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Fantasy Football Trade Advice: Week 6
Players to Buy
On the ground, Bijan Robinson led the team with 12 carries for 61 yards (5.1 YPC), with his longest run being 28 yards. Tyler Allgeier contributed 12 yards on 6 carries (2.0 YPC). Each RB caught three of their targets for minimal yardage.
Robinson carried the ball three times in the red zone without scoring. The touchdowns continue to evade B-Rob, but it’s not for a lack of efficiency/usage. Robinson played 67% of the snaps to Allgeier’s 36% on Thursday night. As I mentioned last week, B-Rob has been disappointing, but there’s room for growth. There’s a buy-low window for RB that could be a cheat code at the position. Take the leap. Bijan is 13th in total yards from scrimmage and 14th in touches. The touchdowns will come.
The Jets’ ground game was limited, with Breece Hall leading the rushing efforts, carrying the ball nine times for 23 yards (2.6 YPC). Braelon Allen added 13 yards on five carries, also averaging 2.6 yards per carry.
WOOF. As chairman of the Breece Hall RB1 board, I can’t help but feel terrible about Hall’s recent performances. Two of his worst games in back-to-back weeks. At least this week, Allen wasn’t much better as the entire Jets offense couldn’t do much of anything on the ground.
Both Allen and Breece Hall also made contributions in the receiving game but with minimal yardage. Hall commanded four targets catching three balls for 14 yards to Allen’s two.
The snaps were also still heavily in favor of Hall (74%) to Allen’s 26% with Hall dominating the routes out of the backfield.
I was originally in the camp where Jets offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett has numbered days left in New York. When teams struggle somebody has to be the scapegoat, and Hackett looks to be that guy. I imagined they would promote quarterbacks coach & passing game coordinator Todd Downing as the new OC. He has been with the Jets since last season and was the former OC in Tennessee from 2021-2022. Dude knows how to build an offense around the running game, which has been severely lacking in the Jets offense.
Well, Tuesday morning we got news that Jets head coach Robert Saleh got the axe. Prepare for the dead cat bounce.
I can’t guarantee this will fix everything in the long term, but it’s a start. Teams rally after coaching firings all the time.
But how this impacts the offense (with Saleh being defensive-minded) remains to be seen.
Again, Hall still ranks fourth worst in success rate this season. I wish this was an outlier, but Hall’s boom-or-bust rushing style leads to poor rushing success rates, especially when he’s NOT ripping off the big plays that were are so accustomed to seeing him create.
If you haven’t taken my advice and already acquired Hall (apologies in advance), I still think he’s a buy-low. The Jets offensive’s woes have been amplified by the fact that they have faced the No. 1 and No. 2 defenses respectively in EPA/play allowed the last two weeks.
Hall is still inside the top 12 in touches at the position. Before the last two weeks, Hall was RB6 overall averaging nearly 18 points per game. Last year through five games, Hall was RB18 averaging 10.9 points per game. He’s ahead of where he was last season still.
He turned it on in the second half of 2023, and still think that is firmly in Hall’s range of outcomes. Only Christian McCaffrey and Kyren Williams were superior to Hall from Week 6 onward during the 2023 season.
I am trying to not let my off-season excitement about Hall cloud my judgment. But I’m still just a strong believer in the talent, and that there’s a path where this Jets offense can turn things around. The offensive environment is hurting Hall more than anything, so I am trying to keep that in mind before completely burying the player.
Get rid of a bad head coach, trade for Adams to improve the overall offensive output (which seems all but done given Aaron Rodgers’ status as CEO of the Jets) and soon we are cooking with gas.
Kenneth Walker III added just 19 rushing yards on five carries, averaging 3.8 yards per carry, with a long of just seven yards. Zach Charbonnet chipped in with 11 rushing yards on two carries, averaging 5.5 yards per carry, with a long of nine yards. Walker III contributed significantly in the passing game as well, catching all seven of his eight targets for 57 receiving yards (20% Target share). Walker’s rushing line and final box score wasn’t great but the receiving usage and snap share (67%) are that of a workhorse running back. The constant receiving usage is divine.
On the ground, Josh Jacobs led the rushing attack with 19 carries for 73 yards and one touchdown, averaging 3.8 yards per carry, with a long run of 13 yards. Jacobs had two red zone carries, scoring one touchdown. He finally scored! And he had an eye-popping 75% snap rate – surpassing a previous season high of 73%.
