SF, @ MIN, DET and SEA.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Bears are tied for the No.32-ranked schedule for quarterbacks and dead last for receivers.

Per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool, the Bears also have the fourth-worst schedule for fantasy RBs for the rest of the season.

Sell Swift, who probably has the most value left. Injuries have decimated the Bears OL and he is losing out on high-value touches to Johnson.

The only Bear I’ll leave the light on for is Odunze. He is an uber-talented rookie and leads the Bears in receiving yards this season amid difficult target competition.
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Jacksonville Jaguars

Hold Evan Engram & Brian Thomas Jr. | Hold /Drop Tank Bigsby | Hold Travis Etienne Jr.

Mac Jones struggled in Week 11, completing 17 of 29 passes for 138 yards with no touchdowns and an interception. His completion percentage of 58.6% and passer rating of 56.4 reflected a challenging day for the Jaguars’ passing offense, averaging just 4.8 yards per attempt.

On the ground, Travis Etienne led the backfield with 12 carries for 27 yards, averaging 2.3 yards per carry with a long gain of 9 yards. He played 75% of the snaps with Tank Bigsby inactive.

Mac Jones contributed seven rushing yards on two attempts, while Brian Thomas Jr. and D’Ernest Johnson combined for 7 yards on three carries.

Given the state of the dysfunctional Jaguars, you just have to sit tight with this backfield. Etienne might be a sneaky buy, given the injury to Bigsby, if anything.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Jaguars have the fourth-worst-ranked schedule for running backs. However, it does ease up in Weeks 14-15 against the Jets/Raiders plus Colts in Week 17 (reason to hold onto Etienne and Bigsby).

However, given the Week 12 bye week, I’m cool releasing Bigby if you need the roster space.

Brian Thomas Jr. was the standout performer in the passing game, catching 5 of 7 targets for 82 yards, averaging 16.4 yards per reception with a long gain of 24 yards and an impressive 49 yards after the catch. He had another 33-yard catch reversed, on which he also got injured. 25% Target share and nearly 100 air yards.

Tight end Evan Engram also contributed with five receptions on seven targets for 28 yards, averaging 5.6 yards per reception (25% Target share).

Parker Washington made a single 10-yard reception on three targets, while Etienne added three catches for 6 yards.

Among other contributors, tight ends Brenton Strange and Luke Farrell each caught their lone targets for 6 and 3 yards, respectively. Gabe Davis and Devin Duvernay were quiet, with Davis recording one catch for 3 yards on three targets and Duvernay failing to haul in either of his two targets.

Gabe Davis sustained a knee injury and did not return to Sunday’s game against the Lions. He will miss the remainder of the season with a torn meniscus.

Brian Thomas Jr. also left the game due to an unspecified injury.

The Jags passing game – for better or worse – seems to go through Engram especially if the Thomas injury is serious.

At least Doug Pederson will be gone, and the team should get Trevor Lawrence back after the bye week.

After Week 12, Jacksonville finishes the season against HOU, @ TEN, vs. NYJ, @ LV, @ TEN, and @ IND.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Jaguars are tied for the No.32-ranked schedule for quarterbacks. Dead last for WRs as well.
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Detroit Lions

Buy Jameson Williams & David Montgomery & Jahmyr Gibbs | Sell/Hold Sam LaPorta

Jared Goff led a dominant offensive performance for the Detroit Lions, completing 24 of 29 passes for 412 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions. Goff’s 82.8% completion rate and a passer rating of 158.3 highlight his efficiency, averaging an impressive 14.2 yards per attempt. Backup quarterback Hendon Hooker also saw limited action, completing 3 of 4 passes for 37 yards.

On the ground, David Montgomery carried the load with 15 attempts for 75 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Rookie Jahmyr Gibbs complemented him with 11 carries for 69 yards and a touchdown, showcasing explosiveness with a long gain of 23 yards. Craig Reynolds added 21 yards on two carries, while Sione Vaki contributed 9 yards on five attempts.

If you have been struggling at RB this season, try to trade for either Gibbs or Montgomery. In nine games, they have combined for 19 out of 20 top-22 RB finishes. No backfield has been more consistent. They also have the No. 1-schedule left for RBs.

Other than selling LaPorta and buying Williams (probably too late now), there are not many takeaways from the Lions. They are a juggernaut on offense.

Detroit plays @ IND, vs CHI, vs GB, vs BUF, @ CHI and @ SF.

Detroit passed their first scheduling quirk by playing outdoors for the first time all season three weeks ago in Green Bay. Still, it could get dicey at Chicago in Week 16 if it’s cold and/or bad weather. At least the Bears’ run defense has struggled, putting Detroit in the driver’s seat even in the fantasy football playoffs.

Amon-Ra St. Brown was the star of the receiving corps, catching all 11 of his targets for 161 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 14.6 yards per reception and adding 60 yards after the catch.

ASRB secured two red-zone receptions from two targets, scoring one touchdown.

Jameson Williams delivered a big-play performance, hauling in 4 of 6 targets for 124 yards and a touchdown, with a long gain of 64 yards and 66 yards after the catch.

Other notable contributors included Jahmyr Gibbs, who caught a 54-yard pass on his lone target, and Kalif Raymond, who secured 2 receptions for 30 yards. Tim Patrick added three receptions for 26 yards, while Shane Zylstra recorded a 22-yard catch. Patrick made one red-zone reception but did not score.

David Montgomery and Amon-Ra St. Brown also contributed to the passing game, with Montgomery catching 3 passes for 20 yards and St. Brown catching a screen pass for -4 yards.

Brock Wright turned his only red-zone target into a touchdown. Sam LaPorta did not play.

The Lions’ offense displayed an exceptional balance of efficiency and explosiveness, making them a tough team to defend heading into the final stretch of the season.
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Las Vegas Raiders

Buy Brock Bowers | Add Ameer Abdullah | Add Jakobi Meyers

Gardner Minshew led the Las Vegas Raiders with a solid performance, completing 30 of 43 passes for 282 yards and two touchdowns, along with one interception. He posted a 69.8% completion rate, a passer rating of 93.4, and averaged 6.6 yards per attempt.

Jakobi Meyers had a rare rushing attempt for a wide receiver, gaining 20 yards on one carry.

Alexander Mattison contributed 19 yards on five carries, averaging 3.8 yards per attempt—three red-zone rushing attempts without scoring. Zamir White was held to 9 yards on five attempts, while Minshew added 7 yards on two scrambles. White started and led the backfield in first-half carries (four).

White left Sunday’s game against the Dolphins with a quad injury. Mattison exited the same game due to an ankle injury.

Tucker and Ameer Abdullah each recorded minimal contributions on the ground, with Abdullah gaining 1 yard on one carry and Brock Bowers losing 3 yards on his single attempt.

Ameer Abdullah added a red-zone receiving touchdown, catching all three of his targets for 16 yards.

Given the injuries to the Raiders’ backfield, you might need to add one off waivers this week. That being said, given the brutal matchup versus the Broncos, we are talking very low offer amounts. You are banking on one of the Raiders RBs just catching passes, which both Laube and Abdullah are capable of doing. Considering Laube has been inactive all season, I’ll just take the veteran with Addullah as a plug-in PPR option.

The Raiders do have a good playoff schedule for RBs.

Tight end Brock Bowers was the standout performer, catching 13 of his 16 targets for 126 yards and a touchdown (41% Target share, 43% air yards share).

He averaged 9.7 yards per reception, with a long of 23 yards, and added 79 yards after the catch. He had two red-zone targets, resulting in one reception but no red-zone touchdowns.

Per Next Gen Stats, Bowers’ 13 receptions in Week 11 were the most ever by a rookie TE in NFL history.

Alexander Mattison showcased versatility, hauling in all three of his targets for 50 yards, including a long gain of 31 yards with 56 yards after the catch.

D.J. Turner caught all three of his targets for 29 yards, averaging 9.7 yards per reception.

Jakobi Meyers had 28 receiving yards on four catches from six targets, while Tre Tucker contributed 28 yards on three receptions, including a 22-yard long.

Michael Mayer had minimal impact, catching one pass for 5 yards on four targets. Mayer made one catch on two red-zone targets without scoring. He ran a route on 88% of dropbacks.

Las Vegas schedule is vs DEN, @ KC, @ TB, vs ATL, vs JAC and @ NO.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Raiders have an average remaining schedule for WRs. Buy Meyers after a down-game.
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Miami Dolphins

Hold Jaylen Waddle | Buy De’Von Achane | Add Jaylen Wright | Sell Raheem Mostert & Tyreek Hill | Add Jonnu Smith

Tua Tagovailoa delivered a strong performance for the Miami Dolphins, completing 28 of 36 passes for 288 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. He posted a 77.8% completion rate, a passer rating of 127.8, and averaged 8 yards per attempt.

De’Von Achane led the backfield with 17 carries for 73 yards and a touchdown, averaging 4.3 yards per carry, with a long run of 30 yards (62% snap share).

Achane had five red-zone rushing attempts, resulting in one touchdown. He also caught one red-zone target but did not score a receiving touchdown.

Malik Washington recorded one carry for seven yards.

Jaylen Wright gained 4 yards on five carries, averaging 0.8 yards per attempt.

Raheem Mostert was held to -2 yards on three carries, averaging -0.7 yards per attempt. He also got hurt. Three red zone rushing attempts but no touchdowns.

As the Dolphins RB3, he doesn’t need to be rostered.

Achane led the Dolphins with eight carries in the first half.

Tight end Jonnu Smith led all receivers with six catches on eight targets for 101 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 16.8 yards per reception and a long of 57 yards. Caught one of two red-zone targets for a touchdown. Smith ran a route on 87% of dropbacks.

He has been the team’s Target share leader for the last three weeks. Considering the usage, it’s not surprising that he is producing, but to this extent is the most shocking part.

Tyreek Hill caught seven of his eight targets for 61 yards and a touchdown, averaging 8.7 yards per catch. Converted two of three red-zone targets into one touchdown. Back-to-back games with TDs, I’d still look to sell high. Hill still has the wrist injury going on, and the game-breaking upside he has shown in the past hasn’t been there for Hill in the 2024 offense.

Jaylen Waddle had two receptions on three targets for 37 yards, averaging an impressive 18.5 yards per reception with a long of 24 yards.

If you were to tell me at the beginning of the season that Smith would be the reason why Waddle is a bust in 2024, I would have laughed in your face. Entering Week 12, I still can’t believe it.

But Waddle just isn’t a focal point in the offense—fourth in Target share since Week 8 (14%).

You can’t trade Waddle because you won’t get anything for him. I think that he’s just a bench guy because we know the talent is there, but he can’t be trusted unless there’s a usage change.

But please do not just tilt-drop him. If there’s a strong waiver wire option that you like more than Waddle, sure to make the move. But don’t try a high-upside player because you are frustrated. Good matchup next week against the Patriots. Christian Gonzalez shadowed Hill the last time the Patriots played Miami. Waddle saw a season-high eight targets versus the Patriots.

Per FantasyPros’ SOS tool, the Dolphins have the fourth-most favorable schedule for fantasy WRs.

Prizepicks has Waddle’s receiving prop at 35.5 yards. I’m sorry but this number is just such a low bar to pass. MORE THAN. He’s been bad all season and still hit this prop in 70% of his games.

So, you’re telling me there’s a chance…

De’Von Achane added 32 receiving yards on four catches, averaging 8 yards per reception, including a long of 17 yards.

