Fantasy Basketball Draft Strategy & Advice: 8 Sleepers to Target (2024)

Fantasy basketball sleepers are the hidden gems that can make or break your draft. Identifying these picks, especially late in drafts, can provide a huge edge and elevate your roster to contender status. It’s all about mining that untapped potential and capitalizing on players who have the upside to outperform their current value. In 2024, we’ve highlighted a few of our favorite fantasy basketball sleepers that should be on your radar.

To make the most of these bounce-back opportunities or any fantasy opportunities, you need to stay alert and ready. Our goal this week is to ensure you’re not missing out on hidden value in your draft. By staying strategic and nimble, you can find immediate and long-term surprises that can elevate your roster and position you for success all season long. But first…

Key Takeaways From Fantasy Basketball Draft Strategy & Advice: 8 Bounce-Back Players (2024)

• Spotting Resilience: Identifying bounce-back players means recognizing resilience in those who had a down year but have the skills and opportunity to return to form. Keep an eye on context like injuries or team changes, which often explain last season’s dip.
• Evaluate Role Shifts: A player’s bounce-back potential depends heavily on role shifts within their team. For example, an increased workload or a new coach’s system could allow players to reclaim or even surpass previous fantasy value.
• Factor in Team Dynamics: A player’s bounce-back isn’t just about their individual performance. Team dynamics, including the development of younger players or the arrival of new teammates, can either support or limit their return to form.
• Patience is Key: Just because a player is a bounce-back candidate doesn’t mean they’ll hit the ground running. Stay patient, allowing them to settle into their roles and regain confidence. This can pay off mid-to-late season.

Now, let’s get to it.

8 Fantasy Basketball Sleepers to Target (2024)

Mastering the art of the sleeper pick is essential for any successful fantasy basketball campaign. It requires staying responsive, adaptable, and competitive throughout the season, whether you’re drafting or managing your roster. Don’t miss your chance to capitalize on these hidden gems. Let’s dive into the picks that can provide valuable upside when you need it the most.

Fantasy Format

Scoring Type: Head-to-Head (Most Categories)

Player Stat Categories:

• Points Scored (PTS)
• Total Rebounds (REB)
• Assists (AST)
• Steals (ST)
• Block Shots (BLK)
• 3-Point Shots Made (3PTM)
• Field Goal Percentage (FG%)
• Free Throw Percentage (FT%)

Roster Positions:

• Point Guard (PG)
• Shooting Guard (SG)
• Guard (G)
• Small Forward (SF)
• Power Forward (PF)
• Center (C) x 2
• Utility (UTIL) x 2
• Bench (BN) x 2
• Injured List (IL) x 3

Data Sources

• NBA Player Stats: NBA.com – 2023-2024
• Draft Analysis: Yahoo!Sports – Draft Analysis – 2024-2025

Terms

Roster Build Frame

The Roster Build Frame is a practical framework that helps fantasy basketball managers define their strategic approach when building their rosters. It operates on two key spectrums: Specialist vs. Generalist (X-axis) and Hold vs. Stream (Y-axis). Managers can choose whether to focus on category specialists, who excel in one or two areas, or generalists, who contribute across a variety of categories. On the Y-axis, Hold managers look for consistency and stability throughout the season, while Stream managers adapt their rosters frequently to take advantage of weekly opportunities. This framework empowers managers to understand their preferred style and approach while crafting competitive, flexible teams.

A visual, you ask? Of course, friend…

Points

Cam Thomas (SG, SF – BKN) | 18.0 PPG – Rank: 129th

Long-Time Play, Mass Capital Gains

The Brooklyn Nets have positioned themselves brilliantly for the future. Through strategic moves in the front office and roster changes, the team has sustained momentum while setting the foundation for long-term success. The departure of Mikal Bridges to the Knicks marks a significant transition for the Nets, signaling the start of a new chapter. With this shift, Cam Thomas now stands at the forefront, poised to lead the team’s rebuild as they continue developing their new core. The groundwork laid since the rebuild started in 2022 gives the team flexibility, and Thomas is primed to be a cornerstone.

