Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has nine games at the former and eight at the latter starting at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Sleeper and Underdog suggestions are also from the nine-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Paul Skenes (PIT) at STL
Paul Skenes hasn't hit the rookie wall in an exceptional rookie season. Instead, according to FanGraphs, he's had a 1.61 ERA, 2.75 xFIP, 3.20 SIERA, 1.11 WHIP, 9.8 BB%, 32.1 K%, 28.4 CSW% and three quality starts in his past five starts, totaling 28.0 innings. Skenes has an average-or-better matchup and favorable betting info tonight.
The Cardinals are 14th in wRC+ (102) with a 22.2 K% versus righties and 15th in wRC+ (102) with a 20.4 K% at home this season. Yet, St. Louis was tied for 20th in wRC+ (85) with a 22.7 K% in the previous 14 days. So, the Pirates are -148, and the game's total is 7.0 runs.
Reid Detmers (LAA) vs. CWS
Reid Detmers has been lights out in two starts since the Angels recalled him from Triple-A. In those two starts, he had a 3.00 ERA, 2.06 xFIP, 2.59 SIERA, 1.00 WHIP, 8.5 BB%, 38.3 K%, 34.5 CSW%, 91 Stuff+, 102 Location+, 102 Pitching+ and two quality starts in 12.0 innings. He should stay hot in a mouthwatering matchup.
The White Sox are 30th in wRC+ (69) with a 24.5 K% versus lefties and 30th in wRC+ (74) with a 25.0 K% on the road this season. Chicago was also 28th in wRC+ (73) with a 23.1 K% in the previous 14 days. As a result, the Angels are -185, and the game's total is 8.0 runs.
Sean Manaea (NYM) vs. WSH
Sean Manaea is cruising into tonight's start. In his previous six starts spanning 41.0 innings, he's had a 3.07 ERA, 3.28 xFIP, 3.10 SIERA, 0.71 WHIP, 5.9 BB%, 30.3 K%, 31.8 CSW% and five quality starts. Manaea shouldn't meet much resistance from the Nationals.
Washington is 24th in wRC+ (89) with a 20.0 K% versus lefties and tied for 20th in wRC+ (92) with a 21.2 K% on the road. The Nationals were also tied for 16th in wRC+ (87) with a 21.3 K% in the previous 14 days. Thus, the Mets are -172, and the game's total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Aaron Civale has out-kicked his peripherals lately. In his last five starts, he's had a 2.63 ERA, 4.53 xFIP, 4.40 SIERA and 0.99 WHIP. In the last 30 days, his ERA estimators were among the worst for tonight's probable pitchers.
The Phillies can make the other shoe drop tonight. Philadelphia is tied for 12th in wRC+ (103) versus righties and 10th in wRC+ (105) on the road this year. Moreover, they're on fire, ranking third in wRC+ (123) in the previous 14 days.
- Road (PETCO Park)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 7.5 Runs/HOU +112
The Astros have a talented offense by the applicable splits for tonight's matchup. Houston is sixth in wRC+ (111) versus righties and 11th in wRC+ (104) on the road this season. They were also fourth in wRC+ (120) in the previous 14 days.
Yu Darvish isn't a cupcake matchup. However, the veteran righty has had a 5.87 ERA, 3.58 xFIP, 3.53 SIERA, 1.70 WHIP and allowed 3.52 HR/9 in two starts since he was activated from the Injured List (IL). Finally, the Astros are a game-theory stack for GPPs at DraftKings. Houston at San Diego isn't on FanDuel's main slate. So, they might be slightly overlooked at DraftKings by gamers playing at both providers who lazily stick with the same players and stacks at both sites.
Core Studs
- In 414 plate appearances this year, Joc Pederson has hit 22 homers with six stolen bases, 59 runs, 61 RBIs, a .400 OBP, .249 ISO and 157 wRC+.
- Bryce Harper is having an excellent season at the dish, swatting 28 homers with five stolen bases, 79 runs, 82 RBIs, a .376 OBP, .245 ISO and 148 wRC+ in 581 plate appearances.
- In 633 plate appearances this season, Kyle Schwarber has hit 35 homers and stolen five bases with 101 runs, 95 RBIs, a .370 OBP, .240 ISO and 138 wRC+.
Value Plays/Punts
- In 157 plate appearances against lefties since reaching the majors last year, Joey Ortiz has hit six homers with a .342 OBP, .198 ISO and 117 wRC+.
- Hunter Goodman is a DK-specific punt. In his last 30 plate appearances, he's hit three homers with four runs, eight RBIs, a .300 OBP, .321 ISO and 125 wRC+.
- Colt Keith is an approximately average hitter. In 523 plate appearances this year, he's hit 12 homers with seven stolen bases, 52 runs, 56 RBIs, a .314 OBP, .117 ISO and 98 wRC+. Keith's value as a punt is enhanced by his lineup slot, frequently batting fifth, fourth or second.
Monday's Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Kyle Schwarber: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs - More (Sleeper) (1.75x)
Kyle Schwarber: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs - Higher (Underdog)
In addition to Schwarber's stellar full-season totals, he's in good form. In his previous 26 games and 115 plate appearances, he's had seven homers, 17 runs, 17 RBIs, a .238 batting average, .322 OBP, .505 slugging and .267 ISO. We project Schwarber to have 2.9 hits plus runs and RBIs tonight, comfortably over his 1.5 line.
Bryce Harper: 1.5 Total Bases - More (Sleeper) (1.83x)
Bryce Harper: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Underdog) (Scorcher 1.07x)
Harper is a challenging matchup for righties. In 1,036 plate appearances against right-handed pitching since 2022, Harper has hit 63 doubles, one triple and 48 homers with a .291 batting average, .527 slugging and .236 ISO. Conversely, Civale has yielded 16 doubles, 12 homers, a .251 batting average and .440 slugging to 300 left-handed batters this season.
Joc Pederson: 8.5 Fantasy Points - More (Sleeper) (1.75x)
Joc Pederson: 8.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)
In 1,124 plate appearances against righties since 2022, Pederson has hit 45 doubles, seven triples and 56 homers with a .267 batting average, .505 slugging and .238 ISO. The context is also optimal tonight for his hitting outlook.
First, Coors Field has left-handed-batter park factors of 1.167 for singles, 1.210 for doubles, 1.708 for triples and 1.092 for homers. Second, Antonio Senzatela allowed two homers, a .357 batting average and .857 slugging to 15 lefties last year. In his career, he's coughed up 84 doubles, 10 triples, 38 homers, a .288 batting average and .453 slugging to 1,461 lefties.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
