It’s hard to believe, but we only have one week left in the regular season. Many of these teams are still battling for playoff positioning, and many of these items should still be going full boar. That leaves much to discuss, so let’s get into this Saturday slate!
It’s hard to believe, but we only have one week left in the regular season. Many of these teams are still battling for playoff positioning, and many of these items should still be going full boar. That leaves much to discuss, so let’s get into this Saturday slate!
Saturday’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Saturday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
| PLAYER |
DK SALARY |
FD SALARY |
VALUE |
RISK |
| Max Fried (ATL) at MIA |
$8,900 |
$9,600 |
Low |
Low |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) at OAK |
$9,300 |
$10,400 |
Medium |
Medium |
| Martin Perez (SD) vs. CWS |
$7,600 |
$7,700 |
Medium |
Medium |
Max Fried (ATL) at MIA
Fried has struggled in the second half, but we don’t want to fade him against Miami. Let’s start there because the Marlins rank 29th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA and xwOBA. That’s bad news against a guy with a 2.86 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over the last five seasons. Not to mention, Fried has at least 38 FanDuel points in four of his last five matchups with Miami! That’s why he’s a -250 favorite!
Carlos Rodon (NYY) at OAK
Rodon is an inconsistent pitcher, but his strikeouts have been reliable. The lefty has at least five strikeouts in 14 straight starts, sporting a 12.2 K/9 rate in that span. He’s also got a 2.60 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 13.0 K/9 rate across his last three starts and could reach 10 Ks against Oakland. The A’s rank 25th in OBP, 26th in runs scored, and 28th in K rate.
Martin Perez (SD) vs. CWS
We would use any pitcher against Chicago. They sit 100 runs behind the second-worst offense in baseball, ranked last in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA. That should bode well for a veteran like Perez, allowing just one run across his last two starts. The best part is that he enters this matchup as a -280 favorite and shouldn’t be this cheap with such a high win probability.
MLB DFS Picks: Suggested Lineup Stacks
Does anything really need to be said about using the Dodgers against the Rockies? Colorado ranks last in ERA and WHIP, while Los Angeles is a Top 5 offense in every metric. Quantrill hasn’t helped those atrocious averages for the Rockies, registering a 4.91 ERA and 1.47 WHIP since the start of last season.
The Padres are one of the hottest teams in baseball, scoring the second-most runs in the league over the last two months. That won’t sit well for a struggling veteran like Flexen, who has posted a 5.09 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. He also had a 6.86 ERA and 1.67 WHIP last year and will have trouble getting through this scorching San Diego lineup.
MLB DFS Picks: Core Studs
- Ohtani just had one of the best games in MLB history on Thursday to cap off a historical 50-50 season. He has 1.545 OPS across his last five fixtures, totaling a 1.110 OPS against righties this year. Anytime this guy faces the Rockies over the next decade, use him! He had another homer and steal against them on Friday!
- Machado got off to a miserable start this season, but the All-Star is cruising right now. Manny has a .378 AVG, .844 SLG, and 1.240 OPS across his last 11 games, homering six times in that span. He’s also been much better at home all season and shouldn’t have any issues adding to that against Flexen.
- Ramirez has struggled a bit in the second half, but to say he’s struggling doesn’t mean much. The third baseman is flirting with a 40-40 season while having over 100 runs and RBI. The best part about this is that he matches up with Miles Mikolas, maintaining a 5.49 ERA and 1.29 WHIP!
- Altuve had one of the funniest ejections earlier in the week, and it’s clear he’s feeling himself right now. The former All-Star has a .404 OBP and .925 OPS across his last 11 outings. The most important factor is that he faces a lefty with a 6.05 ERA and 1.43 WHIP because Altuve has accumulated a .435 OBP and .973 OPS against southpaws this season. In 17 at-bats against Reid Detmers, Altuve has a .471 OBP and 1.257 OPS.
MLB DFS Picks: Value Plays/Punts
- It’s never easy to find cheap Dodger bats, but Muncy is an affordable pairing with Ohtani. This slugger has been a stud since joining LA, amassing a .356 OBP and .844 OPS over the last six seasons. He’s also been much better against righties while totaling a .444 OBP and 1.150 OPS across his last 11 outings!
- Pederson has quietly been one of the best DHs in the NL this season, hitting third whenever Arizona matches up with a righty. That’s an optimal spot in baseball’s highest-scoring lineup, but it’s no surprise since Pederson has a .393 OBP and .926 OPS against righties this year. We’re not worried about Aaron Civale‘s 4.48 ERA and 1.33 WHIP!
- Harris has been a fantasy stud since his call-up, and he’s closing the season strong. The Atlanta leadoff hitter has a .378 OBP and 1.207 OPS across his last nine outings. That’s why he’s always a threat for a 25-25 season, and we love that he has the platoon advantage against Adam Oller‘s 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP.
- Stanton has been sitting recently, but there are not many better GPP options with his power potential. The slugger has a .345 career OBP, .525 SLG, and .870 OPS. His numbers against southpaws are stupendous, sporting a .371 OBP, .577 SLG, and .948 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor!
Saturday’s Top 3 Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks Player Props
Rhett Lowder: 4.5 Strikeouts – Higher
Lowder has a 1.74 ERA and 1.26 WHIP this season, facing a Pittsburgh team that ranks 25th in K rate and 27th in wOBA.
Max Scherzer: 5.5 Strikeouts – Higher
Scherzer has been one of the best strikeout pitchers throughout his career, and he recorded a 15.0 K/9 rate in his minor league rehab assignment. That should sit well against Seattle, striking out more than any team in the league (27 percent K rate).
Martin Perez: 17.5 Outs Recorded – Higher
The White Sox are one of the worst offenses in MLB history, and Perez should cruise to a quality start against them. He’s thrown at least five innings in eight of his last nine starts and has been much better at home as well!
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio
Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.
