MLB DFS Picks, Sleeper & Underdog Player Props: Tuesday (9/24)

Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has 10 games starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. The suggested player props at Sleeper and Underdog are also from the 10-game slate.

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Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

Tuesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

Bailey Ober (MIN) vs. MIA
Bailey Ober has been unlucky lately. According to FanGraphs, in his previous five starts spanning 28.2 innings, he's had a 5.34 ERA. However, he also had a 3.63 xFIP, 3.18 SIERA, 0.91 WHIP, 6.2 BB%, 31.0 K%, 30.3 CSW%, 97 Stuff+, 104 Location+, 102 Pitching+ and three quality starts. The righty has a get-right matchup for his ERA.

The Marlins are 27th in wRC+ (89) with a 23.1 K% versus righties and 28th in wRC+ (79) with a 24.4 K% on the road this season. Miami was also 22nd in wRC+ (82) with a 24.5 K% in the previous 14 days. Thus, the Twins are -240, and the game's total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.

Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) vs. NYM
Spencer Schwellenbach doesn't have a favorable matchup tonight. The Mets are tied for seventh in wRC+ (107) with a 22.6 K% versus righties and tied for eighth in wRC+ (107) with a 22.2 K% on the road this season. Additionally, New York was seventh in wRC+ (121) with a 20.9 K% in the previous 14 days. Fortunately, the betting info is rock-solid, and Schwellenbach is a talented pitcher.

The Braves are -130, and the game's total is 8.0 runs. Moreover, in Schwellenbach's nine starts totaling 52.2 innings at home, the rookie has had a 3.93 ERA, 3.18 xFIP, 1.08 WHIP, 3.2 BB%, 28.0 K% and five quality starts.

Mitch Spence (OAK) vs. TEX

Mitch Spence is much better at home than on the road. In 16 appearances (10 starts) spanning 72.0 innings at home this year, the rookie has had a 3.88 ERA, 3.63 xFIP, 1.35 WHIP, 6.2 BB%, 22.3 K% and three quality starts. Spence has a cushy matchup tonight.

The Rangers are tied for 21st in wRC+ (94) with a 20.4 K% versus righties and 26th in wRC+ (88) with a 20.7 K% on the road this year. Texas was also 25th in wRC+ (78) with a 22.3 K% in the previous 14 days. Finally, the betting info is decent. The Athletics are -104, and the game's total is 7.5 runs.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

• Road (Coors Field)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 10.5 Runs/STL -120

The Cardinals have an average to slightly below-average offense by tonight's applicable splits. St. Louis is tied for 15th in wRC+ (100) versus righties and tied for 22nd in wRC+ (91) on the road this year. The Red Birds were also tied for 17th in wRC+ (89) in the previous 14 days. Fortunately, they'll get a lift from Coors Field and the pitching matchup tonight.

In 80.2 innings at home since last year, Ryan Feltner has had a 6.25 ERA, 4.26 xFIP, 1.62 WHIP and allowed a .359 wOBA. Finally, Colorado's relievers have the highest ERA (5.31) this year.

• Home (Truist Park)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 8.0 Runs/ATL -130

The Braves don't have an exceptional offense. Furthermore, Luis Severino is in good form. Still, they're an appealing stack tonight, namely in GPPs. Severino has struggled on the road. In 129.1 innings on the road since last year, Severino has had a 6.05 ERA, 4.27 xFIP, 1.51 WHIP and coughed up a blistering 1.81 HR/9. He's also yielded a .362 wOBA to batters on the road. As a result, Atlanta's stack is exciting, and their appeal is enhanced in GPPs if other gamers overlook them.

Core Studs

• Matt Olson is on fire. In his previous 27 games and 117 plate appearances, he's hit eight homers with 20 runs, 33 RBIs, a .436 OBP, .354 ISO and 204 wRC+.
• In 1,010 career plate appearances against righties, Michael Harris has had a .329 OBP, .195 ISO and 121 wRC+.
• Brendan Donovan has had a .369 OBP, .143 ISO and 126 wRC+ in 1,136 career plate appearances against righties.

Value Plays/Punts

• In 449 career plate appearances against righties, Jordan Walker has hit 15 homers with a .327 OBP, .195 ISO and 121 wRC+.
• Gio Urshela is essentially an average hitter in same-handed matchups. He's had a 103 wRC+ against righties since 2022. Urshela is cheap exposure to the Braves and overqualified for his tiny salary.
• Jacob Wilson destroyed the upper minors. He's had a 70 wRC+ in 83 plate appearances for the Athletics. However, Wilson has been killed by a .258 BABIP, and he's done an outstanding job of avoiding strikeouts, suggesting he's not overwhelmed.

Tuesday's Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Matt Olson: 1.5 Total Bases - More (Sleeper) (1.95x)

Matt Olson: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Underdog) (Scorcher 1.12x)

In 1,503 plate appearances against righties since 2022, Olson has hit 78 doubles, two triples and 90 homers with a .259 batting average, .532 slugging and .273 ISO. Conversely, Severino has coughed up six doubles, one triple, 12 homers, a .282 batting average and .525 slugging to 194 lefties on the road.

Marcell Ozuna: 6.5 Fantasy Points - More (Sleeper) (1.78x)

Marcell Ozuna: 7.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)

Marcell Ozuna is in excellent form. In his previous 27 games and 116 plate appearances, he's hit one homer with 14 runs, seven RBIs, a .409 OBP, .100 ISO and 136 wRC+. Ozuna is also a handful for righties, tallying a .339 OBP, .260 ISO and 136 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers since 2022.

Bailey Ober: 31.5 Fantasy Points - More (Sleeper)

Bailey Ober: 36.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)

In addition to Ober's stellar underlying data, favorable matchup and ideal betting info, he's got rock-solid numbers at home. In 27 home starts spanning 149.1 innings since last year, Ober has had a 3.68 ERA, 4.28 xFIP, 1.06 WHIP, 6.3 BB%, 25.3 K% and 13 quality starts.

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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.