His dual usage as a receiver/rusher is off the charts. Buy vs. NE next. Then Miami will play @ GB, vs. NYJ, @ HOU, vs. SF, and @ CLE.

Julian Hill caught two of his three targets for 28 yards, averaging 14 yards per reception.

Odell Beckham Jr. added two catches on four targets for 13 yards, averaging 6.5 yards per reception.

Malik Washington was efficient, catching all three of his targets for 11 yards.

Durham Smythe and Julian Wright contributed minimal yardage, each recording one reception for three and two yards, respectively.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Dolphins have a mediocre schedule for quarterbacks.

Once they pop, sell. The weather will get colder, and then this Dolphins offense won’t be nearly as effective.
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Los Angeles Rams

Sell Matthew Stafford & Cooper Kupp | Hold Kyren Williams | Add Blake Corum

Matthew Stafford led the Los Angeles Rams to an impressive offensive showing, completing 18 of 27 passes for 295 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. Stafford posted a 66.7% completion rate, a passer rating of 142.7, and averaged 10.9 yards per attempt.

Kyren Williams carried the ball 15 times for 86 yards, averaging an efficient 5.7 yards per carry, with a long run of 18 yards. He played 81% of the snaps. But his TD-less streak has continued, and the sub-20 touches per game has been dwindling.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Rams have the No. 3 most favorable schedule for RBs. At this point, Williams is probably a better buy than anything else. It might be the best time to buy NOW after he didn’t score a TD in three straight games. Williams is third in the NFL in touches this season (216).

Blake Corum contributed 21 yards on five carries, averaging 4.2 yards per attempt with a long of 10 yards. Corum added one reception for 7 yards, showing his versatility as a rusher and receiver.

19% snap share was a season-high for Corum. Keep. Him. Stashed. He saw the lone red-one carry for the Rams in Week 11 (from the five-yard line).

Matthew Stafford added four rushing attempts but gained no yards.

Puka Nacua had a stellar game, catching 7 of 9 targets for 123 yards and a touchdown, averaging 17.6 yards per reception, with a long of 37 yards. Two red-zone targets resulted in two receptions and one touchdown. 33% Target share with 116 air yards.

Cooper Kupp also delivered, catching 6 of 10 targets for 106 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 17.7 yards per reception and a long of 69 yards.  He caught one of three red-zone targets for one touchdown and scored on a long broken play—37% Target share.

Tutu Atwell recorded one reception on two targets for 21 yards, averaging 21 yards per catch.

Demarcus Robinson caught 2 of 4 targets for 19 yards, averaging 9.5 yards per reception with a long of 10 yards.

Colby Parkinson made his lone target count with a 19-yard touchdown reception. However, he was still the TE2 in usage, as Davis Allen ran a route on 56% of dropbacks and played more snaps.

Until Tyler Higbee returns, Allen is the TE1 for L.A. But it’s not useful for fantasy purposes.

This week they vs. PHI, @ NO, vs BUF, @ SF, @ NYJ and vs ARI.

The Rams have the worst schedule left for QBs, likely impacting their WRs.

Ergo, don’t chase Stafford after his big game against the Patriots. The Eagles matchup is no joke.

Since their bye week, no QB has thrown for more than 234 yards against them. Take the LESS than 262.5 passing yards on Prizepicks for Week 12.
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New England Patriots

Hold/Add Drake Maye | Hold Hunter Henry | Buy Rhamondre Stevenson | Add DeMario Douglas & Kayshon Boutte

Drake Maye demonstrated poise under center for the New England Patriots, completing 30 of 40 passes for 282 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. He finished with a 75% completion rate, a passer rating of 100.2, and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt.

Rhamondre Stevenson led the backfield with 20 carries for 73 yards, averaging 3.7 yards per carry with a long run of 12 yards. Five red-zone rushing attempts but no touchdowns. He also caught both of his two red-zone targets but did not score.

Stevenson contributed in the passing game, catching all four targets for 16 yards, including 26 yards after the catch. 76% snap share. He also fumbled, but the offense recovered.

Stevenson had another uncharacteristic finish in Week 11. His streak as the Amari Cooper of RBs this season came to an end. In his first nine games played this season. Five top 10 finishes (including three inside the top 5). Then three outside the top 40 overall.

Over the last two weeks, he has been in the RB2 range. It’s great that he has increased his floor production, which had been very shaky in previous weeks.

Like I said last week, I think I’ve reached the point with Stevenson that I only care about chasing his potential ceiling. So unless you are trading him for a sweet return (probably not), I think he’s now a buy candidate.

Maye contributed 27 rushing yards on three attempts, averaging an efficient 9 yards per carry with a 16-yard run.

Antonio Gibson added 18 yards on four carries, averaging 4.5 yards per attempt with a long of 7 yards on a 17% snap rate.

Marcus Jones chipped in 5 yards on a single carry.

JaMycal Hasty rounded out the ground game with two carries for 2 yards.

Kendrick Bourne was clutch, catching all 5 of his targets for 70 yards and a red-zone touchdown, averaging 14 yards per reception with a long of 21 yards and 31 yards after the catch. Bourne ran a route on 46% of dropbacks. He seems to be out of the doghouse.

Hunter Henry provided a strong presence at tight end, catching 6 of 11 targets (24% Target share) for 63 yards, averaging 10.5 yards per reception with a long of 15 yards. He caught one of two red-zone targets without scoring. Henry ran a route on 85% of dropbacks.

Demario Douglas caught 5 of 7 targets for 59 yards, averaging 11.8 yards per catch with a long of 28 yards and a game-high 48 yards after the catch.

Austin Hooper was reliable, hauling in all four targets for 35 yards, averaging 8.8 yards per catch with a 19-yard long.

Kayshon Boutte caught 4 of 6 targets for 33 yards, averaging 8.3 yards per reception with a long of 13 yards. He had a drop early on and ran a route on 91% of dropbacks. He also led the Patriots in air yards. He has nearly 400 air yards in his last four games.

Offensive tackle Vederian Lowe scored a touchdown on his lone target, a 4-yard reception.

Antonio Gibson added one reception for 2 yards, while J. Bell was targeted once but did not record a catch.

The rest of the schedule: @ MIA, vs. IND, BYE, @ ARI, @ BUF, and vs. LAC.

Per FantasyPros’ SOS tool, it’s the No. 1 most favorable schedule for fantasy WRs.
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Cleveland Browns

Add Elijah Moore & Jerry Jeudy | Hold David Njoku | Buy Cedric Tillman | Hold/Buy Nick Chubb

Jameis Winston led the Cleveland Browns’ offense with a solid performance, completing 30 of 46 passes for 395 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions. He finished with a 65.2% completion rate, a 106.7 passer rating, and averaged 8.6 yards per attempt.

According to Next Gen Stats, Winston averaged a season-high 11.2 air yards per attempt against the Saints, the most by a Browns quarterback in a game this season.

With whirling Winston at QB, these Browns WRs will have opportunities to score big fantasy points every single week.

Nick Chubb carried the ball 11 times for 50 yards, averaging 4.5 yards per carry with a long of 14 yards.

Jerome Ford added five carries for 10 yards, averaging 2 yards per attempt with a long of 5 yards.

Winston had one rushing attempt for 8 yards.

Pierre Strong contributed 5 yards on two carries, averaging 2.5 yards per carry.

Kadarius Toney lost 7 yards on a single rushing attempt.

The team got away from Chubb in the rushing attack, as he played just 30% of the snaps. With negative game script taking over, Ford played more (56%).

However, Chubb was effective as a rusher, averaging 4.5 yards per carry and having a 54.5% success rate.

After a disappointing effort, I still think he’s a buy-low target. But it’s more of a depth acquisition.

The Steelers, Broncos, Steelers, and Chiefs are next. No doubt it’s a tougher schedule for the ground game after NO.

Jerry Jeudy was explosive, catching 6 of 11 targets for 142 yards and a touchdown. He averaged 23.7 yards per reception, with a long of 89 yards and 73 yards after the catch. 24% Target share and nearly 150 air yards.

David Njoku caught all 9 of his targets for 81 yards, averaging 9 yards per reception with a long of 18 yards and 60 yards after the catch. He also caught a two-point conversion.

Elijah Moore hauled in 6 of 8 targets for 66 yards and a touchdown, averaging 11 yards per reception with a long of 30 yards. He also had close to 150 air yards.

Cedric Tillman made three catches on eight targets for 47 yards, averaging 15.7 yards per reception with a long of 22 yards. Winston missed him a few times in the end zone, so I think he will bounce back. He still tied Moore with eight targets and saw 120 air yards.

He is first on the Browns in Target share (22%) and first in air yards share (33%) over in the Browns’ last four games. Nothing has changed about who the ALPHA is in this passing game.

As for Moore/Jeudy, I struggled to pick between these two guys last week. I chose Moore as the add and was wrong after Jeudy caught the 89-yard touchdown.

I strongly believe that Tillman is the standout of the group, with Jeudy/Moore mirroring usage with Winston. Both guys are WR fliers most weeks, and I think we might see these guys flip-flop production.

That being said, the odds of hitting Winston are not bad on any given week. And given how Jeudy was being forced targets, he seems like the guy who will have the most consistent play moving forward. He also runs more routes.

Although, I do like Moore a lot against the Steelers, given how bad they typically are against slot wide receivers.

Just be wary in general the schedule is tough for the Browns coming up before you blow your entire FAAB on Jeudy. Weeks 16-17 are against the Bengals and Dolphins, where things get lighter, and you’ll be happy to have the Browns rostered for a playoff surge.

Jerome Ford added value in the passing game, catching all 4 of his targets for 29 yards, averaging 7.3 yards per reception, including a long of 14 yards and 42 yards after the catch.

Jordan Akins had one reception on four targets for 19 yards. Targeted twice in the red zone without a reception.

Jamari Thrash caught his lone target for 11 yards.
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New Orleans Saints

Hold/Sell Alvin Kamara | Add Taysom Hill & Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Derek Carr had an efficient outing, completing 21 of 27 passes for 248 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions. He posted a 77.8% completion rate, a passer rating of 129.6, and averaged 9.2 yards per attempt.

Taysom Hill attempted two passes, completing 1 for 18 yards, but threw one interception, finishing with a passer rating of 41.7. Hill was a dominant force in the rushing game, carrying the ball 7 times for 138 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 19.7 yards per carry with a long run of 75 yards.

According to Next Gen Stats, Hill accumulated 138 rushing yards and three touchdowns on seven carries, with every one of his touchdowns coming from Wildcat alignment.

Hill’s 126 rushing yards and 3 TDs from Wildcat alignment are both the most in a game in the NGS era (since 2016). Across 32 offensive snaps, Hill lined up in the slot 10 times, at quarterback 8 times, in the backfield 6 times, and aligned tight and out wide on four plays each.

Alvin Kamara contributed 16 carries for 67 yards, averaging 4.2 yards per carry with a long of 18 yards: four red-zone rushing attempts but no touchdowns.

Kamara was effective as a pass-catcher, catching all 4 of his targets for 22 yards, averaging 5.5 yards per reception with a long of 18 yards and 39 yards after the catch.

At this point with Kamara, it’s just a matter of how long he can keep this up. And Hill’s emergence around the red zone won’t make it easier for AK41 to score touchdowns (even though that wasn’t the specific case in Week 11). It is very clear that Taysom Hill has a projectable red-zone role.