Emanuel Wilson added 24 rushing yards on six carries, averaging 4 yards per carry, with a long of 7 yards. Wilson had two red zone carries with no touchdowns. Jacobs out-touched Wilson 20 to 7.
Chris Godwin was the team’s top target, catching five of six passes (25% Target share) for 64 yards (12.8 yards per catch) with 37 yards after the catch (YAC). I like the Buccaneers in this Week 6 spot with extra rest against the Saints playing on a short week. We know that Mike Evans sometimes struggles in his bi-annual matchup against Marshon Lattimore, so Godwin might be a sneaky buy after Thursday night. The Bucs slot WR has a 27% Target share this season.
DK Metcalf caught four of his seven targets for 55 yards, averaging 13.8 yards per reception, with a long of 22 yards. He has a 22% Target share this season.
Per Next Gen Stats, Giants CB Deonte Banks lined up opposite DK Metcalf on 35 of his 47 routes (74.5%), limiting him to 2 catches on 4 targets for 24 yards. Metcalf faced off coverage on 89.4% of his routes, the 3rd-highest mark in a game in Metcalf’s career. Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught four of his seven targets for 31 yards, averaging 7.8 yards per reception, with Geno Smith‘s lone touchdown pass. Smith-Njigba had three red zone targets, hauling in two catches and scoring one touchdown.
Tyler Lockett isn’t going to be the team’s leading receiver very often. Buy low on the Seattle WRs that didn’t perform in Week 5. Seattle has a quick turnaround this week against the 49ers at home Thursday night. Then they will face Atlanta, Buffalo and Los Angeles (Rams) before their bye week. Great overall schedule for the offense and its fantasy weapons. Invest in the Seahawks’ passing game that is at +10% pass rate over expectation over the last two weeks.
Diontae Johnson added three catches for 23 yards on a team-high six targets (18% Target share). Even after the bad game he still leads all WRs in red-zone targets (10). Note that Johnson still tallied a 28% Target share from Andy Dalton before he left the game. DJ was my buy high last week and now he’s a great buy low.
J.K. Dobbins carried the ball 14 times for 32 yards (2.3 YPC). Dobbins caught all four of his targets for 30 yards (15% Target share) while seeing a strong 71% snap share-back-to-back weeks where Dobbins has dominated the snaps and the touches. Once the Chargers get their OL healthy post bye week, Dobbins will be cooking. Buy low off the bye week.
Deebo Samuel had three targets and caught one pass for 11 yards with 14 YAC, while Jordan Mason caught his only target for nine yards. Brandon Aiyuk led with 12 targets (34% Target share), followed by Kittle (34%), Jennings with 4 targets (11%), and Samuel with three targets (8%). As is always the case with the 49ers’ top playmakers, you buy after bad games and sell after great games to maximize your return on investment. Samuel’s four-touch and one-catch game against the Cardinals is the lowest amount of opportunities he’s had in a game since last year against the Cardinals at home.
Chase Brown led the rushing attack with 12 carries for 46 yards, averaging 3.8 yards per carry, with a long run of 16 yards. Zack Moss added nine carries for 24 yards, averaging 2.7 yards per carry before exiting with an injury (although he did return). Moss had three red zone carries but did not score or record any red zone targets. Moss had two carries inside the 5-yard line. Brown recorded one red zone carry and two red zone targets. Moss saw four targets to Brown’s three. Brown also caught a receiving touchdown. But the usage was very much in favor of Brown before the injury. First-half carries, five for Brown and two for Moss. Moss’s final snap share at 67% does not tell the story compared to Brown’s 33%. The massive snap discrepancy is based on Moss taking on the pass-protection repetitions and in obvious rush plays in the second half. The touches for Brown (15) over Moss (12) are more important to recognize. Before OT, it was another dead-even split between the two backs for the second straight week. It’s been the same old song and dance for me all year, and I will continue to preach it.
Buy Chase Brown (second in the NFL in rushing success rate) and sell Zack Moss.
Tank Bigsby carried the load with 13 rushes for 101 yards, averaging 7.8 yards per carry, including a long run of 65 yards with two touchdowns. Bigsby carried the ball three times in the red zone, scoring one touchdown.
