Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants
- PHI -3.5, O/U 42.5
- Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants Player Prop Bets via BettingPros
Pace and playcalling notes
- Philly has the ninth-best neutral pace while ranking sixth in neutral rushing rate.
- The Giants have the tenth-slowest neutral pace while ranking 14th in neutral passing rate.
Eagles Players & Weekly Rankings
Jalen Hurts | QB | QB1 |
Saquon Barkley | RB | RB1 |
Will Shipley | RB | RB5 |
Kenneth Gainwell | RB | RB5 |
A.J. Brown | WR | WR1 |
DeVonta Smith | WR | WR1/2 |
Grant Calcaterra | TE | TE2* |
*Dallas Goedert has been ruled out*
Giants Players & Weekly Rankings
Daniel Jones | QB | QB2 |
Devin Singletary | RB | RB2 |
Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | RB4 |
Malik Nabers | WR | WR1 |
Wan’Dale Robinson | WR | WR3 |
Darius Slayton | WR | WR5 |
Theo Johnson | TE | TE2/3 |
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Singletary will be back in the huddle this week. He is off the injury report and ready to go for Week 7. He has averaged 16.5 touches and 73.3 total yards as the RB27 in fantasy points per game. Singletary has played 68-79% of the snaps weekly, but he could see a reduction in that workload. The coaching staff has stated that Tyrone Tracy Jr. has earned more work, but we’ll have to see how many snaps that equals moving forward. Prior to his run as the team’s starter, Tracy was playing 21-31% of the snaps weekly. We could see his share sneak up to the 35-40% range (if not more). It’s not like Singletary was playing badly before he was sidelined. Among 61 qualifying backs, Singletary ranks 14th in missed tackles forced per attempt and ninth in yards after contact per attempt. Philly has had an up-and-down run defense. They have allowed the second-highest explosive run rate and the fourth-highest yards before contact per attempt while also ranking 18th in rushing success rate. Singletary is a decent RB2.
Smith has been amazing this season as the WR11 in fantasy points per game. Slim Reaper has commanded a 25.2% target share, a 38.2% air-yard share, and a 32.9% first-read share, producing 2.44 YPRR and 75.8 receiving yards per game. Smith is tied for the team lead in red zone targets (four). New York has the tenth-highest single-high rate (57.6%). Against single-high, Smith has seen his numbers explode with a 30.9% target share, 3.29 YPRR, and a 35.6% first-read share. Deonte Banks will likely shadow A.J. Brown this week, which leaves Andru Phillips (71.4% catch rate and 75.9 passer rating) and Cor’Dale Flott (77.3% catch rate and 122.0 passer rating) guarding Smith all day. New York has allowed the eighth-highest PPR points per target and the 11th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Robinson is the WR29 in fantasy points per game this season, ranking tenth in the NFL in red zone targets. He has a 24.5% target share, 1.50 YPRR, and a 27.3% first-read share. Robinson is a strong WR3/flex this week against a Philly secondary that has allowed the fifth-highest PPR points per target and the eighth-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers. Robinson will run about 90% of his routes against Cooper DeJean (50% catch rate and 57.3 passer rating).
Fantasy Football Week 7 Flex Plays & Fades
Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.
Jones is headed for another meh-level QB2 box score. While Jones has led us astray with some QB1 games this year, as the season has moved along, he has regressed and has been the player we have known for most of his career. He has finished as the QB22 or lower in 50% of his games. Overall, he is the QB23 in fantasy points per game. Among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 30th in yards per attempt, 28th in passer rating, and 29th in fantasy points per dropback. He faces a Philly secondary that has allowed the 15th-lowest success rate per dropback, the 11th-lowest CPOE, and the 11th-lowest passing touchdowns.
With Singletary back this week, Tracy Jr. is shoved back into a supporting role. The coaching staff has stated that he will get more work, but we’ll have to wait and see how that actually plays out. With his workload uncertain, Tracy Jr. should be a sit this week. Prior to his run as the team’s starter, Tracy was playing 21-31% of the snaps weekly, averaging four touches and 17.6 total yards.
With Dallas Goedert injured during last week’s game, Calcaterra took over this full-time tight-end role with an 84.6% route share, a 16% target share, 3.05 YPRR, and a 15.8% first-read share. Cacaterra isn’t on the matchup-based streaming radar this week. The Giants have allowed the 12th-lowest yards per reception and the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends. The passing attack will be heavily concentrated through A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith this week.