He leads the NFL with 238 touches. He’s on pace for 370 touches. He’s never had 300 in any season of his career. I’d like to get out earlier if I can.

Derek Carr added eight rushing yards on one carry.

Jordan Mims had two carries for 3 yards.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling had a huge impact, catching 2 of 4 targets for 87 yards and a touchdown, averaging an impressive 43.5 yards per reception with a long of 71 yards and 71 yards after the catch. Marquez Valdes-Scantling ran a route on 84% of dropbacks and tied Kamara for the second-most targets while leading the way with almost 100 air yards (43% air yards share).

MVS isn’t going to score a long TD every week, but it’s clear that he is the Saints WR1 for the rest of the season, assuming Chris Olave does not return.

Like I said last week, he seems to slide seamlessly into the Rashid Shaheed role. And as bad as he is at commanding targets in his career, nobody on this team can command targets.

Taysom Hill was also active as a receiver, hauling in 8 of 10 targets for 50 yards, averaging 6.3 yards per catch with a long of 14 yards and 33 yards after the catch: 36% Target share and elite 55% target rate per route run.

Hill ran a route on 58% of dropbacks. Two red-zone targets, both caught, but no touchdowns. He also lost a fumble.

Foster Moreau caught 3 of 4 targets for 50 yards, averaging 16.7 yards per reception with a long of 22 yards. Moreau ran a route on 74% of dropbacks. He is the TE1 in usage for the Saints.

Juwan Johnson brought in all three of his targets for 30 yards and a red-zone touchdown, averaging 10 yards per reception with a long of 20 yards. He only ran a route on 48% of the dropbacks. The broadcasters talked about how much they like Johnson, but the sure have an odd way of showing it.

Kevin Austin Jr. caught 1 of 2 targets for 18 yards. Austin Jr. ran a route on 52% of dropbacks, and he led all Saints WRs in snaps played (68%).

Mason Tipton was inactive.

Dante Pettis hauled in his lone target for 9 yards.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Saints have the No.5th-ranked schedule for quarterbacks/No.9 for RBs for the rest of the season.

They are on a Week 12 bye week. Then it’s Rams, Giants, Commanders, Packers and Raiders to round out the season.

Admittedly, the playoff schedule is very nice.
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Baltimore Ravens

Hold Mark Andrews | Drop Diontae Johnson

Lamar Jackson struggled with consistency, completing 16 of 33 passes for 207 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He posted a 48.5% completion rate, a passer rating of 66.1, and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt.

Derrick Henry led the ground attack with 13 carries for 65 yards and one touchdown, averaging 5 yards per carry, with a long run of 31 yards.

Lamar Jackson added 46 rushing yards on four carries, averaging 11.5 yards per attempt, including a 25-yard run.

Justice Hill contributed two carries for 13 yards, averaging 6.5 yards per carry, with a long run of 9 yards.

Isaiah Likely led all pass-catchers with four receptions on five targets for 75 yards, averaging 18.8 yards per catch, including a long of 42 yards and 47 yards after the catch. Isaiah Likely ran a route on 49% of dropbacks.

Mark Andrews contributed two receptions on three targets for 22 yards, averaging 11 yards per reception, with a long of 14 yards and 6 yards after the catch. Mark Andrews ran a route on 51% of dropbacks.

Andrews’ production was likely to come back to Earth with Likely back in the lineup.

Zay Flowers hauled in 2 of his 6 targets for 39 yards and 1 touchdown, averaging 19.5 yards per reception, with a long of 23 yards and 19 yards after the catch. 20% Target share.

Rashod Bateman caught 2 of his five targets for 30 yards, averaging 15 yards per reception, with a long of 19 yards and 7 yards after the catch.

Justice Hill recorded four catches on seven targets for 28 yards, averaging 7 yards per reception, with a long of 22 yards and 33 yards after the catch. Hill led the team with a 23% Target share.

Tylan Wallace made one catch on one target for 8 yards.

Patrick Ricard caught his lone target for 5 yards.

Nelson Agholor and Diontae Johnson were targeted but did not record a reception.

Diontae Johnson ran a route on 17% of dropbacks and came up short on a sideline throw from Jackson. Agholor had a big catch called back on a penalty. DJ had 68 air yards on his two targets, which ranked second on the Ravens.

DJ has played three games as a Raven and has barely played. At this point, he seems like just depth, which is a week away from being viability in fantasy football. We are hoping he gets the Agholor role at this point, and nobody is ever vying to start him in any capacity.

Baltimore will face, the Chargers, and Eagles before a bye week. Giants, Steelers (again), and Texans in the fantasy football playoffs.

If anything, Johnson might be a sharp stash after Baltimore’s bye week.
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Pittsburgh Steelers

Add Russell Wilson | Sell Najee Harris | Add Jaylen Warren | Buy George Pickens | Sell Pat Freiermuth

Russell Wilson completed 23 of 36 attempts for 205 yards, no touchdowns, and one interception. He posted a completion percentage of 63.9%, a passer rating of 67.5, and averaged 5.7 yards per attempt.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Steelers have a top-10-ranked schedule for quarterbacks for the rest of the season. Projections have him for 200-plus yards.

Even after a down game against the Ravens, I’d expect Russ to get back on track versus the Browns. Leaky defense that continues to give up explosive plays. On Prizepicks, go MORE than 179.5 passing yards for Wilson on Thursday night. In four straight games, he has gone over this number.

Najee Harris handled 18 carries for 63 yards, averaging 3.5 yards per carry, with a long run of 13 yards. Jaylen Warren contributed 41 yards on nine carries, averaging 4.6 yards per carry, with a long run of 9 yards.

Najee Harris contributed as a receiver with four receptions on five targets for 30 yards, averaging 7.5 yards per catch, with a long of 20 yards and 49 yards after the catch.

Jaylen Warren also made an impact in the passing game, catching all 4 of his targets for 27 yards, averaging 6.8 yards per catch, with a long of 12 yards and 30 yards after the catch.

Harris dominated the carries in the first half a went back to his 58% snap share to Warren’s 33%.

Warren was dealing with a back injury, so it remains to be seen whether or not he was slated for more work. Either way, any reduction in Harris’ volume is going to hurt him down the line.

Another Ravens matchup, Eagles and KC in the playoffs is brutal for Harris.

The Steelers play @ CLE next on Thursday night, followed by @ CIN, vs CLE, @ PHI, @ BAL and vs KC.

There are lighter matchups in the next few weeks, but the playoffs look really tough.

Justin Fields, in a rare rushing role, gained 17 yards on two carries, averaging 8.5 yards per attempt.

Russell Wilson had four rush attempts for just 1 yard, averaging 0.3 yards per attempt.

Cordarrelle Patterson logged one carry but was stopped for no gain.

George Pickens led the passing attack with eight receptions on 12 targets for 89 yards, averaging 11.1 yards per catch, with a long of 37 yards and 28 yards after the catch.

One red-zone reception from two targets but no touchdowns. 38% Target share and 89 air yards.

Still, the best might be yet to come. Keep in mind he only had two TDs this season despite being top-10 in yards among WRs.

Dude has been absolutely balling with Wilson under center, with a 30% Target share, 48% air yards share averaging 91 receiving yards per game. Buy HIM aggressively.

The line is 58.5 receiving yards on Prizepicks for Week 12? Child, please. MORE THAN.

Darnell Washington caught 2 of his four targets for 42 yards, averaging 21 yards per catch, with a long of 25 yards and 19 yards after the catch. He was targeted once in the red zone without a catch. 39% route participation. He has 12 targets in the last four games, and there is a visible connection between him and Wilson when Washington is on the field. The big tight end also ran the most routes in Week 11 since Wilson took over as the starter.

He has also gone more than 11.5 receiving yards in three of those four games. Take the over on Prizepicks on Thursday Night.

Pat Freiermuth added 14 yards on two receptions from 2 targets, averaging 7 yards per catch, with a long of 9 yards and 6 yards after the catch. He converted his lone red-zone target into a reception but did not score. Freiermuth ran a route on 66% of dropbacks.

Still, don’t get it twisted. Freiermuth has ten targets in the four games started by Russell Wilson. Leave him on waivers.

Ben Skowronek caught his lone target for 4 yards.

Cordarrelle Patterson caught one pass for no gain.

Van Jefferson was targeted once but did not record a reception.

Calvin Austin III had one catch on two targets for a loss of 1 yard, with 1 yard after the catch.

Mike Williams only ran a route on 37% of the dropbacks—an increase from last week.
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Minnesota Vikings

Sell Aaron Jones | Buy T.J. Hockenson | Sell Jordan Addison | Add Cam Akers

Sam Darnold completed 20 of 32 passes for 246 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions. He had a completion percentage of 62.5%, a passer rating of 107, and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt.

Aaron Jones managed 39 yards on 15 carries, averaging 2.6 yards per attempt, with a long run of 5 yards. One red-zone rushing attempt without scoring.

Cam Akers contributed 25 yards on 10 carries, averaging 2.5 yards per attempt, with a long run of 12 yards. One red-zone rushing attempt and one red-zone reception resulted in a receiving touchdown.

Akers caught both of his targets for 11 yards and a receiving touchdown, averaging 5.5 yards per catch, with a long of 8 yards and 9 yards after the catch.

Jones caught his only target for 4 yards, with 6 yards after the catch.

Jones split carries six versus three in the first half with Akers.

I’ve voiced concerns about Jones’ workload in previous editions of the forecast, and we are starting to see it reduced. 53% snap marked his lowest in a game this season without any injury.

Akers needs to be rostered everywhere, given Jones’ injury history and the small injuries he’s dealt with this season.

Minnesota plays @ CHI and vs ARI. Then it’s vs ATL, vs CHI, @ SEA and vs GB.

This is a good schedule for the offense to stay on an upward trend. Hold your Vikings tight if you don’t see any great deals. However, given that Jones is an older RB who has already had a soft-body tissue injury, among others, this season, add/hold Akers. Also, entertain the idea of “selling high” on Jones based on the injury history and the fact that he is getting an overwhelming amount of touches. He’s pacing for over 300 touches, coming off by far his worst game to date, where he averaged 2.6 yards per carry and an abysmal 6.7% success rate. This is a friendly reminder that the Titans have an elite run-stuffing defense.

Sam Darnold added 18 yards on eight carries, scoring a rushing touchdown while averaging 2.3 yards per attempt, with a long of 6 yards.

Justin Jefferson caught 6 of 8 targets for 81 yards, averaging 13.5 yards per catch, with a long reception of 31 yards and 18 yards after the catch. He made two catches from three red-zone targets but did not score.

Jordan Addison hauled in 3 of 8 targets (27% Target share) for 61 yards and a touchdown, averaging 20.3 yards per reception, with a long catch of 47 yards and 30 yards after the catch. Addison ran a route on 59% of dropbacks as he got banged up during the game.

Your weekly reminder on the second-year WR. Addison’s hearing was originally slated for October 7th, stemming from his off-field incident earlier this offseason. However, as of that date in question, the arraignment and plea hearing for Addison, stemming from two misdemeanor charges in July for DUI, is now scheduled for Dec. 3, according to Superior Court of California online records per ESPN’s Kevin Seifert. That would be before Week 14 and the fantasy football playoffs.

Josh Oliver caught all 3 of his targets for 34 yards, averaging 11.3 yards per reception, with a long of 21 yards and 23 yards after the catch.