Travis Etienne Jr. was less involved, rushing just six times for 17 yards, with a long run of four yards. Lawrence also chipped in with two rushes for 4 yards. The snaps were 40% for Bigsby and 38% for Etienne. Season-high and season-low respectively. In the first half the split was four carries each for minimal yardage. Etienne Jr. was also involved in the passing game, catching six of seven targets (21% Target share) for 43 yards, averaging 7.2 yards per reception, including 59 yards after the catch. Gabe Davis contributed three catches on four targets for 38 yards, including a long catch of 21 yards. Bigsby added one catch for 28 yards.
We are starting to see more and more of this RB committee form in Jacksonville with Bigsby as the lead rusher, and Etienne as the main pass-catcher. ETN ran the most routes on the offense, while D’Ernest Johson (22% snap share) ran more routes than Bigsby. Johnson had three targets of his own. On the surface, it’s simple to view this situation as buying Tank Bigsby (as Chris Welsh correctly called on the podcast last week) and selling Travis Etienne.
And although I agree about still wanting Bigsby, Etienne isn’t going entirely away. He’s got the pass-catching role in this offense. And although Bigsby has flashed with the big runs, Etienne has been more than serviceable. Ninth overall in rushing success rate (56.6%). This isn’t Bigsby is great, Etienne sucks conversation. It’s Bigsby great. Buy Bigsby and hold (or even buy low) Etienne.
It was reported after the Jaguars game that Etienne’s lack of snaps was a result of a shoulder injury. Head coach Doug Pederson said in response to whether Bigsby will see increased carries over Etienne per Jaguarswire: “No. Travis is our guy. Tank had a good game. That’s just the way games go. Happy for Tank. Great for the offensive line, obviously, in some of those situations there. Travis is our guy. Tank had a good game today, though.”
Rachaad White led the ground game with 10 carries for 72 yards, including a 56-yard burst, averaging 7.2 yards per carry. Bucky Irving also contributed 44 yards on nine carries (4.9 YPC), with his longest run being 16 yards. Irving recorded three red zone carries and one red zone target but did not score a touchdown. Like in Week 4, Irving was the preferred red-zone back coming just shy of rushing touchdowns from the 6 and 2-yard lines.
White caught all three of his targets for just -6 yards while running more routes than Irving (47% versus 30%. The route usage was the same as Week 4, while the snap percentages bounced back in White’s favor at 64% to Irving’s 43% snap rate.
We are in a pretty even 60-40 split between White/Irving with the rookie emerging as the superior ball carrier and preferred red-zone back. I think that gives him the slightest edge over White rest of the season, but it’s razor close. Might come down to specific matchups and game scripts as to who is the more productive Buccaneers running back on a week-to-week basis. Simply put, you want Irving in half-PPR and White in PPR formats.
Therefore, I think both running backs are buys/holds especially after neither did anything special on Thursday night. They are running backs in a committee – which is the majority of backfields in 2024 – in a good offense. Beggars can’t be choosers.
Amari Cooper was the Browns’ most targeted receiver, seeing 10 targets and catching four passes for 60 yards, with an average of 15 yards per reception and a long catch of 19 yards. He had another 19-yard catch nullified because of a penalty. Cooper is the king of air yards – 183 in Week 5 – which resulted in lackluster production. His opportunity in this offense is off the charts. With favorable matchups coming up, I still like Cooper as a dirt-cheap buy/hold. Yes, he busts, but his booms are week-winning. The Browns WR leads the NFL in air yards (653). He is also a player that could be traded to a WR-needy team given they way his contract is structured.
Running back Austin Ekeler contributed significantly, rushing six times for 67 yards, including an impressive 50-yard run, with an average of 11.2 yards per carry. Ekeler had three red zone carries.
Jeremy McNichols added seven rushes for 44 yards, while Brian Robinson carried the ball seven times but managed just 18 yards, averaging 2.6 yards per carry after missing most of this week with a knee injury. Robinson Jr. logged three red zone carries, scoring two touchdowns, and did not have any red zone targets.
McNichols had one carry in the first half. He scored in the third quarter to put the Commanders up 31-6. McNichols recorded three red zone carries and scored one touchdown, with no targets.
Robinson saw his last carry in the second quarter. Wouldn’t be concerned about this backfield becoming a three-headed committee. However, as I stated last week, Ekeler is a BUY. He has looked fantastic this season and is coming off a 49% backfield high snap share. If anything, Robinson would be a “short-term” sell ahead of a tough matchup against the Ravens. And even though he played, there’s still a chance he is not 100% given his knee injury.
