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Fantasy Football Kicker Rankings & Start/Sit Advice: Week 8 (2024)

Fantasy Football Kicker Rankings & Start/Sit Advice: Week 8 (2024)

One of the reasons why fantasy managers love to draft and play kickers on good offenses is they benefit from the added floor of extra points that kickers on low-soring offenses do not get. Last season, Jason Sanders of the Dolphins and Matt Gay of the Colts each finished the season with 122 fantasy points, yet how they each earned those points was drastically different. Gay had 13 more field goal attempts, while Sanders benefitted from the high-flying Dolphin offense and earned 23 more extra points.

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Fantasy Football Kicker Rankings & Start/Sit Advice

The downside of relying on a kicker on a good offense, is they often are run by a talented quarterback who does not struggle in the red zone. This is why Mason Crosby of the Packers often disappointed fantasy managers when Aaron Rodgers was in his prime.

Another reason why kickers on good teams can backfire is they often only kick extra points. That was the case for most heavily-rostered kickers in Week 7, as Harrison Butker, Jake Elliott, and Evan McPherson all posted fewer than five fantasy points in their respective matchups. In the case of Younghoe Koo, his three fantasy points could have been larger, but he pulled a 56-yard try against the Seahawks.

All of these kickers will likely bounce back in Week 8 and should not be dropped. It is just a reminder that kicking is a challenge to predict, and negative game scripts can occur even when an offense is doing well.

Week 7 Strong Performances From Widely Available Kickers

Cameron Dicker (LAC) vs. Arizona: 57% roster percentage on Yahoo

The top kicker of the week, and one of the two waiver recommendations on last week’s article, was Cameron Dicker of the Chargers. Dicker hit five of five attempts against the Cardinals, including a pair of 50-plus yard kicks. He is my No.10 kicker this week and should be a top-waiver add.

Wil Lutz (DEN) @ New Orleans:: 6% roster percentage on Yahoo

The former Saint went back to the Superdome to drop 18 fantasy points in a 33-10 beatdown of the injury-riddled Saints. Lutz has been feast or famine this year, but when he feasts, he feasts to the tune of 18, 13, and 16 in his last three big games.

Week 7 Dud Performances From Heavily-Owned Kickers

Younghoe Koo (ATL) vs. Seattle: 95% roster percentage on Yahoo

This one hurt a bunch of fantasy managers, as Koo was projected to be a top-5 play at home against Seattle. Unfortunately, Kirk Cousins was terrible, and the game script quickly turned on the Falcons. Better days are ahead, including this week against the Bucs.

Kicker Rankings:

Rank ECR Name TEAM Opponent Over/Under Spread OPP RZ D RZ EFF* OFF RNK K Score** Weather
1 1 Justin Tucker BAL at CLE 46.5 -10 17 31 1 39 55F, Light Wind
2 7 Harrison Butker KC at LV 42.5 -10 21 7 10 28 Dome
3 12 Jake Bates DET vs. TEN 46.5 -11.5 10 20 2 20.5 Dome
4 4 Younghoe Koo ATL at TB 48.5 2.5 13 9 7 31.5 80F, Light Wind
5 5 Austin Seibert WAS vs. CHI 47 -1.5 5 18 4 25.5 59F, Light Wind
6 6 Brandon Aubrey DAL at SF 48.5 5.5 23 1 12 41.5 65F, 14 MPH Wind
7 2 Ka’imi Fairbairn HOU vs. IND 47.5 -6 25 28 11 58 Dome
8 3 Will Reichard MIN at LAR 46.5 -3 17 26 13 53 Dome
9 8 Chase McLaughlin TB vs. ATL 48.5 -2.5 12 23 5 37.5 80F, Light Wind
10 10 Cameron Dicker LAC vs. NO 39 -6 3 2 25 24 Dome
11 13 Chris Boswell PIT vs. NYG 37.5 -3.5 13 14 19 42.5 58F, Light Wind
12 9 Evan McPherson CIN vs. PHI 48.5 -2.5 2 24 14 37.5 58F, Light Wind
13 11 Wil Lutz DEN vs. CAR 42.5 -7.5 28 11 27 58.5 75F, Slight Chance of Rain
14 14 Jason Myers SEA vs. BUF 38 3 6 22 8 39 53F, Rain
15 15 Jake Elliott PHI at CIN 46.5 2.5 27 11 9 49.5 58F, Light Wind
16 21 Jason Sanders MIA vs. ARI 47.5 -3 11 0 22 30 81F, Chance of Rain
17 25 Anders Carlson SF vs. DAL 48.5 -5.5 31 5 3 33.5 65F, 14 MPH Wind
18 32 Greg Joseph NYG at PIT 37.5 3.5 4 3 28 38.5 58F, Light Wind
19 16 Brandon McManus GB at JAC 48.5 -4.5 32 14 6 47.5 78F, Chance of Rain
20 20 Joshua Karty LAR vs. MIN 46.5 3 19 7 20 49 Dome
21 28 Greg Zuerlein NYJ at NE 40 -7 23 15 23 54 49F, Light Wind
22 17 Tyler Bass BUF at SEA 48 -3 15 25 18 55 53F, Rain
23 23 Cam Little JAC vs. GB 48.5 4.5 20 14 17 55.5 78F, Chance of Rain
24 33 Eddy Pineiro CAR at DEN 42.5 7.5 1 18 29 55.5 75F, Slight Chance of Rain
25 29 Joey Slye NE vs. NYJ 40 7 16 4 30 57 49F, Light Wind
26 22 Chad Ryland ARI at MIA 47.5 3 21 19 15 58 81F, Chance of Rain
27 24 Blake Grupe NO at LAC 39 6 7 27 21 61 Dome
28 19 Matt Gay IND at HOU 47.5 6 30 14 16 66 Dome
29 26 Daniel Carlson LV vs. KC 42.5 10 9 21 26 66 Dome
30 31 Nick Folk TEN at DET 46.5 11.5 8 18 31 68.5 Dome
31 18 Cairo Santos CHI at WAS 47 1.5 29 29 24 83.5 59F, Light Wind
32 27 Dustin Hopkins CLE vs. BAL 42.5 10 26 30 32 98 55F, Light Wind

