The Primer: Week 6 Edition (2024 Fantasy Football)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Giants

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• CIN -3.5, O/U 48
• Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Giants Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• The Bengals have the ninth-slowest neutral pace and the fifth-highest neutral passing rate.
• New York has the eight-slowest neutral pace while ranking 13th in neutral passing rate.

Bengals Players & Weekly Rankings

Giants Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Joe Burrow
• Ja’Marr Chase
• Tee Higgins
• Malik Nabers

I’m projecting Nabers to suit up this week (concussion). If he doesn’t, I’ll be adding Darius Slayton to the Primer.

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Daniel Jones (QB)

Jones is the QB18 in fantasy points per game with three QB1 weeks this season (QB6, QB11, QB11). His passing numbers are largely forgettable, but the entire package has had him flirting with QB1 status weekly. Among 35 qualifying passers, Jones is 21st in passer rating, 26th in yards per attempt, and 19th in highly accurate throw rate. See. Nothing jumps off the page there. Ok, now to the rushing stats. Jones ranks fifth in carries per game, fourth in red zone carries, and 13th in rushing yards among quarterbacks. This has helped inflate his fantasy status. Cincinnati could help Jones keep the good times rolling along this week. The Bengals pass defense has been a shell of is former self in 2024, allowing the third-most passing touchdowns, the seventh-highest passer rating, and the 12th-highest CPOE.

Devin Singletary (RB)

Singletary missed last week’s game with a groin issue. He opened this week with a limited practice. He could be back this week. Singletary is the RB29 in fantasy points per game, ranking eighth in opportunity share. He has averaged 16.5 touches and 73.3 total yards. Singletary is 14th in missed tackles forced per attempt and tenth in yards after contact per attempt. If he’s healthy enough to go, Singletary should post a wonderful stat line this week. The Bengals have allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, the eighth-highest missed tackle rate, and the highest rushing success rate.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB)

Tracy Jr. stepped up last week as the Giants’ starting running back and the RB18 for the week. He played 59% of the snaps overall and 71.9% of the snaps for rushing plays, but he only saw a 35.7% snap rate in the red zone. He had 19 touches and 130 total yards. With the extended playing time, he displayed better tackle-breaking numbers that he had prior in the season, with an 11.1% explosive run rate, a 22% missed tackle rate, and 3.11 yards after contact per attempt. If he draws the start again this week (if Singletary is out), he should comfortably be an RB2 with upside. The Bengals have allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, the eighth-highest missed tackle rate, and the highest rushing success rate.

Chase Brown (RB)

Brown might draw the start this week if Moss is sidelined with a bum ankle. Over the last three games, Brown has seen an elevated role, playing 24-40% of the snaps, averaging 13.6 touches and 71.6 total yards. It’s scintillating to ponder what Brown could do this week in a further expanded role. Among 59 qualifying backs, he ranks 11th in explosive run rate, ninth in missed tackle rate, and fourth in yards after contact per attempt. The Giants have been gashed by backs all year, allowing the tenth-highest explosive run rate, the highest missed tackle rate, and the second-highest yards after contact per attempt.

Wan’Dale Robinson (WR)

Robinson has been a pleasant surprise this season as the WR27 in fantasy points per game. He is second among wide receivers in red zone targets. Robinson hasn’t finished lower than WR35 in any week so far. He has soaked up a 25.7% target share and 27.1% first-read share while producing 1.51 YPRR. The Bengals has utilized single high on 56.7% of their defensive snaps. Against single-high, Robinson’s target share has increased to 29.3%, and his YPRR has climbed to 1.77. Robinson should enjoy another wonderful week against a Bengals secondary that has allowed the eighth-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers.

Fantasy Football Week 6 Flex Plays & Fades

Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.

Zack Moss (RB)

Moss didn’t practice on Wednesday (ankle). He could miss Week 6. I’ll update his outlook on Friday.

Andrei Iosivas (WR)

Iosivas is the WR58 in fantasy points per game. He has drawn two deep targets, and four red zone looks this season. He already has two WR2 performances on his 2024 resume (WR21, WR22). He has only managed an 11.6% target share, 0.97 YPRR, and an 11.9% first-read share. This doesn’t project as a big Iosivas week against a Giants’ secondary that has allowed the 12th-fewest PPR points per target to slot receivers. Sit Iosivas.

Mike Gesicki (TE)

Gesicki missed Wednesday’s practice (hamstring). I’ll update Gesicki’s outlook on Friday. If he misses Week 6, I could have just been a week early for the Erick All breakout game. We shall see.

