MLB DFS Picks, Sleeper & Underdog Player Props: Wednesday (9/25)

Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has nine games starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. The Sleeper and Underdog picks are also from the nine-game slate.

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Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

Wednesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

Chris Sale (ATL) vs. NYM
Chris Sale hasn't been fair lately. He's dominating. According to FanGraphs, in Sale's previous five starts spanning 30.0 innings, he's had a 1.20 ERA, 3.27 xFIP, 3.14 SIERA, 1.00 WHIP, 5.1 BB%, 28.8 K%, 28.0 CSW% and four quality starts. Sale doesn't have a favorable matchup, but his betting info is ideal.

The Mets are third in wRC+ (119) with a 21.7 K% versus lefties and tied for eighth in wRC+ (107) with a 22.2 K% on the road this season. New York was also fifth in wRC+ (127) with a 20.4 K% in the previous 14 days. Thus, the Braves are -185, and the game's total is 7.5 runs.

Kevin Gausman (TOR) vs. BOS
Kevin Gausman has been rock-solid lately, albeit lucky. In his last five starts totaling 30.2 innings, he's had a 2.35 ERA, 4.05 xFIP, 4.12 SIERA, 1.01 WHIP, 8.3 BB%, 23.3 K%, 27.4 CSW%, 93 Stuff+, 105 Location+, 102 Pitching+ and three quality starts. His matchup is good through one lens, and his betting info is favorable.

The Red Sox are tied for ninth in wRC+ (106) with a 24.4 K% versus righties and sixth in wRC+ (109) with a 24.9 K% on the road this season. However, Boston was 27th in wRC+ (75) with a 27.9 K% in the previous 14 days. So, the Red Sox are slumping and strikeout-prone. Finally, the Blue Jays are -140, and the game's total is 8.0 runs.

Brady Basso (OAK) vs. TEX

Brady Basso has shined since moving into Oakland's rotation. In three starts spanning 16.0 innings, Basso has had a 1.69 ERA, 3.91 xFIP, 4.17 SIERA, 1.13 WHIP, 6.2 BB%, 20.0 K%, 27.8 CSW%, 81 Stuff+, 106 Location+, 100 Pitching+ and one quality start. He can maintain momentum in a plus matchup.

The Rangers are tied for 20th in wRC+ (92) with a 23.4 K% versus lefties and 26th in wRC+ (88) with a 20.7 K% on the road this year. Texas was also 25th in wRC+ (78) with a 22.3 K% in the previous 14 days. The Athletics are slight underdogs (EVEN), but the game's total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

• Road (Coors Field)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 10.0 Runs/STL -135

In what should be a surprise to no one, Austin Gomber has stunk at home. In 146.1 innings at home since last season, Gomber has had a 5.97 ERA, 4.85 xFIP, 1.48 WHIP and allowed 1.97 HR/9. Colorado's bullpen is MLB's worst and the only one with an ERA north of 5.00. Thus, St. Louis's offense should explode tonight in MLB's most hitter-friendly ballpark.

• Road (Truist Park)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 7.5 Runs/NYM +150

Sale is the top-ranked pitcher tonight. So, why are the Mets suggested as a stack? They're a contrarian GPP-centric stack due to their excellence. While Sale is a nightmare matchup for any offense, New York can rough him up if he's not sharp. The Mets are third in wRC+ (119) versus lefties and tied for eighth in wRC+ (107) on the road this year. They're also hot, ranking fifth in wRC+ (127) in the previous 14 days. Finally, while Francisco Lindor isn't listed on the table, he could return tonight, adding a significant bat to New York's lineup.

Core Studs

• Paul Goldschmidt is a lefty killer. In 467 plate appearances against southpaws since 2022, Goldy has hit 20 homers with a .413 OBP, .222 ISO and 165 wRC+.
• In 420 plate appearances against lefties since 2022, Nolan Arenado has hit 21 homers with a .286 OBP, .218 ISO and 100 wRC+. A .216 BABIP hurt him, but his power was still impressive.
• In 225 career plate appearances against lefties since debuting in 2023, Masyn Winn has hit nine homers with a .298 OBP, .199 ISO and 103 wRC+. He'll also benefit from hitting leadoff at Coors Field.

Value Plays/Punts

• Jordan Walker is a matchup and park-factors-driven punt. He's also in good form. In Walker's last 22 games and 78 plate appearances, he's hit five homers with 10 runs, 15 RBIs, a .269 OBP, .243 ISO and 104 wRC+.
• Pavin Smith is dialed in. In his previous 23 games and 74 plate appearances, he's hit five homers with 13 runs, 16 RBIs, a .392 OBP, .344 ISO and 173 wRC+.
• In 684 plate appearances against righties since 2022, Trevor Larnach has hit 27 homers with a .326 OBP, .196 ISO and 114 wRC+.

Wednesday's Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Marcell Ozuna: 6.5 Fantasy Points - More (Sleeper) (1.74x)

Marcell Ozuna: 7.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)

Marcell Ozuna had a down year against lefties in 2022. However, he's been a terror for southpaws since. In 296 plate appearances against lefties since 2023, Ozuna has hit 17 homers with a .383 OBP, .267 ISO and 158 wRC+. Ozuna's matchup against David Peterson is unimposing. The 29-year-old lefty has yielded a .319 wOBA to 364 right-handed batters this season.

Matt Wallner: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs - More (Sleeper) (1.85x)

Matt Wallner: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs - Higher (Underdog)

In 472 career plate appearances against righties, Matt Wallner has hit 26 homers with a .396 OBP, .277 ISO and 167 wRC+. Conversely, Edward Cabrera has served up a .348 wOBA to 200 lefties this year.

Paul Goldschmidt: 2.5 Total Bases - More (Sleeper) (2.11x)

Paul Goldschmidt: 2.0 Total Bases - Higher (Underdog)

In 467 plate appearances against lefties since 2022, Goldy has hit 29 doubles and 20 homers with a .324 batting average, .546 slugging and .222 ISO. He's also in good form. In Goldschmidt's previous 108 plate appearances, he's hit 10 doubles, one triple and two homers with a .323 batting average, .505 slugging and .182 ISO. Finally, Gomber has surrendered 13 doubles, one triple, 10 homers, a .300 batting average and .512 slugging to 227 right-handed batters at home this season.

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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.