Flash of Proof

Since being drafted in 2021, Cam Thomas has consistently shown flashes of his elite scoring ability. The 2023 season silenced critics, as Thomas doubled his output across several key categories, most notably in scoring, where he leaped from 10.6 points per game in 2022 to 22.5 in 2023. With Bridges no longer dominating the offensive volume, Thomas is now perfectly positioned to absorb the lion’s share of scoring opportunities. The acquisition of Killian Hayes also highlights Brooklyn’s strategic shift towards scaling and balancing positions, allowing Thomas to thrive as the team’s primary offensive weapon.

Patiently Committed

The Nets have demonstrated patience with Thomas, taking a measured approach to his development while showing they are committed to unlocking his full offensive potential. However, Thomas’ value lies primarily in scoring, as his multi-categorical contributions remain limited. Fantasy managers will need to assess how his production fits into their overall team strategy, particularly when considering points production and whether to take a generalist or specialist approach. His health and team dynamics will likely influence his draft positioning, but understanding how to integrate his scoring potential can lead to significant returns for fantasy teams willing to take a chance on his breakout potential.

Sleepers to Consider

Anfernee Simons (PG, SG – POR) | 22.6 PPG – Rank: 30th

• BFC: gSpH
• Player Category: Singular-Realist

Assists

Chris Paul (PG – SAS) | 6.8 APG – Rank: 15th

Popular Losers

The San Antonio Spurs may not have racked up the wins last season, but they made significant strides. With Victor Wembanyama taking center stage, the team embraced its transition phase, showcasing moments of competitiveness, even if it wasn’t reflected in their record. Coach Gregg Popovich’s experimentation kept fans intrigued, leading to questions at times, but the Spurs’ transparency in their process made them one of the most beloved “non-winning” teams in the league. This groundwork sets them up for a potential bounce-back season, more aligned with their championship pedigree.

Concerning Back-n-Forth

Last season’s backcourt rotation between Jeremy Sochan and Tre Jones was inconsistent, leaving fantasy managers puzzled. Both players showed flashes of their ability to run the offense, but the arrival of Chris Paul is expected to solidify the backcourt. While Sochan and Jones may see reduced roles, their experience last season will help them integrate into Coach Pop’s long-term vision. Paul, meanwhile, is positioned to have a standout season, returning to the role of the primary facilitator. Underutilized in previous teams as more of a secondary playmaker, he now has the chance to lead the offense and restore his elite assist numbers.

The Forgotten Elite

Many may have overlooked Chris Paul’s elite pedigree during his time with the Golden State Warriors, where he faced health challenges and a diminishing role. However, his experience, leadership and on-court skills make him an ideal fit for a young Spurs team on the rise. Now, with the opportunity to mentor Wembanyama and rejuvenate his career under Popovich’s guidance, Paul has the perfect setup to chase one last championship while mentoring the next generation of stars.

Utilized Momentum

While Chris Paul may not be a top scorer, his efficiency and ability to facilitate across the floor could lead to significant fantasy value this season. With plenty of young talent around him, Paul can rack up assists and provide utility on both ends of the court. His late-career momentum makes him a prime candidate for late-round fantasy steals, especially for managers needing a boost in assists. While early picks may carry some risk, Paul’s upside as a steady, reliable playmaker makes him a smart investment in the mid-to-late rounds of drafts.

Sleepers to Consider

Dennis Schroder (PG – BKN) | 6.1 APG – Rank: 25th

• BFC: gSpHs
• Player Category: Singular-Realist

Rebounds

Isaiah Hartenstein (C – OKC) | 8.3 RPG – Rank: 28th

A Gap Analysis

The Oklahoma City Thunder made strategic moves this offseason, effectively addressing key areas that surfaced during their playoff run. With Chet Holmgren anchoring the frontcourt, the addition of Isaiah Hartenstein elevates their defensive presence, making it challenging for opponents to control the game’s pace. Hartenstein, a hidden gem from his time with the Knicks, brings elite defensive skills that helped bolster New York’s defense, and now he’s primed to have an even bigger impact with OKC. His ability to clog the paint and contribute on both ends of the floor adds depth to the Thunder’s core, positioning them to exceed expectations in the coming season.

