Welcome back, everybody! We’ve got NFL Week 10 officially in the books and a lot to recap from ALL the action! My goal with this weekly piece is to provide you with the KEY ACTION items – waiver wire pickups, trade, add, drop, stash, buy, sell, start, sit, etc. – for your fantasy football team based on what happened the previous week. Let me do the work of scouring through the data so you can just follow my lead. As my college marketing professor always said, “Keep it simple, stupid.” The KISS mantra is at its finest.

Obviously, I’ll cite data and what I watched on film from the weekend’s past matchups, highlighting what matters most and what’s potentially just noise. I will make a strong effort to feature players coming off polarizing performances, as they are sure to be the ones fantasy managers have the most question marks about.

And I’d be more than happy to include certain tables where I see they fit and/or there is a demand.

Again, the idea behind the Fantasy Forecast has always been about identifying which players are running routes, seeing high snap shares, and earning high-value targets, as these tend to be precursors for future fantasy production. And sometimes, they don’t always appear in the normal box score.

Also new this year. An opening trade advice column and more graphics! Courtesy of FantasyPros in-house data scientist Sam Hoppen!

So, without further ado…let’s unveil the Fantasy Forecast for Week 11 to prepare our rosters for future success.

Because the forecast calls for a SHOCKINGLY fun Week 11 slate with 28 teams BACK in action with the Arizona Cardinals, Carolina Panthers, New York Giants and Tampa Bay Buccaneers on their bye weeks.

• More Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Advice
• Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
• Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
• Fantasy Football Trade Tools

Week 11 Fantasy Football Forecast

Jump ahead and check out my advice for each team using the table below

 

Trade Advice

My thoughts on this week’s trade market.

• Trade deadlines are approaching. Every move you make needs to be focused on either getting into the postseason or setting you up for a strong playoff run.
• Look at your roster. If you wouldn’t be “buying” certain players on your team in other leagues, you might want to consider selling.
• How to sell a depreciating asset? Package it with something not so bad to take the other manager’s attention away from the negativity.
• Note that your trade deadline might be this week.
  • Sleeper’s default is Week 11.
  • CBS is at the start of next week (11/18).
  • Yahoo’s is Saturday before Week 11 starts (11/16).
  • ESPN’s is at the start of next week (11/20).
• Chances are right before Week 11 (or right after) will be the last chance to strike a deal. If there’s any week to be more active in trade talks, it’s this week.

Cincinnati Bengals

Add Mike Gesicki | Buy Ja’Marr Chase | Hold Tee Higgins & Chase Brown | Add Khalil Herbert

Quarterback Joe Burrow completed 34 of 56 passes for a staggering 428 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions. He recorded a 60.7% completion rate, a passer rating of 108.3, and averaged 7.6 yards per attempt.

In the run game, Chase Brown had 13 carries for 42 yards, averaging 3.2 yards per carry, with a long run of 7 yards and added a rushing touchdown. Burrow contributed with two rushes for 6 yards, with a long of 6 yards. Khalil Herbert played but fumbled his first carry. He played two offensive snaps. Nothing more than a handcuff.

• Chase Brown: 71 snaps, 87% snap share
• Khalil Herbert: 2 snaps, 2% snap share
• Trayveon Williams: 1 snap, 1% snap share

For receiving, Ja’Marr Chase was the star, drawing 17 targets, catching 11 passes for an impressive 264 yards, and scoring three touchdowns. He averaged 24.0 yards per catch, with a long of 70 yards, and accumulated 103 yards after the catch (YAC). Dominated with a 31% target share, posting 243 air yards, which was 50% of the team’s air yards.

Chase Brown had 11 targets with nine catches for 52 yards, averaging 5.8 yards per catch with 54 YAC. Tanner Hudson caught six of his seven targets for 42 yards, including a touchdown and 31 YAC.

Mike Gesicki saw nine targets, catching 4 for 30 yards, averaging 7.5 yards per reception. Had a 17% target share and 86 air yards, representing 18% of the team’s air yards. Gesicki ran a route on 73% of dropbacks (season-high) with two red-zone targets.

The process was perfect, starting Gesicki on Thursday night. But sometimes, things just don’t work out in fantasy football. We got Tanner Hudson‘d.

Other notable performances included Andrei Iosivas, who had two catches for 29 yards, averaging 14.5 yards per catch. Andrei Iosivas ran a route on 82% of dropbacks.

Jermaine Burton caught 1 of 5 targets for 11 yards, and Cam Grandy had a single reception for no gain. Burton ran a route on 52% of dropbacks. He registered a 9% target share with 89 air yards, making up 18% of air yards-two red-zone targets.

The rookie had his fair share of opportunities after being a healthy scratch in Week 9. If Tee Higgins is out again, we might see him pop.

Matchups are the Chargers next before their bye week. Then it’s the Steelers and Cowboys.

We should see more offensive production. However, don’t be afraid to flip Bengals for equivalent elite pieces.

The playoff schedule between the Titans, Browns, and Broncos in Week 17 isn’t great. And if the Bengals don’t start accumulating wins soon, they are going to fall out of the AFC playoff picture.
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Baltimore Ravens

Hold Mark Andrews & Diontae Johnson

Quarterback Lamar Jackson completed 25 of 33 passes for 290 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions, achieving a 75.8% completion rate, a passer rating of 141.4, and an impressive 8.8 yards per attempt.

In the rushing game, Derrick Henry led with 16 carries for 68 yards, averaging 4.3 yards per carry, with a long run of 11 yards and added a touchdown. Four red-zone rushing attempts and one rushing touchdown.

Jackson contributed 33 yards on seven carries, averaging 4.7 yards per carry. Justice Hill had two rushes for a loss of 2 yards.

• Derrick Henry: 39 snaps, 62% snap share
• Justice Hill: 22 snaps, 35% snap share
• Patrick Ricard: 20 snaps, 32% snap share
• Keaton Mitchell: 2 snaps, 3% snap share

Among receivers, Tylan Wallace had a standout performance, catching all 3 of his targets for 115 yards, averaging a whopping 38.3 yards per catch, with a long of 84 yards and 90 yards after the catch (YAC), scoring a touchdown.

Mark Andrews saw seven targets and caught 6 for 68 yards and a red-zone touchdown, averaging 11.3 yards per catch with 30 YAC. He garnered a 22% target share, with 69 air yards for a 28% share.

Elite usage with Isaiah Likely out as Andrews ran a route on 86% of dropbacks.

Rashod Bateman was also productive, with six receptions on eight targets for 54 yards, scoring a touchdown and adding 8 YAC. Bateman ran a route on 75% of dropbacks. He had a 25% target share, accumulating 84 air yards, which was 34% of the team’s air yards-two red-zone targets.

Other notable performances include Zay Flowers, who caught 4 of eight targets for 34 yards, averaging 8.5 yards per reception with 28 YAC, and Nelson Agholor, who made one catch on two targets for 6 yards and a red-zone touchdown. Flowers posted a 19% target share with 31 air yards, representing 13% of the team’s air yards.

Diontae Johnson and Charlie Kolar each contributed with a reception, while Henry and Justice Hill had limited contributions in the passing game. Keaton Mitchell played two offensive snaps.

Johnson ran a route on 8% of dropbacks (less than last week). He earned a 6% target share, totaling 35 air yards and making up 14% of air yards.

Ideally, we would like to see DJ supplant Agholor, but that still might be another week away.

Had this not been a short week, maybe we would have seen more of Johnson. I can say confidently that given it’s Steelers-Ravens this week, I’d bet Johnson starts to get really ramped up. Still, you can’t start him confidently. And if you need the roster spot with byes, he is first on the chopping block. Still, he is going to get dropped in the leagues, and I’d happily scoop him up as a roster stash.

But if I can keep that upside on my roster, I want to. Every game the Ravens play turns into a shootout. Eventually, Johnson will benefit. Also, if there’s an injury…his value would skyrocket.

Baltimore will face Steelers, Chargers, and Eagles before a bye week. Giants, Steelers (again), and Texans in the fantasy football playoffs.
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New York Giants

Hold Malik Nabers| Add Wan’Dale Robinson & Darius Slayton | Buy Tyrone Tracy Jr. | Add Drew Lock

Quarterback Daniel Jones completed 22 of 37 passes for 190 yards, with no touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He posted a 59.5% completion rate, a passer rating of 50.5, and averaged 5.1 yards per attempt.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Giants have a favorable quarterback schedule. Daniel Jones can be dropped during the bye week, but remember to scoop him back up.

After the Giants’ bye week: vs TB, @ DAL, vs NO, vs BAL, @ ATL and vs IND. Be sure to add Drew Lock in Superflex formats in case Jones gets benched. Very possible.

In the rushing game, Tyrone Tracy Jr. led with 18 carries for 103 yards and one touchdown, averaging 5.7 yards per carry with a long run of 32 yards. Devin Singletary added 40 rushing yards on eight attempts, averaging 5.0 yards per carry, with a long of 14 yards.

First-half carries were eight for Tracy and three for Singletary. The rookie had three red-zone rushing attempts as well.

• Tyrone Tracy: 60 snaps, 80% snap share
• Devin Singletary: 17 snaps, 23% snap share
• Eric Gray: 2 snaps, 3% snap share

It was a near-perfect day for Tracy, had it not been for a back-breaking lost fumble in overtime.

I expect the rookie to finish the season strong. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Giants have the above average schedule for RBs rest of the season. Buy.

Jones also contributed on the ground with seven rushes for 26 yards and one touchdown.

For the receivers, Wan’Dale Robinson was targeted 8 times, catching five passes for 51 yards, averaging 10.2 yards per reception with a long of 23 yards and 19 yards after the catch (YAC), and held a 25% target share with 64 air yards, making up 24% of air yards.

Malik Nabers led the team in targets with 10, catching six passes for 50 yards, averaging 8.3 yards per reception with a long of 19 yards. He had a 41-yard catch overturned. Still dominated with a 31% target share, gaining 111 air yards, representing 42% of air yards.

Nabers was being evaluated for a concussion in the fourth quarter. Not good. Given he missed two games with his first concussion earlier this season, he could be slated for more missed games down the road. We won’t get as much information on him with him on bye as well. If you have Nabers and can withstand him missing any games, hold him. But be sure to have a backup plan, such as Darius Slayton waiting in the wings. However, the latest news we got from Sunday is that Nabers did not sustain a concussion and should be good to go.

Per FantasyPros’ SOS tool, it’s the No. 1 most favorable schedule for fantasy WRs.

Jalin Hyatt caught all four of his targets for 39 yards, averaging 9.8 yards per catch, with a long of 19 yards. Hyatt ran a route on 74% of dropbacks, filling in for Darius Slayton.

Theo Johnson added four receptions on six targets for 37 yards, averaging 9.3 yards per catch, with a long of 13 yards. He recorded a 19% target share, totaling 47 air yards or 18% of air yards.

And FWIW, the Giants have the No. 2 schedule for fantasy TEs for the rest of the season.

Isaiah Hodgins and Singletary each contributed with one reception, with Hodgins gaining 7 yards and Singletary picking up 5 yards. Tracy Jr. also had a reception for 1 yard.
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Carolina Panthers

Buy/Hold Chuba Hubbard & Hold/Sell Jonathon Brooks | Add Xavier Legette & Ja’Tavion Sanders & Jalen Coker

Quarterback Bryce Young completed 15 of 25 passes for 126 yards, with one touchdown and no interceptions, achieving a 60% completion rate, a passer rating of 86.4, and averaging 5.0 yards per attempt.

On the ground, Chuba Hubbard dominated with 28 carries for 153 yards and one touchdown, averaging 5.5 yards per carry with a long run of 26 yards. Five red-zone rushing attempts, one rushing touchdown. Hubbard got hurt toward the end of the game, but he returned.

Young contributed with two rushes for 30 yards, including a 24-yard scramble. Miles Sanders added 5 yards on two carries, averaging 2.5 yards per rush. He was carted off the field at the start of the second quarter. Jonathon Brooks was a healthy scratch.

• Chuba Hubbard: 53 snaps, 88% snap share
• Miles Sanders: 6 snaps, 10% snap share
• Raheem Blackshear: 2 snaps, 3% snap share

I’ve been suggesting Hubbard as a “sell-high” the last few weeks, but the opportunity seems like it’s long gone at this point. My stance has changed, given his new extension signed last week. He is the Panthers RB1 for the rest of the season.

Brooks will debut in Week 12 for the Panthers, especially if the Sanders injury is serious.

He’s the future for the Panthers at running back, but now so is Hubbard. If Brooks just takes on the Sanders role – five to six touches per game – that won’t impact Hubbard in any way. It might actually make Hubbard a sneaky buy because Carolina has shown zero reason to believe they are ready to give Brooks a sizeable workload after drafting him in the second round of this year’s draft.

In the receiving game, Jalen Coker led the team in targets with eight, catching three passes for 41 yards, averaging 13.7 yards per catch, with a long of 24 yards and 13 yards after the catch (YAC). He had another red-zone target but did not score. Coker dominated with a 32% target share and 82 air yards, which was 50% of the team’s air yards.

