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Players Experts Avoid: Austin Ekeler, Zack Moss, Josh Jacobs (Fantasy Football)

Let’s dive into a few fantasy football players experts are avoiding based on their average draft position (ADP).

2024 FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFT KIT

Players the Experts Avoid

When preparing for your fantasy football drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy football rankings compared to fantasy football average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average.

PLAYER NAME TEAM ECR ADP ECR VS. ADP POS RANK BYE WEEK
De’Von Achane MIA 32 22 -10 RB11 6
Josh Jacobs GB 44 24 -20 RB15 10
Stefon Diggs HOU 46 37 -9 WR25 14
Aaron Jones MIN 62 54 -8 RB19 6
D’Andre Swift CHI 75 64 -11 RB25 7
Zack Moss CIN 92 77 -15 RB31 12
Jordan Addison MIN 102 94 -8 WR44 6
Austin Ekeler WAS 107 91 -16 RB34 14
Nick Chubb CLE 117 84 -33 RB38 10

Fantasy Football Draft Outlook

Josh Jacobs (RB – GB)

Well, if you had worries about Josh Jacobs following up his nearly 400-touch season in 2022 with a dud last year, your fears were validated. Jacobs was limited to 13 games played (quad strain in Week 13) and looked like someone sucked out his tackle-breaking ability with a straw when he was active. Jacobs wasn’t the same guy who, in 2022, ranked 18th in yards per touch, 13th in yards created per touch, and second in evaded tackles. Last season, Jacobs had the 12th-highest stuff rate while also crawling in at 37th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 44th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Jacobs could be this season’s Rachaad White. A back who has an elite role while producing mediocre tackle-breaking stats en route to an RB1 season, but don’t rule out MarShawn Lloyd playing a much bigger role this season than many anticipate. Jacobs is a shaky RB2.

Zack Moss (RB – CIN)

Moss parlayed his starting stint last year with the Colts into a possible starting gig with the Bengals. In the seven games he started and played at least 50% of the snaps, he finished with 21.1 touches and 98.5 total yards per game. Moss should handle the early downs in Cincinnati this season after ranking 15th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 18th in yards after contact per attempt last year (per Fantasy Points Data). Chase Brown could eat into his pass game work as Moss was only 41st in yards per route run and 48th in targets per route run. Even if his passing game usage is capped, being the early down back on one of the league’s best offenses still puts him in the RB2/3 conversation.

Austin Ekeler (RB – WAS)

Austin Ekeler’s 2023 season was a letdown, no matter how you look at it. Ekeler suffered an ankle sprain in Week 1, which led to three games being missed and possibly muted production for the rest of the season. Once he returned from injury, he averaged 16.1 touches and 69.2 total yards as the RB28 in fantasy points per game. It was a dramatic fall from grace for a back that had not finished outside the top-nine running backs in fantasy since 2018 (RB28). Ekeler retained some of his pass game prowess as he ranked eighth in target share and 19th in yards per route run (among 60 qualifying backs per Fantasy Points Data), but his rushing skills fell apart. Among 49 qualifying backs, Ekeler ranked 38th in yards after contact per attempt and 46th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Landing in Washington with Anthony Lynn was one of the better-case scenarios this offseason. He likely forms a frustrating committee with Brian Robinson in an Antonio Gibson-plus role for Washington.

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Fantasy Football Draft Rankings

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