Javonte Williams carried the ball 13 times for 61 yards, averaging 4.7 yards per carry, with a long run of 17 yards. Williams had two red zone carries without scoring. He had two carries inside the 5-yard line. Williams is starting to make his claim in this backfield after a slow start. His 63% snap rate was his highest since Week 2. He’s got an elite receiving role for a RB, and is finally starting to run efficiently. Hasn’t scored yet which makes him attainable. 18 touches in back-to-back games with 11 forced missed tackles over that span.
Jaleel McLaughlin added 22 rushing yards on 6 attempts, averaging 3.7 yards per carry, while Marvin Mims Jr. had 1 carry for 17 yards. Bo Nix also contributed nine yards on eight carries.
Per Next Gen Stats, the Raiders defense struggled getting the Broncos ball carriers to the ground, missing 16 tackles for 63 yards lost, while converting the first tackle opportunity only 41.5% of the time.
Javonte Williams forced 9 missed tackles on 18 touches, nearly hitting his total missed tackles forced in Weeks 1-4 combined (13).
In the passing game, Williams was also the leading receiver, catching all five of his six targets for 50 yards, averaging 10 yards per reception with a long of 26 yards, and racking up 59 yards after the catch (YAC).
McLaughlin was targeted on four passes, catching three for three yards and a touchdown.
In the rushing game, Jerome Ford was the leading rusher, carrying the ball nine times for 47 yards, averaging 5.2 yards per carry, with a long run of 9 yards. But his snaps were down from his usual workload, with just a 58% snap share.
D’Onta Foreman also contributed with nine carries for 44 yards, averaging 4.9 yards per carry, including a long run of 25 yards. Foreman carried the ball twice in the red zone but did not score on a 34% snap share. Deshaun Watson rushed three times for 14 yards, while Pierre Strong had one carry for 2 yards.
Foreman started this game and led the team in carries in the first half. Ford didn’t see his first carry until the second quarter, although he saw targets before then.
This backfield usage is as back and forth as it gets. One week it’s Ford, the next week it’s Foreman, etc. With Nick Chubb returning, the only Browns RB to roster is Ford given his pass-catching.
Ty Chandler led the team with 14 carries for 30 yards, though he averaged just 2.1 yards per carry. Aaron Jones followed with seven carries for 29 yards, averaging 4.1 yards per rush. Darnold himself ran the ball five times for 11 yards, while C.J. Ham and Myles Gaskin added minor contributions on the ground. Ham scored a goal-line touchdown.
Jones is scheduled to undergo an MRI on his right hip Monday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. He missed time in this game as a result. Do not be optimistic that Jones will just make his way back into the starting lineup come Week 7 (the Vikings are on a Week 6 bye).
Chandler would inherit RB1 duties in Jones’ absence. He played a 63% snap share, despite Jones starting the game (22% snap share). Be ahead of the curve on waivers scooping him up.
Dontayvion Wicks had a team-high seven targets (28% Target share, 43% air yards share, 91 air yards), catching two passes for 20 yards, averaging 5 yards per reception, with a long of 7 yards. Malik Heath caught two of his three targets for 14 yards, and Bo Melton caught one pass for 12 yards on two targets. Emanuel Wilson also had one target but finished with -9 yards receiving. Heath was a starter in 3-WR sets alongside Wicks/Reed. Melton was the WR4.
Target shares were led by Wicks with seven targets (28% Target share), Reed with six targets (23.1%), Kraft with five targets (19.2%), and Jacobs with one target (3.8%).
As frustrating as Wicks’ performance was, you can’t tilt drop him. The Packers will play the Cardinals next. Another great matchup for the Packers offense to COOK.
Then it’s Houston, Jacksonville, and Detroit before a Week 10 bye week.
Luke McCaffrey caught two of three targets for 19 yards, while tight end Zach Ertz caught just two of his eight targets (30% Target share) for 10 yards. Ertz was targeted four times in the red zone but only caught one pass, with no touchdowns.
LMC saw a season-high in snaps and routes run (matching Week 2).
Ertz left a boatload of production on the table (70 air yards), but the usage is positive for him to be a streaming tight end option in a plus-matchup versus the Ravens in Week 6.
Players to Sell
Garrett Wilson was a bright spot in the passing game, hauling in 13 of 22 targets (41% Target share) for 101 yards, with a longest reception of 16 yards and an impressive 56 yards after the catch (YAC). Wilson had four red zone targets, catching two of them and scoring one touchdown.
Per Next Gen Stats, Wilson was targeted a career-high 22 times on 56 routes, resulting in 13 receptions for 101 yards and a touchdown (39.3% target rate).
