10 Busts the Most Accurate Experts Avoid (2024 Fantasy Football)

When preparing for your fantasy football drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy football rankings compared to fantasy football average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average. Let’s dive into a few notable fantasy football busts the most accurate experts avoid drafting.

Busts the Most Accurate Experts Avoid

PLAYER NAME	TEAM	POSITION RANK	ECR	ADP	ECR VS. ADP	BYE WEEK
Josh Jacobs	GB	RB12	41	25	-16	10
Rachaad White	TB	RB14	44	35	-9	11
Joe Mixon	HOU	RB16	51	42	-9	14
Alvin Kamara	NO	RB17	55	45	-10	12
Aaron Jones	MIN	RB21	66	53	-13	6
D’Andre Swift	CHI	RB23	76	62	-14	7
Zamir White	LV	RB25	81	68	-13	10
Zack Moss	CIN	RB34	100	84	-16	12
Austin Ekeler	WAS	RB35	107	93	-14	14
Nick Chubb	CLE	RB42	131	92	-39	10

Fantasy Football Draft Outlook

Josh Jacobs (RB – GB)

Well, if you had worries about Josh Jacobs following up his nearly 400-touch season in 2022 with a dud last year, your fears were validated. Jacobs was limited to 13 games played (quad strain in Week 13) and looked like someone sucked out his tackle-breaking ability with a straw when he was active. Jacobs wasn’t the same guy who, in 2022, ranked 18th in yards per touch, 13th in yards created per touch, and second in evaded tackles. Last season, Jacobs had the 12th-highest stuff rate while also crawling in at 37th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 44th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Jacobs could be this season’s Rachaad White. A back who has an elite role while producing mediocre tackle-breaking stats en route to an RB1 season, but don’t rule out MarShawn Lloyd playing a much bigger role this season than many anticipate. Jacobs is a shaky RB2.

Zack Moss (RB – CIN)

Moss parlayed his starting stint last year with the Colts into a possible starting gig with the Bengals. In the seven games he started and played at least 50% of the snaps, he finished with 21.1 touches and 98.5 total yards per game. Moss should handle the early downs in Cincinnati this season after ranking 15th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 18th in yards after contact per attempt last year (per Fantasy Points Data). Chase Brown could eat into his pass game work as Moss was only 41st in yards per route run and 48th in targets per route run. Even if his passing game usage is capped, being the early down back on one of the league’s best offenses still puts him in the RB2/3 conversation.