Third-year wide receivers are an interesting piece of the NFL puzzle as well as fantasy football. They are in a pass-obsessed league looking to prove themselves for a second contract. Some are well on their way hoping to replicate the start of their careers. Others are highly motivated to put plays on tape and increase their value to their teams. Below are wide receivers entering their third NFL seasons who are intriguing based on their current average draft position (ADP). The ADPs listed refer to the FantasyPros consensus ADP rankings.
- 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Fantasy Football Rankings
- 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Third-Year Wide Receivers: Fantasy Football Draft Analysis
Garrett Wilson (WR – NYJ) | ADP: 12.0
Garrett Wilson has impressed in his first two seasons, tallying 178 receptions, 2,145 receiving yards and seven touchdowns. The only knock on Wilson thus far involves efficiency. Since entering the NFL, he ranks 69th in reception rate and 72nd in success rate (more info here) among WRs with at least 100 targets.
Notably, this has come aboard a QB carousel including Zach Wilson, Trevor Siemian, Mike White and Joe Flacco. A healthy Aaron Rodgers in 2024 undoubtedly adds upside for Wilson in these categories and his touchdown total. Wilson offers a profound ceiling going at the one-two turn, but there are safer picks in this range including Kyren Williams and Puka Nacua.
Drake London (WR – ATL) | ADP: 22.7
Drake London has been in QB purgatory since being picked eighth overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. Playing with Marcus Mariota, Desmond Ridder and Taylor Heinicke, London has finished as the fantasy WR35 and WR39 in 2022 and 2023, respectively. While his ADP is a substantial leap for these finishes, the Falcons were 27th in throwing touchdowns and 28th in throwing yardage across the NFL in those two seasons.
Kirk Cousins has arrived in Atlanta and threw more touchdowns than the Falcons in only eight games a season ago, 18 to 17. With Cousins, a talented offensive line and a new coaching staff, London has fair value at the two-three turn. He has an impressive 227 targets in the last two years, converting them into over 1,700 receiving yards and six scores.
Chris Olave (WR – NO) | ADP: 25.0
Chris Olave is a target machine. Over his first two seasons, he is 15th overall at WR in the category with 257. Production for Olave has been similar in both seasons, culminating in 2,165 receiving yards and nine touchdowns. Derek Carr ranks eighth among all NFL QBs in touchdown throws since 2022, but Olave is outside the top 30 at WR in touchdowns in that stretch.
The Saints’ touchdowns through the air have not found Olave. Carr will need to find him in the end zone for the third-year WR to escape the WR19-WR25 range he has landed in to start his career. Mike Evans, Nico Collins, Deebo Samuel and Travis Kelce are all being drafted later than Olave. This group includes the fantasy WR5 and WR9 from a season ago. At least one of them should outperform Olave again.
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