All 13 of Wilson’s receptions came on short targets (under 10 air yards), including 16 of his 22 targets, the most targets and receptions under 10 air yards in a game in Wilson’s career.
If you have Wilson, you are thrilled with this performance. However, it’s still overshadowed by the fact it took Wilson 22 targets to reach his first 100-yard game of the season. With the Davante Adams reunion in New York rumors heating up especially with Robert Saleh gone – you have to put Wilson on the trade block and see if you can get any bites.
Kyren Williams led the rushing attack with 22 carries for 102 yards, averaging 4.6 yards per carry, with a long run of 30 yards. Rookie Blake Corum added 25 rushing yards on five carries, averaging 5 yards per carry, with a long of 12 yards. Corum logged three red zone carries without scoring to Williams’ four red zone carries. Corum had two carries inside the 5-yard line. Kyren only had one but scored from the one-yard line. Could this be a sign of things to come? Potentially. Corum hasn’t been used at all this season until this point. Going into the bye week, we could see his role expanded as oftentimes happens with rookies. Again, no need to MUST sell Williams away. If anything I am prioritizing making sure Corum is on my bench if I have Williams as my RB1. Just keep in mind that Williams’ fantasy production has been heavily weighed by his seven touchdowns. He has fewer yards from scrimmage than Bijan Robinson despite ranking second in the NFL in total touches (109) through five weeks.
But I think I’m just bitter about having faded Williams during the draft season. He’s doing exactly what he did last year. And the Rams’ offense could ascend in the second half. Per the FantasyPros SOS tool, the Rams have the best schedule for RBs. Probably still a hold.
Rhamondre Stevenson was the lead rusher with 12 carries for 89 yards, including a long run of 33 yards, and one rushing touchdown. Antonio Gibson contributed six rushes for 52 yards, with a long of 24, while Brissett added a single rush for 10 yards. Head coach Jerod Mayo was a man of his word, benching Stevenson for the first drive with Gibson drawing the start. Didn’t take long for Mondre to start rumbling shortly after. Stevenson had 3 yards on his four catches (four targets). Gibson had one target. Still, the final snap count was a 50/50 split with each RB playing 28 snaps (47%). The Patriots took on a bad Miami Dolphins team in Week 5, but it’s followed up by the Texans, Jaguars, and Jets again in Week 8. If you want out of the Patriots (who doesn’t), the move would be to sell high now, specifically on Stevenson. His situation is so fragile and that can be tough to rely on. If Stevenson were seeing a Kyren Williams-level workload, he’d be fine. But New England’s constant effort to entertain the idea of Gibson is tough. If you are a RB on a bad offense, you need to see a ton of volume. I’m not confident that Stevenson will get back up to an elite-level snap usage from earlier this season as long as Gibson is healthy. Then again, if you can sell a RB that has an even worse chance of seeing that level of workload, that’s a move to make for Stevenson. Keep in mind that Stevenson did suffer a calf injury in the fourth quarter after taking a helmet to the leg. The Patriots ran 12 plays after that on offense. Stevenson only came back for one of those 12 snaps. So, it wasn’t a true 50/50 split. Up to that point, the snap share split was 56% for Stevenson.
Through the air, D.J. Moore was the top target, catching five of eight targets (28% Target share) for 105 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 21 yards per reception, with a long of 34 yards and 45 yards after the catch. Per Next Gen Stats, Moore went over the 100-yard mark for the first time in 2024, hauling in five of seven targets for 105 yards and 2 touchdowns (+24 receiving yards over expected). All 105 of Moore’s receiving yards came against zone coverage, tied for his 4th-most yards against zone in a game in his career. The Jaguars lead the NFL in man coverage snaps this season. Moore is averaging 1.26 yards per route against man coverage this season with five catches for 49 yards on nine targets.
Moore tends to always be up and down with his production, so selling off the big game with the Jaguars on deck would be the time to sell. Keenan Allen leads the Bears in Target share (28%) against man coverage this season. Not sure I can go back to him as a sneaky buy again in Week 6, but his value has to be close to rock bottom at this point.
Running back D’Andre Swift was the workhorse on the ground, carrying the ball 21 times for 73 yards, averaging 3.5 yards per carry, with a long run of 18 yards and one touchdown. Swift played 67% of the snaps, higher than his rate from Week 4 (63%).