No More Limits

Hartenstein’s 2023 season saw him reach career-highs, averaging 8.3 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.2 blocks per game, all within a limited 25.3 minutes per contest. With OKC poised to give him an expanded role, his ceiling is set to rise even further. Known for making the most of limited opportunities, Hartenstein has consistently proven himself, and if given more consistent minutes, he can establish himself as a crucial piece in the team’s rotation. His mid-round fantasy value could turn into a major asset, giving managers the flexibility to target elite players early while securing a multi-category contributor like Hartenstein in later rounds.

Sleepers to Consider

Jalen Johnson (SF, PF – ATL) | 8.7 RPG – Rank: 24th

• BFC: GspH
• Player Category: Synergy-Realist

Steals

Ben Simmons (PG, SG, PF – BKN) | 0.8 SPG – Rank: 167th

Elite Form, Elite Return

Brooklyn is on the rise, and Ben Simmons is reportedly in the best form of his career. If this proves true, Simmons could be one of the most valuable utility players in fantasy basketball. His ability to contribute across multiple categories, much like Luka Doncic, makes him a rare asset. Although his star status took a hit after leaving Philadelphia due to health issues and narrative shifts, his production has remained steady. One bad playoff series has unfairly overshadowed his many contributions during his time with the 76ers, and now, healthy and refocused, he’s ready to remind everyone of his value.

The “OMG, I Was About to Take Him” Chat Message

Managing Simmons’ fantasy value is tricky due to his health history. You don’t want to reach too early and risk missing out on safer picks, but you also don’t want to miss out on a player with his upside. If your league mates start experimenting with picks, consider making Simmons a priority to secure his potential value. On the flip side, if the draft progresses as expected, you should be able to snag him right before someone else does, resulting in those classic “OMG, I was about to take him” messages in your league’s chat.

A Sick Ride

Last season, Simmons was a game-changer for my fantasy squad. While his dominance across multiple categories didn’t last the whole season, the stretch where he was fully healthy was worth it. Simmons remains an elite player when his health is intact, so don’t sleep on him. His production, especially in categories like steals, can be a major difference-maker.

Sleepers to Consider

Marcus Smart(PG, SG – MEM) | 2.1 SPG – Rank: 1st

• BFC: gSpH
• Player Category: Singular-realist

Blocks

Trayce Jackson-Davis (PF, C – GSW) | 1.2 BPG – Rank: 21st

New Faces in New Places

The Warriors are in a transitional phase, creating opportunities for emerging talent like Trayce Jackson-Davis to find their place within the team. While the frontcourt has long been dominated by Draymond Green and Kevon Looney, the rise of Jonathan Kuminga and the raw potential of Jackson-Davis could shift the dynamic. Jackson-Davis is an elite talent, but his success hinges on how coach Steve Kerr leverages the team’s new direction. If Kerr trusts him and allows him to flourish within the Warriors’ system, Jackson-Davis could evolve into a key figure, ready to make a lasting impact.

Monstrous Opportunity

Jackson-Davis showcased his ability to score, rebound and block shots last season, averaging 5.0 rebounds, 1.1 blocks and 7.9 points in just 16.6 minutes per game. These numbers reflect his collegiate performance at Indiana, where he was a dominant force. His potential for more minutes and an expanded role in Golden State is promising, but much of it will depend on how the coaching staff chooses to develop his raw talent.

Aggressive Dismissal

If coach Kerr doesn’t capitalize on Jackson-Davis’ upside, it could raise questions about Kerr’s willingness to integrate younger, more explosive talents. Jackson-Davis has the potential to be a game-changer in categories like field-goal percentage, blocks and rebounds. If he continues to develop, his value in fantasy leagues could skyrocket, making him a steal if his ADP drops later in drafts. Keep an eye on him as a breakout candidate who could provide substantial returns.

Sleepers to Consider

Jonathan Isaac (SF, PF – ORL) | 1.2 BPG – Rank: 21st

• BFC: gSphSt
• Player Category: Singular-Realist

Three-Pointers Made

Klay Thompson (SG, SF – DAL) | 3.5 3PTM – Rank: 5th

Perfect Fit, Perfect Position

The Dallas Mavericks are ready to rebound next season, thanks to smart acquisitions that enhance both their on-court production and team chemistry. The arrival of Klay Thompson is the perfect match for what Dallas needs. Though Dallas may not have the same history as Golden State, its passionate fan base and market energy are ideal for Thompson to thrive. This fresh start in an offensively-driven system offers Thompson a chance to redefine his game and make a major impact.

