Overvalued Fantasy Football Players: Davante Adams, Keenan Allen, T.J. Hockenson

Fantasy football players should be knee-deep in preparing for their redraft leagues. Many factors go into building a league-winner fantasy football team. Yet, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that will bust or are overpriced.

Let’s look at six players that are overvalued draft picks based on MyFantasyLeague ADP for redraft leagues.

Overvalued Fantasy Football Players: MFL Leagues

Davante Adams (WR – LV)

MFL ADP – WR10

Fantasy players should feel more confident drafting Adams if Gardner Minshew is the starting quarterback. The veteran has a habit of locking in on his No. 1 wide receiver, giving Michael Pittman Jr. a 28.3% target share, including a 35.8% first-read target share in his 13 starts last year (per Fantasy Points Data). Meanwhile, Adams averaged 12.6 half-point PPR points per game last season, his lowest average since 2015. The veteran is slightly overpriced at his WR10 ADP. Adams should get drafted as a mid-range WR2, not a top-10 guy.

Keenan Allen (WR – CHI)

MFL ADP – WR29

While Allen was the WR3 on a points-per-game basis in half-point PPR scoring last year, his days as a must-start receiver are over. He is a volume-based receiver, averaging 9.4 targets per game in his career. Unfortunately, the veteran won’t see the same target volume in Chicago. DJ Moore remains the No. 1 wide receiver after recently signing a massive contract extension. Meanwhile, Allen must compete with Rome Odunze for snaps and targets. More importantly, the veteran has missed 11 games over the past two seasons because of injuries.

T.J. Hockenson (TE – MIN)

MFL ADP – TE12

There is no reason for Hockenson to have a top-12 ADP. The veteran tight end is coming off a torn ACL from late last year and will miss a significant chunk of the 2024 season. Furthermore, fantasy players should worry about his quarterback situation. Meanwhile, Hockenson saw his production decline with Justin Jefferson playing. He averaged 7.3 targets and 9.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game in eight contests with Jefferson. By comparison, Hockenson averaged 9.9 targets and 13.7 fantasy points per game in eight contests without the superstar receiver.