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10 Must-Have Fantasy Football Draft Picks (2024)

When preparing for your fantasy football drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy football rankings compared to fantasy football average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average. Let’s dive into a few notable fantasy football players our experts are targeting below.

2024 FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFT KIT

Must-Have Fantasy Football Draft Picks

Drake London (WR – ATL)

It’s time for London to fly. His upside this season is massive in what should be a revamped offensive approach with Kirk Cousins under center and Zac Robinson calling plays. Last year, London’s numbers were passable but not amazing, as quarterback play held him in check. The Falcons’ quarterbacks posted the fourth-lowest adjusted completion rate and the third-lowest catchable target rate.

London still posted 1.98 YPRR (32nd) while ranking 27th in FD/RR and top 25 in first read share (20th) and target share (25th). After reexamining his 2023 film, I do not doubt that the same player who posted monster numbers as a rookie is still here. London realizes his massive potential this year. Enjoy the breakout.
– Derek Brown

Christian Watson (WR – GB)

Watson has an ADP outside the top 40 at wide receiver, presumably because drafters are worried about (1) his target competition and (2) his balky hamstrings.

Watson recently saw a specialist about the hamstring issues and has expressed confidence that adjusting his training routine will solve the problem. As for the target competition, it’s worth noting that in games where Watson, Jayden Reed and Romeo Doubs were all healthy last season, Watson had a 27% target share, Reed a 22% share, and Doubs an 18% share. And Watson’s targets tend to be high-value targets. His average depth of target was 13.8 yards in 2022 and 15.6 yards in 2023.

Watson is 6-foot-4 and has sub-4.4 speed. He scored eight touchdowns over a four-game span as a rookie, and he scored four touchdowns over a three-game span last year. This is talent worth betting on, especially at a bargain price.
– Pat Fitzmaurice

Jaylen Waddle (WR – MIA)

Tyreek Hill will be at the top of nearly every single 2024 fantasy football draft, whereas Jaylen Waddle will be drafted much later after his worst professional season to date. WR34 overall and WR24 in points per game. But the Miami speedster still managed over 1,000 receiving yards in just 14 games given his top-10 touch per snap rate. The issue was he scored just four times. But his 24% target share was still excellent. He also posted his highest yards per route run (6th) and PFF receiving grade of his career (fith). Simply put, no offense puts their players in a better situation on a per-play basis than Miami – at least when the weather permits. Expect this offense to cook with matchups against the Jaguars, Bills, Seahawks, and Titans to kick off the season. Three of those matchups are home games before they go on bye in Week 6. All in all, Miami’s schedule through 12 weeks per Sharp Football is the second easiest in the NFL.

Waddle is a sharp buy-low candidate in a high-powered Dolphins offense. Three consecutive 1,000-yard seasons with two top-13 WR finishes on his resume.
– Andrew Erickson

Breece Hall (RB – NYJ)

My No.1-ranked RB in fantasy football this season is Breece Hall. If I hold a mid-first-round pick, the Jets third-year RB will almost certainly be my selection.

Through 18 weeks of NFL action, Hall finished second among all RBs in yards from scrimmage, first in receptions (76), targets, receiving yards and seventh in points per game (14.9). Don’t forget that in his final game in Week 18 of the 2023 season, Hall totaled 39 touches for 190 yards and 1 TD to snap the Jets’ losing streak to the Patriots. Hall rushed for 178 rushing yards against the No. 1 run defense in the NFL. Mic drop.

And all of his 2023 accolades came despite ranking second-to-last in rushing success rate (39.5%) on fewer than 300 touches (299, seventh). The situation was horrible, and Hall still found a way.

Keep in mind that in addition to quarterback Aaron Rodgers missing essentially the entire season, the offensive line sustained the second-most injuries. With Rodgers back under center and healthy/upgraded OL after the additions of Tyron Smith, Morgan Moses, John Simpson, and Olu Fashanu, the sky’s the limit for Hall’s ceiling in 2024. A reminder that he will turn 23 years old at the end of May.

The reason I prefer Hall over the other top-3 RBs – Bijan Robinson and Christian McCaffrey – comes down to projecting health. As previously stated, the Jets are massively overdue for better injury luck in 2024. Meanwhile, the other top RBs may not be so fortunate.

The Falcons were the healthiest offense last season. Neither of their RBs missed time with injuries (Bijan’s headache game withstanding).

The 49ers were the fourth-healthiest team in 2023 – second overall on offense behind only Atlanta. For the first time in 10 seasons, they ranked above 20th in adjusted games lost – a metric to quantify losses felt by NFL injuries in a similar way to DVOA by FTN’s Aaron Schatz. McCaffrey is also coming off leading the NFL in touches. Only two RBs finished as RB1s the following year after leading the NFL in touches since 2013. Ezekiel Elliott is the only one over that period to finish inside the top 5.
– Andrew Erickson

Brian Robinson (RB – WAS)

Brian Robinson has been disrespected this offseason. The arrival of Austin Ekeler and a rushing quarterback has everyone burying him in the ranks and poking holes in his 2024 outlook. Well, I’m not riding that train to Obivioin. Robinson is underrated on multiple levels, especially after what he put on film and paper last year. His 2023 overall stat lines don’t portray how good he was last season. Robinson was the RB14 in fantasy points per opportunity and the RB22 in fantasy points per game. He also stood out in efficiency categories, ranking 22nd in explosive run rate and 13th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data).

