Welcome to Sleeper Picks. Sleeper’s newest offering promised plenty of entertainment and action, and they delivered. We will break down our top three picks for this week’s NFL action. Sleeper is quickly becoming one of the most popular season-long fantasy platforms, and they are expanding into other areas based on demand. Each week in this space, we’ll talk about some strategy for the new platform while providing our favorite NFL more/less picks.
Sleeper Picks NFL Week 5
2024 Season record: 7-5
Derrick Henry (RB – BAL): 74.5 rushing yards (alt line)
Derrick Henry is finally being utilized by the Baltimore Ravens. They have expanded their under center package to help Henry flourish, and the results have been devastating (for the other teams). I like Henry to go over 100 rushing yards again this weekend but there is no way I am tapping the More on 89.5 after he has been posted between 63.5 and 73.5 for the first four weeks of the season. With that in mind, I tapped the alt line of 74.5, which dropped the multiplier from 1.82x to 1.48x. Henry has rushed for 84 or more yards in three straight games and hit 151 or more in each of his last two. The Bengals have been struggling all year and are going to get hammered if they can’t jump out to an early lead, leading to negative gamescript for Henry getting workhorse carries. Dap the More of King Henry for Week 5.
Pick: More
Nico Collins (WR – HOU): 49.5 receiving yards (alt line)
Once the alt lines start, they don’t stop. Nico is listed at 83.5, which he will still top in all likelihood, but why work with such a high number for no reason? Sleeper Picks gives alt lines as an option, and since early season is for bankroll building, we will take an alt line. The multiplier drops precipitously to 1.15x, but we drop the number from a high probability 83.5 to a near lock at 49.5. Nico has recorded 86 or more receiving yards in every game this season but his lowest output came in another Stefon Diggs revenge game where Stroud made sure to get Diggs going early. There is a strong likelihood they follow the same path this week. Hit the 83.5 if you are feeling froggy, but tap the 49.5 for a multiplier builder in a two play or more environment. Clap the More on Collins for Week 5.
Pick: More
Kareem Hunt (RB – KC): 35.5 rushing yards
Kareem Hunt was forced into a larger role than initially anticipated in Week 4 as rookie Carson Steele put the pill on the ground. Hunt ended the day with 69 rushing yards on 14 carries and should have roughly the same amount of carries against New Orleans, even when Steele gets more than two carries. 35.5 rushing yards is low enough that he should top this number even with just 10 carries. Hit the More on Hunt for Week 5 against the New Orleans Saints.
Pick: More
Writers note: The lines are constantly changing on Sleeper, so there is a high probability that one or all of the numbers may no longer be the same when you open your app. There are excellent values when they are first posted, with the only catch being that they are not all released at the same time. Vigilance could provide a solid return on investment this season, literally.
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Raju Byfield is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Raju, check out his profile and follow him @FantasyContext.
