Happy Halloween, and welcome to Week 9 for fantasy football. The NFL continues to toss us tricks, treats, and trades (hello, Diontae Johnson). I’m sure there will be more insanity before the trade deadline gets here, so get ready.
Before we dive into the NFL action for this week, considering the wonderful holiday that falls upon the day of the release of this article, I thought I would share my top five hated Halloween candy selections. Why? Just for poops and laughs and to trigger a few unsuspecting souls with this fun intro. Alight, here it goes.
- 5. Tootsie Rolls: This isn’t real chocolate. It’s brown wax. GROSS!
- 4. Dots: The one gummy that I swear has zero taste and could crack a tooth.
- 3. Butterscotch candies: I just can’t. I have a strong sweet tooth, but these things overpower it every time.
- 2. Sixlets: M&M’s ugly cousin. No, thank you.
- 1. Good & Plenty: More like Nasty & Never. Am I right?
No, you won’t find Candy Corn on this list. That is the 1.01 of Halloween candy. Deal with it. 🙂
Welcome to the Week 9 Primer. Enjoy.
HOU vs. NYJ | DAL vs. ATL | WAS vs. NYG | LAC vs. CLE | MIA vs. BUF | NO vs. CAR | NE vs. TEN | LV vs. CIN | DEN vs. BAL | CHI vs. ARI | JAC vs. PHI | DET vs. GB | LAR vs. SEA | IND vs. MIN | TB vs. KC
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Fantasy Football Primer
Houston Texans vs. New York Jets
- Watch Live on Fubo (Try for Free)
- NYJ -2, O/U 42
- Houston Texans vs. New York Jets Player Prop Bets via BettingPros
Pace and playcalling notes
- Houston has the 13th-slowest neutral pace while ranking 15th in neutral passing rate.
- Since adding Davante Adams to the squad, the Jets have had the ninth-slowest neutral pace with the eighth-highest neutral passing rate.
Texans Players & Weekly Rankings
C.J. Stroud | QB | QB1/2 |
Joe Mixon | RB | RB1 |
Dameon Pierce | RB | Out |
Tank Dell | WR | WR2/3 |
Xavier Hutchinson | WR | WR5 |
John Metchie | WR | WR6 |
Robert Woods | WR | WR6 |
Dalton Schultz | TE | TE2 |
Jets Players & Weekly Rankings
Aaron Rodgers | QB | QB2 |
Breece Hall | RB | RB1 |
Braelon Allen | RB | RB4 |
Davante Adams | WR | WR2 |
Garrett Wilson | WR | WR1/2 |
Allen Lazard | WR | Out |
Mike Williams | WR | WR5 |
Tyler Conklin | TE | TE2 |
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
After two games, Adams hasn’t been the game-changing acquisition that the Jets thought they were making. He has averaged 42 receiving yards and 7.7 fantasy points per game. Adams has drawn a 17.9% target share, a 19.7% air-yard share, and a 22.5% first-read share with 1.31 YPRR. He has only one red-zone target and zero end-zone looks. Adams will look to bounce back in a middle-of-the-road matchup with Houston. The Texans are 16th in fantasy points per game and 17th in receiving yards per game allowed to perimeter wide receivers.
Fantasy Football Week 9 Flex Plays & Fades
Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.
Stroud is playing lights-out football, but it hasn’t exactly transferred to fantasy success. He is the QB21 in fantasy points per game with only two QB1 weeks this season. Among 41 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks tenth in passing touchdowns, ninth in passing yards per game, 13th in CPOE, and tenth in highly accurate throw rate. Since Week 5, the Jets haven’t been a frightening pass defense, allowing the 14th-highest yards per attempt while ranking 17th in passer rating and 20th in CPOE. The biggest issue for Stroud in this game isn’t the Jets’ secondary but their pass rush. The Jets are third in pressure rate, and Stroud’s offensive line has allowed him to face the seventh-highest pressure rate. Stroud has been good versus pressure, ranking third in passing grade and sixth in yards per attempt when facing pressure. Stroud is not a must-start this week. It depends upon the quarterback options on your team.