Xavier Legette had four targets and three receptions for 40 yards, averaging 13.3 yards per catch, with a long of 23 yards. Contributed a 16% target share, with 41 air yards accounting for 25% of the team’s air yards.

David Moore caught two of his four targets for 18 yards, averaging 9.0 yards per reception. He also caught a 7-yard TD that was called back by penalty.

Hubbard also contributed as a receiver with four catches on six targets for 16 yards (24% target share), while Ja’Tavion Sanders recorded two receptions on two targets for 8 yards and scored a touchdown. Two red-zone targets, two receptions, and one touchdown. Sanders ran a route on 85% of dropbacks – elite usage for a fantasy tight end.

Ian Thomas had a single catch for 3 yards.

After a Week 11 bye week, Carolina will face the Chiefs, Buccaneers, Eagles, Cowboys, Cardinals and Buccaneers. Pretty good playoff schedule.

This team is littered with rookies so there’s potential upside with this offense in some of the more desirable matchups down the line. Given the KC matchup and bye week, they can mostly be dropped in shallower formats. But keep them stashed for the long haul in deeper formats.
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Atlanta Falcons

Buy Kyle Pitts| Hold Darnell Mooney | Buy Bijan Robinson & Tyler Allgeier

Quarterback Kirk Cousins completed 23 of 38 passes for 306 yards, throwing no touchdowns and one interception, finishing with a passer rating of 75.1 and averaging 8.1 yards per attempt.

In the rushing game, Bijan Robinson dominated with 20 carries for 116 yards and two touchdowns (once in the red zone), averaging 5.8 yards per carry, with his longest run going for 37 yards. Tyler Allgeier contributed 59 yards on 11 carries, averaging 5.4 yards per rush, while Ray-Ray McCloud added 6 yards on his only rushing attempt. Allgeier had three red-zone rushing attempts to Bijan’s two.

• Bijan Robinson: 61 snaps, 78% snap share
• Tyler Allgeier: 18 snaps, 23% snap share

Bijan ranks second in the NFL in touches. I’m ready to take the L on Breece Hall versus Bijan Robinson.

The receiving group was led by Drake London, who caught 8 of his 12 targets for 97 yards, averaging 12.1 yards per reception with a long catch of 20 yards. London had a 32% target share, with 124 air yards for a 30% air yards share. Three red-zone targets, one reception, and zero touchdowns.

Darnell Mooney followed with five receptions on 10 targets for 96 yards, averaging 19.2 yards per catch, including a 33-yard gain. Mooney had two more targets that resulted in defensive pass interference for gains of 14 and 16 yards. Registered a 27% target share and led with 167 air yards, making up 40% of the team’s air yards.

Kyle Pitts contributed four catches on six targets for 55 yards, with his longest reception going for 23 yards. Kyle Pitts ran a route on 73% of dropbacks. Achieved a 16% target share and contributed 69 air yards, accounting for 17% of air yards. One red-zone target, zero receptions, zero touchdowns.

Ray-Ray McCloud had three receptions on four targets for 30 yards, including a 20-yard long reception. Bijan Robinson also contributed to the passing game with three receptions on four targets for 28 yards, while Charlie Woerner was targeted once but did not record a catch.

The remaining Falcons schedule @ DEN, BYE, vs. LAC, @ MIN, @ LV vs. NYG, and @ WAS.

It’s mostly the status quo with the Falcons. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Falcons have the top-5-ranked schedule for WRs. Great playoff schedule as well.

Atlanta also has a good schedule for fantasy DSTs for the rest of the season. The first two weeks of the fantasy postseason are a chef’s kiss, as they face the Raiders and Giants.
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New Orleans Saints

Hold/Sell Alvin Kamara | Add Taysom Hill & Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Quarterback Derek Carr completed 16 of 25 passes for 269 yards, throwing two touchdowns and finishing with a passer rating of 126.9 and an impressive 10.8 yards per attempt.

In the rushing game, Alvin Kamara led with 17 carries for 55 yards, averaging 3.2 yards per carry, with his longest run at 11 yards. Derek Carr added 17 yards on four carries, averaging 4.3 yards per rush, while Taysom Hill contributed 14 yards on four carries with a 3.5-yard average. Jordan Mims added 10 yards on two attempts.

The receiving corps was led by Marquez Valdes-Scantling, who had three receptions on three targets for 109 yards, scoring two touchdowns and averaging 36.3 yards per catch, including a long reception of 67 yards. Valdes-Scantling ran a route on 59% of dropbacks (most among WRs) and scored on his lone red-zone target.

All of his production came in the second quarter. Led with a 14% target share, totaling 86 air yards, representing 50% of the team’s air yards. Valdes-Scantling caught both of his deep targets (20+ air yards).

According to Next Gen Stats, Valdes-Scantling added one other reception for 2 yards to give him three receptions for 109 yards and a touchdown overall on 16 total routes run; he caught three receptions for 31 yards on 68 routes combined in Weeks 1-9 with the Bills and Saints. The Falcons’ defense had allowed just five completions for 164 yards, a touchdown, and three interceptions on 23 deep targets faced in Weeks 1-9.

MVS doing nothing next week or the remainder of the season will shock nobody. But on the other hand, he does seem to slide seamlessly into the Rashid Shaheed role. And as bad as he is at commanding targets, there’s nobody left on this team that can command targets.

But given Cleveland’s defense and their propensity to blow coverages, I think we might be in store for one more big MVS week. Throw ’em in the flex and see what happens. There’s “no way” he can do it again.

Alvin Kamara followed with five receptions on six targets for 54 yards, averaging 10.8 yards per reception, with a long catch of 31 yards. Kamara ran a route on 63% of dropbacks, leading the team in routes run while boasting a 28% target share. He also had another long pass completion that he flat-out dropped late in the game.

• Alvin Kamara: 43 snaps, 81% snap share
• Adam Prentice: 18 snaps, 34% snap share
• Jordan Mims: 8 snaps, 15% snap share

At this point with Kamara, it’s just a matter of how long he can keep this up. He leads the NFL with 218 touches. He’s on pace for 370 touches. He’s never had 300 in any season of his career. I’d like to get out earlier if I can.

Taysom Hill caught both of his targets for 36 yards, averaging 18 yards per reception, with a long catch of 34 yards. Hill could have had a monster day if his 88-yard touchdown counted, but it came back because of holding. Still, the overall usage was great. Hill ran a route on 59% of dropbacks (second-most on the team). Secured a 10% target share but contributed zero air yards as an underneath option.

Kevin Austin Jr. contributed two catches on two targets for 36 yards, averaging 18 yards per catch with a 22-yard long. Austin Jr. ran a route on 44% of dropbacks.

Juwan Johnson had two receptions on three targets for 22 yards, while Dante Pettis caught his only target for 8 yards. Johnson ran a route on 56% of dropbacks, and he recorded a 14% target share with 26 air yards, accounting for 15% of air yards.

Mason Tipton ran a route on 56% of dropbacks but had zero targets. Foster Moreau had one red-zone target.

Like I said last week, I wasn’t shocked to see the Saints bounce back in lieu of the Dennis Allen firing. But I’m not sure this is going to be a great long-term investment. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Saints have the No.5th-ranked schedule for quarterbacks/No.9 for RBs for the rest of the season. But I’m not sure it truly matters.

They will play the Browns off a bye week in Week 11 before a Week 12 bye week. Then it’s Rams, Giants, Commanders, Packers and Raiders to round out the season.

Admittedly, the playoff schedule is very nice.
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Denver Broncos

Add Bo Nix | Buy/Hold Courtland Sutton | Sell Javonte Williams| Hold Troy Franklin | Add Audric Estime | Cut Jaleel McLaughlin

Quarterback Bo Nix completed 22 of 30 passes for 215 yards and two touchdowns, finishing with a passer rating of 115.3 and an average of 7.2 yards per attempt.

In the rushing attack, Audric Estime led the team with 14 carries for 53 yards, averaging 3.8 yards per carry with a long run of 10 yards. Marvin Mims Jr. added 17 yards on three carries, while Jaleel McLaughlin contributed 12 yards on two attempts, averaging 6 yards per carry. Mims seemed noticeably more involved with seven touches across the board and a red-zone reception. A lot of schemed touches for the second-year WR. He was the first Broncos player to have multiple carries. He was also targeted on 57% of his routes.

McLaughlin started, but Estime led the backfield with four carries in the first half. The rookie also had another 17-yard gain wiped out on a penalty. The Notre Dame product had two red zone rushing attempts to Javonte Williams‘ one.

Javonte Williams ran a route on 26% of dropbacks but finished with just three touches. After an up-and-down season, the clock has struck midnight on Williams. It’s over, folks.

• Audric Estime: 26 snaps, 45% snap share
• Javonte Williams: 17 snaps, 29% snap share
• Michael Burton: 10 snaps, 17% snap share
• Jaleel McLaughlin: 7 snaps, 12% snap share

McLaughlin ran a route on just 6% of dropbacks. As of right now, McLaughlin is a clear drop, with Williams taking over the pass-catching role “full-time.” IN shallower formats, both Williams/McLaughlin can be cut.

Because it’s FINALLY time for Estime. We have had signals that this change was coming, but finally we saw it happen in real time. Hopefully you were able to stash Estime ahead of the move, but if not he becomes the top waiver target this week.

That being said, per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool, the Broncos have a bottom-10 schedule for fantasy RBs for the rest of the season.

Courtland Sutton led the receiving group with six catches on nine targets for 70 yards and a touchdown, averaging 11.7 yards per reception with a long of 32 yards. Led with a 33% target share and 101 air yards, making up 52% of air yards.

Devaughn Vele caught all four of his targets for 39 yards and a red-zone touchdown, averaging 9.8 yards per catch. Vele ran a route on 76% of dropbacks. Had a 15% target share with 23 air yards, equating to 12% of air yards.

Troy Franklin ran a route on 47% of dropbacks. He registered a 7% target share (two targets), totaling 45 air yards, which was 23% of air yards. I will continue to say it. Practice patience. The rookie will benefit from the upcoming matchups. His usage has at least stabilized. Eventually, one of these Nix deep balls will actually convert to Franklin.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Broncos have a top-4-ranked schedule for quarterbacks for the rest of the season (3rd for WRs). The Chiefs in Week 10 were their last tough matchup, but it’s setting up smooth sailing from here on out.

The schedule goes @ KC, vs. ATL, @ LV, vs. CLE, BYE, vs. IND, @ LAC, @ CIN, and vs. KC.

Tight end Adam Trautman had a notable 34-yard reception, his only catch on one target.
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Kansas City Chiefs

Sell/Hold Xavier Worthy | Sell Kareem Hunt | Hold/Sell DeAndre Hopkins

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes completed 28 of 42 passes for 266 yards, throwing one touchdown and no interceptions. He ended the game with a passer rating of 92 and an average of 6.3 yards per attempt.

In the rushing department, Kareem Hunt led the Chiefs with 14 carries for 35 yards, averaging 2.5 yards per carry with a long run of 10 yards. Four red-zone rushing attempts, zero rushing touchdowns, three receptions, and four red-zone targets.

Mahomes added 19 yards on three carries, averaging 6.3 yards per rush, while Carson Steele chipped in with 3 yards on two attempts.

• Kareem Hunt: 44 snaps, 65% snap share
• Samaje Perine: 16 snaps, 24% snap share
• Carson Steele: 13 snaps, 19% snap share

The receiving corps was led by Kareem Hunt, who caught seven of his 10 targets (25% target share) for 65 yards, averaging 9.3 yards per reception with a long gain of 26 yards. Ten targets for Kareem Hunt. Wild.

The usage for Hunt is virtually off-the-chart. And if he wasn’t past his prime, he’d be pushing for top 5 weekly RB status. It makes you wonder about the type of season Isiah Pacheco was set up to have before his injury. Regardless, expect more fantasy RB1 production from Hunt against Buffalo, especially in the passing game.

Still, Hunt managers need to realize this might not end well come fantasy playoff time.

Pacheco’s eventual return creates some ambiguity about how useful Hunt will be in crunch time during the fantasy football playoffs. Don’t hold onto Hunt too tight before he loses value.

The latest from head coach Andy Reid is that Pacheco is close to returning.

Coach Reid says JuJu Smith-Schuster, Isiah Pacheco and Charles Omenihu are all "very close" to returning.

— Matt McMullen (@KCChiefs_Matt) November 11, 2024

Now I am very skeptical about how effective Pacheco will be coming off the broken leg injury, but I think his presence will definitely hurt Hunt.

Travis Kelce had a productive day, catching 8 of his 12 targets for 64 yards and a touchdown, with his longest reception going for 22 yards. He led with a 30% target share, posting 82 air yards, which made up 45% of the team’s air yards: three red-zone targets, two receptions, and one touchdown.

DeAndre Hopkins contributed with four catches on five targets for 56 yards, including a 31-yard long reception-one red-zone target.

Hopkins only ran a route on 57% of dropbacks, played 65% of his snaps aligned out wide, and had a 13% target share with 38 air yards, representing 21% of air yards.