DEN vs. NO | NE vs. JAC | MIA vs. IND | TEN vs. BUF | CIN vs. CLE | HOU vs. GB | SEA vs. ATL | DET vs. MIN | PHI vs. NYG | LV vs. LAR | CAR vs. WAS | KC vs. SF | NYJ vs. PIT | BAL vs. TB | LAC vs. ARI
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Rams
Pace and playcalling notes
- The Rams continue to turn back the clock and run fast and pass a ton. They are ranked sixth and fourth in neutral pace and neutral passing rate.
- Last week in Aidan O’Connell‘s first start the Raiders has the ninth-slowest neutral pace and the seventh-highest neutral passing rate.
Raiders Players & Weekly Rankings
Aidan O’Connell | QB | QB2 |
Zamir White | RB | RB4/5 |
Alexander Mattison | RB | RB2/3 |
Jakobi Meyers | WR | Out |
Tre Tucker | WR | WR5 |
Brock Bowers | TE | TE1 |
Rams Players & Weekly Rankings
Matthew Stafford | QB | QB2 |
Kyren Williams | RB | RB1 |
Blake Corum | RB | RB4 |
Cooper Kupp | WR | Out |
Demarcus Robinson | WR | WR5 |
Tutu Atwell | WR | WR3/4 |
Jordan Whittington | WR | WR3/4 |
Colby Parkinson | TE | TE2 |
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
*Cooper Kupp has been ruled out for Week 7.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Stafford is the QB31 in fantasy points per game. He is a solid QB2 this week despite his lackluster numbers to this point. Among 37 qualifying passers, he ranks 20th in yards per attempt, 30th in passing touchdowns, 23rd in passer rating, and 27th in CPOE. The Raiders are a nice matchup for Stafford to have a bounceback game if Kupp is back. Las Vegas has allowed the 13th-most passing touchdowns, the tenth-highest passer rating, and the seventh-highest CPOE.
Mattison is likely the Raiders’ starter again this week. As the team’s starter, he has averaged 18 touches and 63 total yards with RB29 and RB16 weekly finishes. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks 57th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 46th in yards after contact per attempt. This is a great matchup for Mattison. The Rams have allowed the most rushing yards per game, the 12th-highest missed tackle rate, the seventh-highest yards per carry to zone runs, and the 11th-highest success rate to zone runs (Mattison 63% zone).
*The Rams wide receiver usage behind Kupp this week could be a frustrating committee. If Kupp is out, things will be clarified more. If he’s active, Kupp is the only Rams wide receiver I would start in Week 7. I’ll update you on this situation on Saturday (or as soon as we get more news).*
Fantasy Football Week 7 Flex Plays & Fades
Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.
Last week, O’Connell finished with 227 scoreless passing yards, 5.7 yards per attempt, and only one passing score as the QB24 in fantasy. That is pretty much the low bar that O’Connell hits every week, it seems when he’s been under center. He has surpassed 18 fantasy points in only two of his career starts. The Rams improved as a pass defense with the reshuffling of their secondary in Week 5, but they still weren’t great. Los Angeles allowed the 13th-highest passer rating, the sixth-highest yards per attempt, and the seventh-highest CPOE of Week 5. O’Connell should be able to post serviceable QB2 numbers in Week 7 but don’t expect more than that.
White has limited practices on Wednesday and Thursday before a full session on Friday. He has been listed as questionable. Luke Getsy has discussed that Alexander Mattison could retain the lead-back role with White returning. White has averaged only 13.6 touches and 42 total yards this season. Sit him this week. If you need the roster spot, White is droppable.
Over the last two weeks, Whittington has had a 22.2% target share, a 21.1% air-yard share, 2.17 YPRR, and a 21.2% first-read share. He has only drawn one red zone target this season. He faces a Raiders pass defense that has utilized single high on 53.1% of their defensive snaps. Against single high he ranks second on the team with a 32% TPRR and 2.61 YPRR. Whittington is a decent flex play with Kupp out. The Raiders have allowed the fourth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
Meyers has been ruled out for Week 7.
