MLB DFS Picks, Sleeper & Underdog Player Props: Friday (9/13)

Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has 11 games starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. The top player props from Sleeper and Underdog are also from the 11-game slate.

• Weekly Trade Value Chart
• Weekly Waiver Wire Advice
• Weekly Fantasy Baseball Content
• MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

Friday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

Yusei Kikuchi (HOU) at LAA
Yusei Kikuchi has provided the Astros with quality pitching lately. According to FanGraphs, in his previous five starts spanning 30.0 innings, he's had a 3.00 ERA, 2.77 xFIP, 2.94 SIERA, 0.90 WHIP, 3.3 BB%, 28.3 K%, 29.7 CSW%, 107 Stuff+, 104 Location+, 107 Pitching+ and one quality start. The veteran lefty has a favorable matchup tonight.

The Angels are tied for 18th in wRC+ (95) with a 21.5 K% versus lefties and tied for 24th in wRC+ (93) with a 24.2 K% at home this year. They were also 20th in wRC+ (92) with a 24.7 K% in the previous 14 days. So, the Astros are -215, and the game's total is 8.5 runs.

Bailey Ober (MIN) vs. CIN
Bailey Ober has a sweet matchup tonight. The Reds are tied for 24th in wRC+ (91) with a 25.0 K% versus righties and 24th in wRC+ (90) with a 25.3 K% on the road this season. Cincinnati was also tied for 23rd in wRC+ (80) with a 25.4 K% in the previous 14 days.

Ober isn't in ideal form. However, he's rock-solid at home. In 26 starts spanning 142.2 innings at home since last year, Ober has had a 3.53 ERA, 4.27 xFIP, 1.06 WHIP, 6.3 BB% and 25.5 K%. Finally, the Twins are -215, and the game's total is 8.5 runs.

Brady Basso (OAK) at CWS

Brady Basso has made three relief appearances and one start for the Athletics. The lefty also had 16 appearances (12 starts) in Triple-A this season. Basso is coming off his only start in the majors. The southpaw was sharp, spinning a quality start against the Tigers, holding them scoreless on three hits, one walk and six strikeouts in 6.0 innings. He had a 31.8 CSW%, 94 Stuff+, 107 Location+ and 96 Pitching+ against the Tigers. Basso has a dreamy matchup and ideal betting info.

The White Sox are 30th in wRC+ (68) with a 24.9 K% versus lefties and 30th in wRC+ (73) with a 23.1 K% at home this year. Chicago was tied for 28th in wRC+ (60) with a 24.9 K% in the previous 14 days. Unsurprisingly, the A's are -130, and the game's total is 8.0 runs.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

• Road (Coors Field)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 10.5 Runs/CHC -146

The Cubs have an average or better offense by tonight's applicable splits. They're 17th in wRC+ (98) versus lefties and ninth in wRC+ (106) on the road this year. Chicago was also tied for 12th in wRC+ (97) in the previous 14 days. The Cubs will get a pick-me-up from facing Austin Gomber in MLB's most hitter-friendly ballpark.

The veteran lefty was exceptionally lucky lately. In his last five starts, he had a 3.00 ERA, unsupported by his 4.71 xFIP and 4.76 SIERA. Moreover, Gomber has had a 5.86 ERA and 4.81 xFIP in 138.1 innings at home since last year. Finally, Colorado's relievers have the highest ERA (5.40) this season.

• Home (Target Field)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/MIN -215

The Twins were tied for 23rd in wRC+ (80) in the previous 14 days. However, they're healthier now, and their other splits are tantalizing. Minnesota is tied for sixth in wRC+ (111) versus righties and first in wRC+ (122) at home this year.

They have a drool-inducing matchup. In Julian Aguiar's past five starts, he's had a 5.06 ERA, 6.11 xFIP, 5.80 SIERA, 1.36 WHIP, 8.4 BB% and 11.6 K%. The 23-year-old righty has allowed a .326 wOBA to righties and a .366 wOBA to lefties this year.

Core Studs

• Seiya Suzuki is in a groove, recording four homers, 18 runs, 11 RBIs, four stolen bases, a .392 OBP, .204 ISO and 149 wRC+ in his previous 26 games and 120 plate appearances.
• In Dansby Swanson's last 26 games and 106 plate appearances, he's hit five homers and stolen eight bases with 25 runs, 18 RBIs, a .330 OBP, .217 ISO and 121 wRC+.
• In 377 plate appearances against lefties since 2022, Isaac Paredes has hit 17 homers with a .361 OBP, .217 ISO and 141 wRC+.

Value Plays/Punts

• Matt Wallner is a terror for righties. In 436 career plate appearances against righties, he's hit 26 homers with a .397 OBP, .298 ISO and 171 wRC+.
• Trevor Larnach is rolling. In his last 24 games and 77 plate appearances, he's hit four homers with 14 runs, 13 RBIs, a .364 OBP, .265 ISO and 156 wRC+.
• In 609 career plate appearances against righties, Edouard Julien has hit 23 homers with a .367 OBP, .184 ISO and 128 wRC+.

Friday's Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Vladimir Guerrero: 1.5 Total Bases - More (Sleeper) (1.93x)

Vladimir Guerrero: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Underdog) (Scorcher 1.07x)

Vladimir Guerrero has been unstoppable in the second half. In 211 plate appearances in the second half, he's hit 19 doubles, one triple and 14 homers with a .386 batting average, .728 slugging and .342 ISO. He's also dominated against righties at home. In 791 plate appearances against righties at home since 2022, Guerrero has hit 40 doubles, one triple and 39 homers with a .284 batting average, .507 slugging and .223 ISO.

Shohei Ohtani: 1.5 Total Bases - More (Sleeper) (1.61x)

Shohei Ohtani: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Underdog)

In 656 plate appearances this year, Shohei Ohtani has slugged 47 homers, 30 doubles and seven triples, with a .292 batting average, .312 xBA, .617 slugging, .654 xSLG and .325 ISO. Ohtani has crushed righties. In 429 plate appearances against righties this season, he's hit 22 doubles, five triples and 36 homers with a .304 batting average, .691 slugging and .387 ISO.

Ohtani's matchup against Spencer Schwellenbach is stellar, too. The rookie right-handed pitcher has allowed 16 doubles, two triples, seven homers, a .276 batting average and .478 slugging to 221 left-handed batters this season.

Logan Webb: 4.5 Strikeouts - More (Sleeper) (2.00x)

Logan Webb: 4.5 Strikeouts - Higher (Underdog)

If the pitcher rankings went to four, Logan Webb would have been the fourth suggested pitcher. He's outstanding at home. In 30 starts spanning 209.1 innings at home since last season, Webb has had a 2.45 ERA, 2.90 xFIP, 0.98 WHIP, 3.7 BB%, 7.52 K/9, a 21.7 K% and 175 strikeouts. He's exceeded 4.5 strikeouts in 23 of his past 30 starts at home.

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.