It was a tough matchup against Denver, so I’d be fine with the result. Hold him or ask for an overpay.

Samaje Perine made an impact with two receptions for 37 yards, averaging 18.5 yards per catch, including a 35-yard gain. Noah Gray added 18 yards on two receptions, while Xavier Worthy had a single catch for 11 yards on four targets. Worthy ran a route on 69% of dropbacks. Held a 10% target share, accumulating 59 air yards, or 32% of air yards-one red-zone target. Mahomes missed him deep again.

Womp.

At this point the odds of Worthy stringing together back-to-back productive weeks seem very low. He can’t be started until he shows out and next week will be a tough click.

If I don’t have to drop him, I won’t. But I think he’s very much worth trading away, given his rookie draft status. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Chiefs have a top-five schedule for WRs for the rest of the season.

KC will play the Bills next (not a great WR matchup). Then it’s @ CAR, vs LV, vs LAC, @ CLE, vs HOU and @ PIT.

Justyn Ross also saw one red-zone target, zero receptions, and zero touchdowns. Ross ran a route on 10% of dropbacks.
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Buffalo Bills

Buy James Cook | Hold Keon Coleman & Khalil Shakir | Hold Ray Davis | Buy Amari Cooper | Add Dawson Knox

Josh Allen completed 22 of 37 passes for 280 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions, finishing with a passer rating of 60.6 and an average of 7.6 yards per attempt. Allen also contributed on the ground with 50 rushing yards on eight carries, including a rushing touchdown.

James Cook led the backfield with 19 carries for 80 yards and a rushing touchdown, averaging 4.2 yards per carry. He also had one reception on three targets for 5 yards, while Ray Davis added three carries for 6 yards (one in the first half).

Cook had six red-zone rushing attempts and one rushing touchdown.

• James Cook: 41 snaps, 55% snap share
• Ty Johnson: 22 snaps, 30% snap share
• Ray Davis: 11 snaps, 15% snap share

Get access to the Bills backfield where you can. Lions/Jets/Patriots in the fantasy playoffs.

In the receiving corps, Mack Hollins was highly efficient, catching all four of his targets for 86 yards, including a long catch of 44 yards. Hollins ran a route on 85% of dropbacks, with both Amari Cooper and Keon Coleman inactive.

Cooper (wrist) was inactive again for Sunday’s game against the Colts. And with that, it’s another week where his value will fall. Buy low. Coleman looks like he is going to miss more games than Cooper. The rookie has already been ruled out against the Chiefs in Week 11. We won’t see him until after the bye.

What do we always do after Cooper busts or disappoints? Buy low, although that comes with the caveat you want to get on the Cooper ride at all.

Khalil Shakir was the most targeted player with nine targets, securing six receptions for 58 yards and leading the team with a significant 26% target share. Shakir ran a route on 80% of dropbacks.

He remains Allen’s favorite and most efficient target.

Dawson Knox followed with three targets, converting two into 40 yards. Knox ran a route on 59% of dropbacks.

Curtis Samuel also saw notable involvement with eight targets (six in the first half), catching four for 35 yards. Samuel ran a route on 83% of dropbacks. He posted a 23% target share, playing in a mostly out-wide alignment.

Dalton Kincaid added 24 yards on two catches from five targets before leaving the game with an injury. He tried to come back in the third quarter but was ruled out in the fourth quarter.

Kincaid addressed his brief attempt to return to action after suffering a knee injury earlier in the contest, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports. “Thought I could go and just didn’t feel good enough to run and be able to go out there and protect myself,” the tight end noted.

Should Kincaid miss, Knox would be heavily involved and a great waiver wire tight-end option ahead of a matchup against the Chiefs’ TE-funnel defense.

Overall, despite Allen’s turnovers, the Bills showcased a balanced offensive effort, with Cook leading the run game and a spread-out passing attack that involved multiple receivers. Shakir’s role as a primary target and Hollins’ big-play ability were notable in the passing game.

Note that Buffalo plays KC next at home. Buffalo went noticeably more pass-heavy in Week 7 (+10% pass rate over expectation) compared to the -3% PROE Weeks 1-6. In Week 8, it was at +1% despite them controlling the game from the start. In Week 9, it was back up to +6%.

In Week 10, with all the WR injuries, the PROE was still +2%.

Buy pieces of this Bills passing game that is starting to open things up through the air.

The remaining schedule: vs KC, BYE, vs SF, @ LAR, @ DET, vs NE and vs NYJ.
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Indianapolis Colts

Sell/Hold Jonathan Taylor | Buy Josh Downs | Add Adonai Mitchell

Joe Flacco completed 26 of 35 passes for 272 yards, throwing two touchdowns and three interceptions, ending with a passer rating of 79.7 and an average of 7.8 yards per attempt.

Per Next Gen Stats, Flacco has now generated -22.1 EPA since taking over for Anthony Richardson in Week 9, the 2nd-fewest in the NFL. Not great.

Jonathan Taylor led the ground game, rushing 21 times for 114 yards, including a long run of 58 yards, while Alec Pierce and Josh Downs emerged as primary receiving targets. Taylor had six red-zone rushing attempts but didn’t find the end zone.

Like I said last week, you can get a lot for JT in trades. And you can get the most for Taylor off a 100-yard performance.

The schedule for Weeks 11-13 before a Week 14 bye week is: @ NYJ, vs. DET, and @ NE. After the bye week, the schedule is: @ DEN, vs. TEN, and @ NYG.

The schedule isn’t great for the entire offense to cook. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, Indianapolis is inside the bottom-ranked schedule for quarterbacks (although it’s better than the last two matchups). For running backs, it ranks inside the bottom ten.

Pierce caught four of his seven targets for 81 yards and a touchdown, averaging 20.3 yards per catch with a long of 32 yards.

Pierce registered a 20% target share, totaling 118 air yards, making up 43% of air yards. Three of his targets (including the TD) came in fourth-quarter garbage time.

Downs led the team in targets with 10, catching seven for 72 yards, with a long reception of 21 yards. Held a 29% target share and 36% target rate, amassing 75 air yards, which accounted for 27% of air yards. He also had three red-zone targets and one reception. Downs also had a walk-in touchdown but dropped it. Continue to target Downs in trades.

• Jonathan Taylor: 53 snaps, 83% snap share
• Tyler Goodson: 9 snaps, 14% snap share
• Trey Sermon: 2 snaps, 3% snap share

Adonai Mitchell was highly efficient, catching all 6 of his targets for 71 yards, while tight end Kylen Granson added two catches for 15 yards. Achieved a 17% target share with 52 air yards, representing 19% of air yards. Mitchell ran a route on 95% of dropbacks, filling in for Michael Pittman Jr.‘s role in the offense.

Mitchell has flashed in a limited capacity this season, boasting a 29.9% target rate per route run (top-10 in the NFL). It remains to be seen if Pittman will return in Week 11, given he is battling through multiple injuries. Either way, add Mitchell and leave Pierce on the waivers.

Running back Tyler Goodson contributed to both the ground and passing game, adding a receiving touchdown on one of his two catches for 9 yards in the red zone.

Overall, the Colts’ offense showed a balanced approach, featuring Taylor’s ground dominance and a spread-out passing attack, although Flacco’s three interceptions marred an otherwise solid offensive effort.

The Colts have now played zone coverage on 86.0% of dropbacks this season, the highest rate in the NFL per Next Gen Stats.
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Minnesota Vikings

Price Check Aaron Jones | Buy T.J. Hockenson | Sell Jordan Addison | Add Cam Akers

Sam Darnold struggled under center, completing 24 of 38 passes for 241 yards with no touchdowns and three interceptions, resulting in a 48.2 passer rating and an average of 6.3 yards per attempt.

According to Next Gen Stats, Justin Jefferson was the intended receiver on all three of Sam Darnold‘s interceptions against the Jaguars, with all three coming against split-safety coverage.

The Jaguars defense played split-safety coverage on 92.9% of pass plays, the highest rate by a defense in a game since at least 2018. On the season, Jefferson has accumulated +29.1 EPA when targeted against single-high coverage (2nd in the NFL) while accumulating -7.8 EPA when targeted against split-safety coverage.

Looks like somebody did their homework on Darnold, who has fallen off dramatically since the start of the season. Via Next Gen Stats, Darnold was efficient on passes under 10 air yards (20/23, 164 yards, INT, +17.2% CPOE) but struggled on downfield passes over 10 air yards (4/14, 77 yards, 2 INT, -15.0% CPOE).

On the ground, Aaron Jones led the rushing attack with 17 carries for 88 yards, averaging 5.2 yards per carry with a long of 13 yards. Cam Akers contributed with 13 carries for 38 yards, and Darnold himself added 28 rushing yards on seven attempts. Akers was working the first half (four carries for seven yards) before Jones got hurt in the second half. Jones did return in the fourth quarter.

Both Vikings RBs saw three red-zone carries, but neither was able to score.

• Aaron Jones: 44 snaps, 52% snap share
• Cam Akers: 26 snaps, 31% snap share
• CJ Ham: 19 snaps, 23% snap share
• Ty Chandler: 12 snaps, 14% snap share

Akers needs to be rostered everywhere, given Jones’ injury history and the small injuries he’s dealt with this season.

Minnesota plays @ TEN, @ CHI and vs ARI. Then it’s vs ATL, vs CHI, @ SEA and vs GB.

This is a GREAT schedule for the offense to stay on an upward trend. Hold your Vikings tight if you don’t see any great deals. However, given that Jones is an older RB who has already had a soft-body tissue injury, among others, this season, add/hold Akers. Also, entertain the idea of “selling high” on Jones based on the injury history and the fact that he is getting an overwhelming amount of touches. He’s pacing for over 300 touches.

T.J. Hockenson was a key target in the passing game, hauling in 8 of 9 targets for 72 yards, including a long of 26 yards and 25 yards after the catch. Posted a 24% target share, gaining 67 air yards, representing 19% of air yards with Two red-zone targets, two receptions, and zero touchdowns.

Josh Oliver caught four of his six targets for 52 yards, with an impressive long catch of 28 yards. T.J. Hockenson ran a route on 67% of dropbacks. Hockenson ran a route on 57% of dropbacks in his season debut.

The Jaguars remain horrible against tight ends.

Justin Jefferson, returning as a primary target, had five receptions on nine targets for 48 yards, with an average of 9.6 yards per reception. Led with a 24% target share, adding 75 air yards, which equaled 22% of air yards. Three red-zone targets but no touchdowns.

Jordan Addison and Aaron Jones were secondary options, with Addison catching 2 of his six targets for 25 yards, while Jones had two catches on three targets for 13 yards. Addison held a 14% target share, contributing 77 air yards or 22% of air yards.

Reminder on the second-year WR. Addison’s hearing was originally slated for October 7th, stemming from his off-field incident earlier this offseason. However, as of that date in question, the arraignment and plea hearing for Addison, stemming from two misdemeanor charges in July for DUI, is now scheduled for Dec. 3, according to Superior Court of California online records per ESPN’s Kevin Seifert. That would be before Week 14 and the fantasy football playoffs.
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Jacksonville Jaguars

Hold Evan Engram | Add Parker Washington | Hold Brian Thomas Jr. | Hold Tank Bigsby & Travis Etienne Jr.

Quarterback Mac Jones completed 14 of 22 passes for 111 yards but struggled with turnovers, throwing two interceptions. His passer rating was 38.3, with an average of 5 yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence did not play, and the fear is that he could miss more time. Not good. Even of Lawrence’s biggest critics, his ability to push the ball downfield is not in Jones’ wheelhouse.

According to Next Gen Stats, Lawrence has completed 13 deep passes for 498 yards, tied for the 2nd-most deep pass completions in the NFL. Jones attempted a pass 20-plus yards downfield, and it was intercepted.

In the rushing game, Travis Etienne led with 11 carries for 44 yards, including a long run of 18 yards and an average of 4 yards per carry. He scored, but it was overturned upon review. He was not involved as a receiver, with just one target.

Mac Jones contributed on the ground as well, rushing 5 times for 8 yards, including a rushing touchdown after Etienne didn’t punch it in. Tank Bigsby added 4 yards on two attempts before getting hurt in the first quarter. He returned but was not involved.

• Travis Etienne: 30 snaps, 68% snap share
• Tank Bigsby: 10 snaps, 23% snap share
• D’Ernest Johnson: 4 snaps, 9% snap share

Given the state of the dysfunctional Jaguars, you just have to sit tight with this backfield. Etienne might be a sneaky buy, given the injury to Bigsby, if anything.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Jaguars have the fourth-worst-ranked schedule for running backs. Although it does ease up in Weeks 14-15 against the Jets/Raiders plus Colts in Week 17 (reason to hold onto Etienne and Bigsby).

Evan Engram led the receiving corps, catching six of eight targets for 40 yards, averaging 6.7 yards per catch, with a long of 15 yards and 17 yards after the catch. Dominated the target share at 38%, adding 53 air yards or 30% of the team’s air yards. 38% target rate with Jones at QB. The Jags passing game – for better or worse – seems to go through Engram.

