Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice
Stevenson is the RB26 in fantasy points per game, averaging 18.6 touches and 75 total yards. He has languished over the last two weeks in poor game scripts in blowouts. He is running behind one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL, which ranks fifth-lowest in yards before contact per attempt. The things that Stevenson can control ie. breaking tackles, he has done extremely well. Among 53 qualifying backs, Stevenson ranks tenth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 18th in yards after contact per attempt. Every week is just an uphill battle for him. This, unfortunately, is the case for Stevenson again this week. Miami has allowed the eighth-lowest explosive run rate, the second-lowest rushing success rate, and has the fourth-best stuff rate.
Purdy is a strong play yet again this week. The QB14 in fantasy points per game has been excellent this season. Among 37 qualifying quarterbacks, Purdy ranks second in yards per attempt, eighth in passer rating, second in CPOE, and third in hero throw rate. Purdy should shred Arizona’s secondary that has given up the second-highest yards per attempt and the third-highest passer rating and CPOE. He should have plenty of time to do it against a pass rush that has generated the sixth-lowest pressure rate.
Shaheed is the WR28 in fantasy points per game, and since Week 2, he’s been Olave’s running mate. Over the last three games, Shaheed has had a 26% target share, a 52.6% air-yard share, 2.56 YPRR, and a 36% first-read share. Shaheed is tied with Olave for the team lead in red zone targets. Kansas City has the second-highest two-high rate (65.4%). The Saints’ attack plan for two-high has been equal measured doses of Olave and Shaheed. Their usage versus two-high is nearly identical. Olave has a 23.8% target share, a 38.6% air-yard share, 3.08 YPRR, and a 32.1% first-read share against two-high. Against two-high, Shaheed has a 23.8% target share, a 55.8% air-yard share, 3.03 YPRR, and a 32.1% first-read share. This is a tough matchup for both players, but they have been so good against two-high that they could both easily succeed. Kansas City has allowed the tenth-lowest PPR points per target and the seventh-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
