When preparing for your fantasy football drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy football rankings compared to fantasy football average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average. Let’s dive into a few notable fantasy football busts the most accurate experts avoid drafting.
- 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Fantasy Football Rankings
- 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Busts the Most Accurate Experts Avoid
| PLAYER NAME | TEAM | POSITION RANK | ECR | ADP | ECR VS. ADP | BYE WEEK |
| Josh Jacobs | GB | RB12 | 41 | 25 | -16 | 10 |
| Rachaad White | TB | RB14 | 44 | 35 | -9 | 11 |
| Joe Mixon | HOU | RB16 | 51 | 42 | -9 | 14 |
| Alvin Kamara | NO | RB17 | 55 | 45 | -10 | 12 |
| Aaron Jones | MIN | RB21 | 66 | 53 | -13 | 6 |
| D’Andre Swift | CHI | RB23 | 76 | 62 | -14 | 7 |
| Zamir White | LV | RB25 | 81 | 68 | -13 | 10 |
| Zack Moss | CIN | RB34 | 100 | 84 | -16 | 12 |
| Austin Ekeler | WAS | RB35 | 107 | 93 | -14 | 14 |
| Nick Chubb | CLE | RB42 | 131 | 92 | -39 | 10 |
Fantasy Football Draft Outlook
Josh Jacobs (RB – GB)
Well, if you had worries about Josh Jacobs following up his nearly 400-touch season in 2022 with a dud last year, your fears were validated. Jacobs was limited to 13 games played (quad strain in Week 13) and looked like someone sucked out his tackle-breaking ability with a straw when he was active. Jacobs wasn’t the same guy who, in 2022, ranked 18th in yards per touch, 13th in yards created per touch, and second in evaded tackles. Last season, Jacobs had the 12th-highest stuff rate while also crawling in at 37th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 44th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Jacobs could be this season’s Rachaad White. A back who has an elite role while producing mediocre tackle-breaking stats en route to an RB1 season, but don’t rule out MarShawn Lloyd playing a much bigger role this season than many anticipate. Jacobs is a shaky RB2.
Zack Moss (RB – CIN)
Moss parlayed his starting stint last year with the Colts into a possible starting gig with the Bengals. In the seven games he started and played at least 50% of the snaps, he finished with 21.1 touches and 98.5 total yards per game. Moss should handle the early downs in Cincinnati this season after ranking 15th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 18th in yards after contact per attempt last year (per Fantasy Points Data). Chase Brown could eat into his pass game work as Moss was only 41st in yards per route run and 48th in targets per route run. Even if his passing game usage is capped, being the early down back on one of the league’s best offenses still puts him in the RB2/3 conversation.
Fantasy Football Draft Rankings
Check out the consensus 2024 fantasy football draft rankings from our experts.
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