Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players for Week 4 and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in the Week 4 fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice
Mooney is the WR35 in fantasy points per game. Over the last two weeks, he has had a 24.1% target share, a 32.0% air-yard share, 2.66 YPRR, and a 27.0% first-read share. He has been surpassing any expectations I had for him this season. It’s been truly impressive. Over the last two weeks, the Saints have transitioned to more two high (eighth-highest rate of two high, 51.6%). Since Week 2, against two high, Mooney has had a 21.4% target share, 3.32 YPRR, and a 21.1% first-read share. Temper expectations for him this week against a stout New Orleans secondary. New Orleans has allowed the sixth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
Ertz is the TE11 in fantasy points per game with a 70% route share, a 17.1% target share, 1.80 YPRR, and a 19.6% first-read share (second to only Terry McLaurin). Among 42 qualifying tight ends, he is 11th in separation and sixth in route win rate. These are all crazy stats, I know, considering our thoughts regarding Ertz in the offseason. Ertz should produce TE1 numbers again in Week 4 against an Arizona defense that has faced the seventh-fewest tight end targets but has relinquished the highest yards per reception to the position.
Last week, Jennings went crazy with a 40% target share, a 46.9% air-yard share, 5.15 YPRR, and a 42.9% first-read share. He finished with 11 receptions, 175 receiving yards, and three scores. He should have another productive week against the Patriots and their two high defense. The Patriots have featured the eighth-highest rate of two-high (50.4%). Against two high, Jennings has a 23.6% target share, a 36.1% air-yard share, 3.61 YPRR, and a 24.3% first-read share. Jennings has essentially taken over Deebo Samuel’s role in the offense against two high. With Christian Gonzalez hanging with Brandon Aiyuk all day, Jennings should see Jonathan Jones (70% catch rate and 97.1 passer rating) for most of the game.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.