And FWIW, the Jaguars have the No. 32 schedule for fantasy TEs for the rest of the season.

Brenton Strange followed, hauling in two of his three targets for 25 yards, including a long reception of 23 yards.

Wide receiver Gabe Davis had a single catch on four targets for 19 yards. David led with a 19% target share and contributed 88 air yards, representing 50% of air yards. Tight end Luke Farrell caught both of his targets for 16 yards.

Parker Washington ran a route on 56% of dropbacks but was not targeted. He did return to a full-time role in the slot, though. That makes him at least intriguing against the Lions based on how bad the defense is guarding slot WRs.

Brian Thomas Jr. held a 14% target share, totaling 23 air yards, which equated to 13% of air yards. Woof. My biggest fear has been realized with BTJ being regulated as useless with QB and his own injuries. Thomas only saw three short targets in Week 10, which he translated into just 12 yards.

The upcoming schedule: @ DET before a Week 12 bye week.

Lawrence’s shoulder injury adds another layer of uncertainty, as the “earliest” he might return is Week 13, and by then, the trade deadline in most fantasy football leagues is gonzo.

Injury optimism is how you get into trouble, and that seems like the case with Jacksonville.

After Week 12, Jacksonville finishes the season against HOU, @ TEN, vs. NYJ, @ LV, @ TEN, and @ IND.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Jaguars are tied for the No.32-ranked schedule for quarterbacks. Dead last for WRs as well.

Last week, I said that aside from Thomas, you are better off trading away all your Jaguars if you can. I think Thomas is more than fair to also be moved if you can get a decent deal. But if it’s all trash offers, just hold and hope the talent wins out.

As I told a Redditor last week on my AMA, every Thomas blurb next draft season will read: Before injuries derailed the Jaguars season BTJ was excellent…

Also, the game script versus the Vikings was historically bad. They controlled time of possession by 42-plus minutes, the most of any team this season per Vikings Nation. The Jaguars offense had less than 150 yards. Nowhere to go but up.
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New England Patriots

Hold/Add Drake Maye | Hold Hunter Henry | Hold/Buy Rhamondre Stevenson | Add DeMario Douglas & Kayshon Boutte

Quarterback Drake Maye completed 15 of 25 passes for 184 yards, with one touchdown and one interception, achieving a 60% completion rate, a passer rating of 79.4, and averaging 7.4 yards per attempt.

In the ground game, Rhamondre Stevenson led with 20 carries for 74 yards, averaging 3.7 yards per carry with a long of 11 yards. He had seven red-zone rushing attempts but fell short of the end zone.

Antonio Gibson contributed 5 carries for 26 yards (all in the second half with two carries in the red zone), averaging 5.2 yards per carry with a long of 10 yards, while Maye added 24 rushing yards on 4 attempts. JaMycal Hasty got more usage early on, seeing five carries in the first half for 17 yards.

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 45 snaps, 70% snap share
• JaMycal Hasty: 12 snaps, 19% snap share
• Antonio Gibson: 7 snaps, 11% snap share

Stevenson had an uncharacteristic finish in Week 10. His streak as the Amari Cooper of RBs this season came to an end. Nine games played this season. Five top-10 finishes (including three inside the top-5). Then three outside the top 40 overall.

Week 10 (MNF pending), he is RB25.

Still, selling off the recent TD streak was correct. But an RB25 finish is hardly a dud based on a tough matchup on the road versus the Bears (although their run defense did not have Andrew Billings).

I think I’ve reached the point with Stevenson that I only care about chasing his potential ceiling. So unless you are trading him for a sweet return (probably not), I think he’s now a buy candidate.

Per PFF, it’s a top-5 schedule for the rest of the season for RBs.

Among the receivers, Austin Hooper was the primary target, catching 3 of 4 targets for 64 yards, averaging 21.3 yards per reception, with a long of 28 yards and 18 yards after the catch (YAC). Held a 17% target share, adding 55 air yards or 28% of air yards. Hooper just got the favorable looks in this spot so that I wouldn’t pay too much attention to it.

DeMario Douglas followed with four receptions on five targets (33% target rate) for 50 yards, averaging 12.5 yards per catch, including a long of 17 yards and 48 YAC. Contributed a 22% target share with 7 air yards, representing 4% of air yards as a primary underneath option. Douglas should be the favorite to be the team’s weekly target leader.

Kayshon Boutte secured four of his six targets for 47 yards, averaging 11.8 yards per catch, with a long of 23 yards. He dominated with a 26% target share, accumulating 117 air yards, making up 59% of the team’s air yards. Boutte ran a route on 90% of dropbacks. For all intents and purposes, the Patriots view Boutte as their WR1 by usage. He has over 320 air yards in his last three games (6^th-most). Rams next week. You could do worse than Boutte, who has provided a decent floor despite tough matchups the last three weeks.

Hunter Henry had one reception on four targets for 14 yards, while JaMycal Hasty added one reception for 4 yards. He also had one red-zone target. Henry ran a route on 72% of dropbacks so that he will rebound in better matchups.

Stevenson contributed with a 3-yard reception, and Ja’Lynn Polk caught his only target for a 2-yard touchdown. K.J. Osborn was targeted once but did not record a reception. Kendrick Bourne was active but did not play.

The rest of the schedule: vs. LAR, @ MIA, vs. IND, BYE, @ ARI, @ BUF, and vs. LAC. Per FantasyPros’ SOS tool, it’s the No. 1 most favorable schedule for fantasy WRs.
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Chicago Bears

Drop Caleb Williams | Hold Rome Odunze | Sell D.J. Moore & Keenan Allen & D’Andre Swift

Quarterback Caleb Williams completed 16 of 30 passes for 120 yards, with no touchdowns or interceptions, yielding a 53.3% completion rate, a passer rating of 63.2, and an average of 4.0 yards per attempt.

He was already without multiple starting tackles and lost Teven Jenkins during the game. The box score doesn’t always capture how bad a team plays, but this one does. It was awful for the Bears offense especially against a bad Patriots defense.

According to Next Gen Stats, Bears starting quarterback Caleb Williams completed just 2-of-9 passes for 10 yards (1.1 YPA) when under pressure while completing 14-of-21 passes for 110 yards (5.2 YPA) when not pressured.

In the rushing game, D’Andre Swift led with 16 carries for 59 yards, averaging 3.7 yards per carry with a long run of 9 yards. Two red-zone rushing attempts but zero TDs.

Williams added 15 rushing yards on two attempts, averaging 7.5 yards per carry, with a long of 10 yards.

• D’Andre Swift: 40 snaps, 67% snap share
• Roschon Johnson: 20 snaps, 33% snap share

For the receivers, Keenan Allen was the most targeted, catching 5 of 6 passes for 44 yards, averaging 8.8 yards per reception, with a long of 12 yards and 17 yards after the catch (YAC). He registered a 23% target share and 39 air yards, accounting for 23% of air yards.

D.J. Moore was targeted 6 times, catching 3 for 24 yards, averaging 8 yards per reception, with a long of 18 yards and 13 YAC and also held a 23% target share, with 27 air yards, or 16% of the team’s air yards.

Rome Odunze also saw six targets, hauling in 3 receptions for 23 yards, averaging 7.7 yards per catch, with a long of 11 yards. The rookie led with a 23% target share, achieving 67 air yards, which represented 39% of air yards.

Cole Kmet contributed with two catches on four targets for 13 yards, averaging 6.5 yards per reception. Swift caught his only target for a 6-yard gain, while DeAndre Carter and Roschon Johnson each had one reception for 5 yards.

I wanted to give the Bears one more week before selling them, but they couldn’t even produce against the Patriots. No team has a more difficult schedule this season than the Bears.

They will play the Packers at home in Week 11. From Weeks 12-17 it’s MIN, @ DET, @ SF, @ MIN, DET and SEA. The Patriots defense was the last great matchup they have aside from Seattle in Week 17.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Bears are tied for the No.32-ranked schedule for quarterbacks and dead last for receivers.

Per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool, the Bears also have a bottom schedule for fantasy RBs for the rest of the season.

Sell Swift, who probably has the most value left. Injuries have decimated the Bears OL.

The only Bear I’ll leave the light on for is Odunze. He is an uber-talented rookie and somehow still leads the Bears in receiving yards this season.
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San Francisco 49ers

Hold Jordan Mason | Drop Isaac Guerendo | Add Jauan Jennings & Ricky Pearsall | Buy Deebo Samuel

Quarterback Brock Purdy completed 25 of 36 passes for 353 yards and two touchdowns, with a completion rate of 69.4% and a passer rating of 119.3, averaging an impressive 9.8 yards per attempt.

Christian McCaffrey led the rushing attack with 13 carries for 39 yards, averaging 3 yards per carry, with a long run of 13 yards. He led the backfield with 10 touches to Jordan Mason‘s one in the first half. There wasn’t much holding back CMC in his first game of the season. However, he didn’t find the end zone on his two red-zone opportunities. Isaac Guerendo was the one who relieved CMC on the nine-yard line, not Jordan Mason. However, Mason saw the first carry after McCaffrey.

• Christian McCaffrey: 56 snaps, 88% snap share
• Kyle Juszczyk: 25 snaps, 39% snap share
• Isaac Guerendo: 3 snaps, 5% snap share
• Jordan Mason: 3 snaps, 5% snap share

Besides the lack of TDs, this is the exact outcome CMC managers were hoping for. As for what to do with Guerendo/Mason, I still think Mason is the handcuff. But I am unsure to what extent he sees a full workload like earlier in the year. That being said, I’d be fine dropping Guerendo in a roster pinch.

Brock Purdy added 17 yards on four carries, averaging 4.3 yards per attempt. Deebo Samuel Sr. contributed 14 yards on three carries, averaging 4.7 yards per rush.

In the receiving game, Jauan Jennings led with seven receptions on 12 targets for 93 yards, averaging 13.3 yards per catch, with a long reception of 30 yards and 34 yards after catch (YAC). Jauan Jennings ran a route on 86% of dropbacks. He also dominated with a 32% target share, gaining 84 air yards, which represented 34% of the team’s air yards.

Rookie Ricky Pearsall made four catches on seven targets for 73 yards, including a touchdown and a 46-yard reception, averaging 18.3 yards per catch. Pearsall ran a route on 64% of dropbacks and posted an 18% target share with 62 air yards, accounting for 25% of air yards.

Christian McCaffrey added six receptions on seven targets for 68 yards, averaging 11.3 yards per catch, with a long of 30 yards and 35 yards after the catch (21% target share).

Deebo Samuel Sr. had five catches on six targets for 62 yards, averaging 12.4 yards per reception, with a long catch of 32 yards and 40 YAC. Samuel Sr. ran a route on 76% of dropbacks. Registered an 18% target share, contributing 32 air yards or 13% of air yards.

All three of the 49ers WRs saw red-zone targets- Jennings seeing two – but none of them scored from inside the Buc’s 20-yard line.

George Kittle contributed with three catches on four targets for 57 yards, including a touchdown, averaging 19 yards per catch, with a long reception of 33 yards and 37 YAC.

All in all, if possible, you want to acquire the remaining (healthy) 49ers. Playoff schedule: vs LAR, @ MIA and vs DET.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Buy Cade Otton | Sell/Hold Rachaad White | Hold/Buy Bucky Irving | Stash Buccaneers DST

Quarterback Baker Mayfield completed 18 of 29 passes for 116 yards and a touchdown, with a 62.1% completion rate and a passer rating of 82, averaging 4 yards per attempt.

Tampa Bay also lost their back offensive tackle, Tristan Wirfs, in this matchup.

On the ground, Bucky Irving led the rushing attack with 13 carries for 73 yards, averaging 5.6 yards per carry, including a 14-yard run and a touchdown. Bucky led with six first-half carries to White’s two. The rookie had three red-zone rushing attempts and one rushing touchdown.

Per Next Gen Stats, Irving generated +18 rushing yards over expected and forced five missed tackles on rushing attempts, both of which were his 2nd-most in a game this season. Irving has forced a total of 40 missed tackles on rushing attempts this season.

Rachaad White added 10 carries for 31 yards, averaging 3.1 yards per carry, with a long of 8 yards.

White had two red-zone rushing attempts, zero rushing touchdowns, one reception, one red-zone target, and one receiving touchdown.

• Rachaad White: 37 snaps, 61% snap share
• Bucky Irving: 28 snaps, 46% snap share

In the passing game, Rachaad White led in receptions with six catches on seven targets (24% target share) for 39 yards, averaging 6.5 yards per catch, with a long of 10 yards and 38 yards after the catch (YAC), including a touchdown reception.

Bucky Irving contributed to the receiving game as well, with three catches on three targets for 14 yards, averaging 4.7 yards per catch, with a 12-yard long and 24 YAC.

White has gotten by the last four games with five TDs.

Irving is the best running back on the Buccaneers. Not White. After White scored yet again, you best be selling high. But if you can’t sell high on White – hold him. There is a great schedule for RBs for the rest of the season. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, it’s No. 1 for RBs. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Buccaneers also have the No.1-ranked schedule for quarterbacks.

