Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice
Since his return to the lineup, Downs has been the WR16 in fantasy points per game with a whopping 26.3% target share, 59.8 receiving yards per game, 2.34 YPRR, and a wonderful 34% first-read share. He has three end zone targets and ranks second on the team with five red zone targets. Miami is tied for 12th in two-high rate (47.2%). Since Week 3, against two-high, Downs has seen his YPRR jump to 2.57 and his first-read share trickle up to 34.7%. Downs should continue steamrolling slot corners this week. Miami has been league average against the slot, ranking 16th in rating when targeted and 19th in PPR points per target allowed. Downs will run about 86% of his routes against Kader Kohou (66.7% catch rate and 63.2 passer rating).
Douglas has established himself as New England’s WR1. Since Week 3, he has been the WR30 in fantasy points per game with a 22.4% target share, a 26.7% air-yard share, 2.18 YPRR, and a 28.4% first-read share. During this span, he has averaged 58.3 receiving yards per game while seeing an end-zone target. Jacksonville has the tenth-highest rate of two-high (49.2%). Since Week 3 against two-high, Douglas has had a 19.5% target share with 2.02 YPRR and a 22.6% first-read share. Jacksonville has been scorched by slot receivers, giving up the 12th-most receiving yards per game and the fourth-highest PPR points per target to the position.
Kraft is the TE6 in fantasy points per game with a 13.3% target share, 1.79 YPRR, and a 10.9% first-read share. He leads the team with five red zone targets. Bump down your Kraft expectations this week against a pass defense that has allowed the fifth-lowest yards per reception and the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