Trent Sherfield turned his lone target into a 16-yard reception, with 10 yards after the catch. Johnny Mundt recorded a 13-yard reception on his lone target, with 14 yards after the catch. Brandon Powell also had a 13-yard catch on 1 target, with 1 yard after the catch.

T.J. Hockenson caught 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards, averaging 6.5 yards per reception, with a long of 9 yards and 3 yards after the catch. Hockenson only ran a route on 49% of dropbacks. Bizarre usage that I don’t think will hold.

Jalen Nailor was targeted twice but did not record a reception.
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Tennessee Titans

Add Will Levis | Hold/Sell Tony Pollard | Hold Calvin Ridley 

Will Levis completed 17 of 31 pass attempts for 295 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He posted a completion percentage of 54.8%, a passer rating of 84.7, and averaged 9.5 yards per attempt.

Levis rushed 7 times for 18 yards, averaging 2.6 yards per carry, with a long run of 10 yards.

Tony Pollard had nine carries for 15 yards, averaging 1.7 yards per carry, with a long run of 4 yards. One red-zone rushing attempt without scoring.

Tyjae Spears managed three carries but did not gain any yards, with a long of 4 yards.

Pollard was still the snap share leader at 63%, but he couldn’t overcome another bad matchup and a split workload with Spears (44%).

It’s why we wanted to sell high on Pollard a few weeks back.

Per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool, the Titans have a bottom-two schedule for fantasy RBs for the rest of the season.

But it should be noted that Spears suffered a concussion, putting Pollard back in the 80% snap share driver’s seat. If you can use the injury to ship off Pollard, I’d pull the trigger.

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine led the receiving effort, catching two of 6 targets (21% Target share) for 117 yards and a touchdown, averaging an impressive 58.5 yards per catch, with a long reception of 98 yards and 64 yards after the catch. Westbrook-Ikhine ran a route on 77% of dropbacks. Will he ever stop scoring TDs?

Calvin Ridley caught 4 of 6 targets for 58 yards, averaging 14.5 yards per reception, with a long of 21 yards, but recorded -1 yard after the catch. Ridley had a 52-yard TD called back on an illegal formation penalty. Target share was elite at 21% to go along with 150 air yards.

Tyler Boyd hauled in 2 of 3 targets for 34 yards, averaging 17 yards per catch, with a long of 30 yards and 27 yards after the catch.

Bryce Oliver made a big play, catching his only target for 33 yards, with 10 yards after the catch.

Chigoziem Okonkwo caught 2 of 4 targets for 19 yards, averaging 9.5 yards per catch, with a long of 12 yards and 18 yards after the catch. Okonkwo ran a route on 49% of dropbacks.

Tony Pollard caught 2 of 4 targets for 14 yards, averaging 7 yards per catch, with a long of 10 yards and 13 yards after the catch.

Tyjae Spears caught 2 of 3 targets for 8 yards, averaging 4 yards per catch, with a long of 5 yards and 11 yards after the catch.

Nick Vannett secured his lone target for 6 yards, with 1 yard after the catch.

Josh Whyle also caught his lone target for 6 yards, with 1 yard after the catch.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Titans have the fifth-ranked schedule for WRs for the rest of the season and are tied for the No.1-ranked quarterbacks.

The rest of the schedule: @ HOU, @ WAS, vs. JAC, vs. CIN, @ IND, and @ JAC.
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Indianapolis Colts

Add Anthony Richardson | Sell/Hold Jonathan Taylor | Buy Josh Downs |

Anthony Richardson completed 20 of 30 pass attempts for 272 yards, one touchdown, and no interceptions. He achieved a completion percentage of 66.7%, a passer rating of 106.5, and averaged 9.1 yards per attempt. Two weeks of paid vacation did wonders for the Colts quarterback.

According to Next Gen Stats, Richardson completed 9 of 12 attempts of 10+ air yards for a career-high 185 yards, including 2-of-2 for 56 yards on downfield passes on the Colts’ game-winning drive late in the 4th quarter.

Richardson’s completion percentage of 75.0% on downfield pass attempts is tied for the 5th-highest in any game this season (min. 10 attempts). Richardson also registered 32 yards and two touchdowns on the ground, including the final go-ahead touchdown with 46 seconds remaining in the 4th quarter.

Jonathan Taylor carried the ball 24 times for 57 yards, averaging 2.4 yards per carry, with a long run of 10 yards. Four red-zone rushing attempts without scoring. A bad day for Taylor, who didn’t find the end zone nor see an efficiency boost with Richardson under center.

Like I said two weeks back, you can get a lot for JT in trades.

The schedule for Weeks 12-13 before a Week 14 bye week is: vs. DET and @ NE. After the bye week, the schedule is: @ DEN, vs. TEN, and @ NYG.

Anthony Richardson added 10 rushing attempts for 32 yards and scored two touchdowns, averaging 3.2 yards per carry, with a long run of 5 yards.

He needs to be rostered everywhere, and there are good matchups upcoming against the Lions/Patriots.

Adonai Mitchell had one carry for 2 yards.

Josh Downs led the receiving effort, catching all 5 of his targets for 84 yards and a touchdown. He averaged 16.8 yards per reception, with a long catch of 31 yards and 16 yards after the catch. Downs ran a route on 76% of dropbacks. He made one catch on his lone red-zone target for a touchdown.

Downs has now produced in back-to-back games WITH Richardson as his quarterback. Weekly auto start.

Alec Pierce caught 3 of his four targets for 74 yards, averaging 24.7 yards per catch, with a long of 39 yards and 12 yards after the catch. Alec Pierce ran a route on 82% of dropbacks.

Michael Pittman Jr. secured 5 of his eight targets for 46 yards, averaging 9.2 yards per reception, with a long of 20 yards and 14 yards after the catch. Michael Pittman Jr. ran a route on 88% of dropbacks.  He secured his only red-zone target but did not score.

Pittman was the target leader (29% Target share) with a whopping 116 air yards, but it was more of the same lackluster production with Richardson.

Adonai Mitchell made a big play, catching 1 of his two targets for 33 yards, with 30 yards after the catch. It was very close to a TD score despite running a route on just 15% of the dropbacks.

Mo Alie-Cox caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards, averaging 8.5 yards per reception, with a long of 12 yards and 4 yards after the catch. Andrew Ogletree hauled in his lone target for 8 yards, with 11 yards after the catch. Kylen Granson caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards, with 2 yards after the catch.

Jonathan Taylor and Trey Sermon each added a single reception for 3 yards, with Taylor recording 6 yards after the catch and Sermon 4 yards.

The schedule isn’t great for the entire offense to cook. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, Indianapolis is inside the bottom-ranked schedule for quarterbacks (although it’s better than some of their most recent matchups). For running backs, it ranks inside the bottom ten.
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New York Jets

Hold Breece Hall | Buy Garrett Wilson & Davante Adams

Aaron Rodgers completed 22 of 29 passes for 184 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions. He recorded a 75.9% completion rate, a passer rating of 114.7, and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt.

Breece Hall carried the ball 16 times for 78 yards and scored one touchdown, averaging 4.9 yards per carry with a long run of 18 yards.

Hall had all the touches in the first half for Gang Green’s backfield, and he totaled an 84% snap share on the day.

Hall was active in the passing game, catching all 7 of his targets for 43 yards and a receiving touchdown. He averaged 6.1 yards per reception, with a long of 29 yards and 48 yards after the catch, with a 24% Target share.

After “burying” him last week for no TDs, Hall finally found the end zone twice—hopefully a sign of things to come.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Jets have a top-10 most favorable schedule for RBs.

Aaron Rodgers had one carry for 7 yards. Braelon Allen added two carries for 6 yards, averaging 3 yards per carry. Tyler Conklin had one rush attempt for no gain.

Davante Adams led the receivers, catching 6 of his seven targets for 72 yards (24% Target share). He averaged 12 yards per reception, with a long of 24 yards and 56 yards after the catch.

Garrett Wilson caught 4 of his eight targets for 18 yards, averaging 4.5 yards per reception with a long of 7 yards. Back-to-back dud games for Wilson despite a 28% Target share and 54% air yards share.

Given the Jets’ remaining schedule, you must buy BOTH Jets’ WRs after this bad game. At least kick the tires on both of them. Remember, the Jets get the Rams and Jaguars in the first two weeks of the fantasy football playoffs. They play all the snaps.

The Jets are on a much overdue Week 12 bye week. Post-bye week, Gang Green will play vs SEA, @ MIA, @ JAC, vs LAR and @ BUF.

Xavier Gipson made a single catch for 17 yards.

Kenny Yeboah secured his lone target for an 11-yard touchdown.

Malachi Corley caught one pass for 10 yards.

Tyler Conklin caught 1 of his two targets for 7 yards.

Jeremy Ruckert caught 1 of his two targets for 6 yards.
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Washington Commanders

Add Noah Brown | Hold Zach Ertz | Buy Brian Robinson & Terry McLaurin

Jayden Daniels completed 22 of 32 passes for 191 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He recorded a 68.8% completion rate, a passer rating of 81.6, and averaged 6 yards per attempt.

Brian Robinson Jr. led the ground game with 16 carries for 63 yards and one touchdown, averaging 3.9 yards per carry with a long of 18 yards—two red-zone rushing attempts, with one converted into a touchdown.

Daniels added seven rushes for 18 yards, averaging 2.6 yards per carry with a long of 7 yards. He hasn’t been as effective as a rusher since the rib injury.

Austin Ekeler had two carries for 7 yards, averaging 3.5 yards per rush with a long of 6 yards.

Jeremy McNichols contributed three carries for 5 yards, averaging 1.7 yards per carry with a long of 6 yards.

Austin Ekeler was the top receiver, catching 8 of 9 targets for 89 yards, averaging 11.1 yards per reception with a long of 34 yards and 102 yards after the catch. Ekeler ran a route on 43% of dropbacks and earned a team-high 28% Target share.  Brian Robinson Jr. added one reception on one target for 9 yards.

In his return from injury, Robinson reclaimed his RB1 role, leading the team with a 53% snap share to Ekeler’s 52%.

The playoff schedule features the Saints, Eagles, and Falcons fresh off a Week 14 bye week.

It’s the fifth-best schedule for RBs for the rest of the season. Buy B-Rob.

Zach Ertz hauled in 6 of 7 targets (21% Target share) for 47 yards and one touchdown at the end of the game, averaging 7.8 yards per catch with a long of 16 yards and 17 yards after the catch. Ertz ran a route on 80% of dropbacks. Two red-zone targets resulted in one catch and a touchdown.

John Bates secured 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards, averaging 8.5 yards per catch with a long of 9 yards.

Terry McLaurin had one reception on two targets for 10 yards—an outlier performance. Buy low.

Olamide Zaccheaus also caught 1 of 2 targets for 10 yards.

Noah Brown and Dyami Brown each recorded one reception for 4 yards. Brown ran a route on 68% of dropbacks. He targeted once in the red zone and made a reception without scoring.

Jeremy McNichols caught his lone target for 1 yard.

Luke McCaffrey was targeted once but did not record a reception.

The Commanders host play DAL off a short week, then versus TEN before their bye week.

Perfect time to buy low on this offense before they take out their frustrations on their NFC East rivals off their mini-bye week.
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Philadelphia Eagles

Buy Eagles

Jalen Hurts completed 18 of 28 passes for 221 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions. He posted a 64.3% completion rate, a passer rating of 88.5, and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt.