Cade Otton was a key target, catching five passes on eight targets for 35 yards, averaging 7 yards per catch, with a long of 15 yards and 19 YAC. The Bucs tight end led with a 28% target share, totaling 33 air yards, which made up 21% of air yards.

And FWIW, the Buccaneers have the No. 1 schedule for fantasy TEs for the rest of the season.

Ryan Miller had a single 11-yard catch on three targets, contributing 6 YAC. Miller ran a route on 88% of dropbacks.

Rakim Jarrett caught 2 of his four targets for 10 yards, with a long of 6 yards. Jarrett ran a route on 79% of dropbacks.

Sterling Shepard ran a route on 70% of dropbacks. Recorded a 10% target share, gaining 34 air yards, representing 22% of air yards.

Despite being “active” rookie Jalen McMillan did not play as he battles through a hamstring injury. Look for him to get healthy after the bye week. Still, it’s clear that Tampa Bay is leaning on its RB/TE trio than the WRs in the wake of their injuries. Safe to leave all the fringy TB WRs on waivers.

After the bye week, TB will likely get Mike Evans back. Then they will play at the Giants, at the Panthers, home versus the Raiders, at the Chargers, at Dallas, and the Panthers.

Stash the Buccaneers’ DST over the bye week. No. 1-schedule ROS for DSTs.
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Pittsburgh Steelers

Add Russell Wilson | Sell Najee Harris | Add Jaylen Warren | Buy George Pickens | Sell Pat Freiermuth

Quarterback Russell Wilson completed 14 of 28 passes for 195 yards, throwing three touchdowns and one interception, with a 50% completion rate and a passer rating of 93.6, averaging 7 yards per attempt. Punter Miles Killebrew attempted one pass but did not complete it.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Steelers have a top-10-ranked schedule for quarterbacks for the rest of the season.

In the ground game, Jaylen Warren led the team with 14 carries for 66 yards, averaging 4.7 yards per carry, with a long of 12 yards. Najee Harris carried the ball 21 times for 53 yards and scored a touchdown, averaging 2.5 yards per carry with a long of 11 yards. Harris did get banged up in this contest but returned in the fourth quarter. Five red-zone rushing attempts, one rushing touchdown.

Cordarrelle Patterson contributed 14 yards on three carries, also averaging 4.7 yards per carry.

Warren had five carries in the first half to Harris’ eight. Warren also had three red-zone rushing attempts but fumbled at the goal line. It’s not a ringing endorsement for him to see more red-zone touches. Warren didn’t touch the ball again after the fumble.

• Najee Harris: 37 snaps, 47% snap share
• Jaylen Warren: 35 snaps, 45% snap share
• Cordarrelle Patterson: 8 snaps, 10% snap share

I talked through several versions of the fantasy football forecast and how slow Najee has been traditionally, so I’d like to think this is a sign of things to come. His last four games have been great. But the matchups against the Commanders, Raiders, Jets, and Giants have been extremely soft spots. I have probably been too aggressive trying to be “early” on selling Harris, but the time is now.

I’d use another great game as the exact opportunity to sell high on Harris (11th in the NFL in touches). The schedule gets much tougher in the second half of the season with all six AFC North matchups. Warren is getting healthier and looking good, which could create problems for Harris in the second half of the season. Again, Warren led the Steelers in rushing with a 50% success rate in Week 10 compared to Harris’ 29% success rate and 2.5 yards per carry.

The two Ravens matchup and KC in the playoffs is brutal for Harris.

The Steelers will be on a Week 9 bye week. After that, they will play vs BAL, @ CLE, @ CIN, vs CLE, @ PHI, @ BAL and vs KC.

Per PFF, it’s the 31st-ranked schedule for running backs for the rest of the season.

Among receivers, George Pickens led with five receptions on seven targets, totaling 91 yards and a touchdown, averaging 18.2 yards per catch, with a long of 34 yards and 31 yards after the catch (YAC). One red-zone target, one reception.

Led with a 28% target share, gaining 124 air yards, which accounted for 39% of the team’s air yards.

Dude has been absolutely balling with Wilson under center, with a 27% target share, 42% air yards share averaging 92 receiving yards per game. Buy HIM aggressively.

Because the best might be yet to come. Keep in mind he only had two TDs this season despite being top-10 in yards among WRs.

Mike Williams had a single target and reception for 32 yards, scoring a touchdown with 2 YAC. He recorded a 4% target share with 32 air yards, which made up 10% of air yards. Williams ran a route on 18% of dropbacks in his Steelers debut but came up clutch with the game-winning touchdown. I would expect his role to grow.

Jaylen Warren added two catches for 29 yards on two targets, averaging 14.5 yards per catch, with a long of 26 yards and 29 YAC.

Calvin Austin III caught two of his six targets (33% target rate) for 20 yards, with an average of 10 yards per catch and a long of 13 yards. One red-zone target, zero receptions, zero touchdowns. He held a 24% target share, amassing 79 air yards, or 25% of air yards.

Pat Freiermuth was efficient, catching all 3 of his targets for 17 yards, averaging 5.7 yards per catch, with a long of 8 yards and 12 YAC, scoring a touchdown. Two red-zone targets, two receptions, and one touchdown. He held a 12% target share with 5 air yards, which equaled 2% of air yards. Freiermuth ran a route on 64% of dropbacks.

Still, don’t get it twisted. Freiermuth has eight targets in the three games started by Russell Wilson. Be careful chasing him off waivers.

Darnell Washington had one catch on three targets for 6 yards with 5 YAC.

Other targets included MyCole Pruitt (1 target, no catches), Van Jefferson (2 targets, no catches), and James Pierre (1 target, no catches).
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Washington Commanders

Add Noah Brown | Hold Zach Ertz | Buy Brian Robinson

Quarterback Jayden Daniels completed 17 of 34 passes for 202 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions, registering a 50% completion rate and a passer rating of 68.5, averaging 5.9 yards per attempt.

In the rushing game, Austin Ekeler led with 13 carries for 44 yards, scoring two rushing touchdowns and averaging 3.4 yards per carry with a long of 10 yards. Five red-zone rushing attempts, two rushing touchdowns

Jeremy McNichols contributed with four carries for 7 yards and scored one red-zone rushing touchdown, averaging 1.8 yards per carry with a long of 6 yards. Daniels himself added three carries for 5 yards.

Ekeler rushed 12 times for 39 yards in the first half alone.

• Austin Ekeler: 45 snaps, 70% snap share
• Jeremy McNichols: 19 snaps, 30% snap share
• Chris Rodriguez: 5 snaps, 8% snap share

Without Brian Robinson Jr.(hamstring for a second straight week), the Commanders morphed back into a two-headed monster, with just two RBs seeing significant snaps. Ekeler led the way with a 70% snap share.

Again, I’d use this opportunity to buy low on B-Rob. He is going to reclaim his role as the red-zone guy for the Commanders upon his return. The playoff schedule features the Saints, Eagles, and Falcons fresh off a Week 14 bye week.

It’s the fifth-best schedule for RBs for the rest of the season. Buy B-Rob.

Among receivers, Terry McLaurin was the standout, catching 5 of 6 targets (one red zone) for 113 yards, averaging 22.6 yards per reception, with a long of 54 yards and leading with 62 yards after the catch (YAC).

Led with a 19% target share, accumulating 66 air yards, which represented 28% of the team’s air yards.

Noah Brown saw seven targets, secured three receptions for 33 yards, and averaged 11 yards per catch, with a long of 14 yards and 6 YAC. Brown ran a route on 97% of dropbacks. He held a 22% target share, gaining 65 air yards, also accounting for 28% of air yards.

Zach Ertz had four receptions on eight targets for 31 yards, averaging 7.8 yards per catch. Ertz ran a route on 84% of dropbacks. Led with a 25% target share, contributing 25 air yards, representing 11% of the team’s air yards. One red-zone target.

Ertz’s usage bounced back after a quiet Week 9. He remains very much a floor TE.

Luke McCaffrey managed one reception on three targets for 23 yards, and Olamide Zaccheaus caught 1 of 3 targets for 8 yards, with 11 YAC (including some muffed punts). McCaffrey ran a route on 49% of dropbacks. Recorded a 9% target share with 66 air yards, making up 28% of air yards.

Ekeler added one reception for 7 yards out of two targets. Dyami Brown had a rough game with two catches on three targets for -13 yards, averaging -6.5 yards per reception.

The Commanders host play @ PHI next, then vs. DAL, and vs. TEN before their bye week.
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Tennessee Titans

Sell Tony Pollard | Hold Calvin Ridley | Add Tyjae Spears

Will Levis was efficient through the air, completing 18 of 23 passes for 175 yards, two touchdowns, and a strong QB rating of 127.4. He also contributed on the ground with five carries for 41 yards, averaging 8.2 yards per rush.

Tyjae Spears led the backfield, rushing seven times for 47 yards (6.7 YPC), while Tony Pollard also had nine carries for 44 yards.

Spears led the Titans with five carries in the first half, although Pollard was getting some medical attention throughout the contest.

• Tony Pollard: 29 snaps, 54% snap share
• Tyjae Spears: 25 snaps, 46% snap share

The Titans coaching staff talked about wanting to limit Pollard, and that reared its ugly head in Week 10. Per the FantasyPros Strength of Schedule tool, the Titans have a bottom-two schedule for fantasy RBs for the rest of the season. Pollard is currently 8th in the NFL in touches.

The receiving corps was led by Calvin Ridley, who caught 5 of 9 targets for 84 yards and scored two touchdowns, averaging 16.8 yards per catch. His longest reception of 41 yards demonstrated his big-play ability. He dominated with a 39% target share, amassing 149 air yards, which accounted for a remarkable 78% of the team’s air yards.

Three straight solid games for Ridley (all without Hopkins) suggest to me we can at least rely on his floor moving forward (seemingly even with Will Levis under center). Ridley’s had more good games (three) than bad games, with Levis (two) with two 25-point-plus performances.

According to Next Gen Stats, since trading Hopkins to the Chiefs prior to Week 8, Ridley has recorded the 2nd-most receptions (11) and 3rd-most receiving yards (238) league-wide on downfield targets. Ridley has accounted for 50.3% of the Titans’ air yards this season, the highest share of team air yards in the NFL.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Titans have the second-ranked schedule for WRs for the rest of the season and are tied for the No.1-ranked for quarterbacks.

As always, put him on the trade block as an obvious sell high for a WR off a boom week. But if you can’t move him for anything great, then just hold. The Vikings/Texans next two weeks could get dicey.

The rest of the schedule: vs. MIN, @ HOU, @ WAS, vs. JAC, vs. CIN, @ IND, and @ JAC.

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine contributed 31 yards on three receptions on three targets, and Bryce Oliver added two catches for 23 yards. Westbrook-Ikhine ran a route on 94% of dropbacks.

Chigoziem Okonkwo added 14 yards on his only target, while Tyjae Spears was targeted three times (13% target share), catching all three passes but for a minimal gain of 4 yards.

Okonkwo ran a route on 47% of dropbacks.
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Los Angeles Chargers

Add Justin Herbert | Sell J.K. Dobbins | Buy Ladd McConkey | Add Quentin Johnston & Will Dissly

In a low-volume but efficient day, Justin Herbert completed 14 of 18 passes for 164 yards and a touchdown, boasting a 77.8% completion rate and a 123.1 QB rating.

He also added 32 rushing yards on nine carries, finding the end zone on the ground and averaging 3.6 yards per rush.

On the ground, Gus Edwards led the Chargers with 10 carries for 55 yards, averaging a solid 5.5 yards per carry and managing a long run of 11 yards. Edwards stepped in and had four red-zone rushing attempts but scored zero rushing touchdowns.

J.K. Dobbins handled 15 carries for 50 yards at 3.3 yards per carry, and his longest run went for 12 yards. Dobbins had two red-zone rushing attempts, zero rushing touchdowns, one reception, and one red-zone target.

Dobbins added 5 receiving yards on three catches. Edwards had six first-half carries to Dobbins’ eight.

Hassan Haskins had two red-zone rushing attempts and scored one rushing touchdown. It’s an absolute killer for Dobbins’ managers for Haskins to get the vulture touchdown.

Kimani Vidal (coach’s decision) was inactive against the Titans on Sunday.

• JK Dobbins: 39 snaps, 66% snap share
• Scott Matlock: 24 snaps, 41% snap share
• Gus Edwards: 15 snaps, 25% snap share
• Hassan Haskins: 5 snaps, 8% snap share

If Dobbins can stay healthy, he will be a force in the fantasy football playoffs against the Patriots. However, it’s tough sledding up to that point, and adding Edwards into the fold as a red-zone headache is another layer of complexity.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, they also have the second-worst-ranked schedule for running backs.

It might be time to sell high on Dobbins before the stretch run.

Ladd McConkey was the standout receiver, catching both of his targets for 52 yards with an impressive 26 yards per catch, his longest reception being 37 yards. McConkey ran a route on 67% of dropbacks. He should see more production in future pass-heavy game scripts.

Josh Palmer had one catch for 36 yards, while Will Dissly was reliable, catching five of his six targets for 30 yards. Palmer ran a route on 50% of dropbacks.

