Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice
Last week, Addison made his return to the lineup and was very efficient with his work. He had a 69.7% route share, a 14.3% target share, a 29.8% air-yard share, 3.13 YPRR, and a 20% first-read share. He scored two touchdowns (one through the air and a rushing score). I can’t count on Addison to continue that type of efficiency with his limited volume this week. The Jets have allowed the second-lowest PPR points per target and receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Addison will run about 69% of his routes against Sauce Gardner (70% catch rate and 137.9 passer rating) and D.J. Reed (36.4% catch rate and 44.9 passer rating).
Last week, with Huntley under center, Hill had a 31.8% target share, a 76.2% air-yard share, 1.28 YPRR, and a 38.9% first-read share. Hill remained the number one option in this passing attack and the downfield option with an 18.3 aDOT. Hill likely sees shadow coverage this week from Christian Gonzalez (60% catch rate and 80.6 passer rating), who has followed Ja’Marr Chase, Garrett Wilson, D.K. Metcalf, and Brandon Aiyuk on 54-90% of their routes. Only Metcalf surpassed 33 receiving yards in his primary coverage. Hill is fourth on the team in red zone targets with two. New England has the sixth-highest rate of two high (52.3%). Against two high, Hill leads the team with a 26% TPRR and a 25.4% first-read share while ranking second in YPRR with 2.11.
If Hill is getting shadow treatment from Gonzalez this week, Waddle could lead the way through the air for Miami. Last week with Huntley, Waddle had a 27.3% target share, a 22.6% air-yard share, 2.00 YPRR, and a 33.3% first-read share. New England has the sixth-highest rate of two high (52.3%). Against two high, Waddle ranks third on the team in TPRR (20%), first in YPRR (2.40), and second in first-read share (18.6%). With Gonzalez stuck to Hill, Waddle will tangle with Jonathan Jones (66.7% catch rate and 106.6 passer rating) and Marco Wilson (career: 69.6% catch rate and 115.7 passer rating) for most of the day. New England has allowed the 11th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
