Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice
Last week Brown played a season-high 40% of snaps producing 92 total yards and two scores with his 17 touches. He ate into Moss’s workload with a 50% rushing play snap rate and a 67% red zone snap rate. Brown has been lightning in a bottle. When he has received touches, he has made the most of his opportunities. Among 55 qualifying backs, Brown ranks 13th in explosive run rate, 15th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and third in yards after contact per attempt. Unfortunately, he’s tasked with a horrendous matchup for Week 5. Baltimore has allowed the second-lowest explosive run rate, the fewest rushing yards per game, and the lowest yards after contact per attempt.
Moss is the RB21 in fantasy points per game, but Week 4 saw the rug get pulled out from under him as Chase Brown was more involved. It was the first game that Moss played less than 65% of the snaps (60%). Moos still finished with 19 touches and 78 total yards. In Week 4, he saw his rushing snap rate fall from 71.2% (in Weeks 1-3) to 50%, and his red zone snap rate plummet to 36.4% (Brown 63.6%). Moss hasn’t been overly impressive on a per-touch basis. Among 55 qualifying backs, he ranks 28th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 32nd in yards after contact per attempt. This is a horrible matchup for Moss. Baltimore has allowed the second-lowest explosive run rate, the fewest rushing yards per game, and the lowest yards after contact per attempt.
Last week taught us simply to start all your running backs against the Rams this season. Before Week 4, Swift hadn’t had more than 30 rushing yards or 24 receiving yards in any game this season. Last week, he played 63% of the snaps with 23 touches and 165 total yards as the RB3 for the week. Swift played better last week with a 25% missed tackle rate, but his 1.50 yards after contact per attempt is more telling. The wonderful matchup last week really helped him, as he had 4.3 yards before contact per attempt. He legit was able to chew up four yards per carry before encountering any resistance. Overall, among 53 qualifying backs, Swift ranks 27th in explosive run rate, 32nd in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 53rd in yards after contact per attempt. Carolina offers another juicy matchup for Swift to pad his stats this week. Carolina has allowed the tenth-highest yards after contact per attempt, the fourth-most rushing yards per game, the third-highest yards per carry to zone runs, and the sixth-highest success rate to zone runs (Swift 57% zone).
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