Rodgers has looked like a shell of his former self for most of this season as the QB20 in fantasy points per game. Father Time comes calling for everyone, and it looks like he and Rodgers have been having long late-night chats. Among 41 qualifying quarterbacks, Rodgers is 28th in yards per attempt and fantasy points per dropback while also ranking 37th in CPOE. Rodgers at least showed a pulse last week against New England with his third outing of the season with more than 17 fantasy points. This week won’t be any easier for Rodgers. Houston has kept quarterbacks in check with the fourth-lowest success rate per dropback, the second-lowest yards per attempt, and the lowest CPOE allowed.
In the three games Dell has played without Nico Collins, he has finished as a top 30 wide receiver in weekly scoring twice (WR16, WR29). Since Week 6, he has had an 18.9% target share, a 26.3% air-yard share, 1.10 YPRR, and a 28% first-read share. The explosive plays just haven’t been there for Dell so far. Since Week 7, the Jets have ranked seventh in single-high rate (60.5%). Over the last three games, against single high, Dell has seen his numbers increase with a 22.6% target share, 1.56 YPRR, and a 31.3% first-read share. This will help Dell in a tough matchup this week. The Jets have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points per game and the seventh-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Last week, Hutchinson had a 61.5% route share, but he only managed a 2.7% target share and a 6.8% air-yard share. While the increase in playing time is nice to see, this isn’t the week to consider him as a deep league flex. The Jets have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points per game and the seventh-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Schultz is the TE28 in fantasy points per game, drawing a 13.2% target share with 1.00 YPRR and a 12.8% first-read share. He has only two red zone targets this season and hasn’t seen one since Week 4. The Jets have been tough against tight ends, allowing the tenth-fewest receiving yards per game and the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game. Sit Schultz.
With Davante Adams in town, Conklin has seen an 11.8% target share with 0.96 YPRR and a 12.5% first-read share. He has two end zone targets in his last two games. Conklin is a must-sit this week. Houston has kept tight ends frozen in their tracks, giving up the third-lowest yards per reception, the fewest receiving yards per game, and the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game.
HOU vs. NYJ | DAL vs. ATL | WAS vs. NYG | LAC vs. CLE | MIA vs. BUF | NO vs. CAR | NE vs. TEN | LV vs. CIN | DEN vs. BAL | CHI vs. ARI | JAC vs. PHI | DET vs. GB | LAR vs. SEA | IND vs. MIN | TB vs. KC
Dallas Cowboys vs. Atlanta Falcons
- ATL -2.5, O/U 52
- Dallas Cowboys vs. Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Bets via BettingPros
Pace and playcalling notes
- Dallas ranks fifth in neutral pace and sixth in neutral passing rate.
- This game will be an extravaganza of play volume and passing rate. The Falcons are second and fifth in neutral pace and passing rate, respectively.
Cowboys Players & Weekly Rankings
Dak Prescott | QB | QB1/2 |
Rico Dowdle | RB | RB2/3 |
Ezekiel Elliott | RB | RB4 |
Dalvin Cook | RB | RB6 |
CeeDee Lamb | WR | WR1 |
KaVontae Turpin | WR | WR5 |
Jalen Tolbert | WR | WR3/4 |
Jake Ferguson | TE | TE1 |
Falcons Players & Weekly Rankings
Kirk Cousins | QB | QB1 |
Bijan Robinson | RB | RB1 |
Tyler Allgeier | RB | RB3 |
Drake London | WR | WR1 |
Darnell Mooney | WR | WR2/3 |
Ray-Ray McCloud | WR | WR5 |
Kyle Pitts | TE | TE1 |
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Well, Cousins has made it abundantly clear that he can carve up the Bucs. In those two games, he has finished as the QB1 and the QB3 in weekly fantasy scoring. In his other starters, he has surpassed 12.5 fantasy points only once. Overall, he is the QB17 in fantasy points per game. Among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, he is eighth in yards per attempt, fifth in passing yards per game and passing touchdowns, and 13th in CPOE. Cousins is set to torch the Dallas secondary this week. Dallas’s pass defense doesn’t resemble the same unit that we once feared when Dan Quinn was at the controls. The Cowboys have allowed the highest yards per attempt, the eighth-highest passer rating, and the sixth-highest CPOE.
