Players to Avoid at ADP: Drake London, Puka Nacua, Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs

As fantasy football season heats up, navigating the intricacies of Average Draft Position (ADP) becomes crucial for building a winning roster. With countless players vying for your attention, knowing whom to target and whom to avoid can make all the difference in your draft strategy. That’s why we turned to our team of expert analysts, the Featured Pros at FantasyPros, to provide you with valuable insights for the upcoming season.

In this article, the analysts break down the players making waves as must-have targets and those who may be overvalued at their current ADP. Read on to find out which players you should keep an eye on and which ones may be best left on the draft board!

Check out all of our FeaturedPros ADP targets and players to avoid

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Players to Target at ADP

Drake London (WR – ATL)

“Drake London – While his teammate Kyle Pitts saw a position-low 64.0% catchable target rate in 2023, London saw a modest 71.6% rate that ranked 37th of 80 receivers with 50 or more targets. Kirk Cousins should help every Falcons receiver this season, but London likely has less room to improve than some of his teammates.”
– Scott Spratt (FTN)

“Drake London – I get the hype for London as he finally has a top-tier quarterback in Kirk Cousins. I just can’t justify taking him at his current ADP (23). There are too many questions about how this new look of the Falcons offense will operate. I need to see it play out first.”
– Justin Fuhr (Pro Football Mania)

Puka Nacua (WR – LAR)

“We try to never avoid anyone as often the most valuable players are the ones we all hate. That said, it’s hard to take Puka Nacua this year. Cooper Kupp is healthy, and there is no guarantee that the sophomore will remain the alpha in the Rams’ passing attack. Nacua is also entering the season banged up. Doubt he will end up on any of our teams.”
– Fantasy Football Goonz (Fantasy Football Goonz)

“I’m avoiding Puka Nacua as much as possible in drafts at his current ADP. Don’t get me wrong, Puka is a very talented player, but we may have already seen his best season. Matt Stafford isn’t getting any younger, and Cooper Kupp is starting off the season fully healthy, unlike last year, so it might be difficult to repeat his production from last year. He’s currently being drafted at WR8, which is too high for my liking.”
– Joey Meinerding (Fantasy Dink)

Josh Allen (QB – BUF)

“Josh Allen is a spectacular quarterback! He has been the QB1 in most leagues for the past few years and is a great core quarterback for any fantasy team, but at ADP 22.3, I am avoiding him this year. By drafting a quarterback early, a team is left weaker in skill positions. Allen is a great fantasy asset because of his rushing yards and touchdowns, which makes him hard to pass up for many owners during the draft. With rushing yards/touchdowns in mind, owners can/should wait a few rounds and draft Anthony Richardson (ADP 49.3) or Kyler Murray (ADP 66), who have the possibility of gaining ground on Allen this year in those scoring areas.”
– Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)

Stefon Diggs (WR – HOU)

“Stefon Diggs (WR22 in the ADP) is getting massively overdrafted. He has an early fourth-round ADP, getting picked ahead of wide receivers he shouldn’t be, including Malik Nabers (WR24), Amari Cooper (WR25), Tee Higgins (WR26), Tank Dell (WR29), and Christian Kirk (WR32). There are two reasons why I won’t draft the veteran in 2024. He has had late-season struggles in back-to-back years. He was the WR47 over the final eight games last season, averaging only 7.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game and 0.41 fantasy points per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). More importantly, Diggs won’t see the 27.5% target share and 28% target per route run rate from 2023 in Houston. The veteran should be the third Texans receiver drafted and a seventh-round pick.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)

“There are simply too many question marks for managers to choose Stefon Diggs at his current WR21 (41st overall) valuation. For one, Diggs is not getting any younger heading into his age 31 season after a rocky end to his tenure in Buffalo. He now goes to Houston, where he will see a major increase in competition for targets in a now-loaded Houston offense from Nico Collins, Tank Dell, and Dalton Schultz. While he may finish okay, the week-to-week finishes for Diggs may be rocky.”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)

NFL Drake London Kyle Pitts Kirk Cousins Puka Nacua Cooper Kupp Matt Stafford Josh Allen Anthony Richardson Kyler Murray Stefon Diggs Malik Nabers Amari Cooper Tee Higgins Tank Dell Christian Kirk Nico Collins Dalton Schultz