Saquon Barkley was a workhorse with 26 carries for 146 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 5.6 yards per carry, with a long rush of 39 yards: three red-zone rushing attempts but no touchdowns.

Kenneth Gainwell added 4 carries for 43 yards, averaging 10.8 yards per carry, with a long of 14 yards—one red zone rushing attempt without a score.

Hurts contributed 10 carries for 39 yards and one touchdown, averaging 3.9 yards per carry, with a long rush of 9 yards.

A.J. Brown led the team with five receptions on eight targets (32% Target share and 45% air yard share) for 65 yards, averaging 13 yards per catch, with a long of 25 yards and 21 yards after the catch.

Dallas Goedert caught all 5 of his targets for 61 yards, averaging 12.2 yards per reception, with a long of 32 yards and 31 yards after the catch. 20% Target share.

Saquon Barkley was impactful in the passing game as well, hauling in 2 of 3 targets for 52 yards, averaging 26 yards per catch, with a long of 43 yards and 48 yards after the catch.

DeVonta Smith caught 4 of 6 targets for 29 yards, averaging 7.3 yards per catch, with a long of 21 yards and 18 yards after the catch—24% Target share.

The big Eagles trio of pass-catchers did not score despite each seeing a red-zone target.

Jahan Dotson had one reception on two targets for 8 yards.

Kenneth Gainwell added one catch on one target for 6 yards.

The Eagles’ offensive performance was fueled by Saquon Barkley’s dominance on the ground and his versatility in the passing game. A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert provided consistency through the air, while Jalen Hurts chipped in with his dual-threat ability, contributing both on the ground and as a passer.

The approach remains the same. Buy Eagles. The Eagles will face the Rams, and Ravens in the next two weeks. The Eagles’ schedule is excellent for the rest of the season.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, it’s the No-7th-ranked schedule for quarterbacks and fourth-best for RBs.

Weeks 14-17, Philly plays the Panthers, Steelers, Commanders and Cowboys.
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Denver Broncos

Add Bo Nix | Buy/Hold Courtland Sutton | Sell Javonte Williams| Add Troy Franklin & Marvin Mims | Hold Audric Estime | Cut Jaleel McLaughlin

Bo Nix: Completed 28 of 33 passes for 307 yards, throwing four touchdowns and no interceptions. He posted an impressive 84.8% completion rate, a passer rating of 145, and averaged 9.3 yards per attempt.

Javonte Williams: Led the backfield with nine carries for 59 yards and a touchdown, averaging 6.6 yards per carry, with a long of 14 yards: two red-zone rushing attempts and one touchdown.

Williams led the Broncos backfield with six carries in the first half. Estime had two touches (both on the second series).

Jaleel McLaughlin: Added 19 yards on four carries, averaging 4.8 yards per carry.

Audric Estimé: Carried the ball 6 times for 16 yards, averaging 2.7 yards per carry.

Classic Broncos backfield usage. Unpredictable. Once we feel good about one guy, Sean Payton mixes it up. Good grief.

With the Raiders up next, Williams looks like the guy who will be ranked the highest after his snaps ticked back up to 52% in Week 11.

I will say in Estime’s defense that he has somewhat surpassed McLaughlin on the depth chart, given he out-snapped him for the second straight week. Don’t drop Estime quite yet. He still got targeted on 60% of his routes.

And if you can trade away Williams – less headaches – just do it.

Per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool, the Broncos have a bottom-10 schedule for fantasy RBs for the rest of the season.

Nix: Contributed five rushing yards on two attempts.

Marvin Mims Jr.: Had four rushing yards on three attempts, averaging 1.3 yards per carry. He also converted both targets for 49 yards and a touchdown, averaging an explosive 24.5 yards per reception, with a long of 37 yards and 46 yards after the catch. His lone red-zone target resulted in one touchdown.

Glad to see at least one trend for the Broncos offense carry over from last week. The routes aren’t there for Mims but he has six-plus touches in back-to-back games with McLaughlin being phased out of the backfield.

Michael Burton: Gained 2 yards on two carries, averaging 1 yard per carry.

Courtland Sutton: Hauled in 7 of 8 targets for 78 yards, averaging 11.1 yards per reception, with a long of 23 yards and 19 yards after the catch. Two catches from three red-zone targets without scoring. 26% Target share and a whopping 58% air yards share (78 air yards).

Devaughn Vele: Caught 4 of 5 targets for 66 yards, averaging 16.5 yards per reception, with a long of 33 yards and 21 yards after the catch. Vele ran a route on 69% of dropbacks with a 16% Target share.

Lil’Jordan Humphrey: Perfect on four targets, gaining 52 yards and a touchdown, averaging 13 yards per catch, with a long of 41 yards.

Javonte Williams: Caught 4 of 5 targets for 28 yards, averaging 7 yards per reception, with a long of 15 yards. 16% Target share.

Audric Estimé: Added 9 yards on three catches, averaging 3 yards per reception.

Troy Franklin: Snagged two targets for 15 yards and a touchdown, averaging 7.5 yards per catch. Franklin ran a route on 51% of dropbacks. Two red-zone targets resulted in two catches and one touchdown. The rookie is starting to benefit from positive matchups. I think a big game is looming. Stay ahead of the curve.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Broncos have a top-4-ranked schedule for quarterbacks for the rest of the season (7th for WRs).

The schedule goes @ LV, vs. CLE, BYE, vs. IND, @ LAC, @ CIN, and vs. KC.

Given the matchups, you could do worse than a Mims/Vele/Franklin dart throw in Weeks 12+13.

Nate Adkins: Caught his lone target for 12 yards and a touchdown. Converted one red-zone target into a touchdown.

Adam Trautman: Was targeted once but did not record a reception.

Michael Burton: Lost 2 yards on his lone catch.
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Atlanta Falcons

Add Kirk Cousins | Buy Kyle Pitts | Hold Darnell Mooney | Buy Bijan Robinson & Tyler Allgeier | Stash Falcons DST

Kirk Cousins: Completed 18 of 27 passes for 173 yards, no touchdowns, and one interception. He posted a 66.7% completion rate, a passer rating of 68.9, and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt.

Michael Penix Jr.: Added 24 passing yards on 2 of 4 completions, with no touchdowns or interceptions, averaging 6 yards per attempt and a passer rating of 68.8.

Bijan Robinson: Led the rushing attack with 12 carries for 35 yards, averaging 2.9 yards per carry, with a long of 9 yards. One red-zone rushing attempt but did not score.

Tyler Allgeier had zero first-half carries and overall. Robinson led the backfield with a 71% snap share to Allgeier’s 7%. Bijan ranks fourth in the NFL in touches. After this bad game, this is likely you’re last chance to buy low.

Jase McClellan: Contributed 15 yards on eight carries, averaging 1.9 yards per carry. But this was all in mop-up duty.

Cousins: Added one carry for no yards.

Drake London: Hauled in 3 of 7 targets for 61 yards, averaging 20.3 yards per reception, with a long of 26 yards and 13 yards after the catch. 24% Target share and 89 air yards.

Ray-Ray McCloud: Was highly efficient, catching all six targets for 46 yards, averaging 7.7 yards per catch, with a long of 20 yards and 32 yards after the catch.

Bijan Robinson: Added 28 receiving yards on four receptions (4 targets), averaging 7 yards per catch, with a long of 15 yards and 27 yards after the catch.

Darnell Mooney: Caught 2 of 4 targets for 27 yards, averaging 13.5 yards per reception, with a long of 19 yards. Mooney ran a route on 57% of dropbacks.

Mooney suffered a hamstring injury during Sunday’s game at Denver, Tori McElhaney of the Falcons’ official site reports.

According to Next Gen Stats, Patrick Surtain II did not allow a single reception across 2 targets as the nearest defender in coverage against the Falcons.

Surtain primarily lined up against Drake London (13 routes, 44.8%) and Darnell Mooney (8 routes, 27.6%). This was the 2nd game this season Surtain did not allow a reception (the other was Week 6 against the Chargers), and his 147 yards allowed as the nearest defender in coverage are the fewest by any cornerback with at least 200 coverage snaps in 2024.

KhaDarel Hodge: Made two catches on two targets for 22 yards, averaging 11 yards per catch, with a long of 18 yards and 20 yards after the catch.

Kyle Pitts: Was targeted 3 times, catching 1 for 9 yards. Mooney’s hamstring injury isn’t considered serious, but Pitts would be a main benefactor if the injury is worse than anticipated.

Ross Dwelley: Contributed 5 yards on one catch (1 target).

Casey Washington: Was targeted once but recorded no receptions.

Tyler Allgeier: Lost 1 yard on his lone reception.

The remaining Falcons schedule BYE, vs. LAC, @ MIN, @ LV vs. NYG, and @ WAS.

It’s mostly the status quo with the Falcons. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Falcons have the top-6-ranked schedule for QBs. They have a great playoff schedule, as well.

Atlanta also has a good schedule for fantasy DSTs for the rest of the season. The first two weeks of the fantasy postseason are a chef’s kiss as they face the Raiders and Giants.
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Kansas City Chiefs

Hold Xavier Worthy | Sell Kareem Hunt | Hold/Buy DeAndre Hopkins

Patrick Mahomes: Completed 23 of 33 passes for 196 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. He posted a completion rate of 69.7%, a passer rating of 90, and averaged 5.9 yards per attempt.

Kareem Hunt: Carried the ball 14 times for 60 yards, averaging 4.3 yards per attempt, with a long of 17 yards: three red-zone rushing attempts but no touchdowns despite a 69% snap share.

Mecole Hardman: Contributed 9 rushing yards on one carry.

Xavier Worthy: Rushed once for 7 yards.

Carson Steele: Added 2 rushing yards on one attempt.

Isiah Pacheco is currently on injured reserve with an ankle injury but is expected to return for the Chiefs’ Week 12 game against the Panthers.

The usage for Hunt is virtually off-the-chart. And if he wasn’t past his prime, he’d be pushing for top 5 weekly RB status. It makes you wonder about the type of season Isiah Pacheco was set up to have before his injury.

Still, Hunt managers need to realize the dream is about to end.

Pacheco’s return creates major ambiguity about how useful Hunt will be in crunch time during the fantasy football playoffs. Don’t hold onto Hunt too tight before he totally loses value.

I am still very skeptical about how effective Pacheco will be coming off the broken leg injury, but I think his presence will hurt Hunt’s bottom-line.

Xavier Worthy: Led the team with four receptions on five targets (17% Target share), amassing 61 yards and a touchdown, averaging 15.3 yards per catch, with a long of 31 yards and 29 yards after the catch. The rookie ran a route on 74% of dropbacks with 75 air yards. All his production came in the first half.

As a Worthy-stan, I was thrilled with the result. But if this was “the” Worthy big game, consider me very disappointed. I’ll change my tune if he can string together another decent outing against the Panthers. But if you have held on this far, you keep him.

KC will play @ CAR, vs LV, vs LAC, @ CLE, vs HOU and @ PIT.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Chiefs have a top-five schedule for WRs for the rest of the season.

DeAndre Hopkins: Caught 3 of 4 targets for 29 yards, averaging 9.7 yards per reception, with a long of 13 yards. Hopkins only ran a route on 54% of dropbacks.

It was another tough matchup against Buffalo, so I’d be fine with the result. Hold him.

Justin Watson: Secured both of his two targets for 26 yards, with an average of 13 yards per catch and a long of 16 yards.

