Fantasy Football Week 4 Kicker Rankings & Start/Sit Advice (2024)

After two strong weeks to kick off the 2024 regular season, including six 20-plus point performances, fantasy kicking scoring cooled off dramatically in Week 3. Only six players managed to top double figures, led by Wil Lutz of the Broncos, who scored 16 points in a surprising lopsided road win over the Bucs.

There were six players rostered in over 90% of Yahoo leagues entering Week 3 play, and only two of them, Harrison Butker and Brandon Aubrey, topped 10 fantasy points, while Jake Elliott, Justin Tucker, and Ka’imi Fairbairn combined to score five fantasy points.

Twelve kicks were missed on the day, with the most costly coming off the leg of second-year kicker Jake Moody, who would have given the 49ers a two-score lead late and a likely win over the host Rams.

Fantasy Football Week 4 Kicker Rankings

Week 3 strong performances from widely-available kickers

Wil Lutz (DEN): @ Tampa Bay – 0% roster percentage on Yahoo

Lutz made all four of his attempts on Sunday as the Broncos shocked the Buccaneers 26-7 in Tampa on Sunday. The 16 points scored was his second game of double-digit points this season.

Eddy Pineiro (CAR): @ Las Vegas – 0% roster percentage on Yahoo

Literally, almost nobody started Pineiro against the Raiders this past week, and for a good reason. Pineiro had just eight combined fantasy points in his first two games, and it was unclear how much the move to Andy Dalton would ignite the offense. Dalton came out on fire, and the Panthers won their first game of the year.

Week 3 Dud Performances from heavily-owned kickers

Ka’imi Fairbairn (HOU): @ Minnesota – 93% roster percentage on Yahoo

Fairbairn missed a long field goal attempt that would have salvaged his day in what was an otherwise forgetful day for the Texans. The Viking’s defense is legit, and teams facing the Brian Flores-led defense will be in store for a low-scoring game. I am not moving on from Fairbairn, and he is still a top-5 kicker for me this season.

Kicker Rankings:

Rank	ECR	Name	TEAM	Opponent	Spread	O/U	OPP RZ D	RZ EFF*	OFF RNK	K Score**	Weather
1	1	Brandon Aubrey	DAL	at NYG	-4.5	44	7	17	9	29	74F, Rain, Light Wind
2	3	Harrison Butker	KC	at LAC	-8	40	2	10	14	18	Dome
3	5	Jake Moody	SF	vs. NE	-10.5	39	16	17	3	26	73F, Light Wind
4	6	Justin Tucker	BAL	vs. BUF	-2	46	7	22	1	28	70F, 21% Rain, Light Wind
5	14	Jake Elliott	PHI	at TB	-2.5	44.5	14	8	2	22	53F, Light Wind
6	8	Younghoe Koo	ATL	vs. NO	-2	42	3	10	20	31	Dome
7	9	Blake Grupe	NO	at ATL	2	42	11	29	9	51	Dome
8	2	Ka’imi Fairbairn	HOU	vs. JAC	-6	45.5	28	27	11	60	Dome
9	20	Brayden Narveson	GB	vs. MIN	-2.5	44	7	3	5	13	71F, 26% Rain, Light Wind
10	16	Jake Bates	DET	vs. SEA	-4	46	4	6	4	10	Dome
11	7	Matt Prater	ARI	vs. WAS	-3	51	26	24	7	54	Dome
12	4	Evan McPherson	CIN	at CAR	-4.5	47.5	31	17	15	59	74F, 21% of Rain, Light Wind
13	12	Jason Myers	SEA	at DET	4	46	15	17	8	44	Dome
14	10	Chase McLaughlin	TB	vs. PHI	3	44.5	4	18	26	51	53F, Light Wind
15	11	Chris Boswell	PIT	at IND	-2	40	26	1	24	49	Dome
16	13	Tyler Bass	BUF	at BAL	2	46	21	30	13	66	70F, 21% Rain, Light Wind
17	24	Jason Sanders	MIA	vs. TEN	0	37	7	1	16	24	83F, Light Wind
18	15	Dustin Hopkins	CLE	at LV	0	37	20	31	31	82	Dome
19	17	Cairo Santos	CHI	vs. LAR	-3	41	24	22	30	73	71F, 10 MPH Wind
20	18	Daniel Carlson	LV	vs. CLE	0	37	16	27	21	64	Dome
21	23	Wil Lutz	DEN	at NYJ	7.5	38.5	4	2	23	37	71F, 26% Rain, Light Wind
22	19	Cameron Dicker	LAC	vs. KC	8	40	13	8	25	54	Dome
23	21	Will Reichard	MIN	at GB	2.5	44	21	25	12	61	71F, 26% Rain, Light Wind
24	22	Greg Zuerlein	NYJ	vs. DEN	-7.5	38.5	12	29	18	52	71F, Light Rain
25	25	Austin Seibert	WAS	at ARI	3	51	24	17	6	50	Dome
26	29	Matt Gay	IND	vs. PIT	2	40	1	23	17	43	Dome
27	30	Nick Folk	TEN	at MIA	0	37	30	17	29	76	Dome
28	31	Joshua Karty	LAR	at CHI	3	41	19	11	19	52	71F, 10 MPH Wind
29	26	Eddy Pineiro	CAR	vs. CIN	4.5	47.5	16	19	28	68	74F, 21% of Rain, Light Wind
30	32	Joey Slye	NE	at SF	10	39	21	4	32	67	73F, Light Wind
31	27	Cam Little	JAC	at HOU	6	45.5	29	5	27	67	Dome
32	28	Greg Joseph	NYG	vs. DAL	4.5	44	32	22	22	81	74F, Rain, Light Wind