Prescott is the QB19 in fantasy points per game, which sounds gross, but the reality is that even that ranking in fantasy circles has been propped up by volume. Prescott has the seventh-most passing attempt and the third-most passing yards per game. His per-dropback metrics have been frightening. Among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 33rd in CPOE, 24th in fantasy points per dropback, and he has the third-highest turnover-worthy throw rate. His matchup this week with Atlanta offers a juicy bounceback spot for Prescott to possibly turn back the clock and look like last year’s version. The Falcons have arguably been a putrid pass defense, giving up the 11th-highest success rate per dropback, the seventh-most passing touchdowns, and the third-highest CPOE. Prescott could walk away from Week 9 with his third QB1 outing of the season.
Dowdle was a surprise inactive last week as he fell ill quickly with a 102 fever. He opened this week with a full practice, so I expect him to resume his role as leader of this backfield after a week where Ezekiel Elliott and Dalvin Cook both looked washed. In his two games played prior to Detroit throttling Dallas, Dowdle played 45-50% of the snaps, averaging 17 touches and 87.5 total yards. He was the RB22 and the RB3 in weekly scoring. He hasn’t managed an explosive run this season while only having a 7% missed tackle rate and 2.25 yards after contact per attempt. Those numbers don’t inspire confidence, but there’s no back on this depth chart that should be challenging him for the team lead in work. Atlanta has been giving to backs, allowing the 12th-most rushing yards per game, the sixth-highest missed tackle rate, and the 14th-highest explosive run rate.
Allgeier’s blowup in Week 6 is an obvious outlier this season. Last week was the only other game this season where he has surpassed ten touches in a game. Allgeier finished with 12 carries and 33 rushing yards while playing 35% of the snaps. Over the last two weeks, Allgeier’s touchdown equity has shriveled up to nothing, with only 9.1% of the red zone snaps. Allgeier will likely see 8-10 touches this week, and you’re praying that he gets into the end-zone, which makes him a low-end flex. Dallas still can’t stop the run, giving up the eighth-highest explosive run rate and the second-highest yards before contact per attempt and rushing success rate.
Mooney has turned out to be one of the best late-round picks you could have made in drafts this offseason. He is the WR21 in fantasy points per game with five top 36 fantasy scoring weeks among wide receivers (WR18, WR10, WR27, WR3, WR32). He has seen four red zone targets over the last four games and overall ranks tenth in deep targets among wide receivers. Mooney has a 20.5% target share, a 35.5% air-yard share, 1.92 YPRR, and a 27.2% first-read share. Since Week 2, Dallas has had the fourth-highest single-high rate in the NFL (61.4%). Against single high, Mooney has seen his target share fall to 16.9% with 0.95 YPRR and a 22.3% first-read share. While I don’t project a huge day for Mooney this week, it only takes one converted deep target for him to prove me wrong, and the Dallas secondary has bled out production to wide receivers. Dallas has allowed the 14th-highest fantasy points per game and the ninth-highest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Tolbert is the WR42 in fantasy points per game, but he hasn’t managed more than 8.3 fantasy points in three of his last four games. His usage has dried up some, as he also hasn’t seen a red zone target since Week 5. The three red zone targets he saw against Pittsburgh were his only red zone targets in his last four games. Overall, he has a 13% target share, 1.37 YPRR, and a 15% first-read share. These aren’t exactly eye-popping numbers. Since Week 4, Atlanta has utilized two high with 58.3% of their defensive snaps. Against two high, Tolbert has seen his usage increase with a 17.2% target share, 1.74 YPRR, and a 24.7% first-read share. This looks like a good spot to flex Tolbert, as Atlanta has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points per game and the 14th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Ferguson continues to move through the season as the uninspiring TE12 in fantasy points per game. He has only two red zone targets since Week 3 and hasn’t scored a touchdown this season. He is the TE5 in expected fantasy points per game, so I guess we should start expecting a regression to the mean game incoming. That could be this week. Since Week 4, Atlanta has utilized two high with 58.3% of their defensive snaps. Against two high, Ferguson leads the team with a 23.2% target share, 2.04 YPRR, and a 26.9% first-read share. Atlanta is 15th in receiving yards per game allowed to tight ends, but they have also given up the tenth-most fantasy points per game to the position.
Fantasy Football Week 9 Flex Plays & Fades
Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.