Tucker could operate as the team’s WR2, with Brock Bowers taking the lead if Jakobi Meyers is unable to suit up. Tucker hasn’t shown much without Davante Adams, so I don’t have high hopes for him this week, regardless of who is starting opposite him. Since Week 4, Tucker has had a 12.9% target share, 0.62 YPRR, and an 18.8% first-read share. He has averaged only 19.7 receiving yards per game and 6.7 fantasy points per game. Tucker is best left on the waiver wire.
Parkinson is the TE18 in fantasy points per game. He leads the Rams in red zone targets while drawing a 17.6% target share and 16.1% first-read share and producing 1.08 YPRR and 33 receiving yards per game. Parkinson is an easy sit this week. The Raiders have allowed the 11th-fewest receiving yards and fantasy points per game to tight ends.
DEN vs. NO | NE vs. JAC | MIA vs. IND | TEN vs. BUF | CIN vs. CLE | HOU vs. GB | SEA vs. ATL | DET vs. MIN | PHI vs. NYG | LV vs. LAR | CAR vs. WAS | KC vs. SF | NYJ vs. PIT | BAL vs. TB | LAC vs. ARI
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Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Commanders
- WAS -9.5, O/U 51.5
- Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Commanders Player Prop Bets via BettingPros
Pace and playcalling notes
- With Andy Dalton under center, the Panthers have had the seventh-slowest neutral pace while passing at the 13th-highest rate in neutral script.
- Washington has begun to lean into its passing game and move quicker. Since Week 4, Washington has had the 12th-best neutral pace while ranking 19th in neutral passing rate.
Panthers Players & Weekly Rankings
Andy Dalton | QB | QB2 |
Chuba Hubbard | RB | RB1 |
Miles Sanders | RB | RB4 |
Diontae Johnson | WR | WR1 |
Xavier Legette | WR | WR3/4 |
Jalen Coker | WR | WR4/5 |
Ja’Tavion Sanders | TE | TE1/2 |
Commanders Players & Weekly Rankings
Jayden Daniels | QB | QB1 |
Brian Robinson Jr. | RB | RB2 |
Austin Ekeler | RB | RB3 |
Terry McLaurin | WR | WR1 |
Noah Brown | WR | WR4 |
Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | WR5 |
Luke McCaffrey | WR | WR6 |
Zach Ertz | TE | TE1/2 |
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
*Diontae Johnson has been listed as questionable (hamstring/ribs/ankle). Assuming he is good to go for Week 7, he should be in your lineups. I’ll update his status as we get more news. Currently, I’m projecting him to play.*
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Since taking over as Carolina’s starter, Dalton has been the QB23 in fantasy points per game with two QB1 outings (QB8, QB12). Dalton has ranked 29th in yards per attempt, 21st in passer rating, 15th in CPOE, and ninth in hero throw rate. He’s a fantastic streaming option this week. Washington’s secondary has improved marginally as the season has moved along. However, they still have allowed the second-highest success rate per dropback, the second-most passing touchdowns, and the third-highest yards per attempt. Washington has allowed the third-most fantasy points via passing.
Robinson Jr. was limited all week in practice (knee). He is expected to play this week. The last time we saw him, he played only 34% of the snaps. After missing Week 6, hopefully, Robinson Jr. will see closer to his normal workload in Week 7. In Weeks 1-4, he averaged 18.5 touches and 93.8 total yards as the RB16 in fantasy points per game. Among 61 qualifying backs, he is 14th in explosive run rate, 24th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 19th in yards after contact per attempt. If his snaps jump back into the 56-63% range, he should smash this week. Carolina has allowed the third-highest rushing yards per game, the 12th-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the seventh-highest rushing success rate.
Last week, as Washington’s workhorse running back, Ekeler played 75% of the snaps with 13 touches and 68 total yards. He handled 67% of the snaps inside the ten-yard line. Among 61 qualifying backs, Ekeler hasn’t impressed with his elusiveness, ranking 31st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 51st in yards after contact per attempt. While that has been disappointing, his receiving abilities haven’t been. Ekeler remains one of the best pass-catching backs in the league. Among 40 qualifying backs, he ranks 12th in target share, first in YPRR, and second in receiving yards per game. With Brian Robinson Jr. back, Ekeler probably rolls back into the role that he had in the first two games of the season. In those weeks, he played 43-53% of the snaps averaging 8.5 touches and 73.5 total yards. He’s still a strong RB3/flex this week in a wonderful matchup. Carolina has allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, the 12th-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the seventh-highest rushing success rate. Carolina is also 17th in receiving yards per game allowed to backs.