In the 12 games in which he played at least 40% of the snaps, Robinson averaged 15.5 touches and 77.9 total yards per game. He quietly displayed a three-down skillset last season, proving that he can play on passing downs, ranking fifth in yards per route run and 12th in PFF’s pass-blocking grade (minimum 20 targets and 50 pass-blocking snaps). Robinson will be the clear favorite for early-down and red zone work, and he should eat into Ekeler’s routes in the passing game. He’s a rock-solid RB2 that could outpace that ranking.
– Derek Brown

Chase Brown (RB – CIN)

At worst, Brown is likely to be the primary passing-down back in Cincinnati’s post-Joe Mixon backfield. But are we absolutely certain Zack Moss is going to be the main early-down back for the Bengals?

Moss was terrific for the Colts early last season while Jonathan Taylor was on injured reserve, perhaps benefitting from the rushing threat posed by QB Anthony Richardson. But from Week 6 on, Moss averaged 3.6 yards per carry and wasn’t nearly as effective. Moss has never been much of a pass catcher.

Brown looked terrific last season in a very limited role (especially as a pass catcher), and he’s capable of handling a heavy load if the Bengals determine that he’s their best RB option. Brown averaged 27.3 carries a game and 29.6 touches a game in his final college season at Illinois, finishing with 1,883 yards from scrimmage and 13 touchdowns in 12 games.

If Brown is only a passing-down/change-of-pace back for the Bengals, he’s fairly priced at his middle-round ADP. But there’s enormous profit potential if the Bengals take a look at Moss and decide they prefer Brown, who’s younger, faster and a better pass catcher.
– Pat Fitzmaurice

Mark Andrews (TE – BAL)

Before Mark Andrews’ injury in Week 11, he was the TE3 overall averaging 12.2 points per game – a mark that would rank first among all TEs in 2023. He was out-producing Sam LaPorta. Andrews commanded a 23% target share – nearly identical to Zay Flowers. But Andrews still doubled Flowers in terms of red-zone usage and out-scored the rookie WR 6 to 1. The Ravens’ tight end is now the TE4 in ADP even though he is 100% healthy after suffering a gruesome cracked fibula and an ankle ligament injury.

And he has been the closest thing to Travis Kelce in terms of consistency atop the tight end rankings. Per FantasyPros Pat Fitzmaurice, Andrews’ yearly finishes in fantasy points per game (0.5 PPR) since his second-year breakout in 2019: TE4, TE4, TE1, TE3, TE4.

Andrew’s TE1 season in 2021 (17.7 PPR points per game) is the closest we have seen a tight end produce in a fashion close to peak, unstoppable Kelce. It was three points per game more than any other tight end this past season. The soon-to-be 29-year-old tight end is being drafted at his stone-cold floor after he was unable to finish 2023, where he could have easily been the TE1 overall. Fantasy football doesn’t have to be hard. Draft guys with great names like Andrews. Studs.
– Andrew Erickson

Jake Ferguson (TE – DAL)

As noted in my earlier endorsement of Dak Prescott, I think the Cowboys are probably going to be pass-heavy this year. Ferguson had 71 catches for 761 yards and five touchdowns last season, finishing TE8 in half-point PPR fantasy scoring. From Week 8 through the end of the season, he was TE6.

The Cowboys didn’t make any significant additions at wide receiver or tight end in the offseason, so Ferguson’s role is secure. He’s a great fallback option if you don’t land one of the top tight ends.
– Pat Fitzmaurice

Anthony Richardson (QB – IND)

If you’re looking to shoot your shot on upside at the quarterback position in 2024, Richardson should be near the top of your draft board. What we saw in a small sample was amazing. In Richardson’s two full starts, he averaged 25.7 fantasy points per game, which, if you’re keeping score at home, is more than Josh Allen averaged last year (24.2). Richardson led all quarterbacks (minimum 80 dropbacks) in fantasy points per dropback.

Are his passing numbers worrisome? Sure. Are there some small silver linings that lead to hopeful thoughts? Yep. In his final two games, he managed at least 8.0 yards per attempt and at least a 7.1% big-time throw rate. Even if he takes a step forward as a passer, rushing will be the magic elixir that will carry Richardson in 2024. Last year, Richardson, even in the abbreviated sample, ranked fifth in rushing yards per game and third in red zone carries per game. Entering the second year in Shane Steichen’s system with Michael Pittman, Adonai Mitchell, and Josh Downs could be glorious.
– Derek Brown

Jayden Daniels (QB – WAS)

Don’t be the mincing, fraidy-cat fantasy manager who’s scared to take a chance on a rookie quarterback. Rushing ability is the cheat code for quarterbacks to unlock fantasy success, and Daniels is capable of moving the needle with his ability to take off and boogie.

The No. 2 overall pick in this year’s NFL Draft, Daniels won the Heisman Trophy last year after throwing for 3,812 yards with 40 TD passes and only four interceptions. Daniels averaged 11.7 yards per pass attempt for LSU last year. He also ran for 1,134 yards and 10 touchdowns.

The Commanders brought in Kliff Kingsbury as their new offensive coordinator, and Kingsbury coaxed a QB7 fantasy season out of mobile QB Kyler Murray in Kyler’s rookie year with the Cardinals.

If he remains affordable, you owe it to yourself to pounce on him, even if you’re drafting him as a second quarterback.
– Pat Fitzmaurice

Expert Must-Have Draft Picks

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