Journey Well Done

Klay Thompson’s path back to championship-level basketball has been nothing short of inspiring. After overcoming back-to-back injuries, his resilience and determination led to yet another championship. This mental and physical perseverance positions him to reap the rewards of his hard-fought journey, as he steps into a new chapter with the Mavericks.

Heat Wave and the Blaze Brothers

Leaving behind his iconic role as a member of the “Splash Brothers” with Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson now has a new chapter to write in Dallas. As he takes his talents to the Mavericks, Thompson adopts the fitting moniker “Heat Wave,” symbolizing the scorching heat he brings to the court in Big Dallas. Now teamed with the offensive juggernauts Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, the trio has formed a new powerhouse trio: the Blaze Brothers.

Their collective offensive prowess of Thompson’s lethal shooting, Doncic’s playmaking magic and Irving’s dynamic scoring will set the court on fire. This trio, with their elite offensive abilities, is poised to turn up the heat on opponents, making the Blaze Brothers one of the most exciting lineups in the NBA. The chemistry and shared vision between these stars could unlock a new level of production for Thompson, positioning him as a strong draft value while redefining his legacy in Dallas. For more on Klay Thompson’s transition into Heat Wave, check out the 8 Bounce-Back Players to Draft (2024 Fantasy Basketball).

Sleepers to Consider

Paul George (SG, SF, PF – PHI) | 3.3 3PTM – Rank: 8th

• BFC: GspH
• Player Category: Synergy-Realist

Field-Goal Percentage

Jonathan Kuminga (PF – GSW) | 52.9% FG% – Rank: 104th

The Ferocious West and the Boy

The Warriors are in the midst of a rebuild and need to redefine their offensive identity to stay competitive in the power-packed Western Conference. While Steph Curry remains the cornerstone, they must stay in attack mode to keep pace with other top-tier teams.

Enter Jonathan Kuminga, a young player whose intensity and athleticism have the potential to spark the Warriors in all the right ways. If Kuminga is given the opportunity to fully showcase his talents, the upside is enormous. Managers willing to take a chance on his high ceiling could see significant returns as he taps into his vast potential.

Upside Granted

Kuminga has not only increased his volume but also maintained a solid efficiency, shooting 52.9% from the floor. This consistency in his shooting percentage is promising, especially considering his role in an offense that prioritizes quick, elite execution.

While Kuminga may not fill the stat sheet in multiple categories, his scoring potential is what will drive his value. If he can continue to develop and take on a role similar to Jerami Grant – possibly even surpassing it – he could be an invaluable asset for fantasy managers.

With three seasons of steady improvement across various categories, Kuminga is poised for a breakout. This season, he has a chance to step into a more prominent role alongside veterans like Draymond Green and rising talents like Trayce Jackson-Davis, making him a player to watch closely.

Sleepers to Consider

Paul Reed (PF, C – DET) | 54.0% FG% – Rank: 88th

• BFC: gSphSt
• Player Category: Singular-Realist

Free-Throw Percentage

Bradley Beal (PG, SG – PHX) | 81.3% FT% – Rank: 190th

Super Underwhelming

The Suns performed well last season but didn’t quite hit the heights expected after forming another super team. One of the main reasons for this was Bradley Beal’s inconsistent health, which impacted his ability to deliver the expected level of production. Despite his health issues, Beal still managed to contribute, but his performance at the free-throw line wasn’t up to his usual standards.

When Beal is fully healthy, he remains an elite offensive weapon capable of influencing the game on both ends of the court. His free-throw shooting, which took a dip last season, has been a strength in years past, and there’s hope he can return to form at the charity stripe.

Overall Contributor

Beal’s overall value remains appealing, even though his injury history will give managers pause. Those willing to bet on his health and ability to bounce back could reap the rewards. If you’re looking to strengthen your roster’s offensive utility and aren’t convinced by some of the more consistent yet lower-ceiling players, Beal’s pedigree makes him a high-upside pick.

While there’s an inherent risk, his proven skill set and previous success at the free-throw line suggest that if he stays on the court, he could be a major contributor to your team’s success.

Sleepers to Consider

Jalen Green (PG, SG – HOU) | 80.4 FT% – Rank: 207th

• BFC: SpH
• Player Category: Singular-Realist