SF vs. SEA | JAC vs. CHI | TB vs. NO | ARI vs. GB | IND vs. TEN | CLE vs. PHI | HOU vs. NE | WAS vs. BAL | LAC vs. DEN | PIT vs. LV | ATL vs. CAR | DET vs. DAL | CIN vs. NYG | BUF vs. NYJ

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets

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• BUF -2.5, O/U 41
• Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• New York ranks 15th in neutral pace with the third-highest neutral passing rate.
• The Bills have been a vanilla pace and passing rate team, ranking 19th in neutral pace and passing rate.

Bills Players & Weekly Rankings

Jets Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Josh Allen
• James Cook
• Dalton Kincaid
• Breece Hall
• Garrett Wilson

James Cook didn’t practice on Wednesday (foot/toe). I’ll update his status on Friday if it looks he could miss this week. Right now, we are in monitoring mode.

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Braelon Allen (RB)

Allen could see more work this week as New York should lean into their ground game to win this week’s battle with Buffalo. Allen has played 26-36% of the snaps this season, averaging eight touches and 43 total yards. Among 59 qualifying backs, he ranks 18th in missed tackles forced per attempt and sixth in yards after contact per attempt. Buffalo has allowed the sixth-highest explosive run rate, the seventh-most rushing yards per game, and the seventh-highest yards per carry to gap runs (Allen 53.1% gap).

Fantasy Football Week 6 Flex Plays & Fades

Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.

Aaron Rodgers (QB)

Rodgers is the QB22 in fantasy points per game with two QB1 outings this season (QB10, QB12). Rodgers has flashed, but overall, the returns in 2024 have been underwhelming. Among 35 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 30th in yards per attempt, 33rd in CPOE, 26th in passer rating, and 28th in fantasy points per dropback. Rodgers is a must-sit this week. If New York wins this game, it’ll be because of their defense and their running game. Buffalo has allowed the fifth-lowest yards per attempt, the ninth-lowest passer rating, the tenth-fewest fantasy points via passing, and the 13th-lowest success rate per dropback.

Allen Lazard (WR)

Lazard has been a pleasant surprise as the WR28 in fantasy points per game this season. He is fourth among wide receivers in red zone targets and has already scored four touchdowns (third-most). Lazard has a 17.9% target share, a 26.3% air-yard share, 1.36 YPRR, and a 20.8% first-read share. Buffalo has the fifth-highest rate of two-high (58.9%). Against two-high, Lazard’s target share has bumped to 20%, and his first-read share has skyrocketed to 26.1%. Even with the volume bump this week, Lazard still is only a middling flex play. Buffalo has put the clamps on wide receivers, allowing the fifth-lowest PPR points per target and the second-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Keon Coleman (WR)

Last week, Coleman took his only reception 49 yards to the house for a score. This isn’t the week to chase Coleman’s Week 5 fantasy points. He has only seen an 11.9% target share and an 18.9% first-read share with 1.72 YPRR. The volume isn’t enough to overcome a horrendous matchup with the Jets secondary. New York has allowed the third-fewest receiving yards per game and the lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Khalil Shakir (WR)

Shakir was doing side work on Wednesday (ankle). He still seems like at least another week away from playing, but I’ll update his status on Friday.

Mike Williams (WR)

Williams is an easy sit this week. He has only surpassed 34 receiving yards once this season. Buffalo has the fifth-highest rate of two-high (58.9%). Against two-high, Williams only has a 10% target share, 1.15 YPRR, and a 13% first-read share. Buffalo has crushed wide receivers, allowing the fifth-lowest PPR points per target and the second-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Tyler Conklin (TE)

Conklin is the TE16 in fantasy points per game. He has three deep targets, and two red zone looks this season. He has finished as a TE1 in two of his last three games (TE4, TE12). Buffalo has the fifth-highest rate of two-high (58.9%). Against two-high, Conklin has seen a bump in usage with a 16% target share, 1.70 YPRR, and a 10.1% first-read share. The matchup is tough this week, which makes Conklin a low-end streaming option. Buffalo has allowed the 13th-fewest receiving yards and the 12th-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.

SF vs. SEA | JAC vs. CHI | TB vs. NO | ARI vs. GB | IND vs. TEN | CLE vs. PHI | HOU vs. NE | WAS vs. BAL | LAC vs. DEN | PIT vs. LV | ATL vs. CAR | DET vs. DAL | CIN vs. NYG | BUF vs. NYJ

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*All data utilized in this article is courtesy of Fantasy Points Data, PFF, FTN, rbsdm.com, and Playerprofiler.com unless otherwise specified.*