Fantasy Football Values: Chase Brown, James Conner, Jared Goff

The 2024 NFL regular season is almost here. Fantasy players are trying to squeeze in a final few drafts. Many factors go into fantasy players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is drafting players at a value.

Let’s look at some of my favorite draft values based on MyFantasyLeague ADP for redraft leagues.

Fantasy Football Draft Values For MFL Leagues

Jared Goff (QB – DET)

MFL ADP – QB16

Goff was the QB7 in 2023, averaging 17 fantasy points per game, a higher average than several big-name quarterbacks, including Tua Tagovailoa and Joe Burrow. More importantly, the veteran will play only three games outdoors in 2024, including only one over the first 15 weeks of the season. He averaged 2.1 passing touchdowns and 19.9 fantasy points per game in 12 contests in a dome last year. By comparison, Goff averaged one passing touchdown and 13.3 fantasy points per game in the five contests outside. He has top-eight upside.

James Conner (RB – ARI)

MFL ADP – RB19

The knock against Conner is his injury history, having missed four games in back-to-back seasons. He has never finished lower than the RB10 since joining Arizona on a points-per-game basis in half-point PPR scoring. Last year, the veteran had the fourth-highest explosive run rate (6.3%) and the third-highest missed forced tackle per rushing attempt among running backs with at least 150 attempts (per Fantasy Points Data). While the Cardinals spent a third-round pick on Trey Benson, the rookie won’t replace Conner as the starter in 2024.

Chase Brown (RB – CIN)

MFL ADP – RB35

Some believed Zack Moss would replace Joe Mixon as the lead back in Cincinnati earlier this offseason. However, Brown has been the talk of training camp and could take the starting role away from the veteran sooner than later. Brown had a higher explosive run rate (9.1% vs. 3.1%) and yards after contact per attempt (3.09 vs. 2.29) than Moss did in his five games without Jonathan Taylor last year (per Fantasy Points Data). While fantasy players should expect both running backs to have a meaningful role, Brown has significantly more upside.