Noah Gray: Recorded four receptions on five targets for 23 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 5.8 yards per reception, with a long of 14 yards. Gray also led the team with a 17% Target share.

Gray ran a route on 66% of dropbacks (season-high).

I don’t think Gray’s boosted usage impacted Kelce, but it might not just be a coincidence. Stay tuned.

Mecole Hardman: Contributed 12 receiving yards on two catches (3 targets), averaging 6 yards per reception.

Peyton Hendershot: Added 11 yards on his sole target.

Travis Kelce: Caught 2 of 4 targets for 8 yards, with a long of 6 yards. Kelce ran a route on 74% of dropbacks. Gray won’t catch two touchdowns every week.

JuJu Smith-Schuster: Had one reception for 8 yards on one target. He ran a route on 35% of dropbacks after returning from his injury.

Samaje Perine: Caught 2 of 4 targets for 8 yards. One red-zone target but no receptions or touchdowns.

Mike Caliendo: Recorded five receiving yards on his only target.

Carson Steele: Added five receiving yards on one reception. One red-zone rushing attempt but did not score.
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Buffalo Bills

Buy James Cook | Hold Keon Coleman & Khalil Shakir | Hold Ray Davis | Buy Amari Cooper | Add Dawson Knox

Josh Allen: Completed 27 of 40 passes for 262 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Allen posted a completion rate of 67.5%, a passer rating of 83.5, and averaged 6.6 yards per attempt.

Allen led the team with 12 carries for 55 yards and a rushing touchdown, averaging 4.6 yards per carry, with a long of 26 yards.

James Cook: Rushed 9 times for 20 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 2.2 yards per carry.

Cook had seven carries for 17 yards in the first half. Brutal matchup.

Ty Johnson: Added 18 rushing yards on five attempts, averaging 3.6 yards per carry.

Ray Davis: Carried the ball 5 times for 11 yards, averaging 2.2 yards per carry. Davis had two red-zone rushing attempts without scoring.

Cook had two red-zone rushing attempts, which resulted in two touchdowns. He also caught one red-zone target but did not score.

Johnson led Buffalo with a 45% snap rate, followed by Cook (37%, season-low) and Davis (21%).

Get access to the Bills backfield where you can. The Lions/Jets/Patriots in the fantasy playoffs.

Khalil Shakir: Recorded eight receptions on 12 targets (32% Target share) for 70 yards, averaging 8.8 yards per catch, with a long of 22 yards and 56 yards after the catch.

He remains Allen’s favorite and most efficient target.

Curtis Samuel: Caught 5 of 6 targets (16% Target share) for 58 yards and a touchdown, averaging 11.6 yards per reception, with a long of 21 yards and 30 yards after the catch. Samuel ran a route on 62% of dropbacks. Two red-zone targets turned into two receptions and one touchdown.

Samuel has been getting more involved, averaging seven targets in the last two games.

Amari Cooper: Secured 2 of 3 targets for 55 yards, averaging 27.5 yards per catch, with a long of 30 yards. Cooper ran a route on 49% of dropbacks and led the team in air yards on just three targets (73 air yards).

Glad to see him healthy and productive in the lineup, even on limited opportunities.

Dawson Knox: Hauled in 4 receptions on six targets for 40 yards, averaging 10 yards per reception, with a long of 24 yards. Knox ran a route on 69% of dropbacks with a 16% Target share.

Mack Hollins: Contributed 27 yards on two catches (2 targets), averaging 13.5 yards per reception, with a long of 15 yards. Hollins ran a route on 53% of dropbacks as Cooper ate into his snaps.

James Cook: Added five receptions on six targets for 7 yards, averaging 1.4 yards per reception, with a long of 3 yards and 31 yards after the catch.

Zach Davidson: Made 1 catch on one target for 5 yards.

Ty Johnson & Quintin Morris: Both targeted once but did not record any receptions.

Buffalo went noticeably more pass-heavy in Week 7 (+10% pass rate over expectation) compared to the -3% PROE Weeks 1-6. In Week 8, it was at +1% despite them controlling the game from the start. In Week 9, it was back up to +6%.

In Week 10, with all the WR injuries, the PROE was still +2%.

In Week 11, it was a +4% pass rate over expectation.

Buy pieces of this Bills passing game that is starting to open things up through the air.

The remaining schedule: BYE, vs SF, @ LAR, @ DET, vs NE and vs NYJ.
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Seattle Seahawks

Buy Kenneth Walker | Sell/Hold Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Geno Smith: Completed 25 of 32 passes for 221 yards, no touchdowns, and one interception. He posted a 78.1 completion percentage with a passer rating of 82.4 and averaged 6.9 yards per attempt.

Kenneth Walker III: Led the ground game with 14 carries for 54 yards and one touchdown, averaging 3.9 yards per carry, with a long run of 11 yards.

Walker had five first-half carries. Two red zone rushing attempts converted into one touchdown.

Geno Smith: Added 29 yards on four carries, including a rushing touchdown, averaging 7.3 yards per carry.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Recorded 8 yards on a single carry.

Zach Charbonnet: Gained 3 yards on four carries, averaging 0.8 yards per attempt.

KW3 played 73% of the snaps to Charbonnet’s 32% snap share.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Led all receivers with 10 receptions on 11 targets for 110 yards, averaging 11 yards per catch, with a long reception of 20 yards and 31 yards after the catch. 36% Target share with DK Metcalf back in the lineup with a 38% air yards share.

According to Next Gen Stats, he generated +2.5 receptions over expected, the most by a Seahawks receiver in a game since Week 2, 2023 (DK Metcalf, +2.6). Smith-Njigba was targeted on 5 of his 10 routes run on third down and gained 52 yards across four receptions, each of which resulted in a first down. On the Seahawks game-winning drive in the fourth quarter, Smith-Njigba caught every one of his four targets for 38 yards and two first downs.

However, as I was concerned about with JSN after his Week 9 explosion, his average depth of target fell back to 8.5. It’s not the worst he’s seen all season, though, given that it’s his fifth-highest average depth of target this year.

DK Metcalf: Hauled in 7 of 9 targets for 70 yards, averaging 10 yards per reception, with a long of 26 yards and minimal yards after the catch. Metcalf was the team’s air yards leader (110 air yards).

Tyler Lockett: Caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards, averaging 9.5 yards per reception, with a long of 12 yards.

Austin Barner: Secured 2 of 4 targets for 15 yards, averaging 7.5 yards per reception. Barner ran a route on 79% of dropbacks, filling in for an injured Noah Fant.

Kenneth Walker III: Added two catches on two targets for 5 yards, averaging 2.5 yards per reception.

Zach Charbonnet: Contributed two receptions on two targets for 2 yards, averaging 1 yard per catch.

Even after a solid performance by the Seahawks passing game, I have reservations for them rest of the season.

The playoff schedule isn’t ideal for Seattle. It’s something to keep in mind when potentially trading Seahawks away as the season progresses.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Seahawks are tied for the bottom-ranked schedule for quarterbacks. Versus ARI, @ NYJ, @ ARI, vs GB, vs MIN and @ CHI.
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San Francisco 49ers

Hold Jordan Mason | Drop Isaac Guerendo | Hold Ricky Pearsall | Buy Deebo Samuel & Jauan Jennings

Brock Purdy: Completed 21 of 28 passes for 159 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, recording a 75% completion rate with a passer rating of 85.3 and an average of 5.7 yards per attempt.

Christian McCaffrey: Led the ground game with 19 carries for 79 yards, averaging 4.2 yards per attempt, with a long run of 11 yards—94% snap share. Kyle Shanahan has no chill.

Jordan Mason: Added 13 yards on two carries, averaging 6.5 yards per attempt.

CMC out-carried Mason nine to two in the first half.

Brock Purdy: Contributed 40 yards on five carries, including a rushing touchdown, averaging 8 yards per carry.

Deebo Samuel Sr.: Lost 1 yard on his sole rushing attempt.

Jauan Jennings: Dominated the passing game with 10 receptions on 11 targets for 91 yards and a touchdown, averaging 9.1 yards per catch, with a long of 22 yards and 18 yards after the catch. 42% Target share and nearly a 50% air yards share.

Jauan Jennings led the 49ers running a route on 83% of dropbacks. Two red-zone targets converted into two receptions and one touchdown.

According to Next Gen Stats, Jennings generated +3.6 receptions over expected, the 2nd-most in a game by a wide receiver this season, trailing his own mark of +4.0 set in Week 3 against the Rams. Jennings was most productive when aligned out wide in Week 11, recording a season-high six receptions for 65 yards. Jennings caught every one of his four tight window targets, the most in a game by a receiver this season (41 yards).

Jennings is having a breakout season, and I don’t see any reason why his success won’t continue.

Christian McCaffrey: Caught 4 of 5 targets for 27 yards, averaging 6.8 yards per reception, with a long of 10 yards. Three red-zone rushing attempts and one red-zone reception but no touchdowns.

Deebo Samuel Sr.: Hauled in 4 of 7 targets (27% Target share) for 22 yards, averaging 5.5 yards per catch, with a long reception of 11 yards. Samuel Sr. ran a route on 77% of dropbacks. He caught one of two red-zone targets without scoring.

I think I’d still like to be a buyer of Deebo. Even with the emergence of Jennings as Purdy’s go-to guy, Samuel should have some big games left in him down the stretch.

Kyle Juszczyk: Secured both of his two targets for 12 yards, averaging 6 yards per reception.

Eric Saubert: Contributed with a single 7-yard reception on one target. Saubert ran a route on 71% of dropbacks, filling in for an injured George Kittle.

Ricky Pearsall: Was targeted twice but did not record a catch. Pearsall ran a route on 51% of dropbacks.

All in all, if possible, you want to acquire the remaining (healthy) 49ers. Playoff schedule: vs LAR, @ MIA and vs DET.

Week 12 and onward the Niners will play the @ Packers, @ Bills, and home versus the Bears.
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Cincinnati Bengals

Drop Mike Gesicki | Buy Ja’Marr Chase | Hold Tee Higgins & Chase Brown | Add Khalil Herbert

Joe Burrow: Completed 28 of 50 passes for 356 yards, three touchdowns, and no interceptions. He posted a 56% completion rate, a passer rating of 98.4, and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt.

Chase Brown: Led the ground game with 22 carries for 86 yards, averaging 3.9 yards per carry, with a long of 27 yards: five red-zone rushing attempts and one reception on two red-zone targets but no touchdowns.

Burrow: Contributed 28 yards on two carries, averaging 14 yards per attempt, with a long of 14 yards.

Drew Sample: Lost 4 yards on his lone carry.

Tee Higgins: Dominated with nine catches on 13 targets for 148 yards and a touchdown, averaging 16.4 yards per reception, with a long of 42 yards and 42 yards after the catch. Higgins ran a route on 85% of dropbacks. Secured two of three red-zone targets but did not score.

Ja’Marr Chase: Caught 7 of 13 targets for 75 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 10.7 yards per reception, with a long of 32 yards and 31 yards after the catch. Five red-zone targets resulted in four receptions and two touchdowns.

Chase and Higgins each earned a 28% Target share with nearly 150 air yards a piece.

Chase Brown: Added value in the passing game with five catches on seven targets for 57 yards, averaging 11.4 yards per reception, with a long of 34 yards and 32 yards after the catch.

Brown contributed as a dual-threat back, amassing over 140 total yards from scrimmage. 83% snap share for the former Illinois and current Bengals workhorse.

