Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate is different at FanDuel and DraftKings. At the former, it has eight games starting at 6:40 p.m. ET. At the latter, it has six games beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Sleeper and Underdog props are from all the games starting at 6:40 p.m. ET or later.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Bryce Miller (SEA) vs. TB
Bryce Miller is a handful at home. According to FanGraphs, in 27 starts spanning 151.1 innings at home since last year, Miller has had a 2.85 ERA, 3.88 xFIP, 5.7 BB% and 25.5 K%. The young righty should cruise in a cushy matchup tonight.
The Rays are 22nd in wRC+ (93) with a 24.3 K% versus righties and tied for 14th in wRC+ (97) with a 25.0 K% on the road this season. Tampa Bay was also 28th in wRC+ (73) with a 25.9 K% in the previous 14 days. Because Miller is opposing another talented young pitcher, the Mariners are only -120, and the game's total is a pitcher-friendly 7.0 runs.
Bailey Ober (MIN) vs. ATL
Bailey Ober is on a roll. In his last five starts totaling 33.0 innings, Ober has had a 1.91 ERA, 3.93 xFIP, 3.64 SIERA, 0.76 WHIP, 7.1 BB%, 27.8 K%, 29.3 CSW%, 90 Stuff+, 101 Location+ and 98 Pitching+. Sure, Ober's ERA estimators weren't as impressive as his sparkling ERA. Still, Ober's underlying data was rocks-solid.
Ober's matchup is a mixed bag. The Braves are tied for 19th in wRC+ (95) with a 24.5 K% versus righties and 16th in wRC+ (96) with a 23.6 K% on the road this year. Sadly, Atlanta was tied for ninth in wRC+ (112) with a 22.4 K% in the previous 14 days. So, the Twins are -110, and the game's total is 8.0 runs.
Ryan Pepiot (TB) at SEA
Ryan Pepiot was the young pitcher I alluded to in Miller's write-up. In Pepiot's previous four starts spanning 23.0 innings, he's had a 1.17 ERA, 3.77 xFIP, 3.69 SIERA, 0.87 WHIP, 5.6 BB% and 23.3 K%. The young righty has also had two quality starts in his past two turns. Pepiot should maintain his momentum tonight.
The Mariners are tied for 15th in wRC+ (98) with a 28.1 K% versus righties and tied for 20th in wRC+ (96) with a 29.3 K% at home this year. Seattle was also 24th in wRC+ (89) with a 27.9 K% in the previous 14 days. Finally, the Rays are slight underdogs (+102), but the game's total is only 7.0 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
The Cardinals have roughly an average offense. They're tied for 12th in wRC+ (102) versus righties and tied for 15th in wRC+ (102) at home this season. St. Louis was tied for 17th in wRC+ (96) in the previous 14 days. Nevertheless, they should look like an extraordinary offense in a mouthwatering matchup tonight. The Padres are summoning Randy Vasquez from the minors, and he's had a 4.63 ERA, 5.93 xERA and 4.87 SIERA in 17 starts this season. Finally, St. Louis's lefties are the most exciting stacking options because Vasquez has coughed up a .432 wOBA to 160 lefties this season.
Core Studs
- Rafael Devers is a terror for righties, sporting a .376 OBP, .270 ISO and 151 wRC+ against them since 2022.
- Aaron Judge hit his 50th and 51st homers yesterday while lifting his OBP to .465, ISO to .403 and wRC+ 226. He's unstoppable.
- In 362 career plate appearances at home against righties, Alec Burleson has hit 13 homers with a .347 OBP, .188 ISO and 131 wRC+.
Value Plays/Punts
- In 454 plate appearances against righties since 2022, Matt Carpenter has hit 18 homers with a .341 OBP, .207 ISO and 118 wRC+.
- Brendan Donovan has had a .367 OBP, .135 wRC+ and 122 wRC+ against righties since 2022.
- Lars Nootbaar is more cheap left-handed exposure to Vasquez. He's had a .353 OBP, .199 ISO and 121 wRC+ against righties since 2022.
Monday's Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Oneil Cruz: 8.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Sleeper) (1.78x)
Oneil Cruz: 8.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)
Oneil Cruz has excelled with the platoon advantage at home. In 331 career plate appearances at home against righties, he's hit 14 homers with a .375 OBP, .217 ISO and 147 wRC+. Cruz has also stolen 17 bases in 117 games this season. Meanwhile, Jameson Taillon allowed 13 stolen bases in 22 starts, yielding a .336 wOBA to 274 lefties this season.
Aaron Judge: 10.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Sleeper) (1.65x)
Aaron Judge: 10.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)
In 95 plate appearances this month, Judge has swatted a dozen homers with a .558 OBP, .562 ISO, 307 wRC+, 20 runs, 23 RBIs and one stolen base. He should continue to tear the cover off the ball tonight.
Alec Burleson: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Sleeper) (1.81x)
Alec Burleson: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Underdog)
In 348 plate appearances against righties this year, Burleson has hit 14 doubles and 18 homers with a .298 batting average, .509 slugging, .211 ISO and 5.2 BB%. Conversely, Vasquez has allowed seven doubles, six homers, a .382 batting average and .556 slugging to 160 lefties this season.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
