Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has five games starting at 6:45 p.m. ET. The Sleeper and Underdog props are also from the five-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Thursday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Bryce Miller (SEA) vs. TEX
Bryce Miller is outstanding at home. According to FanGraphs, in 28 starts spanning 158.1 innings at home since last year, Miller has had a 2.79 ERA, 3.78 xFIP, 0.96 WHIP, 5.5 BB% and 26.1 K%. The young righty is also dialed in. In Miller's past five starts spanning 28.2 innings, he's had a 1.88 ERA, 3.52 xFIP, 3.32 SIERA, 0.80 WHIP, 6.4 BB%, 29.4 K%, 29.5 CSW%, 113 Stuff+, 101 Location+, 103 Pitching+ and three quality starts. Miller has a favorable matchup tonight.
The Rangers are tied for 21st in wRC+ (94) with a 20.4 K% versus righties and 25th in wRC+ (89) with a 20.7 K% on the road this season. Texas Was tied for 13th in wRC+ (96) with a 23.3 K% in the previous 14 days. So, the Mariners are -160, and the game's total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.
Mitchell Parker (WAS) vs. MIA
Mitchell Parker has been extremely unlucky lately. In his last five starts totaling 23.1 innings, the lefty has had a 7.33 ERA, 3.97 xFIP, 3.96 SIERA, 1.84 WHIP, 8.9 BB%, 26.8 K% and 25.7 CSW%. Parker's more encouraging underlying data is worth rolling the dice on in a plus matchup.
The Marlins are 29th in wRC+ (76) with a 23.4 K% versus lefties and 28th in wRC+ (81) with a 24.6 K% on the road this year. Miami was also 17th in wRC+ (93) with a juicy 26.3 K% in the previous 14 days. Therefore, Parker is a nifty bargain SP2 at DraftKings.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
The Yankees are in a slump. In the last 14 days, New York was 21st in wRC+ (91). Yet, they are first in wRC+ (122) versus righties and tied for fourth in wRC+ (118) at home this year. The Bronx Bombers have a get-right matchup tonight.
In Cooper Criswell's previous five appearances (four starts), he's had a 4.43 ERA, 5.38 xFIP, 5.57 SIERA, 1.67 WHIP, 10.9 BB%, 10.9 K%, 5.0 SwStr%, 22.4 CSW%, 90 Stuff+, 98 Location+ and 94 Pitching+. Criswell has also ceded a .305 wOBA to lefties and a .349 wOBA to righties this year.
Core Studs
- Aaron Judge is putting the finishing touches on an MVP campaign. However, he also has a track record of crushing righties. Since 2022, Judge has had a .429 OBP, .359 ISO and 199 wRC+ against righties.
- Juan Soto has had a .426 OBP, .273 ISO and 172 wRC+ against right-handed pitching since 2022.
- Austin Wells is in excellent form. In his previous 80 plate appearances, he's hit five homers with eight runs, 17 RBIs, a .325 OBP, .257 ISO and 132 wRC+.
Value Plays/Punts
- In 30 plate appearances this month, Kyle Manzardo has hit two homers with a .367 OBP, .286 ISO and 173 wRC+.
- Gleyber Torres has hit two homers with 18 runs, 10 RBIs, a .393 OBP, .096 ISO and 130 wRC+ in his past 122 plate appearances.
- In 32 plate appearances against righties in the majors, Jasson Dominguez has hit four homers with a .313 OBP, .433 ISO and 170 wRC+.
Thursday's Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Kyle Manzardo: 0.5 Hits - More (Sleeper) (1.73x)
Kyle Manzardo: 0.5 Total Bases - Higher (Underdog)
In 83 games and 364 plate appearances in Triple-A this year, Manzardo had a .267 batting average and 78 hits. After being overwhelmed in the bigs initially, further seasoning in the minors has helped him turn the corner. In seven starts this month, Manzardo has exceeded 0.5 hits four times.
Aaron Judge: 1.5 Total Bases - More (Sleeper) (1.79x)
Aaron Judge: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Underdog) (Scorcher 1.15x)
Judge isn't slowing down on his path to AL MVP hardware. In his past 116 plate appearances, he's hit six doubles and nine homers with a .277 batting average, .628 slugging and .351 ISO. The hulking slugger has exceeded 1.5 total bases in 14 of his last 27 starts.
Austin Wells: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs - More (Sleeper) (1.64x)
Austin Wells: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs - Higher (Underdog) (0.92x)
In addition to being in a groove, Wells has excelled with the platoon advantage. In 367 career plate appearances against righties since last year, Wells has hit 13 homers with a .260 batting average, .334 OBP, .495 slugging, .235 ISO and 129 wRC+. He's had over 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs in three of his last five starts.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
