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MLB DFS Picks & Player Prop Bets: Saturday (8/10)

MLB DFS Picks & Player Prop Bets: Saturday (8/10)

This should be a fun Saturday slate. We usually try to include players from both slates, but almost all games start at night. We have 10 games beginning at 7 p.m. ET, and we will zone in on those because that’s where the large prize pools are.

With that in mind, let’s get into this Saturday slate.

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Saturday’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

Saturday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

PLAYER DK SALARY FD SALARY VALUE RISK
Corbin Burnes (BAL) at TB $9,300 $10,600 Low Low
Justin Steele (CHC) vs. CWS $8,800 $9,500 Low Low
Michael Wacha (KC) vs. STL $7,300 $8,600 High Medium
River Ryan (LAD) vs. PIT $9,000 $8,000 Low Medium

Corbin Burnes (BAL) at TB

Tampa used to be a terrifying matchup, but they’ve been a great team to exploit this season. The Rays rank 24th in xwOBA, 28th in runs scored and 23rd in strikeout rate. That makes Corbin Burnes an easy target against them, scoring at least 20 FanDuel points in all 23 starts this season. That’s led to his brilliant 2.63 ERA and 1.06 WHIP, holding Tampa to seven scoreless innings in their one matchup.

Justin Steele (CHC) vs. CWS

Justin Steele allowed five runs just two starts ago, but he’s been brilliant aside from that. The Chicago southpaw has allowed three runs or fewer in 11 of his other 12 starts over the last three months, maintaining a 2.61 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in that span. That’s the guy we’ve seen for years, and it looks even better since he has a home matchup against the other Chicago team. The White Sox rank last in runs scored, on-base percentage (OBP), OPS, wOBA and xwOBA. Steele enters this matchup as a -250 favorite.

Michael Wacha (KC) vs. STL

Revenge games are a silly narrative, but we like this spot for Michael Wacha. It’s more about the matchup and his form than revenge, with Wacha allowing three runs or fewer in 13 straight starts. He’s also got a 2.59 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in that span, posting even better splits at home. That’s rough for a struggling St. Louis offense, sitting 21st in runs scored and 19th xwOBA.

River Ryan (LAD) vs. PIT

We’d use anyone against Pittsburgh right now. The Pirates rank 22nd in runs scored, 26th in OBP, 28th in wOBA and 25th in strikeout rate. That will be rough in a pitcher’s park like Dodger Stadium, especially with how good River Ryan has looked. The righty has allowed just three runs through three starts, totaling a 1.72 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. We’re also looking at a game with a 7.5-run total, which means the Pirates aren’t even projected to reach four runs.

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MLB DFS Picks: Suggested Lineup Stacks

Atlanta Braves (vs. Cal Quantrill)

This feels unfair. Atlanta’s offense hasn’t been the top one we saw last season, but it still ranks in the top half in nearly every offensive metric. That’s terrifying in Coors Field because the Braves are the highest-projected offense on this slate, forecasted to score six runs. That’s no surprise since Cal Quantrill has a 4.86 ERA and 1.43 WHIP since the start of last season.

Chicago Cubs (vs. Chris Flexen)

Chris Flexen is having a rough year with the rest of the White Sox players, posting a 5.53 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. That’s on par with the 5.06 ERA and 1.49 WHIP we’ve seen throughout Flexen’s career. The Cubs could be a sneaky stack against him in Wrigley Field.

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MLB DFS Picks: Core Studs

POS PLAYER DK SALARY FD SALARY
SS Bobby Witt (KC) $6,400 $4,600
3B Jose Ramirez (CLE) $6,100 $4,200
1B Matt Olson (ATL) $5,300 $3,800
OF Ian Happ (CHC) $4,200 $3,200
  • It’s hard to believe just how special Bobby Witt has been recently. The MVP candidate has a .464 batting average (AVG), a .824 slugging rate (SLG) and 1.313 OPS across his last 31 games. He’s also been a different player at home, totaling a .409 AVG, .736 SLG and 1.145 OPS at Kauffman Stadium. It’s not like we’re worried about Andre Pallante and his 4.43 ERA and 1.37 WHIP.
  • It’s hard to believe Jose Ramirez isn’t even in the running for American League MVP, but that’s a testament to Witt and Aaron Judge. Ramirez is no joke, collecting 29 homers and 24 steals en route to a .879 OPS. That stat-stuffing has made him a DFS darling for eight years, and we love that he has a 1.465 OPB across his last nine outings.
  • Matt Olson has been one of the biggest disappointments in fantasy, but we’re talking about a guy who had 54 homers and 139 RBI last season. We’re seeing glimpses of him returning to that player, posting a .969 OPS across his last 12 outings. He also has the platoon advantage against Quantrill, compiling a .913 OPS against righties since the start of last year.
  • Ian Happ has developed into Chicago’s most valuable hitter, tallying 17 homers and seven steals as the leadoff or three-hole hitter. Almost all that damage has come against right-handers, with Happ registering a .353 OBP and .791 OPS against them since 2021. We already talked about how fantastic of a matchup Flexen is. Happ is a solid value against him in a Cubbies stack.

MLB DFS Picks: Value Plays/Punts

POS PLAYER DK SALARY FD SALARY
2B/SS Jackson Holliday (BAL) $3,300 $2,800
OF Jackson Chourio (MIL) $4,100 $3,000
1B/OF Matt Wallner (MIN) $4,000 $3,100
1B/3B Michael Busch (CHC) $3,800 $3,000
  • It’s hard to believe Jackson Holliday remains so cheap. This kid was the top pick in the draft and the highest-touted prospect in baseball for a reason. While he got off to a slow start in his first call-up, Holliday has a .387 OBP, .786 SLG and 1.173 OPS across his last seven outings. That looks even better since Tampa has a TBD listed here, likely leading to a bullpen game.
  • Jackson Chourio got off to a slow start in his rookie campaign, but he’s starting to find it. The talented outfielder had two homers on Thursday and now has a .408 AVG and 1.094 OPS across his last 16 games. That’s what we’ve been waiting to see, and it’s not like facing a journeyman like Nick Martinez will sway us away from Chourio.
  • Matt Wallner has been hitting cleanup whenever Minnesota matches up with a righty, and it’s easy to see why. The slugger has a .420 OBP and 1.092 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. He’s been even better recently, accruing a .500 OBP, .933 SLG and 1.433 OPS across his last 10 outings. That should play out well against a struggling Gavin Williams, generating a 4.91 ERA and 1.48 WHIP.
  • It’s difficult to find players we want in this Cubs stack, but Michael Busch is one of the best options against a righty. Busch has a .352 OBP and .818 OPS against righties while posting a .359 OBP and 1.016 OPS across his last 11 outings. That’s why he’s been moved up in the order, but this price doesn’t show the recent improvements.

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Saturday’s Top 3 Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks Player Props

Griffin Canning: 3.5 Strikeouts – Higher

This total feels too low. Griffin Canning has cleared this strikeout prop in eight of his last nine starts, recording at least six strikeouts in three straight outings. That shouldn’t be difficult against a 24th-ranked Nationals offense.

Logan Webb: 6.0 Hits Allowed – Lower

Logan Webb has been one of the best pitchers in baseball for a few years and shouldn’t have any issues against a 26th-ranked Tigers offense in Oracle Park.

Bobby Witt: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher

Bobby Witt is flirting with a 1.500 OPS at home over the last month and needs one extra-base hit to clear this prop. He’s done that in 12 of his last 16 home games.

MLB Player Prop Bet Picks


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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.

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