In his last two full games played, Legette has finished as the WR13 and WR33 in weekly scoring. In that small sample, he has drawn a 17.7% target share, a 30.4% air-yard share, two end zone targets, and a 25% first-read share. Legette has produced 1.35 YPRR and 44.5 receiving yards per game. This week, he faces a Commanders’ secondary that has the sixth-highest two-high rate (53.7%). Against two high, Legette’s numbers haven’t impressed with a 19% TPRR (fifth best for CAR), 0.81 YPRR, and a 15.4% first-read share. Legette will run about 67% of his routes against Mike Sainristil (78.3% catch rate and 122.4 passer rating) and Benjamin St. Juste (62.8% catch rate and 111.4 passer rating). Despite the rough numbers against two-high, Legette remains a solid flex play because the matchup is great. Washington has allowed the tenth-highest PPR points per target and the 13th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Since Week 3, Brown has had a 57.4% route share, a 17% target share, a 23.2% air-yard share, 1.82 YPRR, and a 20.6% first-read share (second on the team). Brown is fifth on the team with two red zone targets. Carolina has the third-highest single-high rate (67.9%). Across his last three games against single-high, Brown has ranked second on the team with a 24% TPRR, third in YPRR (1.58), and first in first-read share (26.7%). Brown is a better flex play this week than it might at first appear on the surface. Carolina has allowed the most PPR points per target and the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Brown will run about 83% of his routes against Jaycee Horn (48.1% catch rate and 87.0 passer rating) and Mike Jackson (64.9% catch rate and 94.5 passer rating).
Over the last two weeks, Coker has had a 67.9% route share, a 9.6% target share, 1.78 YPRR, and an 11.6% first-read share. Washington has the sixth-highest two-high rate (53.7%). Against two high in this small sample, Coker has had a 12% TPRR, 1.82 YPRR, and a 12% first-read share (third on the team). Coker is flex viable in deep leagues this week against a Washington secondary that has allowed the third-most PPR points per target and the sixth-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers. Coker will run about 77% of his routest against Noah Igbinoghene (64% catch rate and 102.8 passer rating).
Ertz is the TE16 in fantasy points per game. He has had a 16.6% target share, 1.49 YPRR, and a 16.8% first-read share. Ertz leads the team in red zone targets, but he still hasn’t gotten into the end zone. That could change this week. Carolina has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards and the fourth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
Over the last two weeks, Sanders has had a 70% route share, a 16.4% target share, 1.09 YPRR, and a 16.3% first-read share. He has seen a red zone target in each of his last three games. Washington has the sixth-highest two-high rate (53.7%). Against two high, Sanders is second on the team with a 24% TPRR and third in first-read share (12.3%). Washington has faced the fourth-fewest tight end targets per game this season, but they have allowed the 11th-highest yards per reception and the sixth-most receiving touchdowns (tied) to the position. Sanders is a matchup-based streaming option this week.
Fantasy Football Week 7 Flex Plays & Fades
Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.
N/A
DEN vs. NO | NE vs. JAC | MIA vs. IND | TEN vs. BUF | CIN vs. CLE | HOU vs. GB | SEA vs. ATL | DET vs. MIN | PHI vs. NYG | LV vs. LAR | CAR vs. WAS | KC vs. SF | NYJ vs. PIT | BAL vs. TB | LAC vs. ARI
Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers
Pace and playcalling notes
- The 49ers have the third-slowest neutral pace and the 12th-highest neutral rushing rate.
- Kansas City remains a pace-up offense (tenth in neutral pace), but it is run-balanced (16th in neutral passing rate).
Chiefs Players & Weekly Rankings
Patrick Mahomes II | QB | QB2 |
Kareem Hunt | RB | RB2/3 |
Xavier Worthy | WR | WR3/4 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | WR3/4 |
Travis Kelce | TE | TE1 |
49ers Players & Weekly Rankings
Brock Purdy | QB | QB1/2 |
Jordan Mason | RB | RB1 |
Isaac Guerendo | RB | RB5 |
Brandon Aiyuk | WR | WR2/3 |
Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | WR1 |
Jauan Jennings | WR | Out |
George Kittle | TE | TE1 |
Must-Start
These are no-brainer MUST starts.