Roschon Johnson added 25 yards on 10 carries and two TDs. Johnson continues to make his presence found around the goal line with two TDs from inside the 1-yard line.
Swift had the first TD from the 1-yard line wiped away by penalty, and then was vultured by RJ two plays later in the second quarter. All in all, Swift had nine red zone carries, scoring one touchdown, but was not targeted in the red zone. He had four carries inside the 5-yard line.
There’s still a risk that Swift gets vultured from time to time in the red zone from Johnson. And the plus-matchups are gone. The Jaguars are a solid run defense, and vast contrast from the Panthers/Rams the last two weeks. I’d sell high after Swift’s back-to-back top-five finishes with his bye week also approaching. However, if you’d rather just ride the wave Swift has the Commanders, Cardinals, Patriots and Packers after the bye week. A solid string of matchups.
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR – IND)
Michael Pittman Jr. contributed with five catches for 37 yards on eight targets, including a 27-yard-long reception and an early TD reception. Pittman Jr. had two red zone targets, catching one and scoring a touchdown. I was on the fence as Pittman as buy/sell last week, but after this past week he is entering the must-sell conversation. Anthony Richardson will come back at some point, and the targets are being spread out between these other Colts WRs. Adonai Mitchell was also involved, securing 4 of 7 targets for 38 yards, while Mo Alie-Cox caught 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, averaging 18.5 yards per reception. The rookie’s high-end Target share is crazy considering he only ran 11 routes…64% target rate. He ran 31 fewer routes than Pittman and they posted almost identical target shares. Yikes.
Rookie Brian Thomas Jr. was the standout performer, catching five of eight targets for 122 yards and one touchdown, averaging 24.4 yards per reception with a long of 85 yards and 70 yards after the catch. Certified stud. Christian Kirk added four receptions on four targets for 88 yards, including a long reception of 61 yards. But his routes fell to a season-low (68%). Kirk’s not the target hog in this offense anymore, and it won’t improve if and when Evan Engram returns.
Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR – ARI)
In the receiving game, Michael Wilson was the leading receiver, targeted six times (20% Target share) catching five passes for 78 yards, averaging 15.6 yards per reception. Tight end Trey McBride was targeted nine times (30% Target share) catching six passes for 53 yards. McBride had two red zone targets but did not make any catches or score. The big game has escaped the Cardinals tight end but it’s coming based on the volume he is seeing.
Marvin Harrison Jr. caught just two of his seven targets (23%) for 36 yards. Wilson/Harrison each saw 95 air yards (43% air yards share). Another up-and-down outing for Harrison, who at times looks out of sync with his quarterback. Now they connected for a key reception at the end of this contest, but that was the main highlight. MHJ’s yards have dropped for four straight weeks since his Week 2 eruption against the Rams. Put him on the block and see if there’s someone that will overpay based on that Week 2 performance. Despite leading Arizona with a 25% Target share this season, Harrison is third in catches (17) behind McBride (20) and Wilson (19).
Murray’s receivers are getting open at the fourth-lowest separation rate this season (3.1) with MHJ ranking DEAD LAST in average separation rate at 1.9 per Next Gen Stats. His 48.6% catch rate ranks 6th-worst. Dare I say I’d rather have Jags WR1 Brian Thomas Jr. rest of the season? Why not?
Tight end Kyle Pitts added 88 yards and a touchdown on seven receptions, showing big-play ability with a 45-yard longest reception and 43 YAC. 48 air yards.
14% Target share with his route participation back up to 81% – his highest rate since Week 1.
But he was just fourth in total targets, trailing No. 3 Ray-Ray McCloud III who saw nine targets catching six for 66 yards. So, although this might appear to be Pitts’ breakout performance, it’s a sell-high opportunity after an outlier game from the Falcons offense.
Isaiah Likely was the main target in the red zone, with two touchdowns on three catches for 13 yards (three targets). Likely was perfect in the red zone with two catches on two targets, converting both into touchdowns while running a route on 64% of the dropbacks. Likely is the best tight end on the Ravens. Andrews is nothing more than a streamer. It’s over. I tried to make excuses for him the last two weeks based on the game script, but his usage this week in a shootout can’t be forgiven in any capacity.
34% route participation. 55% snap share. Vomit-inducing. I tried to hold out hope that Andrews could turn it around, but that won’t be possible unless the Ravens change his role. Given his decent game, maybe it’s not too late to flip him for something. My TE1 in the offseason will not come to fruition. It’s a massive L for me.
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