Andrei Iosivas: Perfect on three targets, gaining 46 yards, averaging 15.3 yards per catch, with a long of 27 yards. Iosivas ran a route on 55% of dropbacks.

Tanner Hudson: Caught both targets for 13 yards, averaging 6.5 yards per reception.

Drew Sample: Converted 1 of 2 targets for 9 yards.

Jermaine Burton: Managed one catch on four targets for 8 yards. He was targeted once in the red zone but did not catch the pass. His routes dipped to 25%.

Mike Gesicki: Was targeted twice but did not record a reception despite him running a route on 76% of dropbacks. He’s not a viable option with Higgins healthy.

The Bengals are on a much-needed bye week. Then it’s the Steelers and Cowboys.

We should see more offensive production. However, don’t be afraid to flip Bengals for equivalent elite pieces.

The playoff schedule between the Titans, Browns, and Broncos in Week 17 isn’t great. And if the 4-7 Bengals don’t start accumulating wins soon, they are going to fall out of the AFC playoff picture (if they haven’t already).
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Los Angeles Chargers

Add Justin Herbert | Sell J.K. Dobbins | Buy Ladd McConkey | Add/Hold Quentin Johnston & Will Dissly

Justin Herbert: Completed 17 of 36 passes for 297 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions. He had a 47.2% completion rate, a passer rating of 94.3, and averaged 8.3 yards per attempt.

Justin Herbert: Added 65 rushing yards on five carries, averaging 13 yards per carry, with a long of 30 yards.

J.K. Dobbins: Led the backfield with 11 carries for 56 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 5.1 yards per carry, with a long of 29 yards. Dobbins: Added one catch for 3 yards, finishing the game with a 735 snap share.

I had the under on Dobbins’ rushing yards prop, and it looked like it was going to cash until he scored that last touchdown on the final drive to win the game.

Before the last 29-yard rushing touchdown, Dobbins was sitting on 10 carries for 27 yards. Woof.

Gus Edwards: Rushed 6 times for 27 yards, averaging 4.5 yards per carry, with a long of 9 yards: two red-zone rushing attempts but no touchdowns.

The duo split carries five apiece in the first half, with Dobbins averaging just 1.8 yards per carry.

Hassan Haskins: Carried the ball twice for 1 yard—two red-zone rushing attempts without a score.

If Dobbins can stay healthy, he will be a force in the fantasy football playoffs against the Patriots. However, it’s tough sledding up to that point, and adding Edwards/Haskins into the fold as red-zone headaches is another layer of complexity.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Chargers also have the third-worst-ranked schedule for running backs.

I said it last week, and I’ll say it again. It’s time to sell high on Dobbins before the stretch run.

Devin Davis: Registered one carry for 6 yards.

Ladd McConkey: Led the receivers with six catches on nine targets for 123 yards (135 air yards, 27% Target share), averaging 20.5 yards per reception, with a long of 28 yards and 19 yards after the catch. He left the game briefly early on after coming down on his shoulder but returned to action. As a result of some missed time, McConkey ran a route on 67% of dropbacks.

Will Dissly: Caught 4 of 6 targets (18% Target share) for 80 yards and one touchdown, averaging 20 yards per reception, with a long of 29 yards and 28 yards after the catch. Dissly ran a route on 43% of dropbacks. The usage hasn’t much mattered with the Chargers tight end. When he’s on the field, Herbert is looking for him—another great matchup on deck versus Baltimore.

Quentin Johnston: Made two catches on eight targets (24% Target share) for 48 yards and one touchdown, averaging 24 yards per reception, with a long of 26 yards. Johnston ran a route on 76% of dropbacks.

It seemed like every pass going Johnston’s way after his touchdown resulted in an incomplete pass. He ended the game with a whopping 179 air yards.

He would also be a “sell-high” for me based on all the TDs he is scoring, but the schedule is too good to totally disregard him as a usable piece attached to Herbert. Second-most favorable schedule ROS.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Chargers have the sixth-ranked schedule for WRs.

Josh Palmer: Caught 2 of 4 targets for 23 yards, averaging 11.5 yards per reception, with a long of 12 yards. He had another nine-yard catch removed by penalty. Palmer ran a route on 69% of dropbacks.

Derius Davis: Hauled in 1 of 2 targets for 14 yards.

Tucker Fisk: Caught 1 of 2 targets for 6 yards. Tucker Fisk: Targeted once in the red zone but did not make a catch.

Jalen Reagor: Was targeted once but did not record a reception.

The remaining schedule is as follows: vs. BAL, @ ATL, @ KC, vs. TB, vs. DEN and @ NE.
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BYE WEEK TEAMS

Arizona Cardinals

Buy Kyler Murray & James Conner & Trey McBride | Buy Marvin Harrison Jr. | Hold/Add Trey Benson

Kyler Murray was highly efficient in Week 10, completing 22 of 24 passes for 266 yards and one touchdown, finishing with a passer rating of 126.7. His 91.7% completion rate and 11.1 yards per attempt showcased his accuracy and deep-ball success. Murray also contributed with his legs, rushing for 21 yards on three carries and scoring two rushing touchdowns.

In the backfield, Trey Benson led the Cardinals’ rushing efforts with 10 carries for 62 yards, averaging an impressive 6.2 yards per carry, with a long of 14 yards.

James Conner had a balanced game, rushing 12 times for 33 yards and a touchdown, though his 2.8 YPC was more modest. He was also active in the passing game, catching all five of his targets (21% Target share) for 80 yards, showing his dual-threat ability, and leading the team in receiving yards. He came one yard short of a 45-yard receiving touchdown, being ruled down at the one-yard line. Conner scored on a carry two plays later. He totaled three red-zone rushing attempts, one rushing touchdown, zero receptions, zero red-zone targets, and zero receiving touchdowns.

According to Next Gen Stats, the Jets defense missed 20 tackles in Week 10 against the Cardinals, tied for the most by any team in a game this season. Conner led the way with six missed tackles forced, extending his season total to 68 on the season (most in the NFL).

Emari Demercado contributed with 22 yards on three carries, averaging 7.3 yards per carry. These all came in garbage time with Tune in at quarterback.

Trey Benson had four carries in the first half for 28 yards, with one reception.

Conner finished with a 54% snap share to Benson’s 27%. The rookie tied a season-high 12 touches in Week 10 after seeing nine in Week 9.

In the receiving game, Trey McBride was reliable with four receptions on five targets for 71 yards, averaging 17.8 yards per catch. Achieved a 21% Target share, with 47 air yards representing 42% of the team’s air yards.

He had another red-zone target but came up just short of a touchdown. FWIW, the Cardinals have the No. 3 schedule for fantasy TEs for the rest of the season.

Marvin Harrison Jr. had a strong showing as well, catching all five of his targets for 54 yards and one red-zone touchdown, averaging 10.8 yards per catch. He held a 21% Target share, totaling 35 air yards for a 32% air yards share.

Buy MHJ.

The Cardinals are coming off their bye week. The schedule is salivating for the playoff run: @ SEA, @ MIN, vs. SEA, vs. NE, @ CAR, @ LAR, and vs. SF.

Trey Benson also added two receptions for 25 yards out of the backfield, while Michael Wilson chipped in three catches for 24 yards (secured a 17% Target share, with 42 air yards, making up 38% of the team’s air yards).

Again, a friendly reminder to make sure that Benson is not available in any league formats for the upside he could deliver if there’s a Conner injury. Conner is 12th in touches this season and has been banged up here and there. We know about his long injury history.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, Arizona has a top-10-ranked schedule for running backs.

Just buy all Cardinals.
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Carolina Panthers

Buy/Hold Chuba Hubbard & Hold/Sell Jonathon Brooks | Add Xavier Legette & Ja’Tavion Sanders & Jalen Coker

In Week 10, Quarterback Bryce Young completed 15 of 25 passes for 126 yards, with one touchdown and no interceptions, achieving a 60% completion rate, a passer rating of 86.4, and averaging 5.0 yards per attempt.

On the ground, Chuba Hubbard dominated with 28 carries for 153 yards and one touchdown, averaging 5.5 yards per carry with a long run of 26 yards. Five red-zone rushing attempts, one rushing touchdown. Hubbard got hurt toward the end of the game, but he returned.

Young contributed with two rushes for 30 yards, including a 24-yard scramble. Miles Sanders added 5 yards on two carries, averaging 2.5 yards per rush. He was carted off the field at the start of the second quarter. Jonathon Brooks was a healthy scratch.

• Chuba Hubbard: 53 snaps, 88% snap share
• Miles Sanders: 6 snaps, 10% snap share
• Raheem Blackshear: 2 snaps, 3% snap share

I’ve been suggesting Hubbard as a “sell-high” the last few weeks, but the opportunity seems like it’s long gone at this point. My stance has changed, given his new extension. He is the Panthers RB1 for the rest of the season.

Brooks will make his season debut in Week 12 for the Panthers against the Chiefs.

He’s the future for the Panthers at running back, but now so is Hubbard. If Brooks just takes on the Sanders role – five to six touches per game – that won’t impact Hubbard in any way. It might actually make Hubbard a sneaky buy because Carolina has shown zero reason to believe they are ready to give Brooks a sizeable workload after drafting him in the second round of this year’s draft.

In the receiving game against the Giants, Jalen Coker led the team in targets with eight, catching three passes for 41 yards, averaging 13.7 yards per catch, with a long of 24 yards and 13 yards after the catch (YAC). He had another red-zone target but did not score. Coker dominated with a 32% Target share and 82 air yards, which was 50% of the team’s air yards.

Xavier Legette had four targets and three receptions for 40 yards, averaging 13.3 yards per catch, with a long of 23 yards. Contributed a 16% Target share, with 41 air yards accounting for 25% of the team’s air yards.

David Moore caught two of his four targets for 18 yards, averaging 9.0 yards per reception. He also caught a 7-yard TD that was called back by penalty.

Hubbard also contributed as a receiver with four catches on six targets for 16 yards (24% Target share), while Ja’Tavion Sanders recorded two receptions on two targets for 8 yards and scored a touchdown. Two red-zone targets, two receptions, and one touchdown. Sanders ran a route on 85% of dropbacks – elite usage for a fantasy tight end.

Ian Thomas had a single catch for 3 yards.

Coming out of their Week 11 bye week, Carolina will face the Chiefs, Buccaneers, Eagles, Cowboys, Cardinals and Buccaneers. Pretty good playoff schedule.

This team is littered with rookies so there’s potential upside with this offense in some of the more desirable matchups down the line. Given the KC matchup, they can mostly be dropped in shallower formats or kept on waivers. But keep them stashed for the long haul in deeper formats.

I will say that Adam Thielen’s return does make things a bit more complicated for the Panthers WRs. Considering Legette’s Prizepicks number is at 40.5 receiving yards (he hasn’t hit since Week 4), it is a strong shade toward the LESS THAN.
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New York Giants

Hold /Sell Malik Nabers | Buy Tyrone Tracy Jr. | Add Tommy DeVito

In Week 10, Quarterback Daniel Jones completed 22 of 37 passes for 190 yards, with no touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He posted a 59.5% completion rate, a passer rating of 50.5, and averaged 5.1 yards per attempt.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Giants have a favorable quarterback schedule. Daniel Jones can be dropped. He has also been benched in favor of Tommy DeVito. Gross.