Dissly dominated with a 33% target share, totaling 39 air yards or 34% of air yards. 50% target rate

Palmer held an 11% target share with 48 air yards, which accounted for 42% of the team’s air yards.

Quentin Johnston added a touchdown, making both of his targets for 24 yards. Johnston ran a route on 71% of dropbacks.

No Bolts WRs stood out, with them all seeing minimal volume.

McConkey is still the clear No. 1. Johnston and Palmer have been neck and neck in usage while healthy this year, but QJ has been more productive with his touchdowns. Despite my love for Palmer, Johnston’s probably the waiver add ahead of a matchup against the Bengals. He would also be a “sell-high” for me based on all the TDs he is scoring, but the schedule is too good to totally disregard him as a usable piece attached to Herbert.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Chargers have the sixth-ranked schedule for WRs.

Dissly’s production bumped back up this week even with Hurst back in the lineup, but his usage went down. Dissly ran a route on 50% of dropbacks (a decrease from last week). This was the total opposite of his usage last week.

I think Dissly is fine as a waiver wire streamer with a few plus matchups coming up. However, the up-and-down usage is a concern for his longevity.

The remaining schedule is as follows: vs. CIN, vs. BAL, @ ATL, @ KC, vs. TB, vs. DEN and @ NE.
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Philadelphia Eagles

Buy Eagles

Jalen Hurts showcased his efficiency, completing 14 of 20 passes for 202 yards, with two touchdowns and one interception, achieving a passer rating of 115 and averaging 10.1 yards per attempt. Kenny Pickett stepped in briefly, completing 1 of 2 passes for 5 yards.

On the ground, Saquon Barkley led the Eagles with 14 carries for 66 yards, averaging 4.7 yards per attempt, though he did not reach the end zone. Hurts contributed significantly with 56 rushing yards on seven attempts, scoring two touchdowns, with a long run of 24 yards. Will Shipley added 34 yards on nine carries, averaging 3.8 yards per carry, and Kenneth Gainwell chipped in 30 yards on seven attempts.

Gainwell had four red-zone rushing attempts compared to three for Barkley.

• Saquon Barkley: 35 snaps, 51% snap share
• Kenneth Gainwell: 22 snaps, 32% snap share
• Will Shipley: 11 snaps, 16% snap share (mostly garbage time)

In the receiving game, A.J. Brown led with 109 yards on five catches from seven targets, boasting an impressive 21.8 yards per reception, including a 44-yard catch and 37 yards after the catch. Dominated with a 35% target share, gaining 122 air yards, which made up 54% of the team’s air yards.

Jahan Dotson made a single big play for 27 yards. Dallas Goedert caught two of his three targets for 25 yards and a touchdown, with a long reception of 14 yards. Goedert only ran a route on 60% of dropbacks on his first game back, as he did get some medical attention-two red-zone targets.

DeVonta Smith added 14 yards on two catches from 3 targets, while Saquon Barkley added 12 receiving yards from his lone target. Smith would have likely scored on a deep ball from Hurts had he not been held on the play and posted a 15% target share with 40 air yards, equating to 18% of air yards.

Gainwell and Johnny Wilson each contributed a reception, with Wilson adding a touchdown on his 5-yard catch. Wilson ran a route on 17% of dropbacks.

The approach remains the same. Buy Eagles. The Eagles will face the Commanders, Rams, and Ravens. The Eagles’ schedule is very good for the rest of the season.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, it’s the No.1-ranked schedule for quarterbacks and RBs.

Weeks 14-17, Philly plays the Panthers, Steelers, Commanders and Cowboys.
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Dallas Cowboys

Sell Cowboys | Price Check CeeDee Lamb

Cooper Rush struggled to find rhythm in the passing game, completing 13 of 23 passes for only 45 yards, with no touchdowns or interceptions, averaging just 2 yards per attempt and finishing with a passer rating of 61.7. Trey Lance made a brief appearance, completing 4 of 6 passes for 21 yards, but threw one interception, leading to a passer rating of 32.6.

Rush had zero desire to push the ball downfield. According to Next Gen Stats, Rush did not complete a pass more than 10 yards downfield in his first start of the season (0/6). The Cowboys are the 7th team to not have a completion over 10 air yards in a game this season. Rush averaged a 2.43-second time to throw, the quickest by a Cowboys quarterback in a game this season.

On the ground, Rico Dowdle led the Cowboys’ rushing attack with 12 carries for 53 yards, averaging a steady 4.4 yards per carry with a long run of 19 yards: two red-zone rushing attempts but no TDs.

Rico Dowdle had ten carries in the first half.

Ezekiel Elliott contributed 22 yards on six carries, averaging 3.7 yards per attempt, while Trey Lance added 17 yards on three scrambles, averaging 5.7 yards per carry.

Zeke had two red-zone rushing attempts, fumbling one that was recovered by the Eagles.

• Rico Dowdle: 31 snaps, 52% snap share
• Hunter Luepke: 16 snaps, 27% snap share
• Ezekiel Elliott: 13 snaps, 22% snap share

In the receiving game, Jake Ferguson was the most productive, catching four of his five targets for 24 yards, with an average of 6 yards per reception and a long of 10 yards, adding 22 yards after the catch. He claimed a 17% target share with 0 air yards. The dump-off KING.

CeeDee Lamb was targeted 10 times but managed only six receptions for 21 yards, averaging 3.5 yards per catch. Led with a 34% target share and 55 air yards, equaling 28% of air yards.

Two red-zone targets, one reception, and zero touchdowns – considering he lost one in the sun. Woof. Lamb had seven targets in the first half.

Jalen Tolbert had three catches on five targets for 14 yards, averaging 4.7 yards per reception. Tolbert ran a route on 97% of dropbacks. Posted a 17% target share with 72 air yards, making up 37% of air yards.

Jalen Brooks and Rico Dowdle contributed minimally, with Brooks catching one pass for 4 yards and Dowdle making three catches for just 3 yards out of the backfield.

I entertained the idea of buying low on Lamb last week, but that was before we got more information about Dak Prescott being gone for the entire season. Dallas is spiraling right now, and I don’t have hope that this will get changed anytime soon.

After being hesitant to bury Dallas completely last week, I now have my shovel ready to go.

This team is 3-6 and could easily be 3-8 after games against the Texans at home and Commanders on the road before hosting the Giants on Thanksgiving.

The rest of the schedule is as follows: vs CIN, @ CAR, vs TB, @ PHI. Very juicy playoff schedule, but if there’s no Prescott, Lamb is just a volume-dependent WR. Note that all his games with Rush back in 2022 weren’t great – and fantasy managers would be complaining less had he just caught the touchdown.

Whether you have him or not, you need to check the price of his value in your league. If you can get him dirt cheap, take it. WR has a double-digit target and a favorable playoff schedule. But if you can get something solid in return (ideally, you package Lamb so he’s not the focal point of the deal), I don’t think you’ll regret moving away from the Dallas Cowboys WR1. Again, I don’t know the price of Lamb in your league, but if I had to just flat-out buy/sell in a vacuum, I’d likely be happy just wiping my hands clean of any and all players from Dallas.
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New York Jets

Hold Breece Hall | Buy Garrett Wilson & Davante Adams |

Aaron Rodgers had a modest game, completing 22 of 35 passes for 151 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions. His completion rate was 62.9%, but he averaged only 4.3 yards per attempt, struggling to push the ball downfield effectively. Despite these numbers, he avoided turnovers, finishing with a passer rating of 72.4.

Breece Hall led the ground game with 10 carries for 52 yards, averaging a solid 5.2 yards per carry and breaking off a long run of 14 yards. Braelon Allen also contributed with seven carries for 27 yards, averaging 3.9 yards per attempt and adding balance to the rushing attack.

In the first half, backfield touches went nine for Hall and six for Allen. Hall had one red-zone rushing attempt, zero rushing touchdowns, one reception, one red-zone target, and zero receiving touchdowns. Allen also had one red-zone rushing attempt.

Hall led the way with a whopping 81% snap rate to Allen’s 24%.

Hall continues to run ice-cold in the TDs, with just one score in his last seven games. But the yardage/snaps have been there, so I’d bet the TDs will start to come as the Jets’ offense finds its footing in some better matchups in the second half of the season. Hall is 9th in yards from scrimmage this season, but he has only four TDs.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Jets have a top-10 most favorable schedule for RBs.

In the receiving game, Garrett Wilson was the most productive, catching five of his six targets for 41 yards, averaging 8.2 yards per reception with a long of 12 yards. He registered an 18% target share, adding 41 air yards or 20% of air yards: two red-zone targets, one reception, and zero touchdowns.

Davante Adams was targeted heavily with 13 passes but managed only six catches for 31 yards, averaging 5.2 yards per catch, as the Jets struggled to get him into open space. Dominated with a 39% target share, totaling 77 air yards, which accounted for 38% of the team’s air yards. Four red-zone targets, one reception, and zero touchdowns. Adams had a back-breaking drop in the end zone.

Given the Jets’ remaining schedule, you need to be buying BOTH Jets’ WRs after this bad game. At least kick the tires on both of them. Remember, the Jets get the Rams and Jaguars in the first two weeks of the fantasy football playoffs. They play all the snaps. Each ran a route on 100% of the dropbacks in Week 10.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Jets have a solid-ranked schedule for WRs for the rest of the season (7th for QBs). Per PFF, it’s the No. 1 scheduled for the rest of the season for QBs.

Breece Hall was also active as a receiver, catching all four of his targets for 31 yards and showing his versatility with a team-high 26 yards after the catch.

Jeremy Ruckert caught both of his targets for 17 yards, while Isaiah Davis had a single 10-yard catch out of the backfield. Tyler Conklin and Allen each contributed with a single reception, but overall, the Jets’ offense struggled to find rhythm in the passing game.

The Jets leaned on short passes and a conservative approach offensively but lacked explosive plays. Rodgers’ efficient yet limited production, combined with consistent, albeit unspectacular, performances from Hall and Adams, was not enough to provide a high-powered offense in this matchup.

The Jets will play at home against IND before a bye week. Post-bye week, Gang Green will play vs SEA, @ MIA, @ JAC, vs LAR and @ BUF.
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Arizona Cardinals

Buy Kyler Murray & James Conner & Trey McBride | Buy Marvin Harrison Jr. | Hold/Add Trey Benson

Kyler Murray was highly efficient, completing 22 of 24 passes for 266 yards and one touchdown, finishing with a passer rating of 126.7. His 91.7% completion rate and 11.1 yards per attempt showcased his accuracy and deep-ball success. Murray also contributed with his legs, rushing for 21 yards on three carries and scoring two rushing touchdowns.

In the backfield, Trey Benson led the Cardinals’ rushing efforts with 10 carries for 62 yards, averaging an impressive 6.2 yards per carry, with a long of 14 yards.

James Conner had a balanced game, rushing 12 times for 33 yards and a touchdown, though his 2.8 YPC was more modest. He was also active in the passing game, catching all five of his targets (21% target share) for 80 yards, showing his dual-threat ability and leading the team in receiving yards. He came one yard short of a 45-yard receiving touchdown, being ruled down at the one-yard line. Conner scored on a carry two plays later. He totaled three red-zone rushing attempts, one rushing touchdown, zero receptions, zero red-zone targets, and zero receiving touchdowns.

According to Next Gen Stats, the Jets defense missed 20 tackles in Week 10 against the Cardinals, tied for the most by any team in a game this season. Conner led the way with six missed tackles forced, extending his season total to 68 on the season (most in the NFL).

Emari Demercado contributed with 22 yards on three carries, averaging 7.3 yards per carry. These all came in garbage time with Tune in at quarterback.

Trey Benson had four carries in the first half for 28 yards, with one reception.

Conner finished with a 54% snap share to Benson’s 27%. The rookie tied a season-high 12 touches in Week 10 after seeing nine in Week 9.

In the receiving game, Trey McBride was reliable with four receptions on five targets for 71 yards, averaging 17.8 yards per catch. Achieved a 21% target share, with 47 air yards representing 42% of the team’s air yards.

He had another red-zone target but came up just short of a touchdown. FWIW, the Cardinals have the No. 3 schedule for fantasy TEs for the rest of the season.

Marvin Harrison Jr. had a strong showing as well, catching all five of his targets for 54 yards and one red-zone touchdown, averaging 10.8 yards per catch. He held a 21% target share, totaling 35 air yards for a 32% air yards share.

Like last week, buy MHJ.

The Cardinals are on their bye week in Week 11. After their bye week, the schedule is salivating for the playoff run: @ SEA, @ MIN, vs. SEA, vs. NE, @ CAR, @ LAR, and vs. SF.

Trey Benson also added two receptions for 25 yards out of the backfield, while Michael Wilson chipped in three catches for 24 yards (secured a 17% target share, with 42 air yards, making up 38% of the team’s air yards).

Again, a friendly reminder to make sure that Benson is not available in any league formats for the upside he could deliver if there’s a Conner injury. Conner is sixth in touches this season and has been banged up here and there. We know about his long injury history.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, Arizona has a top-10-ranked schedule for running backs.