*Red Zone Efficiency is based on the inverse of how well the kicker’s offense does in the red zone. For example, the Ravens rank 1st in red zone efficiency; therefore Justin Tucker has a RZ EFF score of 31. The lower the number, the better for kickers, as playing on a team that struggles to score touchdowns in the red zone equates to more field goal opportunities.

**The K Score is the sum of a player’s opponent’s red zone, the red zone efficiency of his offense, and the overall rank of his respective team in terms of total yards. A low score indicates that a kicker has variables working in his favour for a good fantasy kicking performance.

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Kicker rankings are based on numerous factors, including matchups, Vegas lines and score projections, weather conditions, the ability of a kicker’s team offense and their ability to move the ball into field goal range, offensive red zone efficiency, and how well the opposing defense limits touchdowns in the red zone. These factors are a guide, but not a definitive way to predict kicking success, as other variables and negative game scripts significantly impact the outcome.

Based on all of the variables mentioned above, the following two kickers are players ranked outside of the FantasyPros ECR top 10 who could be an excellent play in Week 7.

Jake Bates (DET) vs. Tennessee: 25% roster percentage on Yahoo

Staying in the fire with Bates, as I anticipate a lopsided game script this week similar to what he had two weeks ago against the Dallas Cowboys. Fantasy writers have him as the 12th best kicker, but his K Score of 20.5 indicates a top-5 performance.

Chris Boswell (PIT) vs. Giants: 54% roster percentage on Yahoo

His worst game of the year was six fantasy points, and he is coming off 31 combined points in his last two games. The offense looks like it is clicking, and the Giants offense is going to turn the ball over multiple times, leading to short fields.

Prediction Review

Each week, I suggest two kickers ranked outside the FantasyPros ECR top 10 who I believe will be solid performers based on the variables described in the K Score section. The following is a review of my picks from the previous week to see where I was successful and where I missed the mark.

Jake Bates (DET) @ MIN: 25% roster percentage on Yahoo

ECR Rank: 12
My Rank: 6
Week 6 Finish: T12

Bates continues to be a viable fantasy option, with eight points against the Minnesota Vikings. He made all four extra points, and his lone field goal try to finish with a respectable eight fantasy points. I have him as a top-5 play this week against the Titans, a team that has given up the fourth-most points to opposing kickers.

Joshua Karty (LAR) vs. LV: 1% roster percentage on Yahoo

ECR Rank: 23
My Rank: 12
Week 7 Finish: 32

Just a brutal day for the rookie kicker and for fantasy managers who started him in what looked to be a positive game script. He missed a short field goal and an extra point en route to finishing with negative one fantasy points. He is officially out of the circle of trust.

Waiver Wired

Cameron Dicker (LAC) vs. New Orleans: 57% roster percentage on Yahoo

Jake Bates (DET) vs. TEN: 25% roster percentage on Yahoo

Chris Boswell (PIT) vs. Giants: 54% roster percentage on Yahoo

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