Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has 10 games starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. The suggested player props for Sleeper and Underdog are from the 10-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Friday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Blake Snell (SF) vs. MIA
Blake Snell is in excellent form. According to FanGraphs, in his previous five starts spanning 31.1 innings, Snell has had a 1.72 ERA, 3.04 xFIP, 3.14 SIERA, 0.86 WHIP, 12.7 BB%, 38.1 K%, 35.1 CSW%, 126 Stuff+, 97 Location+, 104 Pitching+ and four quality starts. Snell has a drool-inducing matchup tonight.
The Marlins are tied for 28th in wRC+ (78) with a 22.1 K% versus lefties and 28th in wRC+ (80) with a 24.5 K% on the road this season. Additionally, tonight is Miami's first game after a series at Coors Field. Thus, the Giants are -270, and the game's total is 7.0 runs.
Tylor Megill (NYM) at CWS
Tylor Megill is primarily a matchup and betting-info-driven SP2 suggestion. The White Sox are 30th in wRC+ (74) with a 23.9 K% versus righties and 30th in wRC+ (77) with a 22.2 K% at home this year. Chicago was also 29th in wRC+ (66) with a 22.6 K% in the previous 14 days. So, the Mets are -225, and the game's total is 9.0 runs.
While Megill has struggled in the majors, he's pitched well in Triple-A. In eight starts totaling 40.0 innings in Triple-A this season, Megill has had a 3.15 ERA, 3.28 xFIP, 1.23 WHIP, 10.4 BB%, 32.9 K% and 13.2 SwStr%. Chicago's lineup is of borderline Triple-A caliber. As a result, Megill could carve them up.
JP Sears (OAK) at TEX
JP Sears is cruising into tonight's start. In his past five starts spanning 32.1 innings, the lefty has had a 2.78 ERA, 3.75 xFIP, 3.59 SIERA, 0.96 WHIP, 5.0 BB%, 24.8 K%, 30.0 CSW%, 78 Stuff+, 101 Location+, 92 Pitching+ and four quality starts. Sears has a favorable matchup tonight.
The Rangers are 20th in wRC+ (97) with a 22.5 K% versus lefties and 23rd in wRC+ (96) with a 21.4 K% at home this season. Texas was worse in the previous 14 days, ranking 28th in wRC+ (67) with a 23.4 K%.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
The Yankees have a top-heavy offense, but when the best hitters in the lineup are among the best in MLB, they make for an exciting stack. The Yankees are first in wRC+ (124) versus righties and second in wRC+ (119) at home this season.
In addition, Erick Fedde is a good matchup for them. In Fedde's last five starts, he's had a 4.23 ERA, 5.04 xFIP, 4,96 SIERA and 1.27 WHIP.
- Road (Guaranteed Rate Field)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 9.0 Runs/NYM -225
The Mets have a top-10 offense by all applicable splits in tonight's matchup. New York is ninth in wRC+ (108) versus righties and tied for fifth in wRC+ (109) on the road this year. They were also seventh in wRC+ (112) in the previous 14 days.
Their matchup is sweet, too. Jonathan Cannon has had a 4.88 ERA, 5.51 xFIP, 5.45 SIERA and 1.48 WHIP in his past starts. Finally, Cannon has yielded a .320 wOBA to righties and a .362 wOBA to lefties this season.
Core Studs
- In 590 plate appearances this year, Aaron Judge has hit 51 homers with 104 runs, 123 RBIs, seven stolen bases, a .467 OBP, .397 ISO, 225 wRC+, .489 wOBA and .486 xwOBA.
- Jazz Chisholm has been a monster since the Yankees traded for him. In 84 plate appearances for the Yankees, Chisholm has hit nine homers and stolen six bases with a .345 OBP, .380 ISO and 185 wRC+.
- In 48 plate appearances against lefties this year, Jhonkensy Noel has hit seven homers with a .354 OBP, .548 ISO and 218 wRC+.
Value Plays/Punts
- In 207 career plate appearances against righties at home, Matt Wallner has hit 12 homers with a .420 OBP, .305 ISO and 180 wRC+.
- In Jeff McNeil's previous 82 plate appearances, he's hit three homers with a .378 OBP, .225 ISO and 152 wRC+.
- Luken Baker hit 32 homers with a .345 OBP, .303 ISO and 120 wRC+ in 452 plate appearances in Triple-A this year. He's also hit in the heart of St. Louis's order lately.
Friday's Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Jazz Chisholm: 5.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Sleeper) (1.68x)
Jazz Chisholm: 7.0 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)
Chisholm is in a groove. In his previous 68 plate appearances, he's hit five homers and stolen five bases with 11 runs, six RBIs, a .324 OBP, .281 ISO and 147 wRC+. Chisholm's matchup against Fedde isn't too shabby. Fedde has allowed a .309 wOBA to lefties this year. He's also coughed up a .333 wOBA in the second half.
Austin Wells: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs - Higher (Sleeper) (1.72x)
Austin Wells: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs - Higher (Underdog)
Austin Wells has tallied a .262 batting average, .336 OBP, .483 slugging and .221 ISO in 335 career plate appearances against righties. He's also in stellar form. In Wells's previous 78 plate appearances, he's had a .309 batting average, .385 OBP, .456 slugging, .147 ISO, two runs and 11 RBIs. Wells has frequently slotted fourth or fifth in New York's lineup lately, putting him in an optimal place to produce runs.
Jhonkensy Noel: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Sleeper) (2.00x)
Jhonkensy Noel: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Underdog) (Scorcher 1.12x)
Noel has hit two doubles and seven homers with a .286 batting average, .833 slugging and .548 ISO in 48 career plate appearances against southpaws. He's also locked in. In Noel's past 67 plate appearances, he's hit two doubles and six homers with a .276 batting average, .621 slugging and .345 ISO. Finally, Bailey Falter has allowed 19 doubles, 12 homers, a .261 batting average and a .427 slugging to 367 righties this year.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.