Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
- Waiver Wire Picks
- Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
- Fantasy Football Trade Tools
Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice
Mooney has blown any offseason predictions for him in this Atlanta offense out of the water as the WR20 in fantasy points per game. He is tied for third on the team in red zone targets. Mooney has garnered a 21.9% target share with a 37.1% air-yard share, 1.94 YPRR, and a 28.2% first-read share. Carolina has the second-highest single-high rate (71.9%). Against single-high, Mooney’s numbers have dipped some with a 20% target share, a 35.8% air-yard share, only 0.93 YPRR, and a 25.4% first-read share. Mooney will remain heavily involved, but it might not be the most efficient performance for him in Week 6. Mooney will run about 60% of his routes against Jaycee Horn (52.2% catch rate and 83.1 passer rating) and Mike Jackson (63.6% catch rate and 94.9 passer rating). Carolina has allowed the most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
Brown might draw the start this week if Moss is sidelined with a bum ankle. Over the last three games, Brown has seen an elevated role, playing 24-40% of the snaps, averaging 13.6 touches and 71.6 total yards. It’s scintillating to ponder what Brown could do this week in a further expanded role. Among 59 qualifying backs, he ranks 11th in explosive run rate, ninth in missed tackle rate, and fourth in yards after contact per attempt. The Giants have been gashed by backs all year, allowing the tenth-highest explosive run rate, the highest missed tackle rate, and the second-highest yards after contact per attempt.
Downs has been the WR24 in fantasy points per game since his return, drawing a 27.4% target share with 2.37 YPRR and a 35.7% first-read share. He has been awesome and already has two end-zone targets. Tennessee has the seventh-highest two high rate in the NFL (50.4%). Against two-high, his target share has remained a strong 25.5% with 2.45 YPRR and a 34.4% first-read share. Tennessee hasn’t yet been tested by a strong slot receiver who is receiving a heavy workload. Jayden Reed only saw six targets with a run-heavy game script with Malik Willis, but he converted those into four receptions and 50 receiving yards. Tennessee has faced the fifth-fewest slot targets and allowed the fifth-fewest receiving yards. Downs should be the focal point of the passing attack this week.
Subscribe: YouTube | Spotify | Apple Podcasts | iHeart | Castbox | Amazon Music | Podcast Addict | TuneIn
If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.