After the Giants’ bye week: vs TB, @ DAL, vs NO, vs BAL, @ ATL and vs IND. Be sure to add DeVito in Superflex formats with Jones benched.

In the rushing game, Tyrone Tracy Jr. led with 18 carries for 103 yards and one touchdown, averaging 5.7 yards per carry with a long run of 32 yards. Devin Singletary added 40 rushing yards on eight attempts, averaging 5.0 yards per carry, with a long of 14 yards.

First-half carries were eight for Tracy and three for Singletary. The rookie had three red-zone rushing attempts as well.

• Tyrone Tracy: 60 snaps, 80% snap share
• Devin Singletary: 17 snaps, 23% snap share
• Eric Gray: 2 snaps, 3% snap share

It was a near-perfect day for Tracy, had it not been for a back-breaking lost fumble in overtime.

I expect the rookie to finish the season strong. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Giants have a top-10 schedule for RBs rest of the season. Buy.

Jones also contributed on the ground with seven rushes for 26 yards and one touchdown.

For the receivers, Wan’Dale Robinson was targeted 8 times, catching five passes for 51 yards, averaging 10.2 yards per reception with a long of 23 yards and 19 yards after the catch (YAC), and held a 25% Target share with 64 air yards, making up 24% of air yards.

Malik Nabers led the team in targets with 10, catching six passes for 50 yards, averaging 8.3 yards per reception with a long of 19 yards. He had a 41-yard catch overturned. Still dominated with a 31% Target share, gaining 111 air yards, representing 42% of air yards.

Nabers was being evaluated for a concussion in the fourth quarter. Not good. Given he missed two games with his first concussion earlier this season, he could be slated for more missed games down the road. We won’t get as much information on him with him on bye as well. If you have Nabers and can withstand him missing any games, hold him. But be sure to have a backup plan, such as Darius Slayton waiting in the wings. However, the latest news we got from Sunday is that Nabers did not sustain a concussion and should be good to go.

Per FantasyPros’ SOS tool, it’s the No. 3 most favorable schedule for fantasy WRs. However, I am terrified of relying on Tommy DeVito for fear he nukes this offense. Put Nabers on the block.

Jalin Hyatt caught all four of his targets for 39 yards, averaging 9.8 yards per catch, with a long of 19 yards. Hyatt ran a route on 74% of dropbacks, filling in for Darius Slayton.

Theo Johnson added four receptions on six targets for 37 yards, averaging 9.3 yards per catch, with a long of 13 yards. He recorded a 19% Target share, totaling 47 air yards or 18% of air yards.

And FWIW, the Giants have the No. 2 schedule for fantasy TEs for the rest of the season.

Isaiah Hodgins and Singletary each contributed with one reception, with Hodgins gaining 7 yards and Singletary picking up 5 yards. Tracy Jr. also had a reception for 1 yard.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Hold/Sell Cade Otton | Sell/Hold Rachaad White | Hold/Buy Bucky Irving | Stash/Add Buccaneers DST | Add Jalen McMillan

In Week 10, Quarterback Baker Mayfield completed 18 of 29 passes for 116 yards and a touchdown, with a 62.1% completion rate and a passer rating of 82, averaging 4 yards per attempt.

Tampa Bay also lost their back offensive tackle, Tristan Wirfs, in this matchup.

On the ground, Bucky Irving led the rushing attack with 13 carries for 73 yards, averaging 5.6 yards per carry, including a 14-yard run and a touchdown. Bucky led with six first-half carries to White’s two. The rookie had three red-zone rushing attempts and one rushing touchdown.

Per Next Gen Stats, Irving generated +18 rushing yards over expected and forced five missed tackles on rushing attempts, both of which were his 2nd-most in a game this season. Irving has forced a total of 40 missed tackles on rushing attempts this season.

Rachaad White added 10 carries for 31 yards, averaging 3.1 yards per carry, with a long of 8 yards.

White had two red-zone rushing attempts, zero rushing touchdowns, one reception, one red-zone target, and one receiving touchdown.

• Rachaad White: 37 snaps, 61% snap share
• Bucky Irving: 28 snaps, 46% snap share

In the passing game, Rachaad White led in receptions with six catches on seven targets (24% Target share) for 39 yards, averaging 6.5 yards per catch, with a long of 10 yards and 38 yards after the catch (YAC), including a touchdown reception.

Bucky Irving contributed to the receiving game as well, with three catches on three targets for 14 yards, averaging 4.7 yards per catch, with a 12-yard long and 24 YAC.

White has gotten by the last four games with five TDs.

Irving is the best running back on the Buccaneers. Not White. After White scored yet again, you best be selling high. But if you can’t sell high on White – hold him. There is a great schedule for RBs for the rest of the season. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, it’s No. 1 for RBs. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Buccaneers also have the No.1-ranked schedule for quarterbacks.

Cade Otton was a key target, catching five passes on eight targets for 35 yards, averaging 7 yards per catch, with a long of 15 yards and 19 YAC. The Bucs tight end led with a 28% Target share, totaling 33 air yards, which made up 21% of air yards.

And FWIW, the Buccaneers have the No. 1 schedule for fantasy TEs for the rest of the season.

Ryan Miller had a single 11-yard catch on three targets, contributing 6 YAC. Miller ran a route on 88% of dropbacks.

Rakim Jarrett caught 2 of his four targets for 10 yards, with a long of 6 yards. Jarrett ran a route on 79% of dropbacks.

Sterling Shepard ran a route on 70% of dropbacks. Recorded a 10% Target share, gaining 34 air yards, representing 22% of air yards.

Despite being “active” rookie Jalen McMillan did not play as he battles through a hamstring injury. Look for him to get healthy after the bye week. Still, it’s clear that Tampa Bay is leaning on its RB/TE trio than the WRs in the wake of their injuries. Safe to leave all the fringy TB WRs on waivers. McMillan is a speculative add if anything.

Coming out of their bye week, TB will likely get Mike Evans back. Then they will play at the Giants, at the Panthers, home versus the Raiders, at the Chargers, at Dallas, and the Panthers.

Stash the Buccaneers’ DST over the bye week. No. 1-schedule ROS for DSTs.
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Houston Texans

Hold Tank Dell | Buy/Hold Joe Mixon | Buy Nico Collins | Add John Metchie III

The Houston Texans fell short in their Week 11 matchup, with C.J. Stroud completing 23 of 34 passes for 257 yards but failing to throw a touchdown and recording one interception. Stroud showed flashes of brilliance but couldn’t overcome a few missed opportunities, including a 77-yard touchdown by Nico Collins that was wiped out by a penalty. Collins, in his first game back from injury, played only 47% of the snaps, catching four passes for 54 yards on seven targets, matching a team-high 21% Target share. Per Next Gen Stats Collins appeared to be on a snap count in his return from a Week 5 hamstring injury, playing only 28 of 60 offensive snaps, his lowest playtime rate of the past two seasons. Collins tied for the team lead in yards (54) and targets (7). Collins faced Trevon Diggs on 14 of his 20 routes (70.0%), catching just 1 of his 3 targets for 11 yards with Diggs as the nearest defender.

He also trailed only Tank Dell in air yards, with Dell leading the team with 67. Dell contributed four catches for 54 yards on an identical seven targets, showcasing his growing role in the offense.

Collins was the target leader in the first half (five) and earned a 35% target rate per route run.

Joe Mixon dominated on the ground, rushing 20 times for 109 yards and three touchdowns, including a long 45-yard score that gave the Texans’ ground game a much-needed spark. Mixon also played a role in the passing attack, catching two passes for 44 yards on four targets.

As bad it was for me to be “out” on Derick Henry on his ADP this season, my rationale behind it was that Mixon was a better cheaper value with a similar upside at cost. Hard to argue with his production when he’s been healthy this season. Makes it easier for me to sleep at night.

Dalton Schultz tied Collins and Dell for the team lead in Target share, securing five of his seven targets for 33 yards, continuing to be a reliable outlet for Stroud.

John Metchie III, who caught all three of his targets for 33 yards, and Dalton Schultz each showed efficiency with limited opportunities. Tight end Cade Stover also chipped in with two catches for 15 yards.

Houston plays the Titans and Jaguars before their bye week. They open the fantasy football playoffs against the Dolphins, Chiefs, and Ravens. If you have them, you hold them.
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Dallas Cowboys

Sell CeeDee Lamb

The Dallas Cowboys were unable to secure a win in Week 11 despite quarterback Cooper Rush throwing for 354 yards on 32-of-55 passing with one touchdown and one interception. Rush’s performance was uneven, with a completion percentage of just 58.2%, and the offense struggled to finish drives consistently. Punter Bryan Anger even completed a pass for 4 yards, highlighting some creative play-calling attempts.

To add literal insult to injury, Dallas also had three starting OL suffer injuries on Monday Night.

CeeDee Lamb was the offensive centerpiece, leading the team with eight receptions for 93 yards on 12 targets, earning a 23% Target share and accounting for 29% of the Cowboys’ air yards. Lamb also added a 13-yard rush, but his big-play potential wasn’t enough to push Dallas over the top. KaVontae Turpin provided the Cowboys’ lone touchdown through the air, catching all 3 of his targets for 86 yards, including a 64-yard scoring strike that showcased his explosive speed.

At tight end, Luke Schoonmaker stepped up following an early concussion to Jake Ferguson, playing 44 snaps and earning a 19% Target share with six catches for 56 yards. Schoonmaker also racked up nearly 90 air yards, leading all Cowboys’ tight ends and proving to be a reliable target in Ferguson’s absence. Ferguson played just seven snaps before exiting the game.

In the backfield, Rico Dowdle carried the ball 10 times for 28 yards while adding two receptions for 6 yards on five targets. Dowdle out-snapped Ezekiel Elliott, playing 49% of the offensive snaps compared to Elliott’s 31%. Elliott managed just eight rushing yards on one attempt but contributed in the passing game, catching 3 of his three targets for 16 yards. Zeke only got used in the second half of the game when things started to get out of reach.

Ryan Flournoy started the game as the Dallas No. 3 WR and logged significant playing time, earning a 65% snap share and catching 2 of his three targets for 19 yards. His increased involvement highlights the Cowboys’ efforts to integrate different receiving options. He had another 20-yard gain removed on a penalty.

Meanwhile, No.3 tight end Brenden Spann-Ford added four receptions for 42 yards, showing efficiency with a 10.5 yards-per-reception average.

I wanted to sell Lamb last week and I think after a solid game this is the perfect runway to move away. Dallas is still spiraling, and I don’t have hope that this will get changed anytime soon.

This team is 3-7 and could easily be 3-8 against the Commanders on the road on a short week before hosting the Giants on Thanksgiving.

The OL is all hurt, and Lamb doesn’t have the same TD upside he once did. It took 55 pass attempts from Rush for Lamb to finish as the WR20 in Week 11.

Lamb has two top-12 finishes all season (three inside the top-15).

The rest of the schedule is as follows: vs CIN, @ CAR, vs TB, @ PHI. It’s a very juicy playoff schedule, but if there’s no Prescott, Lamb is just a volume-dependent WR. Note that all his games with Rush back in 2022 weren’t great. It’s going to be up-and-down, and I’m fearful of being on the wrong side of the Rush experience come fantasy football playoff time. He could destroy you against the Eagles’ strong defense if he duds out.

Again, I don’t know the price of Lamb in your league, but if I had to just flat-out buy/sell in a vacuum, I’d likely be happy just wiping my hands clean of any and all players from Dallas.

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