Just buy all Cardinals.
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Detroit Lions

Buy Jameson Williams & David Montgomery & Jahmyr Gibbs | Sell/Hold Sam LaPorta

Jared Goff had a rough outing, completing 15 of 30 passes for 240 yards, throwing two touchdowns but also five interceptions, resulting in a 59.7 passer rating and averaging 8 yards per attempt.

On the ground, Jahmyr Gibbs was the primary rusher with 19 carries for 71 yards, averaging 3.7 yards per carry and a long run of 20 yards. David Montgomery added 32 yards and a touchdown on 12 carries, though he was limited to 2.7 yards per carry. Goff contributed a short 2-yard run.

Gibbs played 60% of the snaps to Monty’s 40%. Monty had two red-zone rushing attempts and one rushing touchdown.

In the receiving game, Sam LaPorta led in yardage, catching 3 of his six targets for 66 yards and a touchdown, averaging 22 yards per reception, with a long play of 37 yards. LaPorta had two red-zone targets, one reception, and one touchdown. Held a 25% target share and amassed 87 air yards, representing 37% of air yards. The Lions tight end suffered a shoulder injury, forcing him out of the Texans’ game. Sell high after he scored given how unreliable he has been with Jamo in the lineup.

However, if you can’t get any bites on LaPorta. Hold. Because the Jaguars matchup for LaPorta is the best for fantasy tight ends.

Amon-Ra St. Brown was Goff’s most consistent target, hauling in 6 of 8 targets (33% target share) for 60 yards and a red-zone touchdown, averaging 10 yards per catch and 35 yards after the catch. Jameson Williams provided a deep threat, catching 3 of 5 targets for 53 yards, with a long reception of 23 yards. He had a key 17-yard catch in the fourth quarter but took a massive hit on the play. He played 74% of the snaps, as it seemed there was no residual impact from his two-game suspension.

Jamo dominated with a 21% target share, gaining 140 air yards, which accounted for 59% of the team’s air yards.

Gibbs contributed to the receiving game as well, making two catches for 37 yards, including a 33-yard play with a strong 49 yards after the catch. Montgomery also added a 24-yard reception, which he turned into a substantial 28 yards after contact.

If you have been struggling at RB this season, try to trade for either Gibbs or Montgomery. In nine games, they have combined for 17 out of 18 top-22 RB finishes. No backfield has been more consistent.

Other than selling LaPorta and buying Williams, there are not many takeaways from the Lions. They are a juggernaut on offense and still won despite a pretty outlier performance from their QB.

Detroit plays hosts JAC next, then plays @ IND, vs CHI, vs GB, vs BUF, @ CHI and @ SF.

Detroit passed their first scheduling quirk by playing outdoors for the first time all season two weeks ago in Green Bay. Still, at Chicago in Week 16, it could get dicey if it’s cold and/or bad weather. At least the Bears’ run defense has struggled, putting Detroit in the driver’s seat even in the fantasy football playoffs.
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Houston Texans

Hold Tank Dell | Buy/Hold Joe Mixon | Buy Nico Collins | Add John Metchie III

C.J. Stroud had a mixed performance, completing 19 of 33 passes for 232 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 64.2 and an average of 7 yards per attempt.

In the rushing game, Joe Mixon handled the bulk of the workload with 25 carries, though he only managed 46 yards, averaging 1.8 yards per carry, despite scoring a touchdown. Six red-zone rushing attempts, one rushing touchdown, zero receptions, two red-zone targets, zero receiving touchdowns.

Joe Mixon recorded -48 RYOE in the Texans’ loss to the Lions, his fewest in a game since at least 2018, according to Next Gen Stats. It is a reminder that the Lions remain one of the league’s toughest run defenses.

Dare Ogunbowale had one carry for 11 yards, while Stroud added 5 yards on a scramble. Dameon Pierce was inactive.

Tank Dell had an unsuccessful rush attempt that lost 6 yards.

In the receiving game, John Metchie III led the team with 74 yards on five catches from 6 targets, scoring a touchdown and averaging 14.8 yards per catch, with a long gain of 25 yards and 23 yards after the catch. Held a 19% target share, with 68 air yards representing 27% of air yards.

Metchie III had one red-zone target, one reception, and one touchdown. Cashed in the anytime TD bet from this Week’s Sunday Night Football BettingPros Primer.

Stroud was most effective targeting the slot on Sunday night, as he completed 8 of 9 such passes for 177 yards. The Lions’ Achilles heel on defense continues to be in the slot.

Therefore, don’t go overboard bidding on Metchie on waivers. The performance was matchup-boosted, and Nico Collins seems very likely to return. If you can acquire Collins from a frustrated manager…pull the trigger.

Dalton Schultz was another key target, catching 3 of his four targets for 66 yards, with an impressive 22-yard average and a long reception of 32 yards. He claimed a 13% target share, totaling 48 air yards or 19% of the team’s air yards.

Mixon also contributed through the air with two receptions for 44 yards, including a notable 36-yard play and a remarkable 46 yards after the catch. Dell was targeted frequently, catching 5 of 9 passes for 39 yards, with a long reception of 13 yards. Dell led with a 28% target share, accumulating 79 air yards, making up 31% of the team’s air yards: one red-zone target, zero receptions, zero touchdowns.

It was a disappointing effort for Dell, where he left more production on the table. It’s still very much a hold, given you won’t get enough in return for a trade, in my opinion. He also has nine targets in back-to-back games.

Xavier Hutchinson caught 2 of his four targets for 6 yards, while Cade Stover and Robert Woods had minimal impact with one reception each for 2 and 1 yard, respectively. Stover/Woods each had one red-zone target and one reception but zero touchdowns.

Houston plays the Cowboys next, followed by the Titans and Jaguars before their bye week. They open the fantasy football playoffs against the Dolphins, Chiefs, and Ravens.
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Miami Dolphins

Hold Jaylen Waddle | Buy De’Von Achane | Add Jaylen Wright | Sell Raheem Mostert & Tyreek Hill| Add Jonnu Smith

The Miami Dolphins, led by Tua Tagovailoa, completed 20 of 28 passes for 207 yards, throwing one touchdown and one interception with a passer rating of 89.4 and an average of 7.4 yards per attempt.

In the rushing game, De’Von Achane was the primary ball carrier with 12 attempts, gaining 37 yards, averaging 3.1 yards per carry with a long run of 15 yards. Malik Washington contributed one notable rush for 18 yards and a touchdown, while Tyreek Hill added 11 yards on two attempts. Jaylen Waddle and Tagovailoa each had negative rushing yards, with Waddle seeing a red-zone carry.

• Devon Achane – 37 snaps, 70%
• Jaylen Wright – 9 snaps, 17%
• Raheem Mostert – 8 snaps, 15%

Jaylen Wright was second in command with five carries for three yards, as Raheem Mostert had zero carries. The rookie is the handcuff to own in Miami’s backfield, although both would play in a world where Achane misses anytime.

Mostert played a season-low of the snaps. Sell last week, cut candidate this week.

I also would not read too much into the poor rushing stat lines for the Dolphins RBs. Fullback Alec Ingold was inactive, and he plays a big part in blocking for Miami’s run game.

For receiving, Jaylen Waddle led with six targets (22% target share) and three catches for 57 yards, averaging 19 yards per reception and gaining 17 yards after the catch (77 air yards, 51% air yards share). He looked like he was on his way to a massive outing after catching two balls for 55 yards on the first drive. Miami was coming out of the gates looking to throw.

Alas, the gigantic game did not transpire. He had another bad drop in the first half and then just one more catch in the second half.

Tight end Jonnu Smith caught three of his four targets for 45 yards, showing his ability to generate big plays with a long reception of 33 yards and a significant 37 yards after the catch. He ran a route on 60% of the dropbacks.

Raheem Mostert, primarily a running back, made an impact in the receiving game as well, with two catches for 34 yards, including a 25-yard reception.

Odell Beckham Jr. added two catches for 17 yards, while Washington had one reception for 17 yards. I love the fact that the rookie WR started in this game (and scored) but he was still running half the routes that Beckham was.

Tyreek Hill was targeted four times, catching three for 16 yards and a red-zone touchdown, contributing in short-yardage situations.

Hill has been playing through a wrist injury since Week 1, and you have to wonder whether that has impacted his game. Even with a healthy Tua Tagovailoa at quarterback, Hill has just one top-12 finish this season (Week 1). If you can sell him off the TD and name cache despite a four-target game, I think I would.

Achane was active in the passing game as well, catching all five targets for 15 yards, showing versatility with a high catch rate (18% target share).

His dual usage as a receiver/rusher is off the charts. Buy low. Vs. LV and vs. NE in the next two games.

Then Miami will play @ GB, vs. NYJ, @ HOU, vs. SF, and @ CLE.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Dolphins have a mediocre schedule for quarterbacks.

Once they pop, sell. The weather will get colder, and then this Dolphins offense won’t be nearly as effective.
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Los Angeles Rams

Buy Kyren Williams | Add Davis Allen | Hold Demarcus Robinson | Sell Cooper Kupp

The Los Angeles Rams were led by Matthew Stafford, who completed 32 of 46 passes for 293 yards. Stafford did not throw a touchdown but did have one interception, ending with a completion rate of 69.6%, a passer rating of 77.5, and an average of 6.4 yards per attempt.

In the ground game, Kyren Williams led the rushing effort with 15 carries for 62 yards, averaging 4.1 yards per carry, with his longest run being 9 yards. Blake Corum added eight yards on two carries, averaging 4 yards per attempt, while Stafford registered a single rush with no gain. Williams played 93% of the snaps per his usual workload, but he failed to score on his lone red-zone touch.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Rams have the No. 4 most favorable schedule for RBs. At this point, Williams is probably a better buy than anything else. It might be the best time to buy NOW after he didn’t score a TD in back-to-back games. Williams is second in the NFL in touches this season (201).

Puka Nacua was Stafford’s top target, catching nine of 14 targets (32% target share) for 98 yards, averaging 10.9 yards per catch, with a long reception of 21 yards and an impressive 34 yards after the catch. The second-year WR also commanded a 44% air yards share and two red-zone targets.

Cooper Kupp was highly efficient, catching all seven of his targets (16% target share) for 80 yards, averaging 11.4 yards per catch with a long gain of 19 yards.

Like I said last week, Nacua is the No. 1 WR in this offense.

Tight end Davis Allen caught five of six targets for 34 yards, showcasing his ability to add yards after the catch with a long of 13. Allen had another red-zone target but did not score. After it looked like he was taking over the Rams TE1 role last week, Monday night football confirmed it.

He played 80% of the snaps to Colby Parkinson‘s 16%.

Until Tyler Higbee returns, Allen is the TE1 for L.A. He finished second overall on the team in routes run (42).

Tyler Johnson contributed 25 yards on three receptions, while Demarcus Robinson made a single big play with a 23-yard reception (he also saw two more red-zone targets and 85 air yards). Kyren Williams was also involved in the passing game, catching 5 of 6 targets for 20 yards, showing versatility out of the backfield. Blake Corum and Tutu Atwell each had one catch, gaining 7 and 6 yards, respectively.

Atwell played 19% of the snaps, while Johnson played 14%. Jordan Whittington only played five offensive snaps.

The Rams are getting healthier for the back nine of the season. Even after a lackluster performance against Miami, I want to invest in this offense.

This week they play @ NE. Then it’s vs. PHI, @ NO, vs BUF, @ SF, @ NYJ and vs ARI.
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BYE WEEK TEAMS

Cleveland Browns

Add Jameis Winston & Elijah Moore | Buy David Njoku | Hold Cedric Tillman | Hold/Buy Nick Chubb

In the Browns’ Week 9 matchup, Jameis Winston struggled under center, completing 26 of his 46 pass attempts for 235 yards, a touchdown, and three interceptions. His completion rate of 56.5% and a passer rating of 50.5 reflected the challenging day he had, averaging just 5.1 yards per attempt.

Nick Chubb led the ground game with 15 carries but was limited to only 39 yards, averaging a mere 2.6 yards per carry. Four red zone rush attempts, 0 rush TDs.

Winston contributed 27 rushing yards on five attempts, showing some mobility, while Pierre Strong and Jerome Ford combined for three short carries, totaling 13 yards.

In a negative game script, Chubb played just 35% of the snaps to Ford’s 46%.

According to Next Gen Stats, the Chargers’ defense allowed just 38 yards on 15 designed runs when utilizing lightboxes against the Browns in Week 9 (i.e., six or fewer defenders), including a season-low 2.5 yards per carry on such attempts. The Chargers have utilized lightboxes against 66.2% of designed runs this season, the highest rate league-wide entering the Week 9 afternoon slate.

The cheapest piece of the Browns is still Nick Chubb. He was okay versus Baltimore despite it being a brutal matchup, but he struggled here against LA. The hope for holding/buying on Chubb would be based on Weeks 16-17 against the Bengals and Dolphins. Hopefully, Chubb will be back to fuller form by then. And if this offense is good under Winston, you’ll be glad you bought while he was still super affordable.