N/A
HOU vs. NYJ | DAL vs. ATL | WAS vs. NYG | LAC vs. CLE | MIA vs. BUF | NO vs. CAR | NE vs. TEN | LV vs. CIN | DEN vs. BAL | CHI vs. ARI | JAC vs. PHI | DET vs. GB | LAR vs. SEA | IND vs. MIN | TB vs. KC
Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants
Pace and playcalling notes
- The Commanders have been picking up the pace. Since Week 4, they rank seventh in neutral pace and eighth in neutral rushing rate.
- Across their last four games, New York has the third-slowest neutral pace and the 11th-highest neutral passing rate.
Commanders Players & Weekly Rankings
Jayden Daniels | QB | QB1 |
Brian Robinson Jr. | RB | RB2 |
Austin Ekeler | RB | RB3 |
Terry McLaurin | WR | WR1 |
Noah Brown | WR | WR4 |
Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | WR6 |
Luke McCaffrey | WR | WR6 |
Zach Ertz | TE | TE1/2 |
Giants Players & Weekly Rankings
Daniel Jones | QB | QB2 |
Devin Singletary | RB | TBD |
Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | TBD |
Malik Nabers | WR | WR1/2 |
Wan’Dale Robinson | WR | WR3/4 |
Jalin Hyatt | WR | WR6 |
Darius Slayton | WR | WR4 |
Theo Johnson | TE | TE2 |
Daniel Bellinger | TE | TE3 |
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Robinson Jr. saw his snap rate increase last week (47%), which hopefully means he is getting healthier, and we can see him sniff the 60% snap range he was seeing earlier this season. Robinson Jr. is the RB22 in fantasy points per game, ranking 18th in carries and tenth in red zone touches. He should crush this week against the Giants’ pitiful run defense. Robinson has averaged 15.7 touches and 77.2 total yards. He ravaged this defense in Week 2 with 133 rushing yards. Among 43 qualifying backs, he is 15th in explosive run rate and 20th in missed tackles forced per attempt. New York has allowed the highest missed tackle rate, the sixth-most rushing yards per game, and the third-highest explosive run rate.
Singletary likely draws the start this week with Tracy Jr. in the concussion protocol. In Weeks 1-4, with Singletary as the starter, he was the RB26 in fantasy points per game, averaging 16.5 touches and 73.3 total yards. Singletary has been impressive on a per-touch basis. Among 43 qualifying backs, he ranks 11th in missed tackles forced per attempt and sixth in yards after contact per attempt. He should eat this week against a Washington run defense that has allowed the second-highest explosive run rate, the eighth-most rushing yards per game, and the fifth-highest missed tackle rate.
In his last two games played, Ekeler has averaged 49% of the snaps played with 7.5 touches and 40 total yards. He is a strong flex play this week in a great matchup. His rushing metrics haven’t been amazing, with only a 10% missed tackle rate and 2.0 yards after contact per attempt, but he has made up for it some with his 7.7% explosive run rate. Ekeler could flirt with ten touches in this matchup, and if he gets into the end zone (13 red zone touches this season), he could flirt with RB2 production this week. New York has allowed the highest missed tackle rate, the sixth-most rushing yards per game, and the third-highest explosive run rate.
Robinson is the WR34 in fantasy points per game, ranking fourth among wideouts in red zone targets. He has soaked up a 23.3.% target share and a 26.4% first-read share with 1.29 YPRR. Washington has tightened up as a pass defense since Week 6, but Robinson could still rack up yardage in this game. Since Week 6, Washington has allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game to slot receivers while still giving up the 11th-highest receiving yards per game. Robinson remains a decent flex, especially in PPR formats.
In his last five games played, Brown has had a 61% route share, a 14.6% target share, a 21.5% air-yard share, 1.82 YPRR, and a 16% first-read share. In that span, he has two red zone targets. Since Week 3, the Giants have had the fourth-highest single-high rate (63.9%). Against single-high, Brown is fourth in TPRR (19%) and second in YPRR (1.81) among Commanders receiving options. Brown is a decent flex play this week, squaring off against a New York secondary that has allowed the eighth-highest fantasy points per game and the 13th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Fantasy Football Week 9 Flex Plays & Fades
Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.