*Red Zone Efficiency is based on the inverse of how well the kicker’s offense does in the red zone. For example, the Ravens rank 10th in red zone efficiency; therefore, Justin Tucker has a RZ EFF score of 22. The lower the number, the better for kickers, as playing on a team that struggles to score touchdowns in the red zone equates to more field goal opportunities.

**The K Score is the sum of a player’s opponent’s red zone, the red zone efficiency of his offense, and the overall rank of his respective team in terms of total yards. A low score indicates that a kicker has variables working in his favor for a good fantasy kicking performance.

Kicker rankings are based on numerous factors, including matchups, Vegas lines and score projections, weather conditions, the ability of a kicker’s team offense and their ability to move the ball into field goal range, offensive red zone efficiency, and how well the opposing defense limits touchdowns in the red zone. These factors are a guide but not a definitive way to predict kicking success, as other variables and negative game scripts significantly impact the outcome.

Week 4 Kicker Targets

Based on all of the variables mentioned above, the following two kickers are players ranked outside of the FantasyPros ECR top 10 who could be an excellent play in Week 4.

Brayden Narveson (GB): vs. Minnesota – 2% roster percentage on Yahoo

With another historically low K Score and a home matchup against a stout Vikings defense, I am staying in the fire with Narveson this week. I would prefer to have Jordan Love back, but Willis showed enough mobility and poise to keep the ball moving and make Narveson much better play than his 20th overall rank for ECR.

Jake Elliott (PHI): @ Tampa Bay – 91% roster percentage on Yahoo

It may take some intestinal fortitude to play Elliott again this week after he burned fantasy owners last week with one point against the Saints. While I understand managers having some worries, his K Score of 22 indicates a bounce-back week for the veteran kicker.

Prediction Review

Each week, I suggest two kickers ranked outside the FantasyPros ECR top 10 who I believe will be solid performers based on the variables described in the K Score section. The following is a review of my picks from the previous week to see where I was successful and where I missed the mark.

Brayden Narveson (GB) : @ Tennessee – 2% roster percentage on Yahoo

ECR Rank: 14
My Rank: 24
Week 3 Finish: T2

I mentioned last week in my prediction that Narveson boasted the top K Score of the year so far and that he could be in line for a top 12 performance. Instead of a top 12, he came through tied for second, giving those 2% of Yahoo managers a boost in their matchup.

Jake Bates (DET): vs. TB – 16% roster percentage on Yahoo

ECR Rank: 14
My Rank: 11
Week 3 Finish: Kicker T24

As good as my pick for Narveson was, the pick of Bates turned out to be equally as bad. The rookie did not have a field goal attempt (Dan Campbell should have his own negative quotient in the K Score forma), he also missed an extra point. Bates has another shockingly good K Score this week, but I need to see it on the field before I recommend playing him.

Waiver Wired

Top Add

Blake Grupe (NO): vs. Philadelphia – 6% roster percentage on Yahoo

I am sticking with Groupe as my waiver wire add this week based on a great matchup against the Falcons. Atlanta gives up the most points to opposing kickers and this could be a big game for Groupe and his counterpart, Younghoe Koo.

Other players to consider:

Brayden Narveson (GB) @ Tennessee: 2% roster percentage on Yahoo

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About Author

Andrew Swanson

@FFKickerGuy

In addition to his work as a featured writer for FantasyPros, Andrew is a staff writer for fftoday.com and the webmaster/beat writer for ESPN Radio in Albuquerque, NM. Outside of writing about sports, Andrew is a Children’s Book author with three books available on leading retailers like Amazon, Barnes and Noble, and Walmart.com. His first title, “Bella’s Magic Dream Glasses” debuted number one on Amazon’s hot new releases for large print children’s picture books. Visit www.andrewswansonbooks.com for more information.