Jordan Mason had limited practices all week before upgrading to a full session on Friday. He is off the injury report.
Strong Starts
Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.
Purdy has been doing Purdy things as the QB12 in fantasy points per game. He remains one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL, ranking second in yards per attempt, tenth in passer rating, eighth in passing touchdowns, and third in hero throw rate. Purdy should flirt with QB1 numbers again this week. Kansas City’s pass defense has been good but not elite this season. They have held passers to the 13th-lowest yards per attempt and sixth-lowest CPOE, but they are also 16th in passer rating and 19th in success rate per dropback. Kansas City has the second-highest two high rate in the NFL. Against two-high, Purdy has the seventh-best fantasy points per dropback.
Before their Week 6 bye, Hunt operated as the clear leadback for the Chiefs. He played 63% of the snaps with 28 touches and 117 total yards as the RB5 for the week. He had a 50% snap rate on passing downs and a 58% snap share in the red zone. He hasn’t broken an explosive run yet, and while his 2.12 yards after contact per attempt isn’t anything to write home about, his 22% missed tackle rate is solid. Hunt could post another solid stat line this week. San Francisco has allowed the 14th-highest yards after contact per attempt, the sixth-highest missed tackle rate, the 11th-highest yards per carry to zone runs, and the 14th-highest zone run success rate (Hunt 61% zone).
Fantasy Football Week 7 Flex Plays & Fades
Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.
Oh…Mahomes. It has been another tough year to roster him in fantasy football. Mahomes is the QB20 in fantasy points per game. The last time he posted 20 fantasy points in a regular season game was Week 12 of last season. If you’re wondering why he isn’t in the must-start section, this is why. Among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, Mahomes ranks 13th in yards per attempt, 19th in passer rating and passing touchdowns, and 20th in fantasy points per dropback. This looks like another week where Mahomes posts a forgettable QB2 stat line. The 49ers have permitted the 11th-lowest passer rating, the 12th-lowest success rate per dropback, and the fifth-lowest CPOE.
Aiyuk has had one blow-up game this season. Overall, he has been disappointing as the WR51 in fantasy points per game. Aiyuk has only three deep targets, but he is 11th in red zone targets among wideouts. Aiyuk has a 20.5% target share, a 27.2% air-yard share, 1.85 YPRR, and a 21.5% first-read share. Kansas City has the second-highest two high rate in the NFL (67%). Aiyuk has blended into the background against two high with a 15.8% target share, 1.19 YPRR, and a 16.4% first-read share (fourth on the team). Sit Aiyuk this week. The Chiefs have allowed the third-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
Smith-Schuster popped off with a big game in Week 5 with a 20.5% target share, a 31.6% air-yard share, 5.0 YPRR, and an 18.2% first-read share. He finished with seven grabs and 130 receiving yards. Smith-Schuster could be a trusted weapon for Mahomes weekly, but this doesn’t look like the Rashee Rice role. Only 12.5% of his targets were designed, and his first-read share was tied for third on the team behind Worthy and Travis Kelce. Maybe I’m wrong here, but I don’t want to chase Smith-Schuster’s Week 5 performance. He’s a sit this week. The 49ers have allowed the fewest PPR points per target and the sixth-lowest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. If Smith-Schuster proves me wrong, so be it.
In his first full game without Rashee Rice, Worthy had a 15.4% target share, a 24.7% air-yard share, 0.81 YPRR, and a 27.3% first-read share. Worthy has five deep targets and three red zone looks this season. Worthy is a sit this week. Mahomes will continue to lean on him and Travis Kelce weekly, but this doesn’t project as a huge Worthy game. The 49ers have allowed the fewest PPR points per target and the sixth-lowest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
DEN vs. NO | NE vs. JAC | MIA vs. IND | TEN vs. BUF | CIN vs. CLE | HOU vs. GB | SEA vs. ATL | DET vs. MIN | PHI vs. NYG | LV vs. LAR | CAR vs. WAS | KC vs. SF | NYJ vs. PIT | BAL vs. TB | LAC vs. ARI