Jones has cemented himself as a basement-level QB2 as the QB26 in fantasy points per game. Among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, he is 30th in yards per attempt and passer rating, 29th in highly accurate throw rate, and 31st in fantasy points per dropback. Washington has tightened up as a pass defense over the last three weeks. Since Week 6, they have allowed the third-fewest passing yards per game, the sixth-lowest passer rating, and the ninth-lowest adjusted completion rate. Sit Jones.
Tracy Jr. is in the concussion protocol. It’s a longshot that he will play this week.
In the six games Malik Nabers has been active, Slayton has only an 11.8% target share, a 23.2% air-yard share, 1.24 YPRR, and a 9% first-read share. This isn’t the matchup to consider flexing him. Since Week 6, Washington has allowed the ninth-fewest receiving yards per game and the fourth-lowest fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Ertz continues to surprise this season as the TE13 in fantasy points per game. He is fourth among tight ends in red zone targets. He has a 19% target share, 1.69 YPRR, and an 18.5% first-read share. Among 57 qualifying tight ends, he ranks third in separation and second in route win rate. Sit Ertz this week against a Giants team that has allowed the third-fewest fantasy points per game and the sixth-fewest receiving yards per game to tight ends.
HOU vs. NYJ | DAL vs. ATL | WAS vs. NYG | LAC vs. CLE | MIA vs. BUF | NO vs. CAR | NE vs. TEN | LV vs. CIN | DEN vs. BAL | CHI vs. ARI | JAC vs. PHI | DET vs. GB | LAR vs. SEA | IND vs. MIN | TB vs. KC
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns
Pace and playcalling notes
- Since Week 5, the Chargers have continued to move slowly (eighth-slowest neutral pace), but they are leaning on Justin Herbert‘s arm (eighth-highest neutral passing rate).
- In Jameis Winston‘s first start, the Browns were 14th in neutral pace with the seventh-highest neutral passing rate.
Chargers Players & Weekly Rankings
Justin Herbert | QB | QB2 |
J.K. Dobbins | RB | RB2 |
Kimani Vidal | RB | RB4 |
Ladd McConkey | WR | WR3 |
Joshua Palmer | WR | WR4/5 |
Quentin Johnston | WR | TBD |
Will Dissly | TE | TE2 |
Hayden Hurst | TE | TE2 |
Browns Players & Weekly Rankings
Jameis Winston | QB | QB2 |
Nick Chubb | RB | RB2/3 |
Cedric Tillman | WR | WR3 |
Jerry Jeudy | WR | WR4 |
Elijah Moore | WR | WR3/4 |
David Njoku | TE | TE1 |
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Dobbins is the RB17 in fantasy points per game, averaging 18.7 touches and 88.8 total yards. He is 14th in snap share, 19th in opportunity share, and 18th in weighted opportunities. Since Week 3, his tackle-breaking numbers have really taken a tumble. Among 60 qualifying backs in that span, he has logged the eighth-highest stuff rate while ranking 46th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 49th in yards after contact per attempt. As the volume has piled up, Dobbins has looked more like the back I thought we would see in 2024. I hope that he can reverse these numbers as we move through the season, but I’m not overly bullish that he will. We’ll see if Dobbins can take advantage of a slightly above-average matchup against the Browns’ run defense this week. Cleveland ranks 18th in yards before contact per attempt while giving up the fourth-highest explosive run rate and the tenth-highest missed tackle rate.
Last week, Chubb saw a big uptick in his workload with 59% of the snaps, 16 carries, and 52 rushing yards. He played 74% of the snaps on rushing plays, saw a 54% snapshare on passing downs, and handled 57% of the red zone snaps. His efficiency numbers still didn’t look great, but they also trended up with a 6.3% explosive run rate, a 13% missed tackle rate, and 2.25 yards after contact per attempt. I also have to mention that Baltimore has been a top-five run defense, so it’s not like Chubb posted these numbers in a wonderful matchup. The Bolts are a slightly above-average matchup for Chubb this week. They have allowed the 11th-highest yards after contact per attempt, the 12th-highest yards per carry-to-zone runs, and the 13th-highest rushing success rate to zone runs (Chubb 51.9% zone).