Coming off the bye week, it’s Saints in a favorable spot.

Then it’s the Steelers, Broncos, Steelers, and Chiefs. No doubt it’s a tougher schedule for the ground game after NO.

Cedric Tillman was a bright spot, catching 6 of his 11 targets for 75 yards and the Browns’ only touchdown, with a long reception of 17 yards and 18 yards after the catch. He has another 19-yard gain wiped away by a penalty. 2 red zone targets, and one red zone touchdown-117 air yards, 28.54% air yards share, and 23.91% target share.

Dude continues to be an ALPHA. I loved him coming out of Tennessee, and I am LOVING what I am seeing so far this season with him in a full-time role. He is second on the Browns in target share (23%) and first in air yards share (33%) over in the Browns’ last three games.

Jerry Jeudy was also active, leading the team with seven catches on 11 targets for 73 yards. 2 red zone targets, 0 red zone touchdowns-115 air yards, 28.05% air yards share, and 24% target share. He led the team in all receiving categories in the first half.

Tight end Jordan Akins made an impact with three catches for 32 yards, including a 21-yard long catch, while David Njoku added five catches for 29 yards, primarily in short-yardage situations-25 air yards, 6.10% air yards share, 15% target share for Njoku.

Elijah Moore struggled with efficiency, bringing in only three of his nine targets for 28 yards, while Jerome Ford and Nick Chubb contributed minimally in the passing game. Ford ran a route on 52% of dropbacks as the primary receiver out of the backfield.

Moore saw 120 air yards, 29.27% air yards share, and 19.5% target share. The usage we love to see, but to no avail. But in the last three games, Moore has a team-high 24% target share (same last two weeks with Winston at QB).

Tillman is the standout of the group with Jeudy/Moore mirroring usage with Winston. Both guys are desperation low-end WR fliers that were not worth holding through the bye week (hence their availability). I think we might see these guys flip-flop production, so I’m not trying to target either aggressively off waivers.

Njoku won’t be as uninvolved most weeks.

Given the specific matchups, I think I do prefer Moore over Jeudy for the rest of the season based on projected slot matchups the rest of the season.
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Las Vegas Raiders

Buy Brock Bowers | Hold Alexander Mattison & Jakobi Meyers

In their Week 9 matchup, the Las Vegas Raiders had two quarterbacks split duties. Gardner Minshew completed 10 of 17 passes for 124 yards, finishing with a 58.8% completion rate and a passer rating of 81.5, averaging 7.3 yards per attempt. Desmond Ridder, who also saw time under center, went 11 of 16 for 74 yards, adding one touchdown with no interceptions and posting a passer rating of 99.5.

According to Next Gen Stats, Gardner Minshew started in Week 9 for Las Vegas, completing just 3 of 8 passes for 23 yards under pressure (-18.8% CPOE). With 5:02 left in the 3rd quarter, Desmond Ridder came in to replace Gardner Minshew. Ridder was pressured on 61.9% of his dropbacks, the highest rate of any Raiders quarterback this season, completing 6 of 8 such passes for 31 yards under pressure, leading to an +11.5 completion percentage over expected, the 2nd-highest rate for a Raiders’ QB this season.

On the ground, Alexander Mattison led the Raiders with nine carries for 36 yards, averaging 4 yards per carry and a long of 7 yards. Ameer Abdullah chipped in with four carries for 12 yards (3.0 YPC), while Zamir White found the end zone on one of his six carries but only gained a total of 10 yards (1.7 YPC). Ridder and Minshew each had one carry, but neither was able to generate positive yardage.

Mattison and White split carries (six apiece) in the first half. Mattison’s snaps fell to 39%, his lowest since Week 4. It was also beyond perplexing that the team put White into the game in the red zone over Mattison, something they did the reverse of early in the year when White was the starter.

What a backfield mess.

Jakobi Meyers was the standout receiver, hauling in 8 of his 11 targets for 105 yards, averaging 13.1 yards per reception with a long of 23 yards, and gaining 43 yards after the catch. Tight end Brock Bowers caught 5 of his eight targets for 45 yards, including a touchdown, with an average of 9 yards per catch. Another tight end, Harrison Bryant, was efficient with his two catches on two targets, amassing 22 yards with a long of 18.

Ameer Abdullah contributed in the passing game as well, catching all 3 of his targets for 14 yards. Tre Tucker managed to catch two of his six targets, ending with 5 yards and a long of 6.

Abdullah ended up leading the backfield with a 49% snap rate.

Despite some offensive highlights, the Raiders struggled to gain consistent yardage on the ground, affecting their overall offensive rhythm.

Las Vegas Raiders offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, offensive line coach James Cregg, and quarterbacks coach Rich Scangarello were fired shortly after the Raiders’ loss to the Bengals.

Las Vegas is coming off a Week 10 bye week in an effort to regroup with new coaching vacancies. Post bye week: @ MIA, vs DEN, @ KC, @ TB, vs ATL, vs JAC and @ NO.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Raiders have an average remaining schedule for WRs.

I still think Bowers and Meyers are the only two trade targets you can make, as you won’t get anything for this backfield that could completely be different with projected new offensive coordinator Scott Turner calling plays. Unless Mattison gets dropped, I can’t consciously recommend trading for him if the team just decides to go back to White in some weird depth chart shake-up after they “reassess” the offense. Antonio Pierce keeps referring back to how strong White finished last season any chance he gets.

Mattison should be held, given how good the playoff schedule is.
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Seattle Seahawks

Buy Kenneth Walker | Sell Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Quarterback Geno Smith had a mixed performance back in Week 9, completing 21 of 34 passes for an impressive 363 yards and three touchdowns, though he also threw three interceptions. He finished with a completion rate of 61.8%, a passer rating of 90.7, and averaged 10.7 yards per attempt.

On the ground in Week 9, Kenneth Walker III led the rushing attack with 25 carries, gaining 83 yards at an average of 3.3 yards per carry, with a long run of 10 yards. Walker had four red zone rush attempts, 0 rush TDs, and one red zone target. I’d buy Walker without much shine on him coming off a bye week. He hasn’t scored in back-to-back games but has some favorable matchups in the second half of the season.

Geno Smith added 16 rushing yards on six carries, while Zach Charbonnet contributed with two carries for 8 yards.

In the receiving game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba had a breakout performance, catching 7 of his 13 targets for an outstanding 180 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 25.7 yards per reception, including a long of 46 yards and gaining 50 yards after the catch.

Smith-Njigba had two red zone targets and one red zone touchdown-227 air yards, 65.04% air yards share, and 38% target share.

It was a career game for JSN, who I called a “sell-high” last week. Not great. I got impatient with JSN, presuming this breakout game would never come to fruition. And although I was wrong about selling JSN last week, I still think that is the sharp move to make. After all, selling a WR after 180 yards and two touchdowns against the Rams (reminds me of Marvin Harrison Jr. back in Week 2) I think is the right process.

Keep in mind that both DK Metcalf and Noah Fant were inactive. According to Next Gen Stats, Smith-Njigba’s air yards share was the highest share in a game by a Seahawks receiver since Week 2, 2022 (Tyler Lockett, 69.7%).

He was used as a deep threat for the first time. He recorded three receptions on five such targets for a career-high 99 yards and a touchdown. Smith-Njigba had zero deep receptions on five targets entering Week 9; he had yet to record multiple deep receptions or eclipse 35 deep receiving yards in his career heading into Week 9.

JSN’s ADOT in this matchup was 20.3 yards. It hasn’t surpassed 11 yards in any other game this season.

LA’s defense has been terrible all season. The Rams’ defense has now allowed seven deep passing touchdowns, top of the NFL.

The playoff schedule isn’t ideal for Seattle. It’s something to keep in mind when potentially trading Seahawks away as the season progresses.

Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Seahawks are tied for the bottom-ranked schedule for quarterbacks. Post Bye Week: @ SF, vs ARI, @ NYJ, @ ARI, vs GB, vs MIN and @ CHI.

You will never get MORE for Smith-Njigba after this performance. Make trades accordingly.

Tyler Lockett provided a big-play threat, securing 3 of his four targets for 63 yards and a touchdown, averaging 21 yards per catch, with a long reception of 30 yards-71 air yards, 20.34% air yards share, 12% target share.

Cody White also made an impact, hauling in 2 of his three targets for 44 yards, including a 28-yard catch, and accumulating 15 yards after the catch. Tight end AJ Barner was active in the short passing game, catching 4 of 7 targets for 27 yards, averaging 6.8 yards per catch. He had two red-zone targets but didn’t score. Barner ran a route on 77.27% of dropbacks, filling in for an injured Noah Fant (inactive).

Zach Charbonnet showed versatility with two catches on three targets for 25 receiving yards, with a notable 24-yard catch and a strong 28 yards after the catch. Walker III added 24 receiving yards on three catches, demonstrating his ability to contribute in the passing game with a long of 18 yards and 31 yards after the catch. Jake Bobo was targeted once but did not record a reception.

The Seahawks’ offense was explosive, particularly in the passing game, where Smith-Njigba and Lockett led the charge, but Geno Smith‘s interceptions put a damper on the overall performance.
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Green Bay Packers

Hold Tucker Kraft | Hold Jayden Reed | Buy Josh Jacobs | Buy Christian Watson

In Week 9, quarterback Jordan Love completed 23 of 39 passes for 273 yards, throwing no touchdowns and one interception. His completion rate was 59%, with a passer rating of 69.7 and an average of 7 yards per attempt.

In the running game, Josh Jacobs led the Packers’ ground attack with 13 carries for 95 yards, averaging 7.3 yards per carry and breaking off a long run of 37 yards.

According to Next Gen Stats, Jacobs carried the ball 9 times between the tackles for 88 yards in Week 9 against the Lions (+55 rushing yards over expected).

Jacobs leads the NFL with 525 yards and +138 rushing yards over expected on carries between the tackles entering Sunday Night Football. Jacobs carried the ball 4 times outside the tackles for just 7 yards in Week 9 (-3 rushing yards over expected). Of his 95 total rushing yards, 45 of them came before contact, his most in a game this season. Jacobs forced 6 missed tackles across his 13 total carries, resulting in his highest forced missed tackle rate of the season (46.2%).

Emanuel Wilson contributed with 28 yards and a touchdown on four carries, averaging 7 yards per attempt, while Christian Brooks added 13 yards on two carries, with a 6.5-yard average. For the second straight game, Brooks worked in after Jacobs. However, Wilson scored in the fourth quarter.

Jacobs: 2 red zone rush attempts, 0 rush TDs, 0 red zone targets.

Brooks: 2 red zone rush attempts, 0 rush TDs, one red zone target, 0 receiving TDs.

Wilson: 1 red zone rush attempt, one rush TD, 0 red zone targets.

Tight end Tucker Kraft had a single rush for 2 yards.

For the Packers receiving corps, Jayden Reed had an explosive day, catching 5 of 6 targets for 113 yards, averaging 22.6 yards per reception, including a long of 41 yards, and gaining 25 yards after the catch-93 air yards, 25% air yards share, 16.22% target share.

Christian Watson hauled in three of seven targets for 37 yards, with a 12.3-yard average and a long catch of 19 yards. He had one red-zone target (didn’t score) but converted a two-point conversion.

Watson’s underlying usage was strong: 145 air yards, 38.98% air yards share, 19% target share.

In the last two games, Watson leads the Packers in targets (13) and air yards (211) but he has just seven catches for 76 yards.

Tucker Kraft was reliable, catching 4 of 6 targets for 34 yards, averaging 8.5 yards per reception with a long of 13 and 17 yards after the catch. He has two red-zone targets but didn’t score. He also had a drop in the rainy conditions. 34 air yards, 9.14% air yards share, 16.22% target share

Romeo Doubs caught 4 of his five targets for 28 yards, averaging 7 yards per catch-33 air yards, 8.87% air yards share, 13.5% target share.

• Tucker Kraft ran a route on 94.87% of dropbacks.
• Romeo Doubs ran a route on 84.62% of dropbacks.
• Jayden Reed ran a route on 76.92% of dropbacks.
• Christian Watson ran a route on 61.54% of dropbacks.
• Dontayvion Wicks ran a route on 48.72% of dropbacks.
• Bo Melton ran a route on 17.95% of dropbacks.

Brooks also showed versatility by adding 28 receiving yards on three catches out of 4 targets, with a notable 13-yard catch and an impressive 33 yards after the catch. He has out-snapped Wilson in back-to-back games.

Bo Melton contributed with a single catch for 19 yards, and Jacobs added 13 receiving yards on two catches, averaging 6.5 yards per reception. Wilson had one catch for 1 yard, while Dontayvion Wicks was targeted three times but did not record a catch. He had another drop in the end zone.

Green Bay is coming a Week 10 bye week, giving Love time to get closer to 100% healthy.

Post bye week: @ CHI vs. SF, vs. MIA, @ DET, @ SEA vs. NO, and @ MIN.

It’s the third-best schedule for RBs for the rest of the season. Buy Josh Jacobs.

Not ideal for Love though. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Packers are tied for the No.32-ranked schedule for quarterbacks (with the Bears).

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