Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players for Week 4 and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in the Week 4 fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice
Last week, Atwell had the second-highest route share among the Rams wide receivers while drawing a 19.2% target share, a 30.8% air-yard share, and a 29.4% first-read share. He produced a sparkling 3.72 YPRR. Over the last two weeks, the Bears have moved toward more two high coverage with the seventh-highest rate in the NFL (54.1%). Against two high, Atwell has had a 21% TPRR and 3.63 YPRR in a small sample. If you’re looking to flex a Rams wide receiver this week, it’s Atwell. Atwell will run about 64% of his routes against Jaylon Jonson (50% catch rate and 35.8 passer rating) and Tyrique Stevenson (59.1% catch rate and 78.6 passer rating). Chicago has allowed the ninth-lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Atwell should lead the way for the Rams receivers this week.
Fields might be the QB20 in fantasy points per game for the season, but he finished as the QB12 in fantasy last week. Among 35 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 11th in CPOE and 14th in passer rating and fantasy points per dropback. He has been throwing underneath a ton, ranking 24th in yards per attempt and 31st in aDOT. That’s not great, but outside of George Pickens and Pat Freiermuth, this passing offense lacks weapons. Fields has a wonderful matchup this week, which should result in another QB1 outing. Indy has allowed the 10th-highest yards per attempt, the 11th-highest passer rating and passing yards per game, and the third-highest CPOE. Add a great passing matchup on top of Fields rushing upside, and we could get a smash game from him. Fields ranks top five among quarterbacks in carries, red zone carries, and rushing touchdowns. He is also eighth in rushing yards per game.
Last week, Conklin popped off with 93 receiving yards, a 17.1% target share, a 32.8% air-yard share, and 2.91 YPRR as the TE4 for the week. We have a long history of Conklin being a middling TE2, so you can miss me with any breakout talk. The best stat from that game that speaks to the flukey nature of that usage is his 4.8% first-read share. Conklin wasn’t getting priority usage in this offense. It was Rodgers surveying the field and finding Conklin as a tertiary option in the passing attack. Don’t forget Conklin had only two receptions and 16 receiving yards combined from the first two games of this season. Denver has held tight ends to the seventh-lowest yards per reception and the 14th-fewest receiving yards per game.
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