Tillman has been awesome over the last two weeks as the WR10 and WR3 in weekly fantasy scoring. He has drawn a 22.6% target share (tied for the team lead), a 36.8% air-yard share, and a 27.3% first-read share (team-leading) with 2.22 YPRR and 90 receiving yards per game. He also tied for the team lead with three end-zone targets over the last two games. The Chargers have the third-highest two high rate in the NFL (59.5%). Since Week 7, against two high, Tillman ranks third on the team with an 18.8% target share, first with 2.63 YPRR, and third with an 18.2% first-read share. Tillman could keep the train rolling this week, but he’ll have to overcome a tough matchup. The Chargers have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game and the ninth-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
McConkey has pulled his season-long status up to WR25 in fantasy points per game after last week’s blow-up game. He has four weeks this season as a top-36 fantasy wide receiver. He has drawn four deep targets and six red zone looks (28th among wideouts). McConkey has a 22.2% target share with 2.14 YPRR and a 27% first-read share. Cleveland still has the highest single high rate in the NFL (69.5%). Against single high, McConkey has had a 23.7% target share with 2.85 YPRR and a whopping 29.7% first-read share. McConkey should get peppered again this week, but the matchup isn’t as juicy as last week. Cleveland has allowed the 11th-fewest PPR points per target and ranks 18th in receiving yards per game allowed to slot receivers.
Moore has flashed a pulse over the last two weeks with an 18.3% target share, 1.85 YPRR, and an 18.2% first-read share. He has a red zone target in each of his last four games. The Chargers have the third-highest two high rate in the NFL (59.5%). Since Week 7, against two high, Moore has ranked second on the team with a 25% target share, had 2.09 YPRR, and had a 22.7% first-read share. He’s a viable flex this week in deeper leagues in a tough matchup. The Chargers have allowed the eighth-lowest PPR points per target and the 12th-fewest receiving yards per game to slot receivers.
Fantasy Football Week 9 Flex Plays & Fades
Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.
Herbert logged his first QB1 outing last week against the Saints (QB9), as the Bolts have leaned on his arm more in the last two games. Even with that encouraging game, Herbert is still just the QB25 in fantasy points per game. Among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, Herbert is 14th in yards per attempt, 11th in passer rating, 16th in CPOE, and 13th in highly accurate throw rate. Herbert likely turns in another QB2 week against the Cleveland pass defense. The Browns have turned into a middling unit, allowing the 13th-highest yards per attempt while ranking 21st in CPOE, 15th in fantasy points allowed via passing, and giving up the ninth-lowest success rate per dropback.
Winston balled out in a good matchup as the QB10 in fantasy last week. Last week, among 33 qualifying quarterbacks, Winston ranked 14th in yards per attempt, ninth in passer rating, and 18th in CPOE and catchable target rate. The Chargers aren’t nearly the inviting matchup through the air that Winston enjoyed last week, so temper your expectations with him this week. A QB2 outing is far more likely in Week 9. Los Angeles has kept quarterbacks in check with the eighth-lowest yards per attempt, the 13th-lowest CPOE, and the third-lowest success rate per dropback allowed.
Johnston has been out the last two games with an ankle issue. We’ll see if he returns in Week 9. I’ll update his status on Friday.
This doesn’t project as a week to look at flexing Palmer. Cleveland still has the highest single high rate in the NFL (69.5%). Against single high, Palmer is fifth on the team with a 14% TPRR, third in first-read share (14.1%), and fourth in YPRR (1.80). This has been a quiet year for Palmer after he flashed upside last year. He is droppable at this point.
Since Week 7, Jeudy has ranked fourth on the team with a 14% target share while posing 1.07 YPRR and an 18.2% first-read share (fourth). He has been hopped in the target pecking order by Cedric Tillman and it looks like Elijah Moore. The Chargers have the third-highest two high rate in the NFL (59.5%). Since Week 7, against two high, Jeudy has had a 9.4% target share, 0.60 YPRR, and a 13.6% first-read share. Hold him on your bench if you have the space, but I have no issues with dropping him to the waiver wire if you have to.
HOU vs. NYJ | DAL vs. ATL | WAS vs. NYG | LAC vs. CLE | MIA vs. BUF | NO vs. CAR | NE vs. TEN | LV vs. CIN | DEN vs. BAL | CHI vs. ARI | JAC vs. PHI | DET vs. GB | LAR vs. SEA | IND vs. MIN | TB vs. KC