MLB DFS Picks, PrizePicks & Underdog Player Props: Tuesday (8/6)

Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has 11 games starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. The suggested player props from PrizePicks and Underdog are from the 11-game slate as well.

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Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

Tuesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

Luis Gil (NYY) vs. LAA
Luis Gil is in pristine form. According to FanGraphs, in his previous four starts spanning 23.0 innings, he's had a 2.35 ERA, 2.91 xFIP, 2.76 SIERA, 1.00 WHIP, 5.5 BB%, 33.0 K%, 27.7 CSW%, 109 Stuff+, 96 Location+ and 105 Pitching+.

The blossoming hurler has a favorable matchup tonight. The Angels are tied for 23rd in wRC+ (90) with a 23.1 K% versus righties and tied for 26th in wRC+ (85) with a 21.4 K% on the road this year. They're also 25th in wRC+ (87) with a 22.0 K% since the All-Star break. Thus, the Yankees are -260, and the game's total is 9.0 runs.

Luis Castillo (SEA) vs. DET
Luis Castillo is sharp at home. In 30 starts spanning 178.1 innings at home since last year, Castillo has had a 2.98 ERA, 3.36 xFIP, 1.02 WHIP, 6.2 BB%, 28.9 K% and 18 quality starts. He's also spun five consecutive quality starts.

Castillo should extend his heater tonight. The Tigers are tied for 23rd in wRC+ (90) with a 23.6 K% versus righties and tied for 26th in wRC+ (85) with a 24.8 K% on the road this year. Detroit is also 29th in wRC+ (70) with a 23.1 K% in the second half. Unsurprisingly, the Mariners are -220, and the game's total is 7.5 runs.

Pablo Lopez (MIN) at CHC

It's been an underwhelming season for Pablo Lopez. Yet, in his past four starts, he's had a 2.52 ERA, 3.19 xFIP, 3.39 SIERA, 0.92 WHIP, 6.2 BB% and 26.8 K% in 25.0 innings.

Lopez has a decent matchup and rock-solid betting info tonight. The Cubs are tied for 18th in wRC+ (96) with a 23.6 K% versus righties and tied for 22nd in wRC+ (94) with a 24.1 K% at home this season. Chicago is also tied for 23rd in wRC+ (89) with a 21.3 K% since the All-Star break. Finally, the Twins are -110, and the game's total is a pitcher-friendly 6.5 runs.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

• Road (Coors Field)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 11.0 Runs/NYM -160

The Mets have a powerhouse offense, and it will get a lift from facing Kyle Freeland in MLB's most hitter-friendly ballpark. New York is third in wRC+ (121) versus lefties and fourth in wRC+ (115) on the road this year. Meanwhile, Freeland has a 5.64 ERA and 5.19 xERA in 29 starts this year. The southpaw has allowed a .353 wOBA to 27 lefties and a .365 wOBA to 233 righties this season. Additionally, Colorado's relievers have had the highest ERA (5.63) this year.

• Road (Rogers Centre)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/BAL -148

The Orioles are a GPP-centric stacking suggestion. Baltimore is second in wRC+ (118) versus righties and tied for second in wRC+ (117) on the road this year. They're also fourth in wRC+ (135) since the All-Star break. Therefore, they're potent enough to match or exceed New York's DFS scoring output if Baltimore lights up Chris Bassitt. Moreover, the 279 lefties who've faced Bassitt this year have had a .357 wOBA against him, and the Orioles have seven projected lefties or switch-hitters in their lineup.

Core Studs

• In Francisco Lindor's past 117 plate appearances, he's hit seven homers and stolen seven bases with a .402 OBP, .235 ISO and 166 wRC+.
• In 198 career plate appearances against lefties, Mark Vientos has hit nine homers with a .328 OBP, .234 ISO and 135 wRC+.
• Pete Alonso has launched 29 homers with a .344 OBP, .264 ISO and 132 wRC+ in 480 plate appearances against southpaws since 2022.

Value Plays/Punts

• Jackson Holliday has torn the cover off the ball since the Orioles recalled him from the minors. In his past 21 plate appearances, he's hit two homers with a .476 OBP, .389 ISO and 248 wRC+.
• Miguel Vargas is a lineup-spot-influenced punt, batting leadoff or second for the White Sox in six games since they acquired him.
• Austin Martin's Triple-A success hasn't translated to the majors in his rookie season, but 164 plate appearances don't wash away his .407 OBP and 114 wRC+ in Triple-A.

Tuesday's Top 3 Underdog and PrizePicks Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Gunnar Henderson: 8.0 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)

Gunnar Henderson: 8.5 Fantasy Points - More (PrizePicks)

Since reaching the majors in 2022, Gunnar Henderson has had a .359 OBP, .275 ISO and 155 wRC+ against righties. He's having a career year with the platoon advantage, too. In 353 plate appearances against righties this year, Henderson has hit 23 homers with a .382 OBP, .293 ISO and 175 wRC+. Bassitt has struggled with lefties, and Henderson has roughed him up. Per Baseball Savant, Henderson has hit two homers with a .808 wOBA and .484 xwOBA in eight career plate appearances against Bassitt.

Luis Severino: 1.5 Walks - Higher (Underdog)/More (PrizePicks)

According to FanGraphs, in 20 starts on the road spanning 103.2 innings since last year, Luis Severino has had a 6.16 ERA, 4.48 xFIP, 3.21 BB/9, 7.9 BB% and 37 walks. He averaged 1.9 walks per road start with a median of 2.0 since 2023. Severino has exceeded 1.5 walks in 11 of his past 20 road starts, including his last two.

Lawrence Butler: 7.0 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)

Lawrence Butler: 6.5 Fantasy Points - More (PrizePicks)

Lawrence Butler is on a heater. In his last 96 plate appearances, he's hit nine homers and stolen five bases with a .396 OBP, .416 ISO and 223 wRC+. Lawrence can stay hot in a cushy matchup. Jonathan Cannon has allowed a .364 wOBA to 142